Houston at Texas Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Houston logo Houston Cougars at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#17)Texas Tech logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -8.5 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 49 - Houston: 28  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU is playing their 5th straight game
HOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -13   (SP+ TTU -12)

Projected Score: HOU: 21 - TTU: 34 (55)
TTU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
HOU Travel: 467 miles
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Houston vs UTSA+2.559.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 Houston at Rice-7.551.0L 41 - 43ON
Sat 9/16 Houston vs TCU+7.564.0L 13 - 36UN
Sat 9/23 Houston vs Sam Houston-11.537.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Houston at Texas Tech+8.552.0L 28 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 Houston vs West Virginia+3.049.5W 41 - 39OY
Sat 10/21 Houston vs Texas+24.060.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/28 Houston at Kansas State+17.561.0L 0 - 41UN
Sat 11/4 Houston at Baylor+3.058.5W 25 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Houston vs Cincinnati-3.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Houston vs Oklahoma State+6.556.5L 30 - 43ON
Sat 11/25 Houston at UCF+15.561.5L 13 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas Tech at Wyoming-13.050.5L 33 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Texas Tech vs Oregon+4.570.0L 30 - 38UN
Sat 9/16 Texas Tech vs Tarleton State-36.575.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas Tech at West Virginia-6.053.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Texas Tech vs Houston-8.552.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Texas Tech at Baylor-2.559.5W 39 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Texas Tech vs Kansas State-1.057.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/21 Texas Tech at BYU-3.049.0L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Texas Tech vs TCU-2.559.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Texas Tech at Kansas+3.561.5W 16 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Texas Tech vs UCF-2.059.0W 24 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Texas Tech at Texas+16.553.5L 7 - 57ON
Sat 12/16 Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#104 (.13)40% (97)23.739% (110)2.97 (96)11941% (75)2413.44 (100)#114 (.26)47% (126)31.547% (104)48% (130)4.26 (111)49.21.31.2
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)27.447% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)2642% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense1223.721.439.7%3.441.319360119241442%56%39%41%14%.13
TTU Defense132626.340.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1231.536.846.7%4.261.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%48%13%.26
TTU Offense1327.433.342.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1227:5619.236%26%5.749.21.31.251.9328.2
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1242% (115)39% (110)29.9118.8410 (124).06 (116)2.97 (96)59% (129)9% (57)0.98 (82)
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1251% (89)47% (104) - - - - .23 (111)3.24 (101)75% (79)8% (110)1.05 (93)
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1256% (24)41% (75)21.733.9241.47.111.124 (41)13 (97).25 (77)1.5 (86)34% (94)25% (111).18 (107)5% (20)2.1 (56)
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1247% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 9 (87).35 (108)1.5 (27)30% (98)38% (128).47 (125)4% (124)2.1 (91)
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -6.49   Texas Tech: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.3   Texas Tech: 3.7




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.4
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 34
Houston 21


Total Points: 55

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.3
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Texas Tech49Houston28Texas TechTexas Tech -8.5Texas Tech52.0Over
202209/10Texas Tech33Houston30Texas TechTexas Tech -3.5Houston62.5Over
202109/04Houston21Texas Tech38Texas TechHouston -2.5Texas Tech63.0Under
201809/15Texas Tech63Houston49Texas TechTexas Tech -1Texas Tech68.0Over
201709/23Houston24Texas Tech27Texas TechHouston -7Texas Tech68.0Under
201011/27Texas Tech35Houston20Texas Tech
200909/26Houston29Texas Tech28Houston
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech643 Overs
Houston112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 22 - 32 - 30 - 0
Road Teams2 - 53 - 20 - 03 - 2

(#97) Houston Info
Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20


Houston has won 1 straight
Houston has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Houston Highlights

Houston Deficiencies
Houston Can Not Run the Ball (#32)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Houston has a bad defense (#8)
Houston has a bad defensive line (#26)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTTUHOU
OverallOver#39#81
OffenseOff#52#65
DefenseDef#47#86
Special TeamsST#29#89
PassingPass#96#49
RushingRush#13#72
Run BlockRBLK#35#49
Pass BlockPBLK#6#39
Route RunningWR Rt#73#57
TacklingTkl#10#87
Run DefenseR Def#60#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#58#90
Coverage DefCov#42#93

Rematch from Week 5
Texas Tech -8.5 (52.0)
Texas Tech won vs Houston this year (49-28)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Houston in 2023 (49-28)
Texas Tech beat Houston in 2022 (33-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | TTU
Depth Chart: HOU | TTU
Rosters: HOU | TTU
(#49) Texas Tech Info
Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70


Texas Tech has lost 1 straight
Texas Tech has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech has a top Offensive Line (#14)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas Tech throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Texas Tech offense is not Explosive (#98)


  
Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)25539664%280022137.1
Ui Ale4850%69108.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Jenkins9946434.731
Donovan Smith (Tr)13842963.135
Stacy Sneed4828215.958
Tony Mathis (Tr)4117004.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Brown61815313.453
Joseph Manjack46577612.549
Matthew Golden38404610.639
Stephon Johnson Jr.23269311.749

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Doug Belk
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy901012
Malik Robinson732021
Jamal Morris592025
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nelson Ceaser3610730
Jamaree Caldwell269700
David Ugwoegbu (Tr)416323
Anthony Holmes Jr.205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamal Morris592025
Malik Fleming (Tr)392005
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)462014

Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton18229462%17541586.0
Tyler Shough6711160%746746.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2911545105.346
Cam'Ron Valdez5128015.554
Tyler Shough4814923.158
Jake Strong661010.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier White39556114.372
Jerand Bradley36431412.034
Coy Eakin36416211.643
Myles Price4341059.533

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts1057130
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)775025
Dadrion Taylor722127
Jesiah Pierre662110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Bradford Jr.426410
Jaylon Hutchings427321
Amier Washington44300
Charles Esters III255321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralyn Lux (Tr)383008
Dadrion Taylor722127
Malik Dunlap361007