Rice at Houston - 2024 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Houston -3.5 (43.5) (-190)  Open: -5.0 | 42.5
Houston 33 - Rice: 7

 
Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Houston -5.5   (SP+ HOU -3)
Projected Score: RICE: 18 - HOU: 24 (42)
HOU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
RICE Travel: 4 miles
Cougars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rice's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Rice vs Sam Houston-9.549.0L 14 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Rice vs Texas Southern-30.052.5W 69 - 7OY
Sat 9/14 Rice at Houston+3.543.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/21 Rice at Army+7.044.0L 14 - 37ON
Sat 9/28 Rice vs Charlotte-4.048.0L 20 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Rice vs UTSA+3.551.0W 29 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Rice at Tulane+21.553.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Rice at UConn+6.547.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 Rice vs Navy+12.549.0W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/8 Rice at Memphis+7.550.5L 20 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Rice at UAB-7.052.0L 14 - 40ON
Sat 11/30 Rice vs South Florida+5.553.5W 35 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Houston's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Houston vs UNLV-3.056.0L 7 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 Houston at Oklahoma+27.548.5L 12 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Houston vs Rice-3.543.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Houston at Cincinnati+4.047.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 9/28 Houston vs Iowa State+16.043.0L 0 - 20UN
Fri 10/4 Houston at TCU+16.552.0W 30 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Houston vs Kansas+4.545.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 10/26 Houston vs Utah+4.536.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 Houston vs Kansas State+12.546.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Houston at Arizona+1.046.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Houston vs Baylor+7.051.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Houston at BYU+9.539.5L 18 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)22.236% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)25.440% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense1222.212.535.5%3.271.8183541152394.637%62%36%35%20%.05
HOU Defense1222.917.839.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense1225.429.737%3.721 - - - - - 55%45%40%34%17%.16
HOU Offense121415.235.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice1228:4018.335%35%7.157.41.816.32.7232.6
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense1237% (132)36% (127)24.8114.54.614 (98)-.03 (126)2.7 (118)86% (3)10% (63)1 (55)
HOU Defense1251% (76)40% (41) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense1255% (112)40% (37) - - - - .16 (85)3.06 (80)76% (83)11% (45)1.07 (103)
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense1262% (4)35% (121)24.339.823969.817 (79)13 (103).11 (121)1.5 (97)38% (129)25% (119).17 (119)10% (133)1.9 (104)
HOU Defense1249% (62)39% (49) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (68)1.7 (95)33% (54)32% (96).32 (79)6% (71)2 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense1245% (24)34% (4) - - - - - - 8 (93).16 (33)1.7 (109)34% (30)24% (4).19 (23)6% (70)2.1 (81)
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (122)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (45)1.7 (130)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.74   Houston: -4.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.4   Houston: -8.2




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.585 #86
Houston's Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Houston's Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 24
Rice 18


Total Points: 42

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Rice9Houston35HoustonHouston -13.5Houston38.5Over
202409/14Houston33Rice7HoustonHouston -3.5Houston43.5Under
202309/09Rice43Houston41RiceHouston -7.5Rice51.0Over
202209/24Houston34Rice27HoustonHouston -17.5Rice52.5Over
202109/11Rice7Houston44HoustonHouston -7.5Houston50.0Over
201809/01Rice27Houston45HoustonHouston -25.5Rice55.5Over
201709/16Houston38Rice3HoustonHouston -23Houston53.5Under
201309/21Rice26Houston31HoustonRice -4Houston0
201209/29Rice14Houston35Houston
201110/27Houston73Rice34Houston
201010/16Rice34Houston31Rice
200911/28Houston73Rice14Houston
200811/29Rice56Houston42Rice
200710/13Houston56Rice48Houston
200609/02Rice30Houston31Houston
200511/26Houston35Rice18Houston
200409/05Rice10Houston7Rice
200308/30Houston48Rice14Houston
200208/31Rice10Houston24Houston
200109/01Houston14Rice21Rice
200009/01Rice30Houston27Rice
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston1555 Overs
Rice632 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 84 - 42 - 22 - 2
Road Teams8 - 134 - 42 - 22 - 2

(#95) Rice Info
Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Rice has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ

Rice Highlights
Rice Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Rice run game is really bad (#76)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatHOURICE
OverallOver#90#74
OffenseOff#104#94
DefenseDef#79#32
Special TeamsST#89#87
PassingPass#103#79
RushingRush#100#80
Run BlockRBLK#78#89
Pass BlockPBLK#42#80
Route RunningWR Rt#99#82
TacklingTkl#64#29
Run DefenseR Def#59#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#111#42
Coverage DefCov#75#12

Rematch from Week 3
Houston -3.5 (43.5)
Houston won vs Rice this year (33-7)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Rice last year (33-7)
Rice beat Houston in 2023 (43-41)
Houston beat Rice in 2022 (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | HOU
Depth Chart: RICE | HOU
Rosters: RICE | HOU
(#86) Houston Info
Power Rating: -4.585 #86
Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Houston has lost 2 straight
Houston has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Houston Notes
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great
(10/27) 13 Passes, 230 ryds (4.7 ypc) in Utah upset. Big W
(10/18) QB Criss replacing Smith (should be an upgrade)
(9/22) Off abysmal. Can't run/pass. Def can't overcome

Houston Highlights
Houston Front 7 is disruptive (#69)

Houston Deficiencies
Houston has a really bad Offense
Houston has a really bad Offense at Home
Houston has a bad TO Margin (#1)
Houston Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Houston throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston offense is not Explosive (#16)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston pass game is really bad (#98)
Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)27143862%271017136.2
Drew Devillier203853%137003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors15978094.971
Quinton Jackson4827515.745
Taji Atkins2415826.633
Christian Francisco197804.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matt Sykes65795512.237
Dean Connors6147227.769
Kobie Campbell32372111.633
Braylen Walker22264112.050

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Sean Fresch471008
Gabe Taylor457306
Andrew Awe444110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Josh Pearcy356440
Michael Daley (Tr)146310
Gabe Taylor457306
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Ahoia341008
Sean Fresch471008
Gabe Taylor457306

Houston's OC Kevin Barbay
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith8713365%867486.5
Zeon Chriss (Tr)8313064%824486.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss (Tr)11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
J'Marion Burnette4318204.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephon Johnson Jr.32402212.644
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
Mekhi Mews (Tr)2925318.757
Maliq Carr (Tr)1918619.823

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Batton (Tr)948330
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jamal Morris635100
Kentrell Webb (Tr)541003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Cooper Jr.469472
Michael Batton (Tr)948330
Brandon Mack395320
Anthony Holmes Jr.359350
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)244004
Ajani Carter221103