Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -18 (38.5) (-1100) Open: -23.0
Army 20 - Air Force: 3
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
AFA coming off BYE
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -27 (SP+ ARMY -21)
Projected Score: AFA: 8 - ARMY: 35 (44)
ARMY Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs behind
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -27 (SP+ ARMY -21)
Projected Score: AFA: 8 - ARMY: 35 (44)
ARMY Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs behind
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
| Air Force's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Air Force vs Merrimack | -30.5 | 47.5 | W 21 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Air Force vs San José State | -1.5 | 43.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Air Force at Baylor | +17.5 | 40.5 | L 3 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Air Force at Wyoming | -4.0 | 33.5 | L 19 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Air Force vs Navy | +10.0 | 37.0 | L 7 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Air Force at New Mexico | +7.0 | 56.0 | L 37 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Air Force vs Colorado State | +6.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Air Force at Army | +18.0 | 38.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Air Force vs Fresno State | +9.5 | 40.5 | W 36 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Air Force vs Oregon State | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 28 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Air Force at Nevada | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 22 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Air Force at San Diego State | -6.5 | 43.5 | W 31 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
| Army's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Army vs Lehigh | -28 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Army at Florida Atlantic | +1.5 | 42.5 | W 24 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Army vs Rice | -7.0 | 44.0 | W 37 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/26 | Army at Temple | -11.0 | 46.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Army at Tulsa | -13.5 | 50.5 | W 49 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Army vs UAB | -27.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Army vs East Carolina | -17.5 | 54.0 | W 45 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Army vs Air Force | -18.0 | 38.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Army at North Texas | -6.5 | 68.0 | W 14 - 3 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Army vs Notre Dame | +14.5 | 44.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Army vs UTSA | -6.5 | 53.5 | W 29 - 24 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/6 | Army vs Tulane | +4.5 | 46.5 | W 35 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/14 | Army vs Navy | -6.0 | 39.5 | ||||
| Sat 12/28 | Army vs Louisiana Tech | -15.0 | 44.5 | W 27 - 6 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Army's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #26 (.28) | 45% (31) | 18.9 | 46% (34) | 3.48 (8) | 281 | 41% (74) | 85 | 4.05 (52) | #28 (.12) | 39% (38) | 23.3 | 37% (16) | 42% (79) | 3.96 (85) | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| ARMY | #99 (.13) | 40% (99) | 31.1 | 41% (91) | 3.33 (27) | 209 | 37% (105) | 103 | 3.07 (122) | #95 (.23) | 46% (116) | 15.5 | 47% (107) | 46% (119) | 2.58 (3) | 36.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| ARMY | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 18.9 | 19.2 | 45.5% | 4.05 | 1.3 | 20 | 366 | 281 | 85 | 5.1 | 85% | 14% | 46% | 41% | 9% | .28 |
| ARMY Defense | 12 | 15.5 | 14.3 | 45.6% | 2.58 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 43% | 47% | 46% | 12% | .23 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 23.3 | 28.8 | 39.3% | 3.96 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 37% | 42% | 14% | .12 |
| ARMY Offense | 12 | 31.1 | 36 | 39.5% | 3.07 | 1.8 | 16 | 312 | 209 | 103 | 4.4 | 76% | 22% | 41% | 37% | 12% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 13 | 33:26 | 19.6 | 46% | 68% | 3 | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 30.6 |
| Army | 12 | 32:32 | 16.3 | 38% | 59% | 3.9 | 36.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 32.7 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 85% (1) | 46% (34) | 54.7 | 280.6 | 5.1 | 36 (4) | .27 (14) | 3.48 (8) | 80% (19) | 8% (22) | 1.02 (56) |
| ARMY Defense | 12 | 56% (123) | 47% (107) | - | - | - | - | .26 (123) | 3.44 (122) | 63% (17) | 8% (112) | 1.06 (96) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 49% (58) | 37% (16) | - | - | - | - | .06 (26) | 2.67 (13) | 79% (106) | 9% (93) | 0.99 (61) |
| ARMY Offense | 12 | 76% (2) | 41% (91) | 47.8 | 208.8 | 4.4 | 19 (69) | .11 (88) | 3.33 (27) | 82% (9) | 9% (42) | 0.89 (118) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 14% (133) | 41% (74) | 4.2 | 8.1 | 85 | 10.5 | 20.1 | 7 (129) | 6 (14) | .51 (9) | 2.3 (1) | 23% (1) | 27% (93) | .39 (48) | 2% (1) | 2.3 (7) |
| ARMY Defense | 12 | 43% (9) | 46% (119) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (87) | .27 (71) | 1.4 (16) | 27% (130) | 29% (57) | .26 (40) | 4% (131) | 2.2 (110) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 50% (80) | 42% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .21 (36) | 1.5 (19) | 34% (44) | 29% (45) | .34 (85) | 5% (103) | 2 (59) |
| ARMY Offense | 12 | 22% (132) | 37% (105) | 6.9 | 13.7 | 102.8 | 7.5 | 14.9 | 7 (129) | 11 (68) | .33 (51) | 2 (2) | 29% (21) | 23% (127) | .14 (120) | 3% (5) | 1.9 (115) |
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Air Force's Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -22.84 Army: 9.865
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7 Army: 9.2
