Air Force Falcons at Colorado State Rams
Friday, November 28th 2025 (3:00 PM EST)
Air Force -2.5 (47.5) (-135) Open: -2.5 | 50.5
Air Force 42 - Colorado State: 21 (Mountain West)
Falcons (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
CSU is playing their 4th straight game
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Air Force -5 (SP+ AFA -12)
Projected Score: AFA: 27 - CSU: 22 (48)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 109 miles
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Air Force -5 (SP+ AFA -12)
Projected Score: AFA: 27 - CSU: 22 (48)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 109 miles
Rams (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tyson Summers (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Tyson Summers (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
| Air Force's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Air Force vs Bucknell | -31.0 | 54.5 | W 49 - 13 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Air Force at Utah State | -4.0 | 51.5 | L 30 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Air Force vs Boise State | +10.5 | 51.5 | L 37 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Air Force vs Hawai'i | -7.0 | 52.5 | L 35 - 44 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Air Force at Navy | +13.5 | 50.5 | L 31 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | Air Force at UNLV | +7.0 | 65.5 | L 48 - 51 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/18 | Air Force vs Wyoming | -4.0 | 56.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Air Force vs Army | +1.5 | 48.5 | L 17 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/8 | Air Force at San José State | +6.0 | 67.5 | W 26 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/15 | Air Force at UConn | +7.5 | 64.5 | L 16 - 26 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Air Force vs New Mexico | +3.5 | 53.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/28 | Air Force at Colorado State | -2.5 | 47.5 | W 42 - 21 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 6, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 6, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 5, Poor: 1
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 6, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 5, Poor: 1
| Colorado State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Colorado State at Washington | +20.5 | 52.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Colorado State vs Northern Colorado | -35.0 | 52.5 | W 21 - 17 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Colorado State vs UTSA | +4.5 | 58.5 | L 16 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Colorado State vs Washington State | -4.5 | 48.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/3 | Colorado State at San Diego State | +4.5 | 40.5 | L 24 - 45 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/10 | Colorado State vs Fresno State | +5.5 | 47.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/18 | Colorado State vs Hawai'i | -2.5 | 53.5 | L 19 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Colorado State at Wyoming | +5.5 | 46.5 | L 0 - 28 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Colorado State vs UNLV | +5.5 | 60.5 | L 10 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Colorado State at New Mexico | +15.5 | 53.5 | L 17 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | Colorado State at Boise State | +17.5 | 46.5 | L 21 - 49 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/28 | Colorado State vs Air Force | +2.5 | 47.5 | L 21 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 7, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 7, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 6, Poor: 0
Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 7, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 6, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #18 (.29) | 47% (20) | 29.8 | 48% (24) | 3.27 (18) | 262 | 47% (21) | 145 | 4.6 (13) | #136 (.41) | 50% (134) | 30.3 | 46% (110) | 54% (136) | 4.28 (123) | 31.3 | 1 | 0.8 |
| CSU | #96 (.13) | 40% (98) | 18.5 | 44% (65) | 2.97 (63) | 108 | 38% (111) | 216 | 3.52 (86) | #116 (.24) | 45% (118) | 30.8 | 46% (107) | 46% (117) | 4.03 (103) | 56.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 | ||
| CSU | #90 (.16) | 42% (76) | 43% (80) | 2.88 (96) | 162 | 41% (81) | 192 | 3.56 (98) | #61 (.16) | 42% (78) | 42% (59) | 43% (94) | 4 (88) | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 12 | 29.8 | 32.2 | 47.3% | 4.6 | 1 | 22 | 407 | 262 | 145 | 4.8 | 77% | 21% | 48% | 47% | 9% | .29 |
| CSU Defense | 12 | 30.8 | 27.1 | 45.3% | 4.03 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 42% | 46% | 46% | 13% | .24 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 12 | 30.3 | 32.8 | 49.8% | 4.28 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 46% | 54% | 11% | .41 |
| CSU Offense | 12 | 18.5 | 19.9 | 40.3% | 3.52 | 1.7 | 18 | 324 | 108 | 216 | 3.6 | 45% | 54% | 44% | 38% | 19% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 12 | 33:52 | 22 | 51% | 71% | 3.6 | 31.3 | 1 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 28.2 |
| Colorado State | 12 | 26:50 | 18.3 | 33% | 47% | 5.8 | 56.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 26 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 12 | 77% (2) | 48% (24) | 54.4 | 261.5 | 4.8 | 33 (1) | .23 (18) | 3.27 (18) | 79% (22) | 7% (9) | 0.96 (69) |
| CSU Defense | 12 | 57% (131) | 46% (107) | - | - | - | - | .17 (105) | 3.26 (123) | 77% (108) | 7% (129) | 0.94 (60) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 12 | 49% (53) | 46% (110) | - | - | - | - | .31 (136) | 3.3 (127) | 76% (102) | 6% (135) | 1.21 (133) |
| CSU Offense | 12 | 45% (107) | 44% (65) | 30.3 | 108.3 | 3.6 | 13 (70) | .09 (79) | 2.97 (63) | 59% (132) | 12% (122) | 0.9 (94) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 12 | 21% (135) | 47% (21) | 8.1 | 13.7 | 145.2 | 10.6 | 18 | 13 (75) | 7 (34) | .55 (3) | 2.1 (2) | 24% (4) | 33% (39) | .39 (39) | 2% (3) | 2 (63) |
| CSU Defense | 12 | 42% (7) | 46% (117) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (31) | .38 (119) | 1.7 (123) | 27% (129) | 35% (126) | .34 (95) | 6% (59) | 1.9 (32) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 12 | 50% (85) | 54% (136) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (75) | .51 (135) | 1.5 (31) | 28% (128) | 40% (136) | .73 (136) | 4% (127) | 2.3 (128) |
| CSU Offense | 12 | 54% (28) | 38% (111) | 20.3 | 32.8 | 215.9 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 15 (103) | 12 (7) | .2 (96) | 1.5 (91) | 35% (127) | 28% (87) | .25 (91) | 7% (110) | 2 (85) |
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -8.56 #101
Air Force's Offense Rating: 10.77 #59
Air Force's Defense Rating: 19.33 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #86
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #63
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #101
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Air Force's Power Rating: -8.56 #101
Air Force's Offense Rating: 10.77 #59
Air Force's Defense Rating: 19.33 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #86
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #63
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #101
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -8.56 Colorado State: -10.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -3.5 Colorado State: -15.6
Air Force: -8.56 Colorado State: -10.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -3.5 Colorado State: -15.6
Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -10.84 #113
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 5.98 #85
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #125
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #121
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #106
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Colorado State's Power Rating: -10.84 #113
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 5.98 #85
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #125
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #121
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #106
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 27
Colorado State 22
Total Points: 48
Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 28
Colorado State 16
Total Points: 44
Based on Entire Season
Air Force 30
Colorado State 25
Total Points: 55
Air Force 27
Colorado State 22
Total Points: 48
Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 28
Colorado State 16
Total Points: 44
Based on Entire Season
Air Force 30
Colorado State 25
Total Points: 55
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1
Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1
Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/28 | Colorado State | 21 | Air Force | 42 | Air Force -2.5 | Air Force | 47.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 10/19 | Air Force | 13 | Colorado State | 21 | Colorado State -6 | Colorado State | 43.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/28 | Colorado State | 13 | Air Force | 30 | Air Force -14.5 | Air Force | 47.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/19 | Air Force | 24 | Colorado State | 12 | Air Force -22 | Colorado State | 43.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/13 | Colorado State | 21 | Air Force | 35 | Air Force -3 | Air Force | 45.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Colorado State | 21 | Air Force | 38 | Air Force -11 | Air Force | 63.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/22 | Air Force | 27 | Colorado State | 19 | Air Force -14.5 | Colorado State | 64.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/28 | Colorado State | 28 | Air Force | 45 | Colorado State -9.5 | Air Force | 68.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/12 | Air Force | 49 | Colorado State | 46 | Air Force -6 | Colorado State | 54.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/17 | Colorado State | 38 | Air Force | 23 | Air Force -3.5 | Colorado State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/28 | Air Force | 27 | Colorado State | 24 | Colorado State -5 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | Colorado State | 58 | Air Force | 13 | Colorado State -14 | Colorado State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | Air Force | 42 | Colorado State | 21 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Colorado State | 21 | Air Force | 45 | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Air Force | 49 | Colorado State | 27 | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Colorado State | 16 | Air Force | 34 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | Air Force | 38 | Colorado State | 17 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/13 | Colorado State | 21 | Air Force | 45 | ||||
| 2006 | 10/12 | Air Force | 24 | Colorado State | 21 | ||||
| 2005 | 09/29 | Colorado State | 41 | Air Force | 23 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Air Force | 47 | Colorado State | 17 | ||||
| 2003 | 10/16 | Colorado State | 30 | Air Force | 20 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/31 | Air Force | 12 | Colorado State | 31 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/08 | Colorado State | 28 | Air Force | 21 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/10 | Air Force | 44 | Colorado State | 40 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 7 | 6 | 5 Overs |
| Air Force | 18 | 6 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 10 | 3 - 9 | 1 - 4 | 2 - 5 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 15 | 9 - 3 | 5 - 2 | 4 - 1 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | AFA | CSU |
| Power RatePwr | #101 | #113 |
| SP+SP+ | #86 | #125 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #54 | #135 |
| OffenseOff | #10 | #124 |
| DefenseDef | #124 | #136 |
| Spec TeamsST | #66 | #130 |
| TalentTal | #134 | #87 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #101 | #101 |
(9/24) Def torched 2 straight weeks vs Utah St/Boise
(9/24) QB Szarka good find, Off humming, Def awful
(9/20) Off 500+ yds on Boise, impressive. Def not great
(8/30) Run Off OK vs Bucknell, expected better
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(10/22) Former QB1 Fowler-Nicolosi left CSU, portal bound
(10/19) Norvell fired, DC Tyson Summers interim
(10/4) Def suddenly torched by SDSU? Team is a tire fire
(10/2) TE1 Jaxxon Warren out vs SDSU game (in boot)
(10/2) Changing playcallers, Matt Mumme (PGC) now
(9/24) QB Brousseau much better option, good vs UTSA
(9/24) Norvell lost CSU game, pass by QB3 for 2 pts?
(9/21) QB Fowler-Nicolosi cannot play, Off a CFB worst
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
| Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21% | ||
|---|---|---|
| AFA Off | CSU Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #10 | #136 |
| SuccessSuc | #20 | #118 |
| ExplosiveExp | #89 | #78 |
| PPAPPA | #18 | #116 |
| PowerPwr | #59 | #118 |
| SP+SP+ | #63 | #106 |
| Pts POPPO | #13 | #103 |
| HavocHav | #2 | #116 |
| Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21% | ||
|---|---|---|
| AFA Off | CSU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #64 | #134 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #24 | #107 |
| Run ExplRExp | #69 | #60 |
| PPAExp | #18 | #105 | Run BlockR Blk | #6 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #18 | #123 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #2 | #122 |
| TackleTak | - | #66 |
| Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21% | ||
|---|---|---|
| AFA Off | CSU Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #43 | #116 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #21 | #117 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #2 | #123 |
| PPAExp | #3 | #119 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #98 | #135 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #9 | #129 |
| DB HavocDB | #3 | #59 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CSU Off | AFA Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #124 | #124 |
| SuccessSuc | #98 | #134 |
| ExplosiveExp | #98 | #123 |
| PPAPPA | #96 | #136 |
| PowerPwr | #85 | #129 |
| SP+SP+ | #121 | #101 |
| Pts POPPO | #86 | #123 |
| HavocHav | #125 | #133 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CSU Off | AFA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #89 | #108 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #65 | #110 |
| Run ExplRExp | #94 | #133 |
| PPAExp | #79 | #136 | Run BlockR Blk | #78 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #63 | #127 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #76 | #133 |
| TackleTak | - | #43 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CSU Off | AFA Def |
| Pass GamePass | #124 | #134 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #111 | #136 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #91 | #31 |
| PPAExp | #96 | #135 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #118 | #57 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #122 | #135 |
| DB HavocDB | #110 | #127 |
Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
CSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50°
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50°
Air Force 2.5 (47.5)
Air Force won at Colorado State this year (42-21)
Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Air Force last year (21-13)
Air Force beat Colorado State in 2023 (30-13)
Air Force beat Colorado State in 2022 (24-12)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Szarka | 75 | 120 | 63% | 1294 | 9 | 5 | 10.8 |
| Josh Johnson | 16 | 28 | 57% | 374 | 4 | 2 | 13.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Szarka | 190 | 922 | 13 | 4.9 | 64 |
| Owen Allen | 131 | 749 | 5 | 5.7 | 43 |
| Dylan Carson | 91 | 419 | 4 | 4.6 | 64 |
| Cade Harris | 61 | 321 | 4 | 5.3 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 35 | 584 | 2 | 16.7 | 74 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 21 | 370 | 6 | 17.6 | 68 |
| Quin Smith | 15 | 358 | 4 | 23.9 | 52 |
| Jonah Dawson | 12 | 260 | 1 | 21.7 | 53 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Fletcher | 108 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Roger Jones Jr. | 76 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dallas Daley | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Peyton Zdroik | 36 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Hubert | 30 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Jackson Adams | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Grady Forsythe | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylin Reese | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korey Johnson | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Dallas Daley | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Blake Fletcher | 108 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Brousseau | 128 | 201 | 64% | 1354 | 9 | 3 | 6.7 |
| Darius Curry | 70 | 107 | 65% | 740 | 5 | 7 | 6.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Dupree | 102 | 508 | 2 | 5.0 | 31 |
| Lloyd Avant (Tr) | 90 | 417 | 5 | 4.6 | 23 |
| Justin Marshall | 49 | 260 | 1 | 5.3 | 73 |
| Javion Kinnard | 12 | 56 | 0 | 4.7 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocky Beers (Tr) | 31 | 388 | 7 | 12.5 | 48 |
| Tommy Maher | 32 | 358 | 0 | 11.2 | 35 |
| Tay Lanier | 35 | 315 | 2 | 9.0 | 39 |
| Armani Winfield | 22 | 276 | 2 | 12.5 | 49 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Long | 148 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Jake Jarmolowich (Tr) | 72 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jace Bellah | 58 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Lemondre Joe (Tr) | 56 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lemondre Joe (Tr) | 56 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| Owen Long | 148 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Jeremy Naborne | 35 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Paul Tangelo (Tr) | 19 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lemondre Joe (Tr) | 56 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| Jahari Rogers (Tr) | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| Owen Long | 148 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
