UConn at Air Force - 2026 Matchup Preview
UConn logo   UConn Huskies at Air Force Falcons  Air Force logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Falcon Stadium - Colorado Springs, CO

 
Huskies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1.5 - 1.5 (#91)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
AFA coming off BYE
Our Line: UConn -2.5  (SP+ CONN -8.5)
Projected Score: CONN: 32 - AFA: 29 (61)
CONN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 1697 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (139 - 97)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UConn vs Lafayette-21
Sat 9/12 UConn vs Maryland+2
Sat 9/19 UConn at Southern Miss-2
Sat 9/26 UConn at Miami (OH)+2
Sat 10/3 UConn vs Syracuse-5
Sat 10/10 UConn at Temple+0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 UConn vs Massachusetts-29.5
Sat 10/31 UConn at Air Force-2.5
Sat 11/7 UConn vs North Carolina-1
Sat 11/14 UConn vs James Madison+5.5
Sat 11/21 UConn vs Old Dominion-1
Sat 11/28 UConn at Wyoming-5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Air Force's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Air Force vs Navy+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Air Force vs UConn+2.5
Sat 11/7 Air Force at Army+8

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#9 (.31)46% (29)35.346% (44)2.93 (69)16547% (22)2844.58 (14)#113 (.22)47% (126)2750% (133)43% (89)3.8 (81)48.30.21.3
AFA#19 (.29)47% (18)29.848% (23)3.27 (17)26247% (19)1454.6 (12)#136 (.41)50% (134)30.346% (110)54% (136)4.28 (122)31.310.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1335.333.546%4.580.2214491652845.345%54%46%47%12%.31
AFA Defense1230.327.849.8%4.280.8 - - - - - 49%50%46%54%11%.41
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense132732.246.6%3.81.3 - - - - - 55%44%50%43%15%.22
AFA Offense1229.827.547.3%4.61224072621454.877%21%48%47%9%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1328:5021.241%71%4.948.30.21.36.12.7030.4
Air Force1233:522251%71%3.631.310.83.31.3028.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1345% (110)46% (44)30.9164.75.326 (36).21 (24)2.93 (69)82% (8)6% (3)1.04 (38)
AFA Defense1249% (54)46% (110) - - - - .31 (136)3.3 (127)76% (102)6% (135)1.21 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1355% (121)50% (133) - - - - .21 (123)3.37 (132)67% (32)10% (70)0.95 (65)
AFA Offense1277% (2)48% (23)54.4261.54.833 (1).23 (18)3.27 (17)79% (20)7% (6)0.96 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1354% (25)47% (22)23.634.7283.88.21230 (14)1 (1).44 (11)1.6 (48)32% (74)29% (83).48 (14)6% (55)2.5 (1)
AFA Defense1250% (84)54% (136) - - - - - - 7 (75).51 (135)1.5 (31)28% (128)40% (136).73 (136)4% (126)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1344% (18)43% (89) - - - - - - 11 (55).28 (83)1.6 (68)26% (132)33% (115).4 (113)5% (95)2 (81)
AFA Offense1221% (135)47% (19)8.113.7145.210.61813 (75)7 (34).55 (2)2.1 (2)24% (3)33% (39).39 (39)2% (3)2 (62)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.02  #109
UConn's Offense Rating: 10.97  #80
UConn's Defense Rating: 25.99  #132
2026 Talent Rating: 678.00  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #57
UConn's 2026 Expected Record: 1.5 - 1.5
UConn's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #53
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #38
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 950.5
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -10.02   Air Force: -5.005

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 5.1   Air Force: -3.2




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -5.005  #115
Air Force's Offense Rating: 10.83  #83
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.64  #136
2026 Talent Rating: 166.00  #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Air Force's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Air Force's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #80
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 481.4
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 32
Air Force 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15UConn26Air Force16UConn -7.5UConn64.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force000 Overs
UConn111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#109) CONN at (#115) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #109 #115
SP+SP+ #53 #80
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #80 #136
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #103
UConn Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Stable, Candle hire popular, 18 W's in 2 yrs
(2/17) My take: Candle underperformed badly at Toledo
(2/17) QB1? Osborne (Toledo) vs Merklinger (Tenn)
(2/17) 52 portal adds, 17 from Toledo, sneaky good
(2/17) RB 4 portals, none really stand out. Have depth
(2/17) WR 10 portal adds, 6 from Toledo. Should be good
(2/17) OL 10 portals, have 3 w starting exp, some depth
(2/17) DL 11 portals, only 4 have real exp, not sure
(2/17) DB 9 portals, one starting S and lots of PTers
UConn Injury Report
UConn on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #29 #134
ExplosiveExp #26 #123
PPAPPA #9 #136
PowerPwr #80 #136
SP+SP+ #38 #101
Pts POPPO #14 #122
HavocHav #11 #133
UConn Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #44 #110
Run ExplRExp #38 #133
PPAExp #24 #136
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #69 #127
Stuff RateStuff #40 #133
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #22 #136
Pass ExplPExl #48 #31
PPAExp #11 #135
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #3 #135
DB HavocDB #55 #126
Air Force on Offense
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCatAFA OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #18 #126
ExplosiveExp #88 #42
PPAPPA #19 #113
PowerPwr #83 #132
SP+SP+ #59 #76
Pts POPPO #12 #81
HavocHav #2 #91
Air Force Run Game
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCat
AFA OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #133
Run ExplRExp #69 #65
PPAExp #18 #123
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #17 #132
Stuff RateStuff #2 #135
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCatAFA OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #19 #89
Pass ExplPExl #2 #68
PPAExp #2 #83
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #6 #70
DB HavocDB #3 #95
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
UConn beat Air Force last year (26-16)

  
CONN's OC Marquel Blackwell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kalieb Osborne (Tr)325262%427308.2
Jake Merklinger (Tr)132454%173207.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenji Christian10552845.037
Trey Cornist (Tr)10446914.529
Kalieb Osborne (Tr)5128225.533
Cyncir Bowers (Tr)6324924.026
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shamar Porter17219112.956
Kenji Christian17193111.442
Ryder Treadway (Tr)13176313.524
Javon Brown (Tr)8156119.546

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Ryan Manalac (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561
Esean Carter364331
Luke Murphy (Tr)364001
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Esean Carter364331
Chamberlain Campbell (Tr)62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Zakaih Saez (Tr)131102
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Liam Szarka7512063%12949510.8
Josh Johnson162857%3744213.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Liam Szarka190922134.964
Owen Allen13174955.743
Kemper Hodges4920734.227
Josh Johnson347112.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Dawson12260121.753
Rocco Conti1404.04

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC Brian Knorr (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher1081052
Roger Jones Jr.761010
Dallas Daley451013
Korey Johnson340004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Hubert3011571
Grady Forsythe22200
Brody Bujnoch313100
Jaylin Reese101111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Johnson340004
Dallas Daley451013
Blake Fletcher1081052