Air Force: -22.84 Army: 9.865
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7 Army: 9.2
Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Army 35
Air Force 8
Projected Total Points: 44
Army 35
Air Force 8
Projected Total Points: 44
Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3
Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3
Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Army | 20 | Air Force | 3 | Army | Army -18 | Air Force | 38.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/04 | Air Force | 3 | Army | 23 | Army | Air Force -18.5 | Army | 32.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | Army | 7 | Air Force | 13 | Air Force | Air Force -7 | Army | 40.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Air Force | 14 | Army | 21 | Army | Air Force -2.5 | Army | 37.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/19 | Army | 10 | Air Force | 7 | Army | Air Force -3 | Army | 37.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Air Force | 17 | Army | 13 | Air Force | Air Force -17 | Army | 44.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Army | 17 | Air Force | 14 | Army | Army -4.5 | Air Force | 41.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Air Force | 0 | Army | 21 | Army | Air Force -6.5 | Army | 54.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Army | 12 | Air Force | 31 | Air Force | Air Force -3 | Air Force | 46.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/07 | Air Force | 20 | Army | 3 | Air Force | Air Force -17.5 | Army | 50.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Army | 6 | Air Force | 23 | Air Force | Air Force -5.5 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Air Force | 42 | Army | 28 | Air Force | Air Force -1.5 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/03 | Army | 41 | Air Force | 21 | Army | ||||
| 2011 | 11/05 | Air Force | 24 | Army | 14 | Air Force | ||||
| 2010 | 11/06 | Army | 22 | Air Force | 42 | Air Force | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Air Force | 35 | Army | 7 | Air Force | ||||
| 2008 | 11/01 | Army | 7 | Air Force | 16 | Air Force | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Air Force | 30 | Army | 10 | Air Force | ||||
| 2006 | 11/03 | Army | 7 | Air Force | 43 | Air Force | ||||
| 2005 | 11/05 | Air Force | 24 | Army | 27 | Army | ||||
| 2004 | 11/06 | Army | 22 | Air Force | 31 | Air Force | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Air Force | 31 | Army | 3 | Air Force | ||||
| 2002 | 11/09 | Army | 30 | Air Force | 49 | Air Force | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Air Force | 34 | Army | 24 | Air Force | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Army | 27 | Air Force | 41 | Air Force |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Army | 8 | 7 | 0 Overs |
| Air Force | 17 | 5 | 10 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 13 | 3 - 9 | 1 - 7 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 12 | 9 - 3 | 2 - 2 | 7 - 1 |
(#125) Air Force Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Power #125
#42Off #112
#9Def #117
#64Talent #131
#133SP+ #111
#37SP+ Off #120
#42SP+ Def #76
#33Rematch from Week 10
Army -18.0 (38.5)
Army won vs Air Force this year (20-3)
Previous Matchups
Army beat Air Force last year (20-3)
Army beat Air Force in 2023 (23-3)
Air Force beat Army in 2022 (13-7)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56°
Team Information
Injuries: AFA | ARMY
Depth Chart: AFA | ARMY
Rosters: AFA | ARMY
(#42) Army Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Hayes | 25 | 43 | 58% | 455 | 3 | 2 | 10.6 |
| Josh Johnson | 6 | 14 | 43% | 126 | 1 | 3 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carson | 138 | 600 | 5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Quentin Hayes | 126 | 466 | 7 | 3.7 | 30 |
| Owen Allen | 77 | 335 | 2 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Cade Harris | 48 | 279 | 4 | 5.8 | 30 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 23 | 368 | 2 | 16.0 | 76 |
| Quin Smith | 10 | 207 | 1 | 20.7 | 39 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 5 | 104 | 0 | 20.8 | 43 |
| James Roberson | 5 | 96 | 1 | 19.2 | 45 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Blake Fletcher | 37 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Trey Williams | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Peyton Zdroik | 18 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Blake Fletcher | 37 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Daniel Grobe | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewayne Coleman | 11 | 16 | 69% | 121 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| James Wagenseller | 1 | 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye Udoh | 179 | 1117 | 10 | 6.2 | 72 |
| Noah Short | 75 | 569 | 2 | 7.6 | 61 |
| Hayden Reed | 40 | 207 | 1 | 5.2 | 15 |
| Dewayne Coleman | 38 | 136 | 1 | 3.6 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Short | 17 | 318 | 3 | 18.7 | 58 |
| Hayden Reed | 6 | 63 | 1 | 10.5 | 23 |
| Liam Fortner | 1 | 28 | 0 | 28.0 | 28 |
| Samari Howard | 2 | 11 | 0 | 5.5 | 7 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andon Thomas | 85 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kalib Fortner | 76 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Casey Larkin | 45 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Justin Weaver | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo Modozie | 30 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| Kalib Fortner | 76 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Kody Harris-Miller | 30 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Eric Ford | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Shields | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jaydan Mayes | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kalib Fortner | 76 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 |