Houston at Auburn - 2021 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, December 28th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Auburn -2.0 (51.5) (-130) Open: -3.0 | 51.5
Houston 17 - Auburn: 13 (TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl)

Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0 (SP+ AUB -0)
Projected Score: HOU: 24 - AUB: 24 (48)
AUB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
HOU Travel: 567 miles

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bryan Harsin (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
HOU Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Houston vs Texas Tech	-2.5	63.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/11	Houston at Rice	-7.5	50.0	W 44 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Houston vs Grambling	-41.0	51.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Houston vs Navy	-20.0	47.0	W 28 - 20	O	N
Fri 10/1	Houston at Tulsa	+3.0	54.0	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Thu 10/7	Houston at Tulane	-6.5	60.0	W 40 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Houston vs East Carolina	-13.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/30	Houston vs SMU	+1.0	61.5	W 44 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Houston at South Florida	-13.5	53.0	W 54 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/13	Houston at Temple	-26.0	52.5	W 37 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Houston vs Memphis	-9.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Houston at UConn	-32.0	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	N
Sat 12/4	Houston at Cincinnati	+10.5	52.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
Tue 12/28	Houston vs Auburn	+2.0	51.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Auburn's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Auburn vs Akron	-37.5	56.5	W 60 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Auburn vs Alabama State	-49.5	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Auburn at Penn State	+4.0	53.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/25	Auburn vs Georgia State	-27.5	57.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/2	Auburn at LSU	+2.5	57.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.5	45.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/16	Auburn at Arkansas	+4.5	54.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Auburn vs Ole Miss	-3.0	67.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Auburn at Texas A&M	+4.5	49.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/13	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.0	51.0	L 34 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/20	Auburn at South Carolina	-7.0	45.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/27	Auburn vs Alabama	+21.0	57.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Auburn vs Houston	-2.0	51.5	L 13 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	.16	42%	29.1	42%	2.97	143	43%	266	3.5	.21	41%	22.8	39%	42%	3.62	66.4	2	0.8
AUB	.19	43%	26.8	47%	3.23	163	40%	220	3.52	.21	46%	20.7	47%	45%	3.66	50.5	0.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	8	29.1	31	42.4%	3.5	2	23	408	143	266	3.9	47%	53%	42%	43%	17%	.16
AUB Defense	11	20.7	16.4	45.8%	3.66	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	47%	45%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	8	22.8	19.5	40.7%	3.62	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	39%	42%	18%	.21
AUB Offense	11	26.8	26.4	43.5%	3.52	0.8	21	383	163	220	4.6	48%	52%	47%	40%	13%	.19

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	8	31:13	22.6	40%	74%	7.5	66.4	2	0.8	7.4	3	2	28.7
Auburn	11	28:44	20.7	45%	27%	5.8	50.5	0.8	1.2	5.6	2.4	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	8	47%	42%	36.5	142.5	3.9	12	.09	2.97	71%	10%	0.93
AUB Defense	11	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.14	79%	9%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	8	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.56	66%	12%	1.2
AUB Offense	11	48%	47%	35.6	162.5	4.6	16	.2	3.23	70%	8%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	8	53%	43%	21.9	37.1	265.8	7.2	12.2	15	10	.22	1.6	34%	36%	.4	6%	1.9
AUB Defense	11	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	29%	35%	.5	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	8	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.3	1.7	34%	30%	.24	6%	2
AUB Offense	11	52%	40%	19.6	32.9	220.2	6.7	11.2	12	7	.18	1.5	32%	32%	.31	5%	1.9

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: Auburn: 5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 10.9 Auburn: 11.0

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 5.5 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2021 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #56
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Houston 24
Auburn 24

Projected Total Points: 48

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/28	Auburn	13	Houston	17	Auburn -2.0	Houston	51.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	0	0	0 Overs
Houston	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Houston Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Birmingham Bowl	Houston vs Auburn	+2.0	51.5	W 17 - 13
2020	Mexico Bowl	Houston vs Hawai'i	-7.0	60.5	L 14 - 28
2018	Forces Bowl	Houston vs Army	+6.5	56.0	L 14 - 70
2017	I Bowl	Houston vs Fresno State	-2.5	52.0	L 27 - 33
2016	Vegas Bowl	Houston vs San Diego State	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 34
2015	N/A	Houston vs Florida State	+6.5		W 38 - 24

Auburn Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Birmingham Bowl	Auburn vs Houston	-2.0	51.5	L 13 - 17
2020	Citrus Bowl	Auburn vs Northwestern	+3.5	43.5	L 19 - 35
2019	Outback Bowl	Auburn vs Minnesota	-7.0	54.0	L 24 - 31
2018	City Bowl	Auburn vs Purdue	-3.5	58.5	W 63 - 14
2017	Peach Bowl	Auburn vs UCF	-9.5	67.0	L 27 - 34
2016	Sugar Bowl	Auburn vs Oklahoma	+5.5	67.0	L 19 - 35
2015	N/A	Auburn vs Memphis	-2.5		W 31 - 10

(#) HOU at (#) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	AUB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#29
Perf GradeGrade	#5	#48
OffenseOff	#28	#74
DefenseDef	#6	#29
Spec TeamsST	#30	#22
TalentTal	#66	#14
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Houston Injury Report

Auburn Injury Report

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	AUB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#28	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#51	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#90	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#50

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#33	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	HOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#6
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#18
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#39	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#49	#2
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Auburn -2.0 (51.5)
Houston won at Auburn this year (17-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AUB's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD