Kansas State at Houston - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Houston Cougars(#22)Houston logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kansas State -12.5 (46.5) (-560)  Open: -13.5
Houston 24 - Kansas State: 19  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU 2nd straight Home Game
KSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -17.5  (SP+ KSU -22.5)

Projected Score: KSU: 32 - HOU: 14 (46)
KSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
KSU Travel: 659 miles
Cougars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Houston's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Houston vs UNLV-3.056.0L 7 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 Houston at Oklahoma+27.548.5L 12 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Houston vs Rice-3.543.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Houston at Cincinnati+4.047.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 9/28 Houston vs Iowa State+16.043.0L 0 - 20UN
Fri 10/4 Houston at TCU+16.552.0W 30 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Houston vs Kansas+4.545.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 10/26 Houston vs Utah+4.536.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 Houston vs Kansas State+12.546.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Houston at Arizona+1.046.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Houston vs Baylor+7.051.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Houston at BYU+9.539.5L 18 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1330.826.544%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3
HOU Defense1222.917.839.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1323.427.335.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
HOU Offense121415.235.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)
HOU Defense1251% (76)40% (41) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)
HOU Defense1249% (62)39% (49) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (68)1.7 (95)33% (54)32% (96).32 (79)6% (71)2 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (122)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (45)1.7 (130)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.95  #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28  #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97  #18
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1  #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.95   Houston: -4.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.1   Houston: -8.2




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.585  #86
Houston's Offense Rating: 9.85  #129
Houston's Defense Rating: 8.04  #55
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5  #62
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2  #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 32
Houston 14


Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 29
Houston 18

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 25
Houston 20

Total Points: 45
Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Houston24Kansas State19Kansas State -12.5Houston46.5Under
202310/28Kansas State41Houston0Kansas State -17.5Kansas State61.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston110 Overs
Kansas State112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#25) KSU at (#86) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUHOU
Power RatePwr #25 #86
SP+SP+ #18 #101
Perf GradeGrade #61 #125
OffenseOff #58 #128
DefenseDef #80 #99
Spec TeamsST #77 #109
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #48 #62

Kansas State Notes
(11/30) 1-3 finish. QB Johnson 12/28, KSU 2 TOs, 3-13 3rd
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame

Houston Notes
(12/27) Signed QB Weigman (A&M) & more
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great
(10/27) 13 Passes, 230 ryds (4.7 ypc) in Utah upset. Big W
(10/18) QB Criss replacing Smith (should be an upgrade)
(9/22) Off abysmal. Can't run/pass. Def can't overcome
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffHOU Def
Perf GradePerf #58 #99
SuccessSuc #55 #41
ExplosiveExp #9 #94
PPAPPA #17 #51
PowerPwr #35 #55
SP+SP+ #29 #54
Pts POPPO #53 #41
HavocHav #21 #46
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffHOU Def
Run GameRun #25 #74
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #41
Run ExplRExp #10 #75
PPAExp #11 #34
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #14 #35
Stuff RateStuff #79 #38
TackleTak -  #73
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffHOU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #94
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #49
Pass ExplPExl #31 #95
PPAExp #36 #68
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #31 #132
F7 HavocF7 #29 #27
DB HavocDB #27 #71
Houston on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatHOU OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #128 #80
SuccessSuc #129 #6
ExplosiveExp #109 #129
PPAPPA #133 #29
PowerPwr #129 #18
SP+SP+ #118 #25
Pts POPPO #134 #43
HavocHav #130 #50
Houston Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
HOU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #133 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #130 #4
Run ExplRExp #49 #83
PPAExp #122 #10
Run BlockR Blk #101 -
OL YdsOLY #129 #15
Stuff RateStuff #116 #12
TackleTak -  #77
Houston Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatHOU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #128 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #115 #32
Pass ExplPExl #122 #130
PPAExp #131 #72
Pass Block/RushP Blk #42 #114
F7 HavocF7 #132 #39
DB HavocDB #45 #68
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Kansas State 12.5 (46.5)
Houston won vs Kansas State this year (24-19)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Kansas State last year (24-19)
Kansas State beat Houston in 2023 (41-0)

  
KSU's OC Conor Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens205134376.666
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
DJ Giddens21258112.353
Garrett Oakley22236510.728

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Marques Sigle607003
Austin Moore597261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Mott4511850
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Parrish503047
Keenan Garber291005
Chiddi Obiazor175433

HOU's OC Kevin Barbay (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith8713365%867486.5
Zeon Chriss (Tr)8313064%824486.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss (Tr)11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
J'Marion Burnette4318204.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephon Johnson Jr.32402212.644
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
Mekhi Mews (Tr)2925318.757
Maliq Carr (Tr)1918619.823

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Batton (Tr)948330
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jamal Morris635100
Kentrell Webb (Tr)541003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Cooper Jr.469472
Michael Batton (Tr)948330
Brandon Mack395320
Anthony Holmes Jr.359350
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)244004
Ajani Carter221103