Houston Cougars at UCF Knights
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL (Big 12)
Cougars (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 10 (35 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 10 (35 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
HOU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: UCF -4 (SP+ HOU -3.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 22 - UCF: 26 (47)
UCF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: UCF -4 (SP+ HOU -3.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 22 - UCF: 26 (47)
UCF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 43 - 9 (43 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 43 - 9 (43 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
| Houston's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Houston vs Stephen F. Austin | -24.5 | 54.5 | W 27 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Houston at Rice | -13.5 | 38.5 | W 35 - 9 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/12 | Houston vs Colorado | -4.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 20 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Houston at Oregon State | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Houston vs Texas Tech | +16 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Houston at Oklahoma State | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Houston vs Arizona | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Houston at Arizona State | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Houston vs West Virginia | -0.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Houston at UCF | +4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Houston vs TCU | +10.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Houston at Baylor | +9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| UCF's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | UCF vs Jacksonville State | -16.5 | 53.5 | W 17 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | UCF vs North Carolina A&T | -38.0 | 51.0 | W 68 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | UCF vs North Carolina | -6.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | UCF at Kansas State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | UCF vs Kansas | +1 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | UCF at Cincinnati | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | UCF vs West Virginia | -2 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | UCF at Baylor | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | UCF vs Houston | -4 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | UCF at Texas Tech | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UCF vs Oklahoma State | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | UCF at BYU | +9 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | #95 (.13) | 36% (120) | 32.7 | 34% (120) | 2.69 (98) | 202 | 39% (98) | 187 | 3.67 (86) | #18 (-.04) | 29% (8) | 9.7 | 36% (47) | 23% (4) | 5.17 (125) | 41 | 0 | 2 |
| UCF | #37 (.32) | 41% (90) | 42.5 | 38% (107) | 2.52 (111) | 233 | 44% (68) | 259 | 4.25 (53) | #25 (-) | 36% (40) | 8.5 | 39% (70) | 31% (21) | 2.13 (18) | 67.5 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | #133 (-) | 35% (129) | 35% (130) | 2.52 (129) | 137 | 37% (115) | 153 | 2.57 (134) | #51 (.14) | 40% (41) | 40% (41) | 39% (49) | 3.52 (41) | 51.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | ||
| UCF | #58 (.21) | 46% (28) | 52% (8) | 3.62 (2) | 248 | 38% (103) | 200 | 3.75 (86) | #63 (.16) | 40% (45) | 37% (12) | 42% (84) | 4.37 (118) | 54.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 3 | 32.7 | 35 | 35.9% | 3.67 | 0 | 18 | 390 | 202 | 187 | 4.5 | 61% | 39% | 34% | 39% | 11% | .13 |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 35.6% | 2.13 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 39% | 39% | 31% | 24% | - |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 3 | 9.7 | 9 | 29.1% | 5.17 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 47% | 36% | 23% | 18% | -.04 |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 42.5 | 42.5 | 41% | 4.25 | 0.5 | 22 | 492 | 233 | 259 | 6.9 | 46% | 54% | 38% | 44% | 12% | .32 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 3 | 32:56 | 17.7 | 45% | 40% | 4.7 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 36.5 |
| UCF | 2 | 27:58 | 21.5 | 46% | 100% | 7.5 | 67.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 2 | 1 | 32.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 3 | 61% (17) | 34% (120) | 45.3 | 202.3 | 4.5 | 6 (49) | -.03 (116) | 2.69 (98) | 65% (95) | 7% (32) | 1.07 (47) |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 60% (125) | 39% (70) | - | - | - | - | .08 (72) | 2.69 (59) | 71% (72) | 16% (12) | 1.22 (114) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 3 | 51% (80) | 36% (47) | - | - | - | - | -.04 (38) | 2.28 (26) | 78% (100) | 10% (69) | 0.87 (52) |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 46% (95) | 38% (107) | 34 | 233 | 6.9 | 7 (38) | .17 (56) | 2.52 (111) | 75% (52) | 9% (71) | 1.62 (2) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Offense | 3 | 39% (122) | 39% (98) | 15.3 | 24.3 | 187.3 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 4 (72) | 0 (1) | .38 (51) | 2.1 (4) | 36% (117) | 34% (52) | .46 (49) | 4% (39) | 2.2 (36) |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 39% (12) | 31% (21) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | -.12 (13) | 1 (4) | 36% (40) | 28% (62) | .17 (48) | 9% (19) | 1.4 (9) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU Defense | 3 | 47% (40) | 23% (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (6) | .01 (22) | 1.4 (49) | 39% (13) | 14% (11) | .05 (26) | 8% (30) | 2.2 (101) |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 54% (39) | 44% (68) | 18 | 28.5 | 259 | 9.1 | 14.4 | 2 (102) | 0 (1) | .44 (37) | 1.9 (11) | 34% (106) | 33% (54) | .63 (26) | 3% (30) | 2.5 (12) |
Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Houston's Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Houston's Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Houston's Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Houston's Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Houston's Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 3.11 UCF: 9.51
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.8 UCF: 4.5
Houston: 3.11 UCF: 9.51
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.8 UCF: 4.5
UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.51 #54
UCF's Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
UCF's Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UCF's Power Rating: 9.51 #54
UCF's Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
UCF's Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Houston Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 9.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 9
Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 9.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 9
Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 26
Houston 22
Total Points: 47
UCF 26
Houston 22
Total Points: 47
UCF Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.5
Defense: 8.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.5
Defense: 8.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/25 | UCF | 27 | Houston | 13 | UCF | UCF -15.5 | Houston | 61.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Houston | 21 | UCF | 44 | UCF | UCF -3 | UCF | 81.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | UCF | 44 | Houston | 29 | UCF | UCF -22 | Houston | 72.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/29 | Houston | 31 | UCF | 24 | Houston | Houston -12.5 | UCF | 59.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/24 | UCF | 10 | Houston | 59 | Houston | Houston -18.5 | Houston | 53.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/02 | Houston | 12 | UCF | 17 | UCF | Houston -2.5 | UCF | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | UCF | 19 | Houston | 14 | UCF | UCF -10 | Houston | 0 | |
| 2010 | 11/05 | Houston | 33 | UCF | 40 | UCF | ||||
| 2009 | 11/14 | UCF | 37 | Houston | 32 | UCF | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | Houston | 51 | UCF | 31 | Houston | ||||
| 2005 | 11/05 | UCF | 31 | Houston | 29 | UCF |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 8 | 3 | 2 Overs |
| Houston | 3 | 4 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 4 | 0 - 7 | 0 - 5 | 0 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 7 | 7 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 5 - 0 |
(#72) Houston Info
Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 23%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Houston has lost 6 straight
Houston has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Houston Notes
(9/13) Determined to run but bad success, pop expl
(6/14) QB, RB, WR, TE + 3 OL upgrades via portals
(6/14) RB Connors pot. big add, workhorse w/ hands
(6/14) OL added 3 starters & depth, much better TY
(5/23) New OC Nagle great w/ Fritz @ Tulane
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit
Houston Highlights
Houston is Undefeated vs Spread
Houston in Undefeated
Houston offense is explosive (#16)
Houston offense is good on 3rd downs
Houston has a really good defense (#8)
Houston defense does not give up big plays (#27)
Houston has a good pass defense (#4)
Houston Defensive Line is very good (#26)
Houston Secondary is very good (#30)
Houston has a great TO Margin (#1)
Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
Houston Deficiencies
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)
Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 23%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Houston has lost 6 straight
Houston has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Houston Notes
(9/13) Determined to run but bad success, pop expl
(6/14) QB, RB, WR, TE + 3 OL upgrades via portals
(6/14) RB Connors pot. big add, workhorse w/ hands
(6/14) OL added 3 starters & depth, much better TY
(5/23) New OC Nagle great w/ Fritz @ Tulane
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit
Houston Highlights
Houston is Undefeated vs Spread
Houston in Undefeated
Houston offense is explosive (#16)
Houston offense is good on 3rd downs
Houston has a really good defense (#8)
Houston defense does not give up big plays (#27)
Houston has a good pass defense (#4)
Houston Defensive Line is very good (#26)
