Houston at Rice - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (6:30 PM EDT)
Houston -7.5 (50.0)
Houston 44 - Rice: 7

Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ HOU -34)
Projected Score: HOU: 31 - RICE: 21 (52)
HOU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 4 miles

Owls (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (7 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (24 - 32 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Houston vs Texas Tech	-2.5	63.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/11	Houston at Rice	-7.5	50.0	W 44 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Houston vs Grambling	-41.0	51.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Houston vs Navy	-20.0	47.0	W 28 - 20	O	N
Fri 10/1	Houston at Tulsa	+3.0	54.0	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Thu 10/7	Houston at Tulane	-6.5	60.0	W 40 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Houston vs East Carolina	-13.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/30	Houston vs SMU	+1.0	61.5	W 44 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Houston at South Florida	-13.5	53.0	W 54 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/13	Houston at Temple	-26.0	52.5	W 37 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Houston vs Memphis	-9.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Houston at UConn	-32.0	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	N
Sat 12/4	Houston at Cincinnati	+10.5	52.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
Tue 12/28	Houston vs Auburn	+2.0	51.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Rice's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Rice at Arkansas	+19.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/11	Rice vs Houston	+7.5	50.0	L 7 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/18	Rice at Texas	+26.0	52.0	L 0 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/25	Rice vs Texas Southern	-37.0	53.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/2	Rice vs Southern Miss	-1.5	45.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Rice at UTSA	+17.0	53.0	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/23	Rice at UAB	+23.5	44.5	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Rice vs North Texas	-1.5	55.0	L 24 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/6	Rice at Charlotte	+6.5	51.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	Rice vs Western Kentucky	+19.0	61.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/20	Rice at UTEP	+9.0	47.0	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/27	Rice vs Louisiana Tech	+3.5	52.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	.16	42%	29.1	42%	2.97	143	43%	266	3.5	.21	41%	22.8	39%	42%	3.62	66.4	2	0.8
RICE	.12	42%	19.1	39%	2.84	120	46%	215	3.35	.08	41%	32.9	40%	42%	2.38	23.8	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	8	29.1	31	42.4%	3.5	2	23	408	143	266	3.9	47%	53%	42%	43%	17%	.16
RICE Defense	5	32.9	32	40.8%	2.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	42%	15%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	8	22.8	19.5	40.7%	3.62	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	39%	42%	18%	.21
RICE Offense	5	19.1	23.9	42%	3.35	1.6	21	335	120	215	2.8	57%	43%	39%	46%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	8	31:13	22.6	40%	74%	7.5	66.4	2	0.8	7.4	3	2	28.7
Rice	5	35:19	21.4	37%	55%	3.4	23.8	1.6	1.8	4.4	1.4	1	32.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	8	47%	42%	36.5	142.5	3.9	12	.09	2.97	71%	10%	0.93
RICE Defense	5	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.99	55%	9%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	8	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.56	66%	12%	1.2
RICE Offense	5	57%	39%	42.8	120.2	2.8	1	-.09	2.84	81%	13%	0.6

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	8	53%	43%	21.9	37.1	265.8	7.2	12.2	15	10	.22	1.6	34%	36%	.4	6%	1.9
RICE Defense	5	45%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.14	1.6	31%	33%	.2	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	8	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.3	1.7	34%	30%	.24	6%	2
RICE Offense	5	43%	46%	16.4	26.6	215.2	8.1	13.1	11	2	.39	1.7	28%	26%	.17	5%	2.1

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: Rice: -8.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 10.9 Rice: -22.9

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -8.95 NR
Rice's Offense Rating: NR
Rice's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Rice's 2021 Expected Record: -
Rice's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.9 #127
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #123
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Houston 31
Rice 21

Projected Total Points: 52

Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Rice	9	Houston	35	Houston -13.5	Houston	38.5	Over
2024	09/14	Houston	33	Rice	7	Houston -3.5	Houston	43.5	Under
2023	09/09	Rice	43	Houston	41	Houston -7.5	Rice	51.0	Over
2022	09/24	Houston	34	Rice	27	Houston -17.5	Rice	52.5	Over
2021	09/11	Rice	7	Houston	44	Houston -7.5	Houston	50.0	Over
2018	09/01	Rice	27	Houston	45	Houston -25.5	Rice	55.5	Over
2017	09/16	Houston	38	Rice	3	Houston -23	Houston	53.5	Under
2013	09/21	Rice	26	Houston	31	Rice -4	Houston	0
2012	09/29	Rice	14	Houston	35
2011	10/27	Houston	73	Rice	34
2010	10/16	Rice	34	Houston	31
2009	11/28	Houston	73	Rice	14
2008	11/29	Rice	56	Houston	42
2007	10/13	Houston	56	Rice	48
2006	09/02	Rice	30	Houston	31
2005	11/26	Houston	35	Rice	18
2004	09/05	Rice	10	Houston	7
2003	08/30	Houston	48	Rice	14
2002	08/31	Rice	10	Houston	24
2001	09/01	Houston	14	Rice	21
2000	09/01	Rice	30	Houston	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	6	3	5 Overs
Houston	15	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 8	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 13	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2

(#) HOU at (#) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	RICE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#127
Perf GradeGrade	#5	#113
OffenseOff	#28	#110
DefenseDef	#6	#108
Spec TeamsST	#30	#60
TalentTal	#66	#99
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Houston Injury Report

Rice Injury Report

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	RICE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#28	#108
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#51	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#90	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#122

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#96
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#33	#57
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Rice on Offense


CategoryCat	RICE Off	HOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#110	#6
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#18
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rice Run Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#94	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#110	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

Rice Pass Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#97	#2
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Houston 7.5 (50.0)
Houston won at Rice this year (44-7)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Rice last year (35-9)
Houston beat Rice in 2024 (33-7)
Rice beat Houston in 2023 (43-41)

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

RICE's OC Marques Tuiasosopo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Brian Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD