Houston at UCF Game Matchup

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
UCF -15.5 (61.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UCF 27 - Houston: 13 (Big 12)

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UCF is playing their 6th straight game
HOU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: UCF -14 (SP+ UCF -13)
Projected Score: HOU: 20 - UCF: 34 (48)
UCF Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
HOU Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind

Knights (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (21 - 9)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Houston vs UTSA	+2.5	59.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Houston at Rice	-7.5	51.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/16	Houston vs TCU	+7.5	64.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Sam Houston	-11.5	37.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Houston at Texas Tech	+8.5	52.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	Houston vs West Virginia	+3.0	49.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Houston vs Texas	+24.0	60.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Houston at Kansas State	+17.5	61.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/4	Houston at Baylor	+3.0	58.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Houston vs Cincinnati	-3.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Houston vs Oklahoma State	+6.5	56.5	L 30 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/25	Houston at UCF	+15.5	61.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

UCF's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UCF vs Kent State	-35.0	54.0	W 56 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/9	UCF at Boise State	-3.0	58.5	W 18 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/16	UCF vs Villanova	-26.5	54.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCF at Kansas State	+6.0	53.5	L 31 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	UCF vs Baylor	-8.0	56.5	L 35 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/7	UCF at Kansas	-2.0	65.0	L 22 - 51	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UCF at Oklahoma	+17.0	67.5	L 29 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCF vs West Virginia	-6.5	59.5	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/4	UCF at Cincinnati	-3.5	59.5	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCF vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	63.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UCF at Texas Tech	+2.0	59.0	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCF vs Houston	-15.5	61.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Fri 12/22	UCF vs Georgia Tech	-6.0	66.5	L 17 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	.33	47%	14	46%	3.38	142	49%	314	4.76	.22	43%	22.9	42%	44%	3.86	69.9	1.5	1.2
UCF	.24	47%	30.4	51%	3.38	228	44%	241	4.08	.21	41%	26.9	40%	43%	3.53	46.4	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	13	14	12.6	47.5%	4.76	1.5	23	456	142	314	4.6	42%	57%	46%	49%	14%	.33
UCF Defense	14	26.9	23	41.2%	3.53	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	43%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	13	22.9	25.2	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	44%	18%	.22
UCF Offense	14	30.4	32.9	47.4%	4.08	1.5	24	469	228	241	5.2	53%	46%	51%	44%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	13	29:52	23.5	45%	67%	7.8	69.9	1.5	1.2	6.8	2.2	3	30.2
UCF	14	30:51	24.2	46%	63%	4.9	46.4	1.5	1.5	5	1.5	2	28

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	13	42%	46%	30.8	142.1	4.6	17	.19	3.38	69%	9%	1.01
UCF Defense	14	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.95	66%	10%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	12%	1.08
UCF Offense	14	53%	51%	43.9	228	5.2	35	.29	3.38	73%	10%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	13	57%	49%	25.9	38.5	314	8.2	12.1	40	10	.48	1.6	30%	40%	.64	5%	2
UCF Defense	14	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.5	33%	30%	.29	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	34%	35%	.38	6%	2.1
UCF Offense	14	46%	44%	20.8	32.2	241.2	7.5	11.6	22	9	.21	1.4	27%	32%	.27	4%	1.9

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -6.49 UCF: 6.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.3 UCF: 4.5

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 6.465 #46
UCF's Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
UCF's Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
UCF's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UCF 34
Houston 20

Projected Total Points: 48

UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

UCF's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	UCF	27	Houston	13	UCF	UCF -15.5	Houston	61.5	Under
2020	10/31	Houston	21	UCF	44	UCF	UCF -3	UCF	81.0	Under
2019	11/02	UCF	44	Houston	29	UCF	UCF -22	Houston	72.0	Over
2016	10/29	Houston	31	UCF	24	Houston	Houston -12.5	UCF	59.0	Under
2015	10/24	UCF	10	Houston	59	Houston	Houston -18.5	Houston	53.0	Over
2014	10/02	Houston	12	UCF	17	UCF	Houston -2.5	UCF	0
2013	11/09	UCF	19	Houston	14	UCF	UCF -10	Houston	0
2010	11/05	Houston	33	UCF	40	UCF
2009	11/14	UCF	37	Houston	32	UCF
2006	10/28	Houston	51	UCF	31	Houston
2005	11/05	UCF	31	Houston	29	UCF

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	8	3	2 Overs
Houston	3	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	0 - 7	0 - 5	0 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 7	7 - 0	2 - 0	5 - 0

(#97) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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Houston Ratings Matchup UCF

Power #97

#46

Off #95

#23

Def #113

#89

Talent #103

#77

SP+ #95

#48

SP+ Off #73

#35

SP+ Def #104

#54

Rematch from Week 13
UCF -15.5 (61.5)
UCF won vs Houston this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Houston in 2023 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | UCF
Depth Chart: HOU | UCF
Rosters: HOU | UCF

(#46) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.465 #46
Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)	87	133	65%	867	4	8	6.5
Matthew Golden	1	2	50%	30	0	0	15.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brandon Campbell	61	233	3	3.8	21
Donovan Smith (Tr)	66	159	3	2.4	37
Ja'Koby Banks	8	29	0	3.6	12
Logan Compton	1	3	0	3.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Golden	58	987	9	17.0	54
Sam Brown	36	509	2	14.1	76
Dalton Carnes	29	371	2	12.8	34
Logan Compton	17	210	3	12.4	39

View Houston's Full Roster

Houston's DC Doug Belk

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Treylin Payne	26	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2
Justin Beadles	20	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	17	1	0	0	6
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2

UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Timmy McClain (Tr)	14	21	67%	163	3	0	7.8
RJ Harvey	1	1	100%	18	0	0	18.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
RJ Harvey	232	1577	22	6.8	80
Jordan Mcdonald	53	361	3	6.8	41
Johnny Richardson	25	119	0	4.8	12
Timmy McClain (Tr)	19	39	1	2.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Hudson	47	770	4	16.4	53
RJ Harvey	20	267	3	13.4	75
Tyler Griffin	8	193	1	24.1	40
Trent Whittemore (Tr)	7	132	0	18.9	54

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	0	0	3
Quadric Bullard	61	3	1	1	2
Nikai Martinez	51	3	0	1	2
K.D. McDaniel	42	3	2	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ricky Barber	34	5	3	8	0
K.D. McDaniel	42	3	2	3	1
Quadric Bullard	61	3	1	1	2
Jarvis Ware	29	1	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Thornton	38	0	0	1	6
Jarvis Ware	29	1	1	0	4
Fred Davis II (Tr)	17	3	0	0	4