Lafayette at Air Force - 2021 Matchup Preview
Lafayette logo Lafayette Leopards at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -40.5 (49.5)
Air Force 35 - Lafayette: 14

 
Leopards (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 35 (14 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6  (SP+ AFA -7)
AFA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 49%
Falcons (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (104 - 73)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (33 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Lafayette's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Lafayette at Air Force+40.549.5L 14 - 35UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lafayette's Schedule
Air Force's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Air Force vs Lafayette-40.549.5W 35 - 14UN
Sat 9/11 Air Force at Navy-6.040.0W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/18 Air Force vs Utah State-9.054.0L 45 - 49ON
Sat 9/25 Air Force vs Florida Atlantic-3.554.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 10/2 Air Force at New Mexico-11.546.0W 38 - 10OY
Sat 10/9 Air Force vs Wyoming-5.546.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/16 Air Force at Boise State+3.052.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/23 Air Force vs San Diego State-3.038.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Air Force vs Army-2.537.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/13 Air Force at Colorado State-3.045.0W 35 - 21OY
Fri 11/19 Air Force at Nevada-1.553.5W 41 - 39OY
Fri 11/26 Air Force vs UNLV-18.549.5W 48 - 14OY
Tue 12/28 Air Force vs Louisville-1.055.0W 31 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%140%000%000%350%0%0000
AFA.2845%3146%3.4132841%964.32.1838%19.836%40%3.6438.80.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Offense114140%00000000%0%0%0%0%
AFA Defense1319.819.737.6%3.641.3 - - - - - 51%48%36%40%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Defense135350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
AFA Offense133132.845.5%4.320.822424328965.185%14%46%41%9%.28

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lafayette10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Air Force1336:3721.845%78%4.238.80.81.35.22.8030.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Offense10%0%000000%0%0
AFA Defense1351%36% - - - - .152.8481%13%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
AFA Offense1385%46%64.3328.25.144.253.4180%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
AFA Defense1348%40% - - - - - - 8.231.638%31%.377%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
AFA Offense1314%41%4.28.795.51122.684.512.327%34%.512%2.2

Lafayette's Power Ratings
Lafayette's Power Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #209
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Lafayette's 2021 Expected Record: -
Lafayette's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Air Force: 6.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Air Force: 7.4




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 6.2 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #139
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2021 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #54
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #57
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #33

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Lafayette Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Lafayette's 2021 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 35
Lafayette 16


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 37
Lafayette 15

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 33
Lafayette 17

Total Points: 50
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Air Force's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/04Air Force35Lafayette14Air Force -40.5Lafayette49.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force100 Overs
Lafayette011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) LAF at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLAFAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #54
Perf GradeGradeNR #3
OffenseOffNR #2
DefenseDefNR #36
Spec TeamsSTNR #66
TalentTal #209 #139
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Lafayette on Offense
CategoryCat
LAF OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #36
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Lafayette Run Game
CategoryCat
LAF OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNR #81
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #8
Lafayette Pass Game
CategoryCat
LAF OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNR #56
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #13
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffLAF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #2NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #57NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffLAF Def
Run GameRun #27NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffLAF Def
Pass GamePass #31NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #111NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

LAF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 75°
Rematch from Week 1
Air Force -40.5 (49.5)
Air Force won vs Lafayette this year (35-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LAF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Lafayette's Full Roster

LAF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD