West Virginia at Houston - 2023 Matchup Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers at Houston Cougars

Thursday, October 12th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
West Virginia -3.0 (49.5) (-140) Open: -3.0 | 52.5
Houston 41 - West Virginia: 39 (Big 12)

Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
WVU coming off BYE
HOU coming off BYE
Our Line: West Virginia -9.5 (SP+ WVU -13.5)
Projected Score: WVU: 29 - HOU: 20 (49)
WVU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WVU Travel: 1109 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WVU Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	West Virginia at Penn State	+21.0	48.0	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/9	West Virginia vs Duquesne	-38.5	55.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/16	West Virginia vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	48.0	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/23	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	+6.0	53.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/30	West Virginia at TCU	+14.0	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	West Virginia at Houston	-3.0	49.5	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	48.0	L 34 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/28	West Virginia at UCF	+6.5	59.5	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/4	West Virginia vs BYU	-13.0	48.5	W 37 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+13.5	59.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/18	West Virginia vs Cincinnati	-4.5	52.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/25	West Virginia at Baylor	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/27	West Virginia vs North Carolina	-4.5	62.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Houston vs UTSA	+2.5	59.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Houston at Rice	-7.5	51.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/16	Houston vs TCU	+7.5	64.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Sam Houston	-11.5	37.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Houston at Texas Tech	+8.5	52.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	Houston vs West Virginia	+3.0	49.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Houston vs Texas	+24.0	60.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Houston at Kansas State	+17.5	61.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/4	Houston at Baylor	+3.0	58.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Houston vs Cincinnati	-3.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Houston vs Oklahoma State	+6.5	56.5	L 30 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/25	Houston at UCF	+15.5	61.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	.21	43%	29.2	45%	3.08	172	42%	227	4.2	.21	44%	31.9	45%	43%	3.8	53	1.5	1.3
HOU	.33	47%	14	46%	3.38	142	49%	314	4.76	.22	43%	22.9	42%	44%	3.86	69.9	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Offense	12	29.2	29.8	43.3%	4.2	1.5	23	398	172	227	4.6	48%	51%	45%	42%	15%	.21
HOU Defense	13	22.9	17.8	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	44%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Defense	12	31.9	30.8	44.3%	3.8	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.21
HOU Offense	13	14	15.2	47.5%	4.76	1.5	23	456	142	314	4.6	42%	57%	46%	49%	14%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
West Virginia	12	31:19	23	41%	69%	6.4	53	1.5	1.3	5.7	2.2	2	26.9
Houston	13	29:52	23.5	45%	67%	7.8	69.9	1.5	1.2	6.8	2.2	3	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Offense	12	48%	45%	37.2	171.5	4.6	24	.2	3.08	70%	8%	1.01
HOU Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.07	76%	10%	0.99
HOU Offense	13	42%	46%	30.8	142.1	4.6	17	.19	3.38	69%	9%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Offense	12	51%	42%	21.3	35.5	226.7	6.4	10.7	20	12	.24	1.5	30%	34%	.32	7%	1.8
HOU Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	34%	35%	.38	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.3	1.6	30%	32%	.36	4%	2.1
HOU Offense	13	57%	49%	25.9	38.5	314	8.2	12.1	40	10	.48	1.6	30%	40%	.64	5%	2

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.47 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 3.47 Houston: -4.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.4 Houston: -8.3

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
West Virginia 29
Houston 20

Projected Total Points: 49

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/12	Houston	41	West Virginia	39	Houston	West Virginia -3.0	Houston	49.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	1	1	1 Overs
West Virginia	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#45) West Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.47 #45
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63
Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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West Virginia Ratings Matchup Houston

Power #45

#97

Off #32

#95

Def #88

#113

Talent #44

#103

SP+ #44

#95

SP+ Off #38

#73

SP+ Def #63

#104

Rematch from Week 7
West Virginia 3.0 (49.5)
Houston won vs West Virginia this year (41-39)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat West Virginia in 2023 (41-39)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 75° - Wind: 12 mph

Team Information
Injuries: WVU | HOU
Depth Chart: WVU | HOU
Rosters: WVU | HOU

(#97) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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West Virginia's OC Chad Scott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	189	316	60%	2300	15	12	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Garrett Greene	133	751	6	5.6	56
Jaylen Anderson	9	34	0	3.8	7
Leighton Bechdel	1	14	1	14.0	14
Cortez Braham	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cortez Braham	56	724	4	12.9	57
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)	50	459	1	9.2	46
Kole Taylor (Tr)	43	448	3	10.4	39
Preston Fox	12	131	0	10.9	30

View West Virginia's Full Roster

West Virginia's DC ShaDon Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Wilson (Tr)	102	0	0	0	3
Jared Bartlett	70	12	8	2	3
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)	56	8	2	2	4
Hershey McLaurin	50	8	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett	70	12	8	2	3
Sean Martin	23	6	4	5	1
Lance Dixon	42	6	2	0	4
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)	56	8	2	2	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)	56	8	2	2	4
Lance Dixon	42	6	2	0	4
Anthony Wilson (Tr)	102	0	0	0	3

Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)	87	133	65%	867	4	8	6.5
Matthew Golden	1	2	50%	30	0	0	15.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brandon Campbell	61	233	3	3.8	21
Donovan Smith (Tr)	66	159	3	2.4	37
Ja'Koby Banks	8	29	0	3.6	12
Logan Compton	1	3	0	3.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Golden	58	987	9	17.0	54
Sam Brown	36	509	2	14.1	76
Dalton Carnes	29	371	2	12.8	34
Logan Compton	17	210	3	12.4	39

View Houston's Full Roster

Houston's DC Doug Belk

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Treylin Payne	26	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chidozie Nwankwo	31	5	3	1	0
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2
Justin Beadles	20	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	17	1	0	0	6
Jamaree Caldwell	28	5	0	0	3
Zykeius Strong	19	2	1	1	2