Air Force Falcons at UNLV Rebels
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Allegiant Stadium - Las Vegas, NV (Mountain West)
Falcons (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (30 - 49 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (30 - 49 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
AFA 2nd straight Road Game
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -13.5 (SP+ UNLV -7)
Projected Score: AFA: 27 - UNLV: 40 (67)
UNLV Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
AFA Travel: 597 miles, 1 hrs ahead
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -13.5 (SP+ UNLV -7)
Projected Score: AFA: 27 - UNLV: 40 (67)
UNLV Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
AFA Travel: 597 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Dan Mullen (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| Air Force's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Air Force vs Bucknell | -31.0 | 54.5 | W 49 - 13 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Air Force at Utah State | -4.0 | 51.5 | L 30 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Air Force vs Boise State | +10.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Air Force vs Hawai'i | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Air Force at Navy | +16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Air Force at UNLV | +13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Air Force vs Wyoming | +4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Air Force vs Army | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Air Force at San José State | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Air Force at UConn | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Air Force vs New Mexico | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Air Force at Colorado State | +8 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| UNLV's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | UNLV vs Idaho State | -30.5 | 67.0 | W 38 - 31 | O | N | |
| Fri 8/29 | UNLV vs Sam Houston | -13.5 | 58.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | UNLV vs UCLA | +2.5 | 54.5 | W 30 - 23 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | UNLV at Miami (OH) | -2.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | UNLV at Wyoming | -1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | UNLV vs Air Force | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | UNLV at Boise State | +8.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | UNLV vs New Mexico | -16 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | UNLV at Colorado State | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | UNLV vs Utah State | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UNLV vs Hawai'i | -10 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | UNLV at Nevada | -13 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #30 (.34) | 53% (21) | 39.5 | 57% (13) | 3.48 (27) | 267 | 41% (83) | 169 | 6.08 (4) | #124 (.33) | 47% (116) | 31 | 40% (76) | 54% (130) | 5.33 (128) | 45.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
| UNLV | #35 (.32) | 50% (31) | 35.3 | 47% (52) | 3.12 (56) | 202 | 55% (16) | 228 | 4.74 (40) | #86 (.16) | 47% (118) | 25 | 50% (118) | 47% (112) | 3.58 (69) | 104 | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 | ||
| UNLV | #56 (.21) | 42% (84) | 43% (83) | 3.36 (16) | 248 | 40% (90) | 173 | 4.26 (33) | #34 (.11) | 37% (14) | 40% (39) | 36% (14) | 4.05 (97) | 49.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 2 | 39.5 | 30 | 52.8% | 6.08 | 1.5 | 23 | 436 | 267 | 169 | 4.8 | 72% | 28% | 57% | 41% | 9% | .34 |
| UNLV Defense | 3 | 25 | 27 | 47.1% | 3.58 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 37% | 60% | 50% | 47% | 17% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 2 | 31 | 49 | 46.9% | 5.33 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 40% | 54% | 14% | .33 |
| UNLV Offense | 3 | 35.3 | 34 | 50% | 4.74 | 0.7 | 22 | 430 | 202 | 228 | 5.7 | 58% | 42% | 47% | 55% | 12% | .32 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 2 | 34:54 | 23 | 52% | 100% | 4.5 | 45.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 26.4 |
| UNLV | 3 | 29:49 | 21.7 | 42% | 100% | 9.7 | 104 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 6 | 2.3 | 1 | 30.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 2 | 72% (5) | 57% (13) | 56 | 266.5 | 4.8 | 8 (26) | .35 (22) | 3.48 (27) | 77% (45) | 5% (10) | 0.9 (87) |
| UNLV Defense | 3 | 37% (4) | 50% (118) | - | - | - | - | .26 (119) | 2.55 (47) | 57% (28) | 9% (80) | 1.25 (118) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 2 | 52% (92) | 40% (76) | - | - | - | - | .3 (127) | 3.29 (123) | 60% (34) | 10% (65) | 1.32 (125) |
| UNLV Offense | 3 | 58% (26) | 47% (52) | 35.7 | 202 | 5.7 | 7 (38) | .16 (59) | 3.12 (56) | 71% (67) | 10% (93) | 0.91 (82) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 2 | 28% (132) | 41% (83) | 8.5 | 16 | 169 | 10.6 | 19.9 | 2 (102) | 2 (60) | .31 (65) | 1.7 (33) | 26% (30) | 22% (118) | -.04 (128) | 4% (35) | 1.1 (133) |
| UNLV Defense | 3 | 60% (129) | 47% (112) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (2) | .22 (71) | 1.4 (33) | 28% (121) | 35% (112) | .02 (22) | 8% (23) | 1.6 (29) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 2 | 48% (49) | 54% (130) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .38 (112) | 1.5 (57) | 29% (107) | 50% (134) | .89 (134) | 3% (116) | 2.1 (83) |
| UNLV Offense | 3 | 42% (111) | 55% (16) | 17.3 | 22.7 | 228 | 10.1 | 13.2 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .55 (20) | 1.6 (59) | 25% (24) | 36% (42) | .34 (68) | 2% (10) | 1.6 (114) |
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -16.01 #119
Air Force's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Air Force's Power Rating: -16.01 #119
Air Force's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -16.01 UNLV: 1.08
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -9.2 UNLV: -1.8
Air Force: -16.01 UNLV: 1.08
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -9.2 UNLV: -1.8
UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 1.08 #82
UNLV's Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
UNLV's Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UNLV's Power Rating: 1.08 #82
UNLV's Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
UNLV's Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
2025 Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
UNLV's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
UNLV's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 49
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 49
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 40
Air Force 27
Total Points: 67
UNLV 40
Air Force 27
Total Points: 67
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 27
UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 27
UNLV's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/18 | Air Force | 27 | UNLV | 31 | UNLV | Air Force -2.5 | UNLV | 46.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/15 | UNLV | 7 | Air Force | 42 | Air Force | Air Force -10 | Air Force | 50.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/26 | Air Force | 48 | UNLV | 14 | Air Force | Air Force -18.5 | Air Force | 49.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/19 | UNLV | 35 | Air Force | 41 | Air Force | Air Force -9.5 | UNLV | 55.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/14 | Air Force | 34 | UNLV | 30 | Air Force | Air Force -9.5 | UNLV | 65.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/08 | UNLV | 21 | Air Force | 48 | Air Force | Air Force -4.5 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/21 | Air Force | 21 | UNLV | 41 | UNLV | Air Force -1 | UNLV | 58.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 09/22 | UNLV | 38 | Air Force | 35 | UNLV | ||||
| 2011 | 11/19 | Air Force | 45 | UNLV | 17 | Air Force | ||||
| 2010 | 11/18 | UNLV | 20 | Air Force | 35 | Air Force | ||||
| 2009 | 11/14 | Air Force | 45 | UNLV | 17 | Air Force | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | UNLV | 28 | Air Force | 29 | Air Force | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | Air Force | 31 | UNLV | 14 | Air Force | ||||
| 2006 | 11/24 | UNLV | 42 | Air Force | 39 | UNLV | ||||
| 2005 | 10/15 | Air Force | 42 | UNLV | 7 | Air Force | ||||
| 2004 | 09/18 | UNLV | 10 | Air Force | 27 | Air Force | ||||
| 2003 | 10/11 | Air Force | 24 | UNLV | 7 | Air Force | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | Air Force | 10 | UNLV | 34 | UNLV | ||||
| 2000 | 09/29 | UNLV | 34 | Air Force | 13 | UNLV |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 6 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| Air Force | 13 | 3 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 9 | 2 - 5 | 1 - 3 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 10 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 3 - 1 |
(#119) Air Force Info
Power Rating: -16.01 #119
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.08 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Air Force has lost 4 straight
Air Force has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Air Force Notes
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
Air Force Highlights
Air Force offense is efficent (#21)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good in red zone (#4)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force has a bad defense (#116)
Air Force gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#109)
Air Force Does Not Stuff Runs (#117)
Air Force has a bad defensive line (#123)
Air Force has a bad red zone defense (#128)
Power Rating: -16.01 #119
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.08 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Air Force has lost 4 straight
Air Force has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Air Force Notes
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
Air Force Highlights
Air Force offense is efficent (#21)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good in red zone (#4)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force has a bad defense (#116)
Air Force gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#109)
Air Force Does Not Stuff Runs (#117)
Air Force has a bad defensive line (#123)
Air Force has a bad red zone defense (#128)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNLV | AFA |
| OverallOver | #24 | #60 |
| OffenseOff | #15 | #21 |
| DefenseDef | #52 | #88 |
| Special TeamsST | #83 | #74 |
| PassingPass | #13 | #66 |
| RushingRush | #15 | #44 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #39 | #6 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #99 | #61 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #18 | #82 |
| TacklingTkl | #102 | #85 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #77 | #60 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #50 | #74 |
| Coverage DefCov | #24 | #107 |
(#82) UNLV Info
Power Rating: 1.08 #82
Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96
Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 55%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UNLV has lost 2 straight
UNLV has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UNLV Notes
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's
UNLV Highlights
UNLV in Undefeated
UNLV is Undefeated at Home
UNLV is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
UNLV Deficiencies
UNLV Commits a Lot of Penalties (#132)
UNLV has a bad defense (#118)
Power Rating: 1.08 #82
Offense Rating: 12.89 #69
Defense Rating: 13.93 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #96
Talent Rating: 698.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 55%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UNLV has lost 2 straight
UNLV has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UNLV Notes
(8/30) Colandrea & Off very good start, Def imp vs SHSU
(7/31) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 7 portals. Have talent
(7/31) Def replace almost all. 21 portal adds, lots of ?
(7/31) New HC Mullen big ? Could go a lot of ways
(5/15) Easiest SOS in MWC, bottom 10 in CFB
(5/4) 41 portals, 24 from P4 schools, 17 prev 4/5 *
(4/7) DC Arnett resigned. Paul Guenther now Int DC
(3/29) QB Colandrea (UVA) vs Orji (Mich). Interesting
(3/29) RB Thomas good, Lee (MSU), Glover (Utah) added
(3/29) WR rebuild, 5 portal adds. 3 portal TE's
UNLV Highlights
UNLV in Undefeated
UNLV is Undefeated at Home
UNLV is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
UNLV Deficiencies
UNLV Commits a Lot of Penalties (#132)
UNLV has a bad defense (#118)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Johnson | 9 | 16 | 56% | 224 | 2 | 1 | 14.0 |
| Liam Szarka | 8 | 16 | 50% | 114 | 0 | 1 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 16 | 138 | 2 | 8.6 | 49 |
| Dylan Carson | 19 | 105 | 1 | 5.5 | 17 |
| Christopher Frew | 6 | 60 | 0 | 10.0 | 14 |
| Owen Allen | 17 | 56 | 1 | 3.3 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 5 | 146 | 1 | 29.2 | 62 |
| Quin Smith | 3 | 85 | 1 | 28.3 | 40 |
| James Roberson | 4 | 80 | 0 | 20.0 | 29 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 3 | 19 | 0 | 6.3 | 7 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Fletcher | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Roger Jones Jr. | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Fisher | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Beckwith | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Hubert | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jackson Adams | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Grady Forsythe | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukia Rawls Jr. | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Beckwith | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Houston Hendrix | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Korey Johnson | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Colandrea (Tr) | 49 | 65 | 75% | 647 | 6 | 1 | 10.0 |
| Alex Orji (Tr) | 3 | 3 | 100% | 37 | 0 | 0 | 12.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai'Den Thomas | 32 | 273 | 4 | 8.5 | 70 |
| Anthony Colandrea (Tr) | 30 | 175 | 1 | 5.8 | 37 |
| Keyvone Lee (Tr) | 13 | 66 | 1 | 5.1 | 19 |
| Jaylon Glover (Tr) | 15 | 48 | 0 | 3.2 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley | 13 | 262 | 1 | 20.2 | 49 |
| Var'Keyes Gumms (Tr) | 6 | 83 | 1 | 13.8 | 17 |
| JoJo Earle (Tr) | 6 | 65 | 0 | 10.8 | 32 |
| Troy Omeire (Tr) | 6 | 61 | 1 | 10.2 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Pope (Tr) | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marsel McDuffie | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Aamaris Brown (Tr) | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aamaris Brown (Tr) | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jalen Lee (Tr) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Marsel McDuffie | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Landen Thomas (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quandarius Keyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Aamaris Brown (Tr) | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Justin Flowe (Tr) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |