Houston at BYU - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (10:15 PM EST)
BYU -9.5 (39.5) (-450) Open: -12.5 | 41.5
BYU 30 - Houston: 18 (Big 12)

Cougars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 27.5°
BYU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: BYU -22.5 (SP+ BYU -24)
Projected Score: HOU: 12 - BYU: 34 (46)
BYU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
HOU Travel: 1172 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Houston vs UNLV	-3.0	56.0	L 7 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/7	Houston at Oklahoma	+27.5	48.5	L 12 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Houston vs Rice	-3.5	43.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Houston at Cincinnati	+4.0	47.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/28	Houston vs Iowa State	+16.0	43.0	L 0 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/4	Houston at TCU	+16.5	52.0	W 30 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Houston vs Kansas	+4.5	45.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/26	Houston vs Utah	+4.5	36.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Houston vs Kansas State	+12.5	46.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Houston at Arizona	+1.0	46.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Houston vs Baylor	+7.0	51.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/30	Houston at BYU	+9.5	39.5	L 18 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

BYU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	BYU vs Southern Illinois	-31
Fri 9/6	BYU at SMU	+12.5	55.5	W 18 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/14	BYU at Wyoming	-9.5	40.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/21	BYU vs Kansas State	+7.5	49.5	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/28	BYU at Baylor	+3.0	47.0	W 34 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	BYU vs Arizona	-3.0	48.5	W 41 - 19	O	Y
Fri 10/18	BYU vs Oklahoma State	-8.5	53.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	BYU at UCF	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	BYU at Utah	-3.5	40.5	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/16	BYU vs Kansas	-3.0	55.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	BYU at Arizona State	+3.5	49.0	L 23 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	BYU vs Houston	-9.5	39.5	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 12/28	BYU vs Colorado	+3.0	55.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	#104 (.13)	40% (97)	29.1	39% (110)	2.97 (96)	119	41% (75)	241	3.44 (100)	#114 (.26)	47% (126)	22.8	47% (104)	48% (130)	4.26 (111)	49.2	1.3	1.2
BYU	#120 (.08)	36% (125)	31.4	37% (126)	2.97 (94)	104	36% (115)	205	3.96 (61)	#88 (.21)	44% (97)	19.1	44% (75)	45% (117)	3.59 (50)	43	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	12	29.1	31	39.7%	3.44	1.3	19	360	119	241	4	42%	56%	39%	41%	14%	.13
BYU Defense	12	19.1	13.7	44%	3.59	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	45%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	12	22.8	19.5	46.7%	4.26	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	47%	48%	13%	.26
BYU Offense	12	31.4	40.5	35.9%	3.96	1.6	17	310	104	205	3.5	45%	54%	37%	36%	21%	.08

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	12	27:56	19.2	36%	26%	5.7	49.2	1.3	1.2	5	1.9	3	28.2
BYU	12	28:19	16.8	29%	50%	5.3	43	1.6	1.7	4.2	0.9	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	12	42% (115)	39% (110)	29.9	118.8	4	10 (124)	.06 (116)	2.97 (96)	59% (129)	9% (57)	0.98 (82)
BYU Defense	12	49% (57)	44% (75)	-	-	-	-	.19 (96)	3.35 (114)	66% (28)	8% (124)	1 (70)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	12	51% (89)	47% (104)	-	-	-	-	.23 (111)	3.24 (101)	75% (79)	8% (110)	1.05 (93)
BYU Offense	12	45% (101)	37% (126)	30	104.3	3.5	15 (100)	.06 (115)	2.97 (94)	76% (49)	12% (120)	1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	12	56% (24)	41% (75)	21.7	33.9	241.4	7.1	11.1	24 (41)	13 (97)	.25 (77)	1.5 (86)	34% (94)	25% (111)	.18 (107)	5% (20)	2.1 (56)
BYU Defense	12	50% (75)	45% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.29 (81)	1.5 (44)	32% (56)	37% (127)	.56 (131)	7% (39)	2 (43)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	12	47% (40)	48% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.35 (108)	1.5 (27)	30% (98)	38% (128)	.47 (125)	4% (124)	2.1 (91)
BYU Offense	12	54% (30)	36% (115)	18.3	33	205.4	6.2	11.2	17 (85)	9 (40)	.13 (118)	1.7 (45)	36% (128)	23% (126)	.13 (123)	8% (127)	2.2 (29)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -5.97 #86
Houston's Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Houston's Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -5.97 BYU: 15.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.2 BYU: 15.3

