Air Force at Washington State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Air Force Falcons vs Washington State Cougars

Friday, December 27th 2019 (10:15 PM EST)
Air Force -3 (73.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Air Force 31 - Washington State: 21 (CHEEZ-IT BOWL)

Falcons (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (35 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ AFA -1)
Projected Score: AFA: 28 - WSU: 32 (60)
AFA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
AFA Travel: 556 miles

Cougars (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 31 (54 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
AFA Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Air Force's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Air Force vs Colgate	-23.5	43.5	W 48 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Air Force at Colorado	+3.0	58.0	W 30 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Air Force at Boise State	+7.5	53.0	L 19 - 30	U	N
Fri 9/27	Air Force vs San José State	-19.5	58.5	W 41 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/5	Air Force at Navy	-3.0	46.5	L 25 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	Air Force vs Fresno State	-2.5	50.5	W 43 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Air Force at Hawai'i	-4.5	66.5	W 56 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Air Force vs Utah State	-4.0	58.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Air Force vs Army	-17.0	44.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/9	Air Force at New Mexico	-21.0	56.5
Sat 11/16	Air Force at Colorado State	-11.0	63.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Air Force at New Mexico	-24.0	56.5	W 44 - 22	O	N
Sat 11/30	Air Force vs Wyoming	-13.5	41.5	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Fri 12/27	Air Force vs Washington State	-3.0	73.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

Washington State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington State vs New Mexico State	-33.0	65.5	W 58 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-42.0	63.0	W 59 - 17	O	N
Fri 9/13	Washington State vs Houston	-9.0	73.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/21	Washington State vs UCLA	-17.0	59.5	L 63 - 67	O	N
Sat 9/28	Washington State at Utah	+5.0	56.5	L 13 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Washington State at Arizona State	-2.5	60.0	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Washington State vs Colorado	-13.5	69.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Washington State at Oregon	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Washington State at California	-8.5	51.5	L 20 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/16	Washington State vs Stanford	-11.5	66.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	-10.5	77.5	W 54 - 53	O	N
Fri 11/29	Washington State at Washington	+7.5	65.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Fri 12/27	Washington State vs Air Force	+3.0	73.0	L 21 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA	.28	53%	34.1	54%	3.39	299	45%	123	4.21	.13	40%	19.8	34%	43%	3.38	28.3	1.4	1.6
WSU	.25	52%	37.8	53%	3.07	68	50%	437	4.59	.26	48%	31.4	50%	44%	3.75	59.9	1.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA	#103 (.13)	42% (77)		45% (60)	3.03 (68)	225	31% (131)	90	4.02 (56)	#88 (.2)	42% (68)		41% (47)	43% (89)	3.97 (84)	28	1.3	1
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Offense	13	34.1	35.3	53.1%	4.21	1.4	22	422	299	123	5.1	83%	15%	54%	45%	13%	.28
WSU Defense	13	31.4	29.3	47.9%	3.75	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	50%	44%	17%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Defense	13	19.8	26	39.9%	3.38	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	34%	43%	21%	.13
WSU Offense	13	37.8	54	51.8%	4.59	1.9	26	505	68	437	4.2	20%	78%	53%	50%	18%	.25

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Air Force	13	34:28	22	54%	76%	3.2	28.3	1.4	1.6	5.6	2.5	3	29.7
Washington State	13	29:40	25.8	43%	59%	6.5	59.9	1.9	1.6	6.5	2.8	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Offense	13	83%	54%	58.1	298.5	5.1	41	.2	3.39	88%	10%	0.78
WSU Defense	13	52%	50%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.37	79%	11%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Defense	13	45%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.71	69%	13%	0.89
WSU Offense	13	20%	53%	16.2	68.1	4.2	12	.1	3.07	70%	7%	0.8

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Offense	13	15%	45%	5.2	9.7	123.2	12.7	23.6	14	6	.71	2.5	22%	36%	.37	2%	1.9
WSU Defense	13	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.34	1.7	31%	35%	.41	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Defense	13	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.27	1.6	34%	27%	.16	8%	1.9
WSU Offense	13	78%	50%	38.8	54.6	436.8	8	11.3	50	16	.3	1.3	25%	40%	.39	12%	1.8

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2019 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #25
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #17
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: Washington State: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 12.1 Washington State: 11.1

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Washington State's Offense Rating: NR
Washington State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Washington State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Washington State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #28
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #6
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #95

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Air Force's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 32
Air Force 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington State 29
Air Force 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Washington State 35
Air Force 33

Total Points: 68

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 37.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Washington State's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	12/27	Washington State	21	Air Force	31	Air Force -3	Air Force	73.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	0	0	0 Overs
Air Force	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Air Force Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	It Bowl	Air Force vs Washington State	-3.0	73.0	W 31 - 21
2016	N/A	Air Force vs South Alabama	-14.0	54.0	W 45 - 21
2015	Forces Bowl	Air Force vs California	+6.5		L 36 - 55
2014	Potato Bowl	Air Force vs Western Michigan	+2.5	59.0	W 38 - 24

Washington State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	It Bowl	Washington State vs Air Force	+3.0	73.0	L 21 - 31
2018	Alamo Bowl	Washington State vs Iowa State	-2.5	56.5	W 28 - 26
2017	Holiday Bowl	Washington State vs Michigan State	+2.5	47.5	L 17 - 42
2016	Holiday Bowl	Washington State vs Minnesota	-5.5	61.0	L 12 - 17
2015	Sun Bowl	Washington State vs Miami	-1.5		W 20 - 14
2013	Mexico Bowl	Washington State vs Colorado State	-4.0	64.0	L 45 - 48

(#) AFA at (#) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AFA	WSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#28
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#131	#70
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Air Force Injury Report

Washington State Injury Report

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	WSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	AFA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Chase Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 47°

Rematch from Week 1
Air Force 3.0 (73.0)
Air Force won at Washington State this year (31-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

AFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD