Air Force Team Profile
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Air Force Falcons (@AF_Football)
Troy Calhoun (19th year) (136-94)
Record: 1 - 5 (0 - 4)  |  Proj: 4 - 8 (#114)  |  SOS: (#92)
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Air Force's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Bucknell-31.054.5W 49 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Utah State-4.051.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Boise State+10.551.5L 37 - 49ON
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Hawai'i-7.052.5L 35 - 44ON
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+13.550.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 10/11 Air Force at UNLV+7.065.5L 48 - 51OY
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs Wyoming-4.058.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Army-0
Sat 11/8 Air Force at San José State-3
Sat 11/15 Air Force at UConn+10
Sat 11/22 Air Force vs New Mexico-5
Fri 11/28 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5

Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9  #114
Schedule Rating:  #92
Record: 1 - 5( MWC: 0 - 4)
Spread Record 3 - 3 - 0 | O/U 6 - 0
Future 2026 Schedule

Air Force's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Air Force vs Merrimack-30.547.5W 21 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Air Force vs San José State-1.543.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 9/14 Air Force at Baylor+17.540.5L 3 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Air Force at Wyoming-4.033.5L 19 - 31ON
Sat 10/5 Air Force vs Navy+10.037.0L 7 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 Air Force at New Mexico+7.056.0L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/19 Air Force vs Colorado State+6.043.5L 13 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Air Force at Army+18.038.5L 3 - 20UY
Sat 11/9 Air Force vs Fresno State+9.540.5W 36 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Air Force vs Oregon State+3.044.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/23 Air Force at Nevada+3.044.5W 22 - 19UY
Sat 11/30 Air Force at San Diego State-6.543.5W 31 - 20OY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #98
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (MWC: 3 - 4)
Spread Record 5 - 7 - 0 | O/U 5 - 7


Opponents: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 2 Avg, 5 Bad, 4 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 2 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 3 Bad, 2Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 2 Good, 1 Avg, 3 Bad, 6 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 80 points   #130
2024 class: 23 points   #134
2023 class: 131 points   #101
2022 class: 110 points   #114
2021 class: 144 points   #90

Average Class Ranking:   #114
Average Recruiting Points: 98

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Poor G5
4 Year Class:  #123 - Best:  #101 Worst:  #134



CFB Crootin Averages
Mountain West Class: 132  #105
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 142 points   #107
2019 class: 135 points   #107
2018 class: 111 points   #122
2017 class: 116 points   #109
2016 class: 111 points   #114

Average Class Ranking:   #112
Average Recruiting Points: 123
 

2025 Portal Class  #136 - 0 players, 0 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #130 - 0 players, 0 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #132 - 0 players, 0 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #178 - 0 players, 0 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Mike Thiessen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Liam Szarka528263%10258312.5
Josh Johnson91850%2242112.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Liam Szarka10358485.764
Owen Allen4126636.543
Dylan Carson5225825.064
Cade Harris3923546.049
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris23492221.474
Quin Smith10275327.552
Bruin Fleischmann14244417.468
Jonah Dawson4132133.053
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Brian Knorr (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher631040
Roger Jones Jr.380000
Nick Beckwith230001
Korey Johnson190004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Hubert148360
Jackson Adams73200
Grady Forsythe22200
Lukia Rawls Jr.72100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Johnson190004
Jordan Elie-Stuart100001
Nick Beckwith230001
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 56%  #69
Offense Returning Production: 68%  #25
Defense Returning Production: 43%  #107

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #136
0 Commits, 0 Avg Rating
0% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 0% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00  #134
Offense Talent  #134 | Defense Talent  #132
2024  #131 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #149 | 2021  #139


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 1 - 5
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 4
Spread: 3 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 0

2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 4
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2023 Record: 9 - 4
2023 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 5 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

2022 Record: 10 - 3
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

Four Year Record: 25 - 19
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 20 - 23 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 13 - 14
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 10 - 3
2021 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2020 Record: 3 - 3
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 2
Spread: 3 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 1 - 5

2019 Record: 11 - 2
2019 Conf Record: 7 - 1
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2018 Record: 5 - 7
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 6 - 4 - 2 | Totals: 5 - 7

Eight Year Record: 54 - 34
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 46 - 39 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 36 - 24

Air Force Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Forces Bowl Air Force vs James Madison-2.544.5W 31 - 21
2022Forces Bowl Air Force vs Baylor+3.542.0W 30 - 15
2021Responder Bowl Air Force vs Louisville-1.055.0W 31 - 28
2019It Bowl Air Force vs Washington State-3.073.0W 31 - 21
2016N/A Air Force vs South Alabama-14.054.0W 45 - 21
2015Forces Bowl Air Force vs California+6.5L 36 - 55
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.41 (4)1.31 (46)52% (10)5.58 (1)26.1 (128)51%75%.52 (136)1.65 (136)48% (129)5 (135)28.8 (83)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.13 (103)1.04 (134)42% (77)4.02 (56)28.6 (78)42%64%.2 (88)1.3 (84)42% (68)3.97 (84)30.9 (114)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025633:0023.751%75%545.71.20.73.71.50
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241233:5817.942%64%3281.314.31.50



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense638.340.336.352.1% (10)5.58 (1)1.2244912762145.372% (4)28% (133)52% (11)51% (11)9% (5).41 (4)
2025 Defense64035.344.748.2% (129)5 (135)0.7 - - - - - 48% (50)52% (90)42% (71)54% (136)10% (133).52 (136)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1218.918.719.242.1% (77)4.02 (56)1.31831422590482% (2)18% (133)45% (60)31% (131)12% (16).13 (103)
2024 Defense1223.317.728.841.7% (68)3.97 (84)1 - - - - - 56% (120)44% (16)41% (47)43% (89)15% (86).2 (88)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense672% (4)52% (11)51.8276.25.321 (3).32 (11)3.41 (17)75% (53)7% (12)0.99 (57)
2025 Defense648% (50)42% (71) - - - - .34 (136)3.12 (111)57% (9)7% (130)1.46 (136)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1282% (2)45% (60)55.7224.7424 (45).15 (60)3.03 (68)83% (11)9% (55)0.88 (112)
2024 Defense1256% (120)41% (47) - - - - .1 (56)3.02 (73)66% (28)10% (63)1.07 (101)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense628% (133)51% (11)10.317214.312.620.710 (60)4 (50).65 (2)2.2 (2)25% (11)39% (20).62 (8)2% (3)2.3 (12)
2025 Defense652% (90)54% (136) - - - - - - 2 (114).68 (136)1.8 (126)29% (109)46% (136).93 (136)3% (131)2.4 (131)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1218% (133)31% (131)5.211.589.87.817.45 (134)10 (63).09 (124)2.1 (1)27% (14)25% (124).18 (111)3% (2)2.1 (66)
2024 Defense1244% (16)43% (89) - - - - - - 4 (125).33 (107)1.6 (63)31% (79)30% (54).3 (63)5% (120)2 (60)




Overall
Power Rating  #94 | SP+ Rating  #87
Performance Grade  #72
Special Teams Grade  #81
Record Prediction 4.1 - 7.9  #114
5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Offense
Power  #31 | SP+  #43 | Grade  #13
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Off Success  #10 | Explosivness  #46
Rush Grade  #61 | Pass Grade  #5
Rush Success  #11 | Explosiveness  #57
Pass Success  #11 | Explosiveness  #2
Run Block  #21 | Pass Block  #114
OL YDS  #17 | Stuff Rate  #7
Scoring Zone Off:  #1

Defense
Power  #134 | SP+  #128 | Grade  #132
Def Success  #129 | Explosivness  #136
Rush Success  #71 | Explosiveness  #136
Tackling  #77 | Run Def  #63
Pass Success  #136 | Explosiveness  #126
Pass Rush  #71 | Coverage  #136
F7 Havoc  #130 | DB Havoc  #131
Scoring Zone Def  #135


Roster
Team Talent  #134 Blue Chips: 0%  #101
Offense Talent  #134 Defense Talent  #132
Crootin: '25 Class  #130 - 4 YR Class:  #123
Profile: Consistent Poor G5
Portal Class  #136 - 0 players, 0 Avg
0% of Roster from Portal, 0% TY
7 New Players, 10% of '25 Roster  #1

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 38.3 - 40 (19 - 23) in '24
Scoring at Home: 40 - 35 | Road: 36 - 45
OC: Mike Thiessen - been OC for 3 years
DC: Brian Knorr - been DC for 3 years

2025 Record: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0) (MWC: 0 - 4)
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (5 - 7 - 0) (MWC: 3 - 4)
2023 Record: 9 - 4 (5 - 7 - 1) (MWC: 5 - 3)
4 Yr Record: (25 - 19) | 8 Yr Record: (54 - 34)


Notes
Def may be worst in CFB, back 7 sub FCS level bad
Def torched 2 straight weeks vs Utah St/Boise
QB Szarka good find, Off humming, Def awful
Off 500+ yds on Boise, impressive. Def not great
Run Off OK vs Bucknell, expected better
OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
 
'25 Offense
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.58 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 51%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 75%
Great when off Schedule 39%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor at Forcing Turnovers
Good Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Awful when Opp is off Schedule 46%

Returning Prod
AFA lost their '24 starting QB (6%)  #120
Returning Production: 56%  #69
Offense: 68%  #25 | Defense: 43%  #107
OL Prod: 63%  #48, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2309  #95 | From Portal: 0  #100
Rush Prod: 71%  #39 | Rec Prod: 82%  #14
Def Front Seven: 46% - Secondary: 23%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #87 - Power Rating:  #94
2024 SP+ Overall:  #111 - Power Rating:  #125
2023 SP+ Overall:  #45 - Power Rating:  #69
2022 SP+ Overall:  #58

#58 #57 #118 #91

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #43 - Power Rating:  #31
2024 SP+ Offense:  #120 - Power Rating:  #112
2023 SP+ Offense:  #76 - Power Rating:  #34
2022 SP+ Offense:  #115

#115 #55 #116 #37

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #128 - Power Rating:  #134
2024 SP+ Defense:  #76 - Power Rating:  #117
2023 SP+ Defense:  #29 - Power Rating:  #34
2022 SP+ Defense:  #10

#10 #32 #97 #131