Cincinnati at Houston - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Houston -3.5 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 24 - Houston: 14 (Big 12)

Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

HOU is playing their 5th straight game
CIN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Cincinnati -0 (SP+ CIN -1)
Projected Score: CIN: 24 - HOU: 24 (43)
HOU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 895 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky	-21.5	57.5	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Pittsburgh	+6.5	44.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-14.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati vs Oklahoma	+13.0	58.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/29	Cincinnati at BYU	+1.0	47.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-4.0	42.5	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-2.5	51.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/28	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	+7.0	53.0	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	59.5	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Cincinnati at Houston	+3.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+4.5	52.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs Kansas	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Houston vs UTSA	+2.5	59.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Houston at Rice	-7.5	51.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/16	Houston vs TCU	+7.5	64.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Sam Houston	-11.5	37.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Houston at Texas Tech	+8.5	52.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	Houston vs West Virginia	+3.0	49.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Houston vs Texas	+24.0	60.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Houston at Kansas State	+17.5	61.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/4	Houston at Baylor	+3.0	58.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Houston vs Cincinnati	-3.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Houston vs Oklahoma State	+6.5	56.5	L 30 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/25	Houston at UCF	+15.5	61.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.18	40%	25.2	39%	3.01	130	41%	243	3.8	.09	37%	24.6	40%	35%	3.52	64.4	1.1	1.8
HOU	.33	47%	14	46%	3.38	142	49%	314	4.76	.22	43%	22.9	42%	44%	3.86	69.9	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	13	25.2	23.7	39.5%	3.8	1.1	19	372	130	243	4	46%	53%	39%	41%	17%	.18
HOU Defense	13	22.9	17.8	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	44%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	13	24.6	30.3	37.2%	3.52	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	40%	35%	20%	.09
HOU Offense	13	14	15.2	47.5%	4.76	1.5	23	456	142	314	4.6	42%	57%	46%	49%	14%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	13	28:14	18.5	36%	65%	7.5	64.4	1.1	1.8	6.7	2.7	3	29.2
Houston	13	29:52	23.5	45%	67%	7.8	69.9	1.5	1.2	6.8	2.2	3	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	13	46%	39%	32.8	129.7	4	19	.1	3.01	68%	10%	0.96
HOU Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	82%	13%	1.01
HOU Offense	13	42%	46%	30.8	142.1	4.6	17	.19	3.38	69%	9%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	13	53%	41%	19.2	32.1	242.7	7.6	12.7	22	8	.28	1.6	35%	32%	.37	6%	1.9
HOU Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	34%	35%	.38	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	13	45%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.12	1.6	34%	28%	.3	7%	2.1
HOU Offense	13	57%	49%	25.9	38.5	314	8.2	12.1	40	10	.48	1.6	30%	40%	.64	5%	2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -2.44 Houston: -4.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -7.2 Houston: -8.3

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 24
Houston 24

Projected Total Points: 43

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Cincinnati	34	Houston	0	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -4	Cincinnati	47.5	Under
2023	11/11	Houston	14	Cincinnati	24	Cincinnati	Houston -3.5	Cincinnati	53.5	Under
2021	12/04	Cincinnati	35	Houston	20	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -10.5	Cincinnati	52.5	Over
2020	11/07	Cincinnati	38	Houston	10	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -12.5	Cincinnati	51.5	Under
2019	10/12	Houston	23	Cincinnati	38	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -10	Cincinnati	50.5	Over
2016	09/15	Cincinnati	16	Houston	40	Houston	Houston -7.5	Houston	63.0	Under
2015	11/07	Houston	33	Cincinnati	30	Houston	Houston -9	Cincinnati	70.5	Under
2014	12/06	Cincinnati	38	Houston	31	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -7	Push	0
2013	11/23	Houston	17	Cincinnati	24	Cincinnati	Houston -2.5	Cincinnati	0
2002	11/16	Cincinnati	47	Houston	14	Cincinnati
2001	10/20	Houston	28	Cincinnati	29	Cincinnati
2000	10/06	Cincinnati	48	Houston	31	Cincinnati

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	2	1	2 Overs
Cincinnati	10	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	3 - 5	3 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 7	5 - 3	2 - 0	3 - 3

(#80) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile

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Cincinnati Ratings Matchup Houston

Power #80

#97

Off #45

#95

Def #117

#113

Talent #52

#103

SP+ #88

#95

SP+ Off #95

#73

SP+ Def #82

#104

Rematch from Week 11
Houston -3.5 (53.5)
Cincinnati won at Houston this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Houston last year (34-0)
Cincinnati beat Houston in 2023 (24-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 58° - Wind: 12 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | HOU
Depth Chart: CIN | HOU
Rosters: CIN | HOU

(#97) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Prater	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	204	1153	4	5.7	46
Myles Montgomery	51	293	3	5.7	25
Victor Dawson	7	63	0	9.0	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)	58	735	4	12.7	42
Chamon Metayer	32	306	5	9.6	29
Payten Singletary	17	197	2	11.6	34
Corey Kiner	15	105	0	7.0	14

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
George Udo (Tr)	78	2	1	1	1
Deshawn Pace	61	4	0	0	1
Derrick Shepard	34	1	0	0	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric Phillips	19	5	3	6	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0
Dion Hunter	8	1	1	1	0
George Udo (Tr)	78	2	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	0	3
Oliver Bridges	15	1	0	0	2
Dorian Jones (Tr)	18	1	0	1	1

Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)	87	133	65%	867	4	8	6.5
Matthew Golden	1	2	50%	30	0	0	15.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brandon Campbell	61	233	3	3.8	21
Donovan Smith (Tr)	66	159	3	2.4	37
Ja'Koby Banks	8	29	0	3.6	12
Logan Compton	1	3	0	3.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Golden	58	987	9	17.0	54
Sam Brown	36	509	2	14.1	76
Dalton Carnes	29	371	2	12.8	34
Logan Compton	17	210	3	12.4	39

View Houston's Full Roster

Houston's DC Doug Belk

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Treylin Payne	26	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2
Justin Beadles	20	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	17	1	0	0	6
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2