Robert Morris at Air Force - 2023 Matchup Preview

Robert Morris Colonials at Air Force Falcons

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (1:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -47 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Air Force 42 - Robert Morris: 7

Colonials (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 42 (7 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Air Force -4.5 (SP+ AFA -5)
AFA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 50%

Falcons (9 - 4) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RMU Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Robert Morris's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Robert Morris at Air Force	+47.0	51.0	L 7 - 42	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Robert Morris's Schedule

Air Force's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Air Force vs Robert Morris	-47.0	51.0	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Air Force vs Sam Houston	-13.5	36.5	W 13 - 3	U	N
Fri 9/15	Air Force vs Utah State	-9.0	45.5	W 39 - 21	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Air Force at San José State	-6.0	45.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Air Force vs San Diego State	-10.5	43.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Air Force vs Wyoming	-12.5	42.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/21	Air Force at Navy	-11.0	34.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/28	Air Force at Colorado State	-14.5	47.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Air Force vs Army	-18.5	32.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/11	Air Force at Hawai'i	-22.5	47.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Air Force vs UNLV	-2.5	46.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Air Force at Boise State	+6.5	44.5	L 19 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/23	Air Force vs James Madison	-2.5	44.5	W 31 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RMU		0%	7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	42	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA	#26 (.28)	45% (31)	27.8	46% (34)	3.48 (8)	281	41% (74)	85	4.05 (52)	#28 (.12)	39% (38)	18.2	37% (16)	42% (79)	3.96 (85)	24.8	1.3	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA	#103 (.13)	42% (77)		45% (60)	3.03 (68)	225	31% (131)	90	4.02 (56)	#88 (.2)	42% (68)		41% (47)	43% (89)	3.97 (84)	28	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RMU Offense	1	7	7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
AFA Defense	13	18.2	19.2	39.3%	3.96	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	37%	42%	14%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RMU Defense	1	42	42	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
AFA Offense	13	27.8	38.2	45.5%	4.05	1.3	20	366	281	85	5.1	85%	14%	46%	41%	9%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Robert Morris	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Air Force	13	33:26	19.6	46%	68%	3	24.8	1.3	1.1	4.5	2	2	30.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RMU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
AFA Defense	13	49% (58)	37% (16)	-	-	-	-	.06 (26)	2.67 (13)	79% (106)	9% (93)	0.99 (61)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RMU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
AFA Offense	13	85% (1)	46% (34)	54.7	280.6	5.1	36 (4)	.27 (14)	3.48 (8)	80% (19)	8% (22)	1.02 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RMU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
AFA Defense	13	50% (80)	42% (79)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.21 (36)	1.5 (19)	34% (44)	29% (45)	.34 (85)	5% (103)	2 (59)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RMU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
AFA Offense	13	14% (133)	41% (74)	4.2	8.1	85	10.5	20.1	7 (129)	6 (14)	.51 (9)	2.3 (1)	23% (1)	27% (93)	.39 (48)	2% (1)	2.3 (7)

Robert Morris's Power Ratings
Robert Morris's Power Rating: #NR
Robert Morris's Offense Rating: #NR
Robert Morris's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #201
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Robert Morris's 2023 Expected Record: -
Robert Morris's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Robert Morris's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Robert Morris's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big South Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Robert Morris: Air Force: 4.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Robert Morris: Air Force: 5.2

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 4.71 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Robert Morris Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Robert Morris's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Air Force 28
Robert Morris 23

Total Points: 51

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 18.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Air Force	42	Robert Morris	7	Air Force	Air Force -47	Robert Morris	51.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	1	0	0 Overs
Robert Morris	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) Robert Morris Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #201
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Robert Morris Highlights
Robert Morris is Undefeated vs Spread

Robert Morris Deficiencies
Robert Morris has a really bad Offense
Robert Morris Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	AFA	RMU
OverallOver	#7	—
OffenseOff	#7	—
DefenseDef	#15	—
Special TeamsST	#33	—
PassingPass	#59	—
RushingRush	#46	—
Run BlockRBLK	#1	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#58	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#36	—
TacklingTkl	#7	—
Run DefenseR Def	#20	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#25	—
Coverage DefCov	#37	—

Rematch from Week 1
Air Force -47.0 (51.0)
Air Force won vs Robert Morris this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Robert Morris in 2023 (42-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RMU | AFA
Depth Chart: RMU | AFA
Rosters: RMU | AFA

(#69) Air Force Info
Power Rating: 4.71 #69
Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70

Record at home: 4 - 1 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Air Force Highlights
Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#52)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)

Air Force has a good run defense (#76)
Air Force Defensive Line is very good (#123)
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)

Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)

Robert Morris's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Chiccitt	195	299	65%	2200	14	7	7.4
Zach Tanner	22	38	58%	347	3	1	9.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Moyer	74	332	5	4.5	15
Delvecchio Powell II	38	173	2	4.6	31
Anthony Chiccitt	53	80	2	1.5	20
Zach Tanner	20	41	0	2.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Robinson	56	776	5	13.9	75
Trenell Ridgley	18	201	1	11.2	22
Landen Lucas	17	197	0	11.6	41
Delvecchio Powell II	13	97	0	7.5	29

View Robert Morris's Full Roster

Robert Morris's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jermarian Jackson	55	1	1	6
Jamar Shegog	11	0	0	0
Gregory Young II	8	1	0	0
William Barber	8	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jermarian Jackson	55	1	1	6
Jamar Shegog	11	0	0	0
Gregory Young II	8	1	0	0
William Barber	8	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jermarian Jackson	55	1	1	6
Robert Carter Jr.	5	1	0	2
Diassa Diakite	7	0	0	1

Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zachary Larrier	40	67	60%	789	7	2	11.8
John Busha	9	19	47%	152	0	1	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Emmanuel Michel	200	935	11	4.7	54
Zachary Larrier	142	605	6	4.3	41
John Lee Eldridge III	84	599	6	7.1	65
Dylan Carson	68	493	2	7.3	68

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jared Roznos	12	374	3	31.2	84
Cade Harris	5	179	1	35.8	65
Brandon Engel	10	178	0	17.8	39
Dane Kinamon	5	126	2	25.2	94

View Air Force's Full Roster

Air Force's DC Brian Knorr

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alec Mock	93	5	2	2	1
Johnathan Youngblood	85	4	0	3	1
Trey Taylor	74	5	1	0	4
Jayden Goodwin	73	2	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bo Richter	45	20	10	8	1
PJ Ramsey	35	12	8	5	2
Peyton Zdroik	32	7	5	2	0
Alec Mock	93	5	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jamari Bellamy	35	2	0	5
Jayden Goodwin	73	2	1	5
Trey Taylor	74	5	1	4