Air Force at UConn - 2025 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Rentschler Field - East Hartford, CT

 
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
AFA 2nd straight Road Game
CONN 3rd straight Home Game
CONN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UConn -11.5   (SP+ CONN -2)
Projected Score: AFA: 19 - CONN: 30 (49)
CONN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
AFA Travel: 1697 miles, 2 hrs behind
Huskies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
 
Air Force's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Bucknell-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Utah State-0
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Boise State+20
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Hawai'i-1
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+11
Sat 10/11 Air Force at UNLV+10.5
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs Wyoming-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Army+7
Sat 11/8 Air Force at San José State+10.5
Sat 11/15 Air Force at UConn+11.5
Sat 11/22 Air Force vs New Mexico-6
Sat 11/29 Air Force at Colorado State+6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
UConn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UConn vs Central Connecticut-19.5
Sat 9/6 UConn at Syracuse+12
Sat 9/13 UConn at Delaware-10
Sat 9/20 UConn vs Ball State-21
Sat 9/27 UConn at Buffalo-1
Sat 10/4 UConn vs Florida International-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 UConn at Boston College+8.5
Sat 10/25 UConn at Rice-10.5
Sat 11/1 UConn vs UAB-13.5
Sat 11/8 UConn vs Duke+7
Sat 11/15 UConn vs Air Force-11.5
Sat 11/22 UConn at Florida Atlantic-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)18.945% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)23.341% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)31.943% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)23.142% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1218.919.242.1%4.021.31831422590482%18%45%31%12%.13
CONN Defense1323.116.339.4%3.361.1 - - - - - 49%51%42%37%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1223.328.841.7%3.971 - - - - - 56%44%41%43%15%.2
CONN Offense1331.936.941.8%4.091.2193711841875.254%46%43%40%13%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1233:5817.942%64%3281.314.31.5028.6
UConn1327:1619.137%47%550.41.21.15.21.6231.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1282% (2)45% (60)55.7224.7424 (45).15 (60)3.03 (68)83% (11)9% (55)0.88 (112)
CONN Defense1349% (45)42% (63) - - - - .05 (29)2.76 (31)63% (18)10% (78)0.89 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1256% (120)41% (47) - - - - .1 (56)3.02 (73)66% (28)10% (63)1.07 (101)
CONN Offense1354% (39)43% (82)35.7184.15.222 (55).18 (40)3.07 (58)77% (39)7% (13)1.03 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1218% (133)31% (131)5.211.589.87.817.45 (134)10 (63).09 (124)2.1 (1)27% (14)25% (124).18 (111)3% (2)2.1 (66)
CONN Defense1351% (84)37% (23) - - - - - - 9 (76).17 (35)1.5 (37)32% (72)26% (17).28 (57)7% (23)2.1 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1244% (16)43% (89) - - - - - - 4 (125).33 (107)1.6 (63)31% (79)30% (54).3 (63)5% (120)2 (60)
CONN Offense1346% (96)40% (84)15.828.6186.86.511.823 (41)9 (48).23 (85)1.5 (114)30% (47)30% (88).29 (86)6% (87)2 (82)

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -18.74 #117
Air Force's Offense Rating: 5.28 #121
Air Force's Defense Rating: 24.02 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 176.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3 #94
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #59

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 499.83
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.68

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -18.74   UConn: -1.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -7.3   UConn: -5.4




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -1.405 #70
UConn's Offense Rating: 13.36 #73
UConn's Defense Rating: 15.77 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #84
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #86

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 817
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.68


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 30
Air Force 19

Projected Total Points: 49
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn000 Overs
Air Force000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#117) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.74 #117
Offense Rating: 5.28 #121
Defense Rating: 24.02 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #59
Talent Rating: 176.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Air Force Notes
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
(5/5) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Bad LY, jump?
(5/5) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. DL small
(5/5) Expect Calhoun to bounce back after down '24
Air Force     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #117
#70
Off #121
#73
Def #116
#73
Talent #134
#96
SP+ #94
#84
SP+ Off #116
#84
SP+ Def #59
#86

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AFA | CONN
Depth Chart: AFA | CONN
Rosters: AFA | CONN
(#70) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.405 #70
Offense Rating: 13.36 #73
Defense Rating: 15.77 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #86
Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UConn Notes
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well


  
Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Johnson61443%126139.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Carson13860054.350
Owen Allen7733524.414
Cade Harris4827945.830
Christopher Frew4526015.830
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris23368216.076
Quin Smith10207120.739
Bruin Fleischmann5104020.843
James Roberson596119.245

View Air Force's Full Roster
Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher375221
Daniel Grobe305113
Luke Fisher221000
Aidan Swartz223111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peyton Zdroik187330
Blake Fletcher375221
Aidan Swartz223111
Daniel Grobe305113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Grobe305113
Kyle Chen212002
Blake Fletcher375221

UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers9718054%918555.1
Tucker McDonald3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers8024533.123
Victor Rosa167214.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell50860517.270
TJ Sheffield5450539.458
Chris Parker (Tr)29360312.444
Louis Hansen2423649.855

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald12510483
Tyquan King (Tr)1116360
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Rante Jones562032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald12510483
Tyquan King (Tr)1116360
Donovan Branch244142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
Malachi McLean441004