UTSA at Houston - 2023 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -2.5 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Houston 17 - UTSA: 14

 
Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (28 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: UTSA -7.5   (SP+ UTSA -12.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 32 - HOU: 25 (57)
UTSA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 189 miles
Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UTSA at Houston-2.559.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 UTSA vs Texas State-13.566.5W 20 - 13UN
Fri 9/15 UTSA vs Army-7.042.0L 29 - 37ON
Sat 9/23 UTSA at Tennessee+24.059.0L 14 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 UTSA at Temple-14.056.0W 49 - 34OY
Sat 10/14 UTSA vs UAB-9.067.0W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/21 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-2.558.5W 36 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 UTSA vs East Carolina-17.548.0W 41 - 27ON
Sat 11/4 UTSA at North Texas-7.571.0W 37 - 29UY
Sat 11/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/17 UTSA vs South Florida-14.565.5W 49 - 21OY
Fri 11/24 UTSA at Tulane+2.551.5L 16 - 29UN
Tue 12/19 UTSA vs Marshall-7.047.0W 35 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Houston vs UTSA+2.559.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 Houston at Rice-7.551.0L 41 - 43ON
Sat 9/16 Houston vs TCU+7.564.0L 13 - 36UN
Sat 9/23 Houston vs Sam Houston-11.537.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Houston at Texas Tech+8.552.0L 28 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 Houston vs West Virginia+3.049.5W 41 - 39OY
Sat 10/21 Houston vs Texas+24.060.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/28 Houston at Kansas State+17.561.0L 0 - 41UN
Sat 11/4 Houston at Baylor+3.058.5W 25 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Houston vs Cincinnati-3.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Houston vs Oklahoma State+6.556.5L 30 - 43ON
Sat 11/25 Houston at UCF+15.561.5L 13 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#45 (.23)42% (66)31.941% (89)3 (88)17244% (49)2504.45 (24)#35 (.14)37% (21)24.138% (26)38% (25)3.77 (65)51.21.71.3
HOU#104 (.13)40% (97)23.739% (110)2.97 (96)11941% (75)2413.44 (100)#114 (.26)47% (126)31.547% (104)48% (130)4.26 (111)49.21.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1331.927.742.2%4.451.7234221722504.351%49%41%44%15%.23
HOU Defense1231.527.746.7%4.261.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%48%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1324.127.337.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 47%52%38%38%20%.14
HOU Offense1223.725.339.7%3.441.319360119241442%56%39%41%14%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1330:0822.647%58%5.651.21.71.37.63.5129
Houston1227:5619.236%26%5.749.21.31.251.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1351% (62)41% (89)39.7171.84.327 (29).18 (48)3 (88)81% (14)9% (45)1.13 (13)
HOU Defense1251% (89)47% (104) - - - - .23 (111)3.24 (101)75% (79)8% (110)1.05 (93)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1347% (27)38% (26) - - - - .12 (52)2.86 (27)83% (114)12% (14)1.14 (118)
HOU Offense1242% (115)39% (110)29.9118.8410 (124).06 (116)2.97 (96)59% (129)9% (57)0.98 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1349% (72)44% (49)22.334.3249.87.311.225 (37)14 (107).31 (58)1.6 (60)32% (71)35% (27).46 (28)6% (64)2.2 (35)
HOU Defense1247% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 9 (87).35 (108)1.5 (27)30% (98)38% (128).47 (125)4% (124)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1352% (101)38% (25) - - - - - - 10 (67).23 (44)1.6 (70)35% (28)24% (6).18 (13)8% (11)2.4 (130)
HOU Offense1256% (24)41% (75)21.733.9241.47.111.124 (41)13 (97).25 (77)1.5 (86)34% (94)25% (111).18 (107)5% (20)2.1 (56)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.44 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.44   Houston: -4.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 4.2   Houston: -8.3




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.7
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 32
Houston 25


Total Points: 57

Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Houston17UTSA14HoustonUT San Antonio -2.5Houston59.5Under
202209/03UTSA35Houston37HoustonHouston -3.5UTSA61.5Over
201408/29Houston7UTSA27UTSAHouston -12.5UTSA0
201309/28UTSA28Houston59HoustonHouston -2.5Houston0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston321 Overs
UTSA121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 32 - 20 - 12 - 1
Road Teams3 - 12 - 21 - 21 - 0

(#55) UTSA Info
Power Rating: 1.44 #55
Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40


Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UTSA Highlights
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA offense is good in red zone (#37)
UTSA offense is good on 3rd downs
UTSA Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UTSA has a really good defense (#77)
UTSA has a good run defense (#54)
UTSA has a good pass defense (#101)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA Front 7 is disruptive (#74)
UTSA Secondary is very good (#41)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA has a bad TO Margin (#1)
UTSA throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatHOUUTSA
OverallOver#81#52
OffenseOff#65#49
DefenseDef#86#58
Special TeamsST#89#98
PassingPass#49#57
RushingRush#72#27
Run BlockRBLK#49#64
Pass BlockPBLK#39#90
Route RunningWR Rt#57#24
TacklingTkl#87#83
Run DefenseR Def#78#49
Pass Rush DefPRush#90#21
Coverage DefCov#93#91

Rematch from Week 1
UTSA 2.5 (59.5)
Houston won vs UTSA this year (17-14)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat UTSA in 2023 (17-14)
Houston beat UTSA in 2022 (37-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | HOU
Depth Chart: UTSA | HOU
Rosters: UTSA | HOU
(#97) Houston Info
Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20


Record at home: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Houston Highlights

Houston Deficiencies
Houston Can Not Run the Ball (#32)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Houston has a bad defense (#8)
Houston has a bad defensive line (#26)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Frank Harris21833665%25061887.5
Owen McCown (Tr)435874%442437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes14771564.944
Robert Henry127588114.643
Rocko Griffin (Tr)9148365.369
Frank Harris8632343.840
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Cephus8911511012.984
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg33575717.446
Devin Mccuin42546313.072
Oscar Cardenas3228028.828

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ken Robinson652014
Jamal Ligon627151
Martavius French615243
Rashad Wisdom612204
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Moore45181433
Brandon Matterson146550
Jimmori Robinson40115102
Nick Booker-Brown187313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameryn Alexander (Tr)3421115
Nicktroy Fortune261029
Ken Robinson652014

Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)25539664%280022137.1
Ui Ale4850%69108.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Jenkins9946434.731
Donovan Smith (Tr)13842963.135
Stacy Sneed4828215.958
Tony Mathis (Tr)4117004.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Brown61815313.453
Joseph Manjack46577612.549
Matthew Golden38404610.639
Stephon Johnson Jr.23269311.749

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Doug Belk
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy901012
Malik Robinson732021
Jamal Morris592025
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nelson Ceaser3610730
Jamaree Caldwell269700
David Ugwoegbu (Tr)416323
Anthony Holmes Jr.205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamal Morris592025
Malik Fleming (Tr)392005
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)462014