Houston at Texas Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview

Houston Cougars at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -8.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 49 - Houston: 28 (Big 12)

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.1 MPH
TTU is playing their 5th straight game
HOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -13 (SP+ TTU -12)
Projected Score: HOU: 21 - TTU: 34 (54)
TTU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
HOU Travel: 467 miles

Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Houston vs UTSA	+2.5	59.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Houston at Rice	-7.5	51.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/16	Houston vs TCU	+7.5	64.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Sam Houston	-11.5	37.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Houston at Texas Tech	+8.5	52.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	Houston vs West Virginia	+3.0	49.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Houston vs Texas	+24.0	60.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Houston at Kansas State	+17.5	61.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/4	Houston at Baylor	+3.0	58.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Houston vs Cincinnati	-3.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Houston vs Oklahoma State	+6.5	56.5	L 30 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/25	Houston at UCF	+15.5	61.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas Tech at Wyoming	-13.0	50.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Texas Tech vs Oregon	+4.5	70.0	L 30 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/16	Texas Tech vs Tarleton State	-36.5	75.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas Tech at West Virginia	-6.0	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas Tech vs Houston	-8.5	52.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas Tech at Baylor	-2.5	59.5	W 39 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Texas Tech vs Kansas State	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/21	Texas Tech at BYU	-3.0	49.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	Texas Tech vs TCU	-2.5	59.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas Tech at Kansas	+3.5	61.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas Tech vs UCF	-2.0	59.0	W 24 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/24	Texas Tech at Texas	+16.5	53.5	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 12/16	Texas Tech vs California	-3.5	54.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	.33	47%	14	46%	3.38	142	49%	314	4.76	.22	43%	22.9	42%	44%	3.86	69.9	1.5	1.2
TTU	.21	42%	37.6	47%	3.27	159	38%	302	3.92	.16	40%	34.8	42%	39%	3.51	44.3	1.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	13	14	12.6	47.5%	4.76	1.5	23	456	142	314	4.6	42%	57%	46%	49%	14%	.33
TTU Defense	13	34.8	35.7	40.1%	3.51	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	39%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	13	22.9	25.2	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	44%	18%	.22
TTU Offense	13	37.6	43.7	41.8%	3.92	1.9	27	462	159	302	4	44%	56%	47%	38%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	13	29:52	23.5	45%	67%	7.8	69.9	1.5	1.2	6.8	2.2	3	30.2
Texas Tech	13	29:59	26.5	36%	64%	5.7	44.3	1.9	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	30.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	13	42%	46%	30.8	142.1	4.6	17	.19	3.38	69%	9%	1.01
TTU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.88	64%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	12%	1.08
TTU Offense	13	44%	47%	40.4	159.5	4	28	.29	3.27	78%	10%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	13	57%	49%	25.9	38.5	314	8.2	12.1	40	10	.48	1.6	30%	40%	.64	5%	2
TTU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.7	33%	33%	.39	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	34%	35%	.38	6%	2.1
TTU Offense	13	56%	38%	26.8	43.8	302.1	6.9	11.3	26	18	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.4	7%	1.9

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -6.49 Texas Tech: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.3 Texas Tech: 3.7

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 34
Houston 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Texas Tech	49	Houston	28	Texas Tech	Texas Tech -8.5	Texas Tech	52.0	Over
2022	09/10	Texas Tech	33	Houston	30	Texas Tech	Texas Tech -3.5	Houston	62.5	Over
2021	09/04	Houston	21	Texas Tech	38	Texas Tech	Houston -2.5	Texas Tech	63.0	Under
2018	09/15	Texas Tech	63	Houston	49	Texas Tech	Texas Tech -1	Texas Tech	68.0	Over
2017	09/23	Houston	24	Texas Tech	27	Texas Tech	Houston -7	Texas Tech	68.0	Under
2010	11/27	Texas Tech	35	Houston	20	Texas Tech
2009	09/26	Houston	29	Texas Tech	28	Houston

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	6	4	3 Overs
Houston	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	2 - 3	2 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 5	3 - 2	0 - 0	3 - 2

(#97) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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Houston Ratings Matchup Texas Tech

Power #97

#49

Off #95

#81

Def #113

#46

Talent #103

#49

SP+ #95

#52

SP+ Off #73

#53

SP+ Def #104

#61

Rematch from Week 5
Texas Tech -8.5 (52.0)
Texas Tech won vs Houston this year (49-28)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Houston in 2023 (49-28)
Texas Tech beat Houston in 2022 (33-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 85° - Wind: 16 mph

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | TTU
Depth Chart: HOU | TTU
Rosters: HOU | TTU

(#49) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70

Team Profile

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Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)	87	133	65%	867	4	8	6.5
Matthew Golden	1	2	50%	30	0	0	15.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brandon Campbell	61	233	3	3.8	21
Donovan Smith (Tr)	66	159	3	2.4	37
Ja'Koby Banks	8	29	0	3.6	12
Logan Compton	1	3	0	3.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Golden	58	987	9	17.0	54
Sam Brown	36	509	2	14.1	76
Dalton Carnes	29	371	2	12.8	34
Logan Compton	17	210	3	12.4	39

View Houston's Full Roster

Houston's DC Doug Belk

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Treylin Payne	26	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2
Justin Beadles	20	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	17	1	0	0	6
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2

Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Shough	244	389	63%	3195	23	6	8.2
Tahj Brooks	2	3	67%	38	0	0	12.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Brooks	286	1505	17	5.3	40
Nehemiah Martinez	19	185	0	9.7	35
Bryson Donnell	35	172	0	4.9	19
Tyler King	13	100	2	7.7	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nehemiah Martinez	76	1022	10	13.4	75
Myles Price	38	466	3	12.3	41
Tyler King	17	236	0	13.9	36
Loic Fouonji	12	187	0	15.6	40

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jesiah Pierre	28	3	0	0	1
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	0	0	3
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0
Harvey Dyson III	10	3	2	4	1
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Joseph Plunk	3	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cameron Watts	20	1	4
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	3
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	3