Louisiana at Houston - 2022 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Houston Cougars

Friday, December 23rd 2022 (3:00 PM EST)
Houston -5.5 (56.5) (-250) Open: -6.5 | 60.5
Houston 23 - Louisiana: 16 (Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl)

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ HOU -3)
Projected Score: ULL: 24 - HOU: 29 (53)
HOU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ULL Travel: 187 miles

Cougars (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (19 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ULL Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisiana vs SE Louisiana	-13.5	61.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Louisiana vs Eastern Michigan	-11.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Louisiana at Rice	-11.5	52.0	L 21 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/24	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-9.5	51.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/1	Louisiana vs South Alabama	+8.5	47.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12	Louisiana at Marshall	+10.5	45.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	-6.0	51.0	W 38 - 18	O	Y
Thu 10/27	Louisiana at Southern Miss	-2.5	42.5	L 24 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/5	Louisiana vs Troy	+3.5	42.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Thu 11/10	Louisiana vs Georgia Southern	-3.5	63.0	W 36 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Louisiana at Florida State	+25.0	52.5	L 17 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/26	Louisiana at Texas State	-5.0	44.0	W 41 - 13	O	Y
Fri 12/23	Louisiana vs Houston	+5.5	56.5	L 16 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Houston's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Houston at UTSA	-3.5	61.5	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Houston at Texas Tech	+3.5	62.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Houston vs Kansas	-8.5	58.0	L 30 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/24	Houston vs Rice	-17.5	52.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Fri 9/30	Houston vs Tulane	-5.0	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/7	Houston at Memphis	+1.5	57.5	W 33 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Houston at Navy	-3.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Houston vs South Florida	-17.0	59.0	W 42 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/5	Houston at SMU	+3.5	66.0	L 63 - 77	O	N
Sat 11/12	Houston vs Temple	-20.0	56.0	W 43 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/19	Houston at East Carolina	+6.0	66.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Houston vs Tulsa	-13.0	66.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Fri 12/23	Houston vs Louisiana	-5.5	56.5	W 23 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.24	46%	26	47%	3.14	194	44%	219	4.13	.18	39%	29.2	43%	36%	3.19	49	0.6	1.9
HOU	.23	43%	29.1	39%	2.8	143	46%	272	4.45	.06	35%	22.8	37%	33%	3.35	61.4	1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	14	26	23.8	45.5%	4.13	0.6	21	413	194	219	4.8	55%	45%	47%	44%	15%	.24
HOU Defense	14	22.8	24.2	35.1%	3.35	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	37%	33%	21%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	14	29.2	32.8	38.9%	3.19	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	36%	20%	.18
HOU Offense	14	29.1	25.7	42.8%	4.45	1	22	415	143	272	3.9	48%	52%	39%	46%	17%	.23

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	14	30:52	21.4	37%	59%	5.3	49	0.6	1.9	6.1	2.8	1	30.9
Houston	14	33:35	21.6	42%	68%	6.5	61.4	1	1.8	7.1	3.2	6	33.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	14	55%	47%	40.4	193.9	4.8	34	.23	3.14	68%	11%	1.04
HOU Defense	14	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.65	63%	14%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	14	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.34	68%	12%	1.08
HOU Offense	14	48%	39%	36.8	143.1	3.9	27	.12	2.8	68%	12%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	14	45%	44%	17.6	28.9	218.6	7.6	12.4	22	4	.26	1.5	29%	33%	.41	4%	2
HOU Defense	14	54%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.06	1.6	35%	24%	.18	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	14	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.18	1.8	37%	32%	.42	7%	2.2
HOU Offense	14	52%	46%	21.9	32.8	271.6	8.3	12.4	32	12	.34	1.6	32%	34%	.54	5%	2.4

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #95
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #32

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: Houston: 2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 2.0 Houston: 4.5

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 2.25 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2022 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #57
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #9
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #113

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Houston 29
Louisiana 24

Projected Total Points: 53

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/23	Houston	23	Louisiana	16	Houston -5.5	Houston	56.5	Under
2006	10/07	Houston	28	Louisiana	31
2003	09/13	Louisiana	14	Houston	21
2002	09/14	Houston	36	Louisiana	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	3	1	0 Overs
Louisiana	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Louisiana Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Independence Bowl	Louisiana vs Houston	+5.5	56.5	L 16 - 23
2021	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Marshall	-4.0	55.5	W 36 - 21
2020	Responder Bowl	Louisiana vs UTSA	-14.0	54.5	W 31 - 24
2019	Lendingtree Bowl	Louisiana vs Miami (OH)	-15.5	55.5	W 27 - 17
2018	Cure Bowl	Louisiana vs Tulane	+3.5	60.5	L 24 - 41
2016	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+2.0	57.0	L 21 - 28

Houston Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Independence Bowl	Houston vs Louisiana	-5.5	56.5	W 23 - 16
2021	Birmingham Bowl	Houston vs Auburn	+2.0	51.5	W 17 - 13
2020	Mexico Bowl	Houston vs Hawai'i	-7.0	60.5	L 14 - 28
2018	Forces Bowl	Houston vs Army	+6.5	56.0	L 14 - 70
2017	I Bowl	Houston vs Fresno State	-2.5	52.0	L 27 - 33
2016	Vegas Bowl	Houston vs San Diego State	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 34

(#) ULL at (#) HOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	HOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#57
Perf GradeGrade	#53	#13
OffenseOff	#77	#17
DefenseDef	#22	#24
Spec TeamsST	#117	#39
TalentTal	#93	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Injury Report

Houston Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	HOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#77	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#57	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#49	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#83	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#104	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#22
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#32
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#107	#21
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#62

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#15
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#2	#78
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Independence Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Houston -5.5 (56.5)
Houston won vs Louisiana this year (23-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD