Wyoming at Air Force Game Matchup
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Falcon Stadium - Colorado Springs, CO  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
AFA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Air Force -4   (SP+ AFA -4)

Projected Score: WYO: 21 - AFA: 25 (45)
AFA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 164 miles
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Wyoming at Akron-9.50.0
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-10.5
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+21
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+5.5
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+6
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State+1
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+9.5
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-6.5
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Air Force's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Air Force vs Bucknell-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Utah State-1.5
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Boise State+19
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Hawai'i-2
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+9.5
Sat 10/11 Air Force at UNLV+9
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs Wyoming-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Army+6
Sat 11/8 Air Force at San José State+9.5
Sat 11/15 Air Force at UConn+10.5
Sat 11/22 Air Force vs New Mexico-7
Sat 11/29 Air Force at Colorado State+4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)19.339% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)28.343% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)18.945% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)23.341% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense1219.318.736.4%3.071.3173271381893.654%46%39%34%17%.05
AFA Defense1223.317.741.7%3.971 - - - - - 56%44%41%43%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1228.333.244%3.970.9 - - - - - 52%48%43%45%15%.23
AFA Offense1218.918.742.1%4.021.31831422590482%18%45%31%12%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1230:5217.336%60%5.549.61.30.951.3228
Air Force1233:5817.942%64%3281.314.31.5028.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1254% (40)39% (111)38.2138.13.614 (98).02 (117)2.64 (122)62% (121)11% (92)0.94 (83)
AFA Defense1256% (120)41% (47) - - - - .1 (56)3.02 (73)66% (28)10% (63)1.07 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1252% (82)43% (70) - - - - .21 (112)3.09 (85)62% (12)9% (87)1.19 (128)
AFA Offense1282% (2)45% (60)55.7224.7424 (45).15 (60)3.03 (68)83% (11)9% (55)0.88 (112)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1246% (93)34% (125)15.128.9188.66.512.511 (122)11 (72).08 (126)1.8 (19)34% (110)25% (118).15 (126)6% (72)2.1 (62)
AFA Defense1244% (16)43% (89) - - - - - - 4 (125).33 (107)1.6 (63)31% (79)30% (54).3 (63)5% (120)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1248% (55)45% (113) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (78)1.4 (10)31% (81)32% (85).32 (73)5% (102)1.8 (16)
AFA Offense1218% (133)31% (131)5.211.589.87.817.45 (134)10 (63).09 (124)2.1 (1)27% (14)25% (124).18 (111)3% (2)2.1 (66)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -15.59 #112
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 8.16 #103
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 23.75 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 510.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.8 #105
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #108
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #97

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -15.59   Air Force: -9.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -10.8   Air Force: -7.3




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -9.29 #113
Air Force's Offense Rating: 7.76 #107
Air Force's Defense Rating: 24.04 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 176.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3 #94
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #59

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 25
Wyoming 21


Projected Total Points: 45
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Wyoming31Air Force19WyomingAir Force -4Wyoming33.5Over
202310/14Air Force34Wyoming27Air ForceAir Force -12.5Wyoming42.0Over
202209/16Wyoming17Air Force14WyomingAir Force -16.5Wyoming47.0Under
202110/09Air Force24Wyoming14Air ForceAir Force -5.5Air Force46.5Under
201911/30Air Force20Wyoming6Air ForceAir Force -13.5Air Force41.5Under
201811/17Wyoming35Air Force27WyomingWyoming -3Wyoming42.5Over
201711/11Air Force14Wyoming28WyomingAir Force -2.5Wyoming51.0Under
201610/08Wyoming35Air Force26WyomingAir Force -13.5Wyoming50.0Over
201510/10Air Force31Wyoming17Air ForceAir Force -21.5Wyoming57.0Under
201409/06Wyoming17Air Force13WyomingWyoming -1Wyoming0
201309/21Air Force23Wyoming56WyomingWyoming -2.5Wyoming0
201210/13Wyoming27Air Force28Air Force
201111/12Air Force17Wyoming25Wyoming
201009/25Wyoming14Air Force20Air Force
200910/17Air Force10Wyoming0Air Force
200809/06Wyoming3Air Force23Air Force
200710/20Air Force20Wyoming12Air Force
200609/23Wyoming24Air Force31Air Force
200509/17Air Force28Wyoming29Wyoming
200410/30Wyoming43Air Force26Wyoming
200309/20Air Force35Wyoming29Air Force
200210/26Wyoming34Air Force26Wyoming
200110/13Air Force24Wyoming13Air Force
200010/13Wyoming34Air Force51Air Force
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force1324 Overs
Wyoming1195 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 97 - 44 - 33 - 1
Road Teams9 - 154 - 71 - 33 - 4

(#112) Wyoming Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.59 #112
Offense Rating: 8.16 #103
Defense Rating: 23.75 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.8 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #97
Talent Rating: 510.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wyoming Notes
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) OL was awful LY, but returns all 5. No portals?
(5/2) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 10 portals
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming     Ratings Matchup     Air Force
Power #112
#113
Off #103
#107
Def #115
#116
Talent #104
#133
SP+ #105
#94
SP+ Off #108
#116
SP+ Def #97
#59

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Air Force last year (31-19)
Air Force beat Wyoming in 2023 (34-27)
Wyoming beat Air Force in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WYO | AFA
Depth Chart: WYO | AFA
Rosters: WYO | AFA
(#113) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.29 #113
Offense Rating: 7.76 #107
Defense Rating: 24.04 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #59
Talent Rating: 176.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Air Force Notes
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
(5/5) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Bad LY, jump?
(5/5) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. DL small
(5/5) Expect Calhoun to bounce back after down '24


  
Wyoming's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Svoboda11122649%1308585.8
Kaden Anderson7012058%955638.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Scott9243534.743
Terron Kellman (Tr)4824205.041
Evan Svoboda10923752.251
Damashja Harris (Tr)2319318.480
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Sargent23480220.970
Johnmichael Gyllenborg30425314.263
Chris Durr Jr.31348111.240
Sam Scott126415.341

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Aaron Bohl
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyce Westland416300
Andrew Johnson311011
Ben Florentine264111
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)214240
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyce Westland416300
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)214240
Ben Florentine264111
Tyler Nystrom10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine264111
Ian Bell60001
Andrew Johnson311011

Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quentin Hayes254358%4553210.6
Josh Johnson61443%126139.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Carson13860054.350
Quentin Hayes12646673.730
Owen Allen7733524.414
Cade Harris4827945.830
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris23368216.076
Quin Smith10207120.739
Bruin Fleischmann5104020.843
James Roberson596119.245

View Air Force's Full Roster
Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher375221
Daniel Grobe305113
Luke Fisher221000
Aidan Swartz223111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peyton Zdroik187330
Blake Fletcher375221
Aidan Swartz223111
Daniel Grobe305113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Grobe305113
Kyle Chen212002
Blake Fletcher375221