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 15.55 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 34
Houston 12

Projected Total Points: 46

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	BYU	30	Houston	18	BYU -9.5	BYU	39.5	Over
2020	10/16	Houston	26	BYU	43	BYU -3	BYU	62.0	Over
2014	09/11	BYU	33	Houston	25	BYU -14	Houston	0
2013	10/19	Houston	46	BYU	47	BYU -9	Houston	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	4	2	2 Overs
Houston	0	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1

(#86) HOU at (#28) BYU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	BYU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#86	#28
SP+SP+	#101	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#125	#30
OffenseOff	#128	#52
DefenseDef	#99	#33
Spec TeamsST	#109	#29
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#62	#65

Houston Notes(12/27) Signed QB Weigman (A&M) & more
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great
(10/27) 13 Passes, 230 ryds (4.7 ypc) in Utah upset. Big W
(10/18) QB Criss replacing Smith (should be an upgrade)
(9/22) Off abysmal. Can't run/pass. Def can't overcome
(9/8) Close L @ OU. Run: D great, O bad, QB Smith good.
Houston Injury Report

BYU Notes(11/23) 2 str L's, Rgame meh, 2 INTs in L to ASU
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
(9/8) Great W, outgained SMU 336-261. Great Def
BYU Injury Report

Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	BYU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#128	#33
SuccessSuc	#97	#97
ExplosiveExp	#60	#53
PPAPPA	#104	#88
PowerPwr	#129	#42
SP+SP+	#118	#21
Pts POPPO	#100	#50
HavocHav	#41	#106

Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#133	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#110	#75
Run ExplRExp	#82	#70
PPAExp	#116	#96
Run BlockR Blk	#101	-
OL YdsOLY	#96	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#116	#102
TackleTak	-	#90

Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	#75	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#86	#44
PPAExp	#77	#81
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#42	#70
F7 HavocF7	#57	#124
DB HavocDB	#20	#39

BYU on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	HOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#99
SuccessSuc	#125	#126
ExplosiveExp	#20	#51
PPAPPA	#120	#114
PowerPwr	#63	#55
SP+SP+	#36	#54
Pts POPPO	#61	#111
HavocHav	#127	#121

BYU Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#71	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#104
Run ExplRExp	#42	#93
PPAExp	#115	#111
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#101
Stuff RateStuff	#35	#74
TackleTak	-	#73

BYU Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	#115	#130
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#27
PPAExp	#118	#108
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#132
F7 HavocF7	#120	#110
DB HavocDB	#127	#124

Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

HOU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 28°

Rematch from Week 14
BYU -9.5 (39.5)
BYU won vs Houston this year (30-18)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Houston in 2024 (30-18)

HOU's OC Kevin Barbay (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith	87	133	65%	867	4	8	6.5
Zeon Chriss	83	130	64%	824	4	8	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Re'Shaun Sanford II	94	444	1	4.7	38
Zeon Chriss	113	381	4	3.4	71
Stacy Sneed	60	308	1	5.1	65
J'Marion Burnette	43	182	0	4.2	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Stephon Johnson Jr.	32	402	2	12.6	44
Joseph Manjack	22	351	3	16.0	57
Mekhi Mews (Tr)	29	253	1	8.7	57
Maliq Carr (Tr)	19	186	1	9.8	23

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Batton (Tr)	94	8	3	3	0
A.J. Haulcy	74	0	0	0	7
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Kentrell Webb (Tr)	54	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keith Cooper Jr.	46	9	4	7	2
Michael Batton (Tr)	94	8	3	3	0
Brandon Mack	39	5	3	2	0
Anthony Holmes Jr.	35	9	3	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
A.J. Haulcy	74	0	0	7
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)	24	4	0	4
Ajani Carter	22	1	1	3

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jake Retzlaff	211	367	58%	2896	19	12	7.9
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	138	723	7	5.2	39
Jake Retzlaff	100	417	6	4.2	29
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Sione I Moa	23	127	3	5.5	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Roberts	50	803	3	16.1	62
Darius Lassiter	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keelan Marion	24	346	1	14.4	52
Jojo Phillips	10	211	2	21.1	57

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Harrison Taggart	69	3	1	4	3
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Tanner Wall	53	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kelly (Tr)	50	10	5	13	1
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marque Collins (Tr)	25	1	0	1	8
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5