Navy at Houston - 2021 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at Houston Cougars  Houston logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Houston -20 (47.0)
Houston 28 - Navy: 20  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (101 - 69)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU 2nd straight Home Game
NAVY coming off BYE
HOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ HOU -19)
Projected Score: NAVY: 26 - HOU: 28 (54)
HOU Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
NAVY Travel: 1247 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Navy vs Marshall+3.546.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Navy vs Air Force+6.040.0L 3 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Navy at Houston+20.047.0L 20 - 28OY
Sat 10/2 Navy vs UCF+15.052.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 10/9 Navy vs SMU+13.557.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/14 Navy at Memphis+11.055.5L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/23 Navy vs Cincinnati+28.549.5L 20 - 27UY
Fri 10/29 Navy at Tulsa+11.046.0W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/6 Navy at Notre Dame+21.047.5L 6 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Navy vs East Carolina+3.546.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/27 Navy at Temple-13.542.0W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Navy at Army-7.035.5W 17 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Houston's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Houston vs Texas Tech-2.563.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/11 Houston at Rice-7.550.0W 44 - 7OY
Sat 9/18 Houston vs Grambling-41.051.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Houston vs Navy-20.047.0W 28 - 20ON
Fri 10/1 Houston at Tulsa+3.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Thu 10/7 Houston at Tulane-6.560.0W 40 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Houston vs East Carolina-13.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Houston vs SMU+1.061.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 11/6 Houston at South Florida-13.553.0W 54 - 42ON
Sat 11/13 Houston at Temple-26.052.5W 37 - 8UY
Fri 11/19 Houston vs Memphis-9.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/27 Houston at UConn-32.054.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 12/4 Houston at Cincinnati+10.552.5L 20 - 35ON
Tue 12/28 Houston vs Auburn+2.051.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.0935%31.536%2.6217833%973.6.2143%2543%43%3.9740.21.10.9
HOU.1642%29.142%2.9714343%2663.5.2141%22.839%42%3.6266.420.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1031.525.835.1%3.61.114275178973.776%23%36%33%15%.09
HOU Defense822.824.240.7%3.620.8 - - - - - 52%48%39%42%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense102530.243.4%3.970.9 - - - - - 62%38%43%43%14%.21
HOU Offense829.125.742.4%3.52234081432663.947%53%42%43%17%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1030:1914.334%67%4.440.21.10.94.50.6027.4
Houston831:1322.640%74%7.566.420.87.43228.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1076%36%48.3177.63.715.032.6271%12%1.04
HOU Defense852%39% - - - - .132.5666%12%1.2
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1062%43% - - - - .173.0583%9%1.1
HOU Offense847%42%36.5142.53.912.092.9771%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1023%33%5.712.497.47.917.164.272.334%24%.263%2.3
HOU Defense848%42% - - - - - - 3.31.734%30%.246%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1038%43% - - - - - - 3.281.531%33%.435%2.1
HOU Offense853%43%21.937.1265.87.212.21510.221.634%36%.46%1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5  #103
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #116
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Houston: 7.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.5   Houston: 10.9




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 7.95 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9  #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 28
Navy 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22Navy20Houston38Houston -3Houston51.0Over
202109/25Houston28Navy20Houston -20Navy47.0Over
202010/24Navy21Houston37Houston -14.5Houston56.0Over
201911/30Houston41Navy56Navy -9Navy56.5Over
201810/20Navy36Houston49Houston -11Houston59.5Over
201711/24Houston24Navy14Houston -6.5Houston55.0Under
201610/08Navy46Houston40Houston -17Navy52.0Over
201511/27Houston52Navy31Houston -1.5Houston59.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston657 Overs
Navy231 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 43 - 52 - 11 - 4
Road Teams4 - 45 - 34 - 11 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYHOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #31
Perf GradeGrade #115 #5
OffenseOff #93 #28
DefenseDef #125 #6
Spec TeamsST #39 #30
TalentTal #141 #66
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffHOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #93 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffHOU Def
Run GameRun #125 #11
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #61
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffHOU Def
Pass GamePass #116 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #136 #2
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCatHOU OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #125
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #90 #109
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCatHOU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #5 #120
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #33 #136
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Houston -20.0 (47.0)
Houston won vs Navy this year (28-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NAVY's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD