Houston at Texas Tech - 2026 Matchup Preview

Houston Cougars at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX

Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Texas Tech -22.5 (SP+ TTU -20)
Projected Score: HOU: 15 - TTU: 37 (52)
TTU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
HOU Travel: 467 miles

Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Houston vs Oregon State	-24.5
Sat 9/12	Houston vs Southern	-30
Sat 9/19	Houston at Texas Tech	+22.5
Sat 9/26	Houston at Georgia Southern	-14.5
Sat 10/3	Houston vs UCF	-11.5
Sat 10/10	Houston at Kansas State	+2.5
Sat 10/17	Houston vs Oklahoma State	-17.5
Sat 10/24	Houston at Utah	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Houston vs Cincinnati	-5.5
Sat 11/14	Houston at Colorado	-12
Sat 11/21	Houston at West Virginia	-6.5
Sat 11/28	Houston vs Baylor	-7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian	-50
Sat 9/12	Texas Tech at Oregon State	-39.5
Sat 9/19	Texas Tech vs Houston	-22.5
Sat 9/26	Texas Tech vs Sam Houston	-51.5
Sat 10/3	Texas Tech at Colorado	-32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Texas Tech vs Arizona State	-25.5
Sat 10/24	Texas Tech at Cincinnati	-20.5
Sat 10/31	Texas Tech vs Arizona	-21
Sat 11/7	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-31.5
Sat 11/14	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	-32.5
Sat 11/21	Texas Tech at Baylor	-22
Sat 11/28	Texas Tech vs TCU	-21

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	#102 (.12)	42% (74)	29.1	40% (99)	2.61 (125)	179	45% (35)	216	3.55 (83)	#44 (.11)	42% (65)	22.8	46% (104)	38% (35)	3.91 (94)	40.1	1.1	1.4
TTU	#28 (.24)	43% (61)	39.4	43% (72)	2.87 (80)	184	43% (51)	278	4 (41)	#1 (-.09)	30% (1)	11.3	29% (1)	31% (3)	2.41 (2)	55.7	1.3	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	13	29.1	31	41.9%	3.55	1.1	22	395	179	216	4.3	57%	42%	40%	45%	13%	.12
TTU Defense	14	11.3	8.7	30.1%	2.41	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	29%	31%	23%	-.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	13	22.8	19.5	41.5%	3.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	46%	38%	16%	.11
TTU Offense	14	39.4	47.9	42.8%	4	1.3	23	462	184	278	4.7	46%	52%	43%	43%	15%	.24

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	13	32:18	22.1	41%	59%	4.6	40.1	1.1	1.4	4.7	2.2	2	30.6
Texas Tech	14	30:10	22.7	49%	50%	6.8	55.7	1.3	2.3	7.6	2.9	2	36

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	13	57% (17)	40% (99)	41.9	178.6	4.3	17 (78)	-.03 (132)	2.61 (125)	73% (61)	8% (40)	0.8 (130)
TTU Defense	14	43% (5)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-.16 (1)	1.94 (1)	56% (3)	15% (4)	0.86 (17)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	13	49% (55)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.05 (41)	2.7 (32)	76% (104)	9% (84)	0.78 (5)
TTU Offense	14	46% (97)	43% (72)	39.1	184	4.7	30 (26)	.17 (41)	2.87 (80)	80% (15)	9% (59)	1.09 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	13	42% (118)	45% (35)	18.6	29	216.4	7.5	11.6	26 (50)	10 (20)	.35 (35)	1.7 (16)	30% (43)	27% (105)	.21 (101)	5% (33)	2 (79)
TTU Defense	14	56% (132)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (22)	- (3)	1.4 (9)	39% (1)	22% (2)	.06 (4)	8% (10)	1.8 (10)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	13	49% (80)	38% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.21 (56)	1.5 (53)	32% (60)	25% (14)	.23 (46)	7% (28)	2.1 (100)
TTU Offense	14	52% (38)	43% (51)	22.7	34.7	277.6	8	12.2	33 (5)	10 (88)	.35 (38)	1.6 (53)	34% (108)	33% (40)	.4 (28)	6% (86)	2.2 (24)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 5.68 #40
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.90 #43
Houston's Defense Rating: 13.22 #39
2026 Talent Rating: 812.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #40
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #44
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 5.68 Texas Tech: 29.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.4 Texas Tech: 27.6

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 29.225 #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 20.70 #14
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -0.15 #4
2026 Talent Rating: 960.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6 #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 37
Houston 15

Projected Total Points: 52

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Houston	11	Texas Tech	35	Texas Tech -13.5	Texas Tech	51.5	Under
2023	09/30	Texas Tech	49	Houston	28	Texas Tech -8.5	Texas Tech	52.0	Over
2022	09/10	Texas Tech	33	Houston	30	Texas Tech -3.5	Houston	62.5	Over
2021	09/04	Houston	21	Texas Tech	38	Houston -2.5	Texas Tech	63.0	Under
2018	09/15	Texas Tech	63	Houston	49	Texas Tech -1	Texas Tech	68.0	Over
2017	09/23	Houston	24	Texas Tech	27	Houston -7	Texas Tech	68.0	Under
2010	11/27	Texas Tech	35	Houston	20
2009	09/26	Houston	29	Texas Tech	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	7	5	3 Overs
Houston	1	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	2 - 4	2 - 3	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 5	4 - 2	1 - 0	3 - 2

(#40) HOU at (#6) TTU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	TTU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#40	#6
SP+SP+	#40	#3
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#52	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	#46	#26

Houston Injury Report

Texas Tech Injury Report

Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	TTU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#74	#1
ExplosiveExp	#85	#19
PPAPPA	#102	#1
PowerPwr	#43	#4
SP+SP+	#44	#3
Pts POPPO	#83	#2
HavocHav	#36	#1

Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#1
Run ExplRExp	#130	#17
PPAExp	#132	#1
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#1
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#13
TackleTak	-	NR

Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#3
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#9
PPAExp	#35	#3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#40	#4
DB HavocDB	#33	#10

Texas Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	HOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#61	#65
ExplosiveExp	#21	#9
PPAPPA	#28	#44
PowerPwr	#14	#39
SP+SP+	#7	#46
Pts POPPO	#41	#94
HavocHav	#61	#58

Texas Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#72	#104
Run ExplRExp	#21	#5
PPAExp	#41	#41
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#80	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#59	#54
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#35
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#53
PPAExp	#38	#56
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#59	#84
DB HavocDB	#86	#28

Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Houston last year (35-11)
Texas Tech beat Houston in 2023 (49-28)

HOU's OC Slade Nagle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Conner Weigman	232	356	65%	2705	25	9	7.6
Luke Carney (Tr)	5	7	71%	22	0	0	3.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Conner Weigman	170	703	11	4.1	50
DJ Butler	68	301	0	4.4	15
Makhi Hughes (Tr)	17	70	0	4.1	19
Luke Carney (Tr)	10	28	1	2.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	67	966	12	14.4	64
Trent Walker (Tr)	68	823	2	12.1	43
Patrick Overmyer (Tr)	27	344	5	12.7	45
Koby Young	12	191	0	15.9	43

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kentrell Webb	71	3	0	0	4
Jaden Yates (Tr)	55	2	1	0	0
Sione Fotu	53	1	1	2	0
Jordan Allen	48	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Mack	32	6	5	1	0
Khalil Laufau	34	3	2	2	1
Latreveon McCutchin	37	3	1	4	2
Carmycah Glass	24	1	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Javion White (Tr)	44	4	6
Will James	39	4	5
Kentrell Webb	71	3	4

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	206	335	62%	2786	26	5	8.3
Will Hammond	68	108	63%	668	7	3	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Dickey	211	1138	14	5.4	71
J'Koby Williams	154	866	6	5.6	50
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	100	580	9	5.8	41
Will Hammond	43	299	5	7.0	64

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)	47	1119	9	23.8	87
Kenny Johnson (Tr)	47	658	5	14.0	42
Coy Eakin	49	653	6	13.3	42
Terrance Carter	55	624	5	11.3	50

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	88	4	0	3	5
John Curry	73	4	1	2	4
Austin Romaine (Tr)	66	7	1	7	2
Brenden Jordan	59	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adam Trick (Tr)	57	12	8	12	4
Trey White (Tr)	47	11	7	12	1
Jamond Mathis (Tr)	28	8	6	6	3
Anthony Holmes Jr.	40	10	5	7	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	88	4	3	5
Brice Pollock	47	4	1	5
Amier Boyd-Matthews	26	2	0	5