Houston at UCF Game Matchup
Houston logo Houston Cougars at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#77)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
HOU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: UCF -0.5   (SP+ HOU -0.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 23 - UCF: 24 (48)
UCF Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
HOU Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Houston vs Stephen F. Austin-24
Sat 9/6 Houston at Rice-15
Sat 9/13 Houston vs Colorado+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Houston at Oregon State-1
Sat 10/4 Houston vs Texas Tech+9.5
Sat 10/11 Houston at Oklahoma State+1
Sat 10/18 Houston vs Arizona-5
Sat 10/25 Houston at Arizona State+16.5
Sat 11/1 Houston vs West Virginia-3.5
Sat 11/8 Houston at UCF+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Houston vs TCU+8.5
Sat 11/29 Houston at Baylor+11.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
UCF's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 UCF vs Jacksonville State-16.50.0
Sat 9/6 UCF vs North Carolina A&T-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF vs North Carolina+0.5
Sat 9/27 UCF at Kansas State+19
Sat 10/4 UCF vs Kansas+2.5
Sat 10/11 UCF at Cincinnati+8
Sat 10/18 UCF vs West Virginia-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UCF at Baylor+13
Sat 11/8 UCF vs Houston-0.5
Sat 11/15 UCF at Texas Tech+16.5
Sat 11/22 UCF vs Oklahoma State-2
Sat 11/29 UCF at BYU+14.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)30.452% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)26.937% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense121412.635.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-
UCF Defense1226.92339.9%4.370.9 - - - - - 50%50%37%42%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1222.925.239.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
UCF Offense1230.432.946.1%3.751.6244482482005.858%41%52%38%15%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
UCF1228:1923.642%54%6.554.41.60.96.91.8130.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)
UCF Defense1250% (54)37% (12) - - - - .07 (39)2.57 (13)79% (106)12% (28)1.03 (90)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1251% (76)40% (41) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
UCF Offense1258% (16)52% (8)43248.15.833 (12).31 (7)3.62 (2)72% (80)10% (66)1.13 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (122)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (45)1.7 (130)
UCF Defense1250% (82)42% (84) - - - - - - 9 (76).26 (81)1.6 (64)36% (16)30% (67).38 (99)5% (118)2.2 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1249% (62)39% (49) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (68)1.7 (95)33% (54)32% (96).32 (79)6% (71)2 (55)
UCF Offense1241% (121)38% (103)15.125.8199.77.713.214 (108)11 (72).1 (123)1.6 (76)29% (33)33% (53).16 (122)5% (48)1.8 (126)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 0.29 #67
Houston's Offense Rating: 10.61 #90
Houston's Defense Rating: 10.32 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #44
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 0.29   UCF: 1.185

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 0.9   UCF: 0.4




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.185 #75
UCF's Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 24
Houston 23

Projected Total Points: 48
UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25UCF27Houston13UCFUCF -15.5Houston61.5Under
202010/31Houston21UCF44UCFUCF -3UCF81.0Under
201911/02UCF44Houston29UCFUCF -22Houston72.0Over
201610/29Houston31UCF24HoustonHouston -12.5UCF59.0Under
201510/24UCF10Houston59HoustonHouston -18.5Houston53.0Over
201410/02Houston12UCF17UCFHouston -2.5UCF0
201311/09UCF19Houston14UCFUCF -10Houston0
201011/05Houston33UCF40UCF
200911/14UCF37Houston32UCF
200610/28Houston51UCF31Houston
200511/05UCF31Houston29UCF
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF832 Overs
Houston343 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 40 - 70 - 50 - 2
Road Teams4 - 77 - 02 - 05 - 0

(#67) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.29 #67
Offense Rating: 10.61 #90
Defense Rating: 10.32 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #36
Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #44
Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Houston Notes
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/15) OL awful LY. 5 portals, could improve to decent
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(5/13) RB Connors (Rice) also a big receiving threat
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit
(3/21) RB bad LY. Connors (Rice) good add. Some depth
(3/21) WR bad LY. Broussard/Thomas portals help
(3/21) Def good LY, a lot back. 9 portal adds, 5 DBs
Houston     Ratings Matchup     UCF
Power #67
#75
Off #90
#82
Def #39
#69
Talent #61
#72
SP+ #58
#61
SP+ Off #91
#57
SP+ Def #36
#61

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Houston in 2023 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | UCF
Depth Chart: HOU | UCF
Rosters: HOU | UCF
(#75) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.185 #75
Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61
Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


UCF Notes
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) New staff, over 50% new roster. We'll see
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
(3/21) RB Monty back (#2 LY), Nixon (WMU) added
(3/21) New DC Grinch fired from USC
(3/21) HC Frost is back. UCF in new conf/reality


  
Houston's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zeon Chriss8313064%824486.3
Conner Weigman (Tr)6411456%819357.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors (Tr)15978094.971
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Koziol (Tr)9483988.933
Amare Thomas (Tr)62670810.873
Harvey Broussard (Tr)31486315.750
Dean Connors (Tr)6147227.769

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmycah Glass (Tr)754130
Blake Thompson (Tr)603003
Kentrell Webb541003
Wrook Brown (Tr)481006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)306531
Khalil Laufau (Tr)154301
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Brandon Mack395320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keany Parks (Tr)411007
Marc Stampley II (Tr)422207
Will James (Tr)352007

UCF's OC Steve Cooper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)12621259%1528667.2
Jacurri Brown346652%387145.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon (Tr)132874126.692
Jacurri Brown5340147.667
Cam Fancher (Tr)9936533.776
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade (Tr)29374212.944
Jaden Nixon (Tr)97408.216
Marcus Burke (Tr)86928.620
Myles Montgomery366122.049

View UCF's Full Roster
UCF's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014
Keli Lawson (Tr)402004
R.J. Jackson354302
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Malachi Lawrence156541
R.J. Jackson354302
Sincere Edwards (Tr)176342
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Bellamy (Tr)341006
DJ Bell (Tr)160005
Keli Lawson (Tr)402004