Houston Secondary is very good (#30)
Houston has a great TO Margin (#1)
Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
Houston Deficiencies
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UCF | HOU |
| OverallOver | #28 | #29 |
| OffenseOff | #52 | #72 |
| DefenseDef | #29 | #8 |
| Special TeamsST | #3 | #8 |
| PassingPass | #71 | #92 |
| RushingRush | #16 | #62 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #57 | #27 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #57 | #116 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #67 | #52 |
| TacklingTkl | #53 | #4 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #31 | #16 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #6 | #84 |
| Coverage DefCov | #66 | #2 |
(#54) UCF Info
Power Rating: 9.51 #54
Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCF has lost 6 straight
UCF has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UCF Notes
(8/29) Run game alarmingly bad in opener vs Jax St
(8/21) QB1 Fancher (FAU) wins starting job in camp
(7/30) New staff, over 70 newcomers, big mystery
(7/22) UCF 13th in YPP margin, +108 YPG in '24
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
UCF Highlights
UCF in Undefeated
UCF is Undefeated at Home
UCF offense is explosive (#3)
UCF offense is good on 3rd downs
UCF defense is really good in red zone (#18)
UCF has a good pass defense (#21)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Secondary is very good (#19)
UCF has a great TO Margin (#11)
UCF Deficiencies
UCF Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#108)
UCF run game is really bad (#107)
Power Rating: 9.51 #54
Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCF has lost 6 straight
UCF has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UCF Notes
(8/29) Run game alarmingly bad in opener vs Jax St
(8/21) QB1 Fancher (FAU) wins starting job in camp
(7/30) New staff, over 70 newcomers, big mystery
(7/22) UCF 13th in YPP margin, +108 YPG in '24
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
UCF Highlights
UCF in Undefeated
UCF is Undefeated at Home
UCF offense is explosive (#3)
UCF offense is good on 3rd downs
UCF defense is really good in red zone (#18)
UCF has a good pass defense (#21)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Secondary is very good (#19)
UCF has a great TO Margin (#11)
UCF Deficiencies
UCF Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#108)
UCF run game is really bad (#107)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Weigman (Tr) | 45 | 70 | 64% | 569 | 4 | 0 | 8.1 |
| Zeon Chriss | 1 | 3 | 33% | -7 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Connors (Tr) | 50 | 271 | 3 | 5.4 | 54 |
| Conner Weigman (Tr) | 33 | 145 | 3 | 4.4 | 49 |
| Stacy Sneed | 25 | 101 | 0 | 4.0 | 16 |
| J'Marion Burnette | 10 | 40 | 0 | 4.0 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Johnson Jr. | 6 | 191 | 1 | 31.8 | 74 |
| Tanner Koziol (Tr) | 17 | 148 | 1 | 8.7 | 23 |
| Amare Thomas (Tr) | 8 | 110 | 1 | 13.8 | 22 |
| J'Marion Burnette | 1 | 39 | 1 | 39.0 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Garner | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Carlos Allen | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Latrell McCutchin | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kentrell Webb | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Walls III (Tr) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Corey Platt Jr. | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Mack | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Khalil Laufau (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latreveon McCutchin | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Zelmar Vedder (Tr) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Khalil Laufau (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayven Jackson (Tr) | 29 | 45 | 64% | 471 | 2 | 0 | 10.5 |
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 5 | 9 | 56% | 32 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Nixon (Tr) | 6 | 150 | 2 | 25.0 | 87 |
| Myles Montgomery | 29 | 114 | 0 | 3.9 | 15 |
| Jacurri Brown | 5 | 106 | 2 | 21.2 | 60 |
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 4 | 39 | 0 | 9.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Thomas Jr. (Tr) | 7 | 117 | 0 | 16.7 | 41 |
| Myles Montgomery | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 64 |
| DJ Black | 6 | 86 | 1 | 14.3 | 33 |
| Dylan Wade (Tr) | 4 | 54 | 1 | 13.5 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Kozlowski (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antoine Jackson | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lewis Carter (Tr) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Phillip Dunnam (Tr) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Lora (Tr) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Horace Lockett (Tr) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nyjalik Kelly | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Malachi Lawrence | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Bell (Tr) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Malachi Lawrence | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Cole Kozlowski (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |