Air Force at Army - 2026 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo   Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights  Army logo
Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Blaik Field at Michie Stadium - West Point, NY

 
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (139 - 97)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARMY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Army -8  (SP+ ARMY -4)
Projected Score: AFA: 24 - ARMY: 32 (55)
ARMY Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
AFA Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs behind
Black Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (89 - 63)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 4.6 (#54)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Air Force's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Air Force vs Navy+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Air Force vs UConn+2.5
Sat 11/7 Air Force at Army+8

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Army's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Army vs Bryant-21.5
Sat 9/12 Army vs South Florida+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Army at Temple-0
Sat 10/3 Army at Louisiana Tech-0.5
Sat 10/10 Army vs Tulane+1
Sat 10/17 Army vs Florida Atlantic-8.5
Fri 10/23 Army at Tulsa-1.5
Sat 10/31 Army at Memphis+10.5
Sat 11/7 Army vs Air Force-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Army vs East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/28 Army at Rice-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#19 (.29)47% (18)29.848% (23)3.27 (17)26247% (19)1454.6 (12)#136 (.41)50% (134)30.346% (110)54% (136)4.28 (122)31.310.8
ARMY#53 (.19)42% (70)23.843% (78)3.06 (48)25538% (107)813.7 (67)#75 (.18)44% (105)21.645% (96)45% (113)3.76 (74)21.90.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1229.832.247.3%4.61224072621454.877%21%48%47%9%.29
ARMY Defense1321.624.244.4%3.761.2 - - - - - 54%45%45%45%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1230.332.849.8%4.280.8 - - - - - 49%50%46%54%11%.41
ARMY Offense1323.825.642.2%3.70.819336255814.484%15%43%38%8%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1233:522251%71%3.631.310.83.31.3028.2
Army1334:3518.841%70%2.621.90.81.23.41.1130.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1277% (2)48% (23)54.4261.54.833 (1).23 (18)3.27 (17)79% (20)7% (6)0.96 (69)
ARMY Defense1354% (109)45% (96) - - - - .1 (69)3.13 (107)75% (94)8% (123)0.87 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1249% (54)46% (110) - - - - .31 (136)3.3 (127)76% (102)6% (135)1.21 (133)
ARMY Offense1384% (1)43% (78)57.52554.431 (23).15 (50)3.06 (48)78% (26)7% (11)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1221% (135)47% (19)8.113.7145.210.61813 (75)7 (34).55 (2)2.1 (2)24% (3)33% (39).39 (39)2% (3)2 (62)
ARMY Defense1345% (24)45% (113) - - - - - - 8 (75).29 (88)1.5 (37)29% (109)30% (72).24 (52)5% (99)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1250% (84)54% (136) - - - - - - 7 (75).51 (135)1.5 (31)28% (128)40% (136).73 (136)4% (126)2.3 (127)
ARMY Offense1315% (136)38% (107)5.29.780.88.315.56 (134)5 (20).47 (7)2.4 (1)27% (16)29% (80).25 (90)1% (1)1.7 (133)

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -11.81  #115
Air Force's Offense Rating: 10.83  #83
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.64  #136
2026 Talent Rating: 166.00  #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Air Force's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Air Force's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #80
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 481.4
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.81   Army: 0.31

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -3.2   Army: 0.8




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 0.31  #87
Army's Offense Rating: 12.14  #72
Army's Defense Rating: 22.32  #117
2026 Talent Rating: 84.00  #138
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Army's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 4.6
Army's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8  #74
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #85
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Army 32
Air Force 24

Projected Total Points: 55
Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Air Force17Army20Army -1.5Army48.5Under
202411/02Army20Air Force3Army -18Air Force38.5Under
202311/04Air Force3Army23Air Force -18.5Army32.0Under
202211/05Army7Air Force13Air Force -7Army40.5Under
202111/06Air Force14Army21Air Force -2.5Army37.5Under
202012/19Army10Air Force7Air Force -3Army37.0Under
201911/02Air Force17Army13Air Force -17Army44.5Under
201811/03Army17Air Force14Army -4.5Air Force41.5Under
201711/04Air Force0Army21Air Force -6.5Army54.5Under
201611/05Army12Air Force31Air Force -3Air Force46.5Under
201511/07Air Force20Army3Air Force -17.5Army50.5Under
201411/01Army6Air Force23Air Force -5.5Air Force0
201311/02Air Force42Army28Air Force -1.5Air Force0
201211/03Army41Air Force21
201111/05Air Force24Army14
201011/06Army22Air Force42
200911/07Air Force35Army7
200811/01Army7Air Force16
200711/03Air Force30Army10
200611/03Army7Air Force43
200511/05Air Force24Army27
200411/06Army22Air Force31
200311/08Air Force31Army3
200211/09Army30Air Force49
200111/03Air Force34Army24
200011/03Army27Air Force41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army980 Overs
Air Force17511 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 143 - 101 - 72 - 3
Road Teams14 - 1210 - 33 - 27 - 1

(#115) AFA at (#87) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFAARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #115 #87
SP+SP+ #80 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #136 #138
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #103
Air Force on Offense
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCat
AFA OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #18 #105
ExplosiveExp #88 #11
PPAPPA #19 #75
PowerPwr #83 #117
SP+SP+ #59 #53
Pts POPPO #12 #74
HavocHav #2 #121
Air Force Run Game
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCat
AFA OffARMY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #96
Run ExplRExp #69 #21
PPAExp #18 #69
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #17 #107
Stuff RateStuff #2 #111
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCat
AFA OffARMY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #19 #113
Pass ExplPExl #2 #37
PPAExp #2 #88
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #6 #123
DB HavocDB #3 #99
Army on Offense
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #70 #134
ExplosiveExp #125 #123
PPAPPA #53 #136
PowerPwr #72 #136
SP+SP+ #85 #101
Pts POPPO #67 #122
HavocHav #1 #133
Army Run Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #110
Run ExplRExp #70 #133
PPAExp #50 #136
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #48 #127
Stuff RateStuff #6 #133
TackleTak - NR
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #136
Pass ExplPExl #1 #31
PPAExp #7 #135
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #135
DB HavocDB #1 #126
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Army beat Air Force last year (20-17)
Army beat Air Force in 2024 (20-3)
Army beat Air Force in 2023 (23-3)

  
AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Liam Szarka7512063%12949510.8
Josh Johnson162857%3744213.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Liam Szarka190922134.964
Owen Allen13174955.743
Kemper Hodges4920734.227
Josh Johnson347112.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Dawson12260121.753
Rocco Conti1404.04

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC Brian Knorr (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher1081052
Roger Jones Jr.761010
Dallas Daley451013
Korey Johnson340004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Hubert3011571
Grady Forsythe22200
Brody Bujnoch313100
Jaylin Reese101111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Johnson340004
Dallas Daley451013
Blake Fletcher1081052

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums478754%694438.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums3051215184.050
Briggs Bartosh4325415.975
Carson Smith5523124.211
Godspower Nwawuihe2019529.870
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bradyn Anderson14381227.268
Samari Howard11133112.141
Parker Poloskey454113.526
Tobi Olawole32107.09

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaydan Mayes351013
Jack Bousum287451
Cole Searight234201
Stephen Nnadozie231001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Bousum287451
Cole Searight234201
Cael Newton41110
Sean Donovan61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxon Hammond90003
Jaydan Mayes351013
Cole Searight234201