Northern Iowa at Air Force - 2022 Matchup Preview

Northern Iowa Panthers at Air Force Falcons

Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (1:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -14.5 (46.5)
Air Force 48 - Northern Iowa: 17

Panthers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 48 (17 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ AFA -4)
AFA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%

Falcons (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (111 - 75)
Avg Score : 28 - 13 (32 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNI Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Iowa's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Northern Iowa at Air Force	+14.5	46.5	L 17 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Iowa's Schedule

Air Force's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Air Force vs Northern Iowa	-14.5	46.5	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Air Force vs Colorado	-17.5	50.0	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Fri 9/16	Air Force at Wyoming	-16.5	47.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Fri 9/23	Air Force vs Nevada	-24.0	47.0	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Air Force vs Navy	-14.0	38.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/8	Air Force at Utah State	-11.5	54.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/15	Air Force at UNLV	-10.0	50.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Air Force vs Boise State	-2.5	46.5	L 14 - 19	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Air Force vs Army	-7.0	40.5	W 13 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/12	Air Force vs New Mexico	-21.0	37.5	W 35 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Air Force vs Colorado State	-22.0	43.0	W 24 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/26	Air Force at San Diego State	-2.0	43.5	W 13 - 3	U	Y
Thu 12/22	Air Force vs Baylor	+3.5	42.0	W 30 - 15	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNI		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	48	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA	.3	49%	27.8	50%	3.55	327	39%	70	4.25	.11	39%	13.4	38%	42%	3.77	29.7	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA	#103 (.13)	42% (77)		45% (60)	3.03 (68)	225	31% (131)	90	4.02 (56)	#88 (.2)	42% (68)		41% (47)	43% (89)	3.97 (84)	28	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNI Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
AFA Defense	13	13.4	13	39.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	38%	42%	20%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNI Defense	1	48	48	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
AFA Offense	13	27.8	31.9	48.5%	4.25	1	20	398	327	70	5.3	87%	13%	50%	39%	10%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Iowa	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Air Force	13	36:21	20.5	45%	72%	3.9	29.7	1	1.3	5.1	1.8	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNI Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
AFA Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.06	62%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNI Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
AFA Offense	13	87%	50%	61.7	327.2	5.3	37	.28	3.55	84%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNI Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
AFA Defense	13	45%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.3	33%	24%	.19	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNI Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
AFA Offense	13	13%	39%	3.2	6.7	70.5	10.5	22.3	8	2	.53	2.6	26%	33%	.36	2%	1.9

Northern Iowa's Power Ratings
Northern Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Iowa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northern Iowa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Iowa: Air Force: 4.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Iowa: Air Force: 3.9

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 4.45 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #149
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2022 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #58
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #115
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #10

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northern Iowa Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 48 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Northern Iowa's 2022 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Air Force 38
Northern Iowa 17

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 36
Northern Iowa 19

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 39
Northern Iowa 15

Total Points: 54

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 13.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Air Force's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/03	Air Force	48	Northern Iowa	17	Air Force -14.5	Air Force	46.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	1	1	1 Overs
Northern Iowa	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) UNI at (#) AFA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNI	AFA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#58
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#5
OffenseOff	NR	#4
DefenseDef	NR	#29
Spec TeamsST	NR	#20
TalentTal	#141	#149
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northern Iowa Injury Report

Air Force Injury Report

Northern Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	UNI Off	AFA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	UNI Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

Northern Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNI Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#40
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#55
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	UNI Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	UNI Def
Run GameRun	#10	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	UNI Def
Pass GamePass	#75	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UNI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 79° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Air Force -14.5 (46.5)
Air Force won vs Northern Iowa this year (48-17)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Northern Iowa in 2022 (48-17)

UNI's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Iowa's Full Roster

UNI's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC Brian Knorr (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD