Houston Cougars at Oregon State Beavers
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Reser Stadium - Corvallis, OR
Cougars (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 10 (35 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 10 (35 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
HOU coming off BYE
ORST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Houston -5.5 (SP+ HOU -18.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 28 - ORST: 22 (50)
HOU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
HOU Travel: 1834 miles, 2 hrs ahead
ORST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Houston -5.5 (SP+ HOU -18.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 28 - ORST: 22 (50)
HOU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
HOU Travel: 1834 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Beavers (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (21 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (21 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
| Houston's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Houston vs Stephen F. Austin | -24.5 | 54.5 | W 27 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Houston at Rice | -13.5 | 38.5 | W 35 - 9 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/12 | Houston vs Colorado | -4.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 20 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Houston at Oregon State | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Houston vs Texas Tech | +16 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Houston at Oklahoma State | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Houston vs Arizona | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Houston at Arizona State | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Houston vs West Virginia | -0.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Houston at UCF | +4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Houston vs TCU | +10.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Houston at Baylor | +9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Oregon State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Oregon State vs California | -3.0 | 51.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Oregon State vs Fresno State | -1.0 | 45.5 | L 27 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Oregon State at Texas Tech | +24.5 | 61.5 | L 7 - 45 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Oregon State at Oregon | +35.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Oregon State vs Houston | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Oregon State at App State | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Oregon State vs Wake Forest | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Oregon State vs Lafayette | -20.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Oregon State vs Washington State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Oregon State vs Sam Houston | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Oregon State at Tulsa | -6 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Oregon State at Washington State | -2.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | #95 (.13) | 36% (120) | 32.7 | 34% (120) | 2.69 (98) | 202 | 39% (98) | 187 | 3.67 (86) | #18 (-.04) | 29% (8) | 9.7 | 36% (47) | 23% (4) | 5.17 (125) | 41 | 0 | 2 |
| ORST | #55 (.24) | 48% (40) | 16.3 | 44% (68) | 2.25 (123) | 76 | 50% (32) | 296 | 4.23 (55) | #89 (.18) | 37% (54) | 38.3 | 34% (34) | 41% (73) | 4 (89) | 37.7 | 2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | #133 (-) | 35% (129) | 35% (130) | 2.52 (129) | 137 | 37% (115) | 153 | 2.57 (134) | #51 (.14) | 40% (41) | 40% (41) | 39% (49) | 3.52 (41) | 51.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | ||
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 3 | 32.7 | 35 | 35.9% | 3.67 | 0 | 18 | 390 | 202 | 187 | 4.5 | 61% | 39% | 34% | 39% | 11% | .13 |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 38.3 | 35 | 36.9% | 4 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 44% | 34% | 41% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 3 | 9.7 | 9 | 29.1% | 5.17 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 47% | 36% | 23% | 18% | -.04 |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 16.3 | 21 | 47.9% | 4.23 | 2 | 22 | 372 | 76 | 296 | 2.8 | 42% | 57% | 44% | 50% | 18% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 3 | 32:56 | 17.7 | 45% | 40% | 4.7 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 36.5 |
| Oregon State | 3 | 32:58 | 21.7 | 45% | 60% | 5.7 | 37.7 | 2 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 0 | 29.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 3 | 61% (17) | 34% (120) | 45.3 | 202.3 | 4.5 | 6 (49) | -.03 (116) | 2.69 (98) | 65% (95) | 7% (32) | 1.07 (47) |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 55% (104) | 34% (34) | - | - | - | - | .02 (54) | 2.17 (18) | 67% (53) | 9% (85) | 1.14 (102) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 3 | 51% (80) | 36% (47) | - | - | - | - | -.04 (38) | 2.28 (26) | 78% (100) | 10% (69) | 0.87 (52) |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 42% (115) | 44% (68) | 27.3 | 76 | 2.8 | 2 (109) | -.02 (111) | 2.25 (123) | 90% (14) | 10% (86) | 0.68 (127) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 3 | 39% (122) | 39% (98) | 15.3 | 24.3 | 187.3 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 4 (72) | 0 (1) | .38 (51) | 2.1 (4) | 36% (117) | 34% (52) | .46 (49) | 4% (39) | 2.2 (36) |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 44% (31) | 41% (73) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .38 (114) | 1.9 (121) | 29% (111) | 28% (65) | .55 (119) | 7% (41) | 2.9 (134) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 3 | 47% (40) | 23% (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (6) | .01 (22) | 1.4 (49) | 39% (13) | 14% (11) | .05 (26) | 8% (30) | 2.2 (101) |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 57% (26) | 50% (32) | 25.7 | 42 | 295.7 | 7 | 11.5 | 5 (54) | 5 (129) | .39 (47) | 1.4 (102) | 31% (72) | 33% (54) | .23 (94) | 8% (121) | 1.7 (112) |
Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Houston's Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Houston's Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Houston's Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Houston's Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Houston's Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 3.11 Oregon State: -0.275
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.8 Oregon State: -10.5
Houston: 3.11 Oregon State: -0.275
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.8 Oregon State: -10.5
Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Oregon State's Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Houston Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 9.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 9
Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 9.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 9
Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 28
Oregon State 22
Total Points: 50
Houston 28
Oregon State 22
Total Points: 50
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Houston | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#72) Houston Info
Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 23%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Houston has won 3 straight
Houston has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Houston Notes
(9/13) Determined to run but bad success, pop expl
(6/14) QB, RB, WR, TE + 3 OL upgrades via portals
(6/14) RB Connors pot. big add, workhorse w/ hands
(6/14) OL added 3 starters & depth, much better TY
(5/23) New OC Nagle great w/ Fritz @ Tulane
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit
Houston Highlights
Houston is Undefeated vs Spread
Houston in Undefeated
Houston offense is explosive (#16)
Houston offense is good on 3rd downs
Houston has a really good defense (#8)
Houston defense does not give up big plays (#27)
Houston has a good pass defense (#4)
Houston Defensive Line is very good (#26)
Houston Secondary is very good (#30)
Houston has a great TO Margin (#1)
Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
Houston Deficiencies
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)
Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 23%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Houston has won 3 straight
Houston has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Houston Notes
(9/13) Determined to run but bad success, pop expl
(6/14) QB, RB, WR, TE + 3 OL upgrades via portals
(6/14) RB Connors pot. big add, workhorse w/ hands
(6/14) OL added 3 starters & depth, much better TY
(5/23) New OC Nagle great w/ Fritz @ Tulane
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit
Houston Highlights
Houston is Undefeated vs Spread
Houston in Undefeated
Houston offense is explosive (#16)
Houston offense is good on 3rd downs
Houston has a really good defense (#8)
Houston defense does not give up big plays (#27)
Houston has a good pass defense (#4)
Houston Defensive Line is very good (#26)
Houston Secondary is very good (#30)
Houston has a great TO Margin (#1)
Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
Houston Deficiencies
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ORST | HOU |
| OverallOver | #79 | #29 |
| OffenseOff | #68 | #72 |
| DefenseDef | #86 | #8 |
| Special TeamsST | #113 | #8 |
| PassingPass | #51 | #92 |
| RushingRush | #94 | #62 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #68 | #27 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #70 | #116 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #52 |
| TacklingTkl | #108 | #4 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #79 | #16 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #103 | #84 |
| Coverage DefCov | #89 | #2 |
(#68) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Oregon State has lost 4 straight
Oregon State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Oregon State has lost 4 straight
Oregon State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Weigman (Tr) | 45 | 70 | 64% | 569 | 4 | 0 | 8.1 |
| Zeon Chriss | 1 | 3 | 33% | -7 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Connors (Tr) | 50 | 271 | 3 | 5.4 | 54 |
| Conner Weigman (Tr) | 33 | 145 | 3 | 4.4 | 49 |
| Stacy Sneed | 25 | 101 | 0 | 4.0 | 16 |
| J'Marion Burnette | 10 | 40 | 0 | 4.0 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Johnson Jr. | 6 | 191 | 1 | 31.8 | 74 |
| Tanner Koziol (Tr) | 17 | 148 | 1 | 8.7 | 23 |
| Amare Thomas (Tr) | 8 | 110 | 1 | 13.8 | 22 |
| J'Marion Burnette | 1 | 39 | 1 | 39.0 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Garner | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Carlos Allen | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Latrell McCutchin | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kentrell Webb | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Walls III (Tr) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Corey Platt Jr. | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Mack | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Khalil Laufau (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latreveon McCutchin | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Zelmar Vedder (Tr) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Khalil Laufau (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 76 | 124 | 61% | 893 | 6 | 5 | 7.2 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 2 | 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hankerson | 51 | 190 | 1 | 3.7 | 26 |
| Salahadin Allah | 8 | 36 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 5 | 15 | 0 | 3.0 | 7 |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr. | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Walker | 23 | 302 | 0 | 13.1 | 31 |
| Tastean Reddicks | 15 | 213 | 0 | 14.2 | 37 |
| David Wells Jr. | 10 | 151 | 1 | 15.1 | 56 |
| Bryce Caufield | 12 | 67 | 1 | 5.6 | 10 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jaheim Patterson | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahjae Mullix (Tr) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Collins | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Shamar Meikle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jalil Tucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Trey Glasper | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |