Florida Atlantic at Air Force - 2021 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at Air Force Falcons

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -3.5 (54.0)
Air Force 31 - Florida Atlantic: 7

Owls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Willie Taggart (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 26 (18 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AFA 2nd straight Home Game
AFA is playing their 4th straight game
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ AFA -13)
Projected Score: FAU: 24 - AFA: 32 (56)
AFA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 1674 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Falcons (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (104 - 73)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (33 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Florida Atlantic at Florida	+23.5	51.5	L 14 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida Atlantic vs Georgia Southern	-6.5	48.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Florida Atlantic vs Fordham	-31.0	51.5	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/25	Florida Atlantic at Air Force	+3.5	54.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-10.5	52.0	W 58 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+3.5	48.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-6.5	58.0	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida Atlantic vs UTEP	-11.0	49.0	W 28 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/6	Florida Atlantic vs Marshall	+1.0	58.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion	-6.5	48.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/20	Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky	+11.5	64.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/27	Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee	-3.5	49.5	L 17 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Air Force's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Air Force vs Lafayette	-40.5	49.5	W 35 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/11	Air Force at Navy	-6.0	40.0	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Air Force vs Utah State	-9.0	54.0	L 45 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/25	Air Force vs Florida Atlantic	-3.5	54.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Air Force at New Mexico	-11.5	46.0	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Air Force vs Wyoming	-5.5	46.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Air Force at Boise State	+3.0	52.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Air Force vs San Diego State	-3.0	38.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Air Force vs Army	-2.5	37.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/13	Air Force at Colorado State	-3.0	45.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/19	Air Force at Nevada	-1.5	53.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Air Force vs UNLV	-18.5	49.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Tue 12/28	Air Force vs Louisville	-1.0	55.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.2	41%	25.4	42%	2.98	152	42%	249	3.65	.21	41%	25.8	41%	41%	3.38	59.8	1.6	1.7
AFA	.28	45%	31	46%	3.41	328	41%	96	4.32	.18	38%	19.8	36%	40%	3.64	38.8	0.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6
AFA	#103 (.13)	42% (77)		45% (60)	3.03 (68)	225	31% (131)	90	4.02 (56)	#88 (.2)	42% (68)		41% (47)	43% (89)	3.97 (84)	28	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	25.4	17.7	41.4%	3.65	1.6	20	400	152	249	4.1	49%	50%	42%	42%	17%	.2
AFA Defense	13	19.8	19.7	37.6%	3.64	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	36%	40%	20%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	25.8	31.3	40.7%	3.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	41%	17%	.21
AFA Offense	13	31	32.8	45.5%	4.32	0.8	22	424	328	96	5.1	85%	14%	46%	41%	9%	.28

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	28:29	20	42%	39%	7.1	59.8	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.3	2	28.3
Air Force	13	36:37	21.8	45%	78%	4.2	38.8	0.8	1.3	5.2	2.8	0	30.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	49%	42%	37.4	151.6	4.1	18	.16	2.98	75%	12%	1.02
AFA Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.84	81%	13%	1.18

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.84	70%	10%	1.2
AFA Offense	13	85%	46%	64.3	328.2	5.1	44	.25	3.41	80%	7%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	50%	42%	19.2	32.2	248.5	7.7	13	20	8	.29	1.7	32%	28%	.35	6%	2.2
AFA Defense	13	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.23	1.6	38%	31%	.37	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.4	33%	26%	.26	7%	2.1
AFA Offense	13	14%	41%	4.2	8.7	95.5	11	22.6	8	4	.51	2.3	27%	34%	.51	2%	2.2

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #92
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #85

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: Air Force: 6.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -5.2 Air Force: 7.4

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 6.2 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #139
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2021 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #54
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #57
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Florida Atlantic's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Air Force 32
Florida Atlantic 24

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 35
Florida Atlantic 27

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 30
Florida Atlantic 21

Total Points: 51

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Air Force's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/25	Air Force	31	Florida Atlantic	7	Air Force -3.5	Air Force	54.0	Under
2018	09/08	Florida Atlantic	33	Air Force	26	Florida Atlantic -8	Air Force	61.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	1	2	0 Overs
Florida Atlantic	1	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) FAU at (#) AFA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	AFA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#54
Perf GradeGrade	#88	#3
OffenseOff	#107	#2
DefenseDef	#32	#36
Spec TeamsST	#107	#66
TalentTal	#71	#139
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Air Force Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	AFA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#33
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	#110	#81
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#8

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#56
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#13
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#2	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#27	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#111	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Air Force -3.5 (54.0)
Air Force won vs Florida Atlantic this year (31-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FAU's OC Mike Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Mike Stoops (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD