Robert Morris at Air Force - 2023 Matchup Preview

Robert Morris Colonials at Air Force Falcons

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (1:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -47 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Air Force 42 - Robert Morris: 7

Colonials (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 45 (3 - 45 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Air Force -4.5 (SP+ AFA -5)
AFA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 50%

Falcons (9 - 4) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RMU Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Robert Morris's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Robert Morris at Air Force	+47.0	51.0	L 7 - 42	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Robert Morris's Schedule

Air Force's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Air Force vs Robert Morris	-47.0	51.0	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Air Force vs Sam Houston	-13.5	36.5	W 13 - 3	U	N
Fri 9/15	Air Force vs Utah State	-9.0	45.5	W 39 - 21	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Air Force at San José State	-6.0	45.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Air Force vs San Diego State	-10.5	43.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Air Force vs Wyoming	-12.5	42.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/21	Air Force at Navy	-11.0	34.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/28	Air Force at Colorado State	-14.5	47.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Air Force vs Army	-18.5	32.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/11	Air Force at Hawai'i	-22.5	47.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Air Force vs UNLV	-2.5	46.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Air Force at Boise State	+6.5	44.5	L 19 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/23	Air Force vs James Madison	-2.5	44.5	W 31 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RMU		0%	3	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	45	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA	.3	49%	29.8	50%	3.55	327	39%	70	4.25	.11	39%	30.3	38%	42%	3.77	29.7	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RMU Offense	2	3	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
AFA Defense	13	30.3	27.8	39.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	38%	42%	20%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RMU Defense	2	45	45	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
AFA Offense	13	29.8	27.5	48.5%	4.25	1	20	398	327	70	5.3	87%	13%	50%	39%	10%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Robert Morris	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Air Force	13	36:21	20.5	45%	72%	3.9	29.7	1	1.3	5.1	1.8	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RMU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
AFA Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.06	62%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RMU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
AFA Offense	13	87%	50%	61.7	327.2	5.3	37	.28	3.55	84%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RMU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
AFA Defense	13	45%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.3	33%	24%	.19	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RMU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
AFA Offense	13	13%	39%	3.2	6.7	70.5	10.5	22.3	8	2	.53	2.6	26%	33%	.36	2%	1.9

Robert Morris's Power Ratings
Robert Morris's Power Rating: NR
Robert Morris's Offense Rating: NR
Robert Morris's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 46.99 #201
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Robert Morris's 2023 Expected Record: -
Robert Morris's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Robert Morris's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Robert Morris's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big South Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Robert Morris: Air Force: 4.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Robert Morris: Air Force: 5.2

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 4.71 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 300.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Robert Morris Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Robert Morris's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Air Force 28
Robert Morris 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Air Force	42	Robert Morris	7	Air Force -47	Robert Morris	51.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	1	0	0 Overs
Robert Morris	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) RMU at (#69) AFA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RMU	AFA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#69
SP+SP+	NR	#45
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#9
OffenseOff	NR	#7
DefenseDef	NR	#19
Spec TeamsST	NR	#38
TalentTal	#201	#130
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Robert Morris Injury Report

Air Force Injury Report

Robert Morris on Offense


CategoryCat	RMU Off	AFA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	#34
SP+SP+	NR	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Robert Morris Run Game


CategoryCat	RMU Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	#23
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#8

Robert Morris Pass Game


CategoryCat	RMU Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#29
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	RMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#34	NR
SP+SP+	#76	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	RMU Def
Run GameRun	#64	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	RMU Def
Pass GamePass	#73	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#67	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

RMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Air Force -47.0 (51.0)
Air Force won vs Robert Morris this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Robert Morris in 2023 (42-7)

RMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zach Tanner	84	166	51%	1069	11	2	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zach Tanner	27	-29	0	-1.1	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Robinson	37	557	6	15.1	36
Chaz Middleton	22	370	5	16.8	44
Andre Cooper II	22	350	2	15.9	60
Trevor Wilson	22	193	1	8.8	30

View Robert Morris's Full Roster

RMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Patrick McDonnell	12	0	0
Nathan Carabatsakis	5	1	1
Tahseen Howard	4	0	0
Trey Woods	3	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Nathan Carabatsakis	5	1	1
Patrick McDonnell	12	0	0
Tahseen Howard	4	0	0
Trey Woods	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jermarian Jackson	0	0	0	1
Patrick McDonnell	12	0	0	0
Nathan Carabatsakis	5	1	1	0

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zachary Larrier	40	67	60%	789	7	2	11.8
John Busha	9	19	47%	152	0	1	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Emmanuel Michel	200	935	11	4.7	54
Zachary Larrier	142	605	6	4.3	41
John Lee Eldridge III	84	599	6	7.1	65
Dylan Carson	68	493	2	7.3	68

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jared Roznos	12	374	3	31.2	84
Cade Harris	5	179	1	35.8	65
Brandon Engel	10	178	0	17.8	39
Dane Kinamon	5	126	2	25.2	94

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC Brian Knorr (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alec Mock	93	5	2	2	1
Johnathan Youngblood	85	4	0	3	1
Trey Taylor	74	5	1	0	4
Jayden Goodwin	73	2	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bo Richter	45	20	10	8	1
PJ Ramsey	35	12	8	5	2
Peyton Zdroik	32	7	5	2	0
Alec Mock	93	5	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jamari Bellamy	35	2	0	5
Jayden Goodwin	73	2	1	5
Trey Taylor	74	5	1	4