Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -18 (38.5) (-1100) Open: -23.0
Army 20 - Air Force: 3
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
AFA coming off BYE
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -27 (SP+ ARMY -21)
Projected Score: AFA: 8 - ARMY: 35 (43)
ARMY Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs behind
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -27 (SP+ ARMY -21)
Projected Score: AFA: 8 - ARMY: 35 (43)
ARMY Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs behind
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
| Air Force's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Air Force vs Merrimack | -30.5 | 47.5 | W 21 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Air Force vs San José State | -1.5 | 43.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Air Force at Baylor | +17.5 | 40.5 | L 3 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Air Force at Wyoming | -4.0 | 33.5 | L 19 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Air Force vs Navy | +10.0 | 37.0 | L 7 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Air Force at New Mexico | +7.0 | 56.0 | L 37 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Air Force vs Colorado State | +6.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Air Force at Army | +18.0 | 38.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Air Force vs Fresno State | +9.5 | 40.5 | W 36 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Air Force vs Oregon State | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 28 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Air Force at Nevada | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 22 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Air Force at San Diego State | -6.5 | 43.5 | W 31 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
| Army's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Army vs Lehigh | -28 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Army at Florida Atlantic | +1.5 | 42.5 | W 24 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Army vs Rice | -7.0 | 44.0 | W 37 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/26 | Army at Temple | -11.0 | 46.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Army at Tulsa | -13.5 | 50.5 | W 49 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Army vs UAB | -27.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Army vs East Carolina | -17.5 | 54.0 | W 45 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Army vs Air Force | -18.0 | 38.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Army at North Texas | -6.5 | 68.0 | W 14 - 3 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Army vs Notre Dame | +14.5 | 44.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Army vs UTSA | -6.5 | 53.5 | W 29 - 24 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/6 | Army vs Tulane | +4.5 | 46.5 | W 35 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/14 | Army vs Navy | -6.0 | 39.5 | ||||
| Sat 12/28 | Army vs Louisiana Tech | -15.0 | 44.5 | W 27 - 6 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Army's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 18.9 | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 23.3 | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 |
| ARMY | #10 (.32) | 51% (6) | 31.1 | 52% (7) | 3.57 (5) | 278 | 43% (52) | 76 | 4.47 (19) | #39 (.12) | 43% (89) | 15.5 | 45% (87) | 43% (88) | 2.57 (2) | 30.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 | ||
| ARMY | #10 (.32) | 51% (6) | 52% (7) | 3.57 (5) | 278 | 43% (52) | 76 | 4.47 (19) | #39 (.12) | 43% (89) | 45% (87) | 43% (88) | 2.57 (2) | 30.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 12 | 18.9 | 19.2 | 42.1% | 4.02 | 1.3 | 18 | 314 | 225 | 90 | 4 | 82% | 18% | 45% | 31% | 12% | .13 |
| ARMY Defense | 14 | 15.5 | 14.3 | 43.4% | 2.57 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 45% | 43% | 14% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 12 | 23.3 | 28.8 | 41.7% | 3.97 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 41% | 43% | 15% | .2 |
| ARMY Offense | 14 | 31.1 | 36 | 50.7% | 4.47 | 0.6 | 19 | 354 | 278 | 76 | 5.6 | 86% | 14% | 52% | 43% | 8% | .32 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 12 | 33:58 | 17.9 | 42% | 64% | 3 | 28 | 1.3 | 1 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 28.6 |
| Army | 14 | 32:46 | 19.1 | 49% | 77% | 3.1 | 30.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0 | 29.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 12 | 82% (2) | 45% (60) | 55.7 | 224.7 | 4 | 24 (45) | .15 (60) | 3.03 (68) | 83% (11) | 9% (55) | 0.88 (112) |
| ARMY Defense | 14 | 47% (32) | 45% (87) | - | - | - | - | .14 (79) | 3.22 (100) | 67% (29) | 9% (92) | 0.94 (46) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 12 | 56% (120) | 41% (47) | - | - | - | - | .1 (56) | 3.02 (73) | 66% (28) | 10% (63) | 1.07 (101) |
| ARMY Offense | 14 | 86% (1) | 52% (7) | 49.9 | 277.8 | 5.6 | 44 (2) | .3 (9) | 3.57 (5) | 86% (3) | 6% (2) | 0.98 (60) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 12 | 18% (133) | 31% (131) | 5.2 | 11.5 | 89.8 | 7.8 | 17.4 | 5 (134) | 10 (63) | .09 (124) | 2.1 (1) | 27% (14) | 25% (124) | .18 (111) | 3% (2) | 2.1 (66) |
| ARMY Defense | 14 | 52% (99) | 43% (88) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .15 (30) | 1.5 (25) | 32% (68) | 30% (57) | .29 (60) | 5% (96) | 2.1 (91) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 12 | 44% (16) | 43% (89) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (125) | .33 (107) | 1.6 (63) | 31% (79) | 30% (54) | .3 (63) | 5% (120) | 2 (60) |
| ARMY Offense | 14 | 14% (134) | 43% (52) | 4.6 | 8.1 | 75.9 | 9.4 | 16.6 | 10 (127) | 4 (1) | .43 (8) | 1.9 (4) | 23% (1) | 32% (56) | .31 (80) | 2% (1) | 1.7 (134) |
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Air Force's Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -22.84 Army: 9.865
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7 Army: 9.2
Air Force: -22.84 Army: 9.865
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7 Army: 9.2
Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Army 35
Air Force 8
Total Points: 43
Army 35
Air Force 8
Total Points: 43
Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3
Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3
Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Army | 20 | Air Force | 3 | Army | Army -18 | Air Force | 38.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/04 | Air Force | 3 | Army | 23 | Army | Air Force -18.5 | Army | 32.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | Army | 7 | Air Force | 13 | Air Force | Air Force -7 | Army | 40.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Air Force | 14 | Army | 21 | Army | Air Force -2.5 | Army | 37.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/19 | Army | 10 | Air Force | 7 | Army | Air Force -3 | Army | 37.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Air Force | 17 | Army | 13 | Air Force | Air Force -17 | Army | 44.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Army | 17 | Air Force | 14 | Army | Army -4.5 | Air Force | 41.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Air Force | 0 | Army | 21 | Army | Air Force -6.5 | Army | 54.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Army | 12 | Air Force | 31 | Air Force | Air Force -3 | Air Force | 46.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/07 | Air Force | 20 | Army | 3 | Air Force | Air Force -17.5 | Army | 50.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Army | 6 | Air Force | 23 | Air Force | Air Force -5.5 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Air Force | 42 | Army | 28 | Air Force | Air Force -1.5 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/03 | Army | 41 | Air Force | 21 | Army | ||||
| 2011 | 11/05 | Air Force | 24 | Army | 14 | Air Force | ||||
| 2010 | 11/06 | Army | 22 | Air Force | 42 | Air Force | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Air Force | 35 | Army | 7 | Air Force | ||||
| 2008 | 11/01 | Army | 7 | Air Force | 16 | Air Force | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Air Force | 30 | Army | 10 | Air Force | ||||
| 2006 | 11/03 | Army | 7 | Air Force | 43 | Air Force | ||||
| 2005 | 11/05 | Air Force | 24 | Army | 27 | Army | ||||
| 2004 | 11/06 | Army | 22 | Air Force | 31 | Air Force | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Air Force | 31 | Army | 3 | Air Force | ||||
| 2002 | 11/09 | Army | 30 | Air Force | 49 | Air Force | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Air Force | 34 | Army | 24 | Air Force | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Army | 27 | Air Force | 41 | Air Force |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Army | 8 | 7 | 0 Overs |
| Air Force | 17 | 5 | 10 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 13 | 3 - 9 | 1 - 7 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 12 | 9 - 3 | 2 - 2 | 7 - 1 |
(#125) Air Force Info
Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force has lost 6 straight
Air Force has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Air Force Highlights
Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#52)
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force has a really bad Offense
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force pass game is really bad (#83)
Air Force does not Sack the QB (#13)
Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force has lost 6 straight
Air Force has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Air Force Highlights
Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#52)
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force has a really bad Offense
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force pass game is really bad (#83)
Air Force does not Sack the QB (#13)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARMY | AFA |
| OverallOver | #6 | #69 |
| OffenseOff | #1 | #59 |
| DefenseDef | #60 | #93 |
| Special TeamsST | #48 | #106 |
| PassingPass | #52 | #99 |
| RushingRush | #9 | #78 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #1 | #15 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #61 | #116 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #2 | #93 |
| TacklingTkl | #55 | #54 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #68 | #86 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #88 | #82 |
| Coverage DefCov | #55 | #93 |
Rematch from Week 10
Army -18.0 (38.5)
Army won vs Air Force this year (20-3)
Previous Matchups
Army beat Air Force last year (20-3)
Army beat Air Force in 2023 (23-3)
Air Force beat Army in 2022 (13-7)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: AFA | ARMY
Depth Chart: AFA | ARMY
Rosters: AFA | ARMY
(#42) Army Info
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Army has won 7 straight
Army has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
Army Highlights
Army is Undefeated at Home
Army has Really Good Running Game (#58)
Army offense is efficent (#99)
Army has a top Offensive Line (#107)
Army offense is good in red zone (#83)
Army offense is good on 3rd downs
Army does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#40)
Army defense is really good in red zone (#111)
Army has a great TO Margin (#54)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)
Army defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Army Deficiencies
Army offense is not Explosive (#90)
Army has a bad defensive line (#46)
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Army has won 7 straight
Army has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
Army Highlights
Army is Undefeated at Home
Army has Really Good Running Game (#58)
Army offense is efficent (#99)
Army has a top Offensive Line (#107)
Army offense is good in red zone (#83)
Army offense is good on 3rd downs
Army does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#40)
Army defense is really good in red zone (#111)
Army has a great TO Margin (#54)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)
Army defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Army Deficiencies
Army offense is not Explosive (#90)
Army has a bad defensive line (#46)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Busha | 29 | 79 | 37% | 415 | 1 | 5 | 5.3 |
| Quentin Hayes | 25 | 43 | 58% | 455 | 3 | 2 | 10.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carson | 138 | 600 | 5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Quentin Hayes | 126 | 466 | 7 | 3.7 | 30 |
| Owen Allen | 77 | 335 | 2 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Cade Harris | 48 | 279 | 4 | 5.8 | 30 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 23 | 368 | 2 | 16.0 | 76 |
| Quin Smith | 10 | 207 | 1 | 20.7 | 39 |
| Jared Roznos | 5 | 109 | 0 | 21.8 | 52 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 5 | 104 | 0 | 20.8 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camby Goff | 67 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jamari Bellamy | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Osaro Aihie | 58 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Peyton Zdroik | 18 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Osaro Aihie | 58 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamari Bellamy | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Trey Williams | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Camby Goff | 67 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Daily | 54 | 103 | 52% | 1007 | 9 | 4 | 9.8 |
| Dewayne Coleman | 11 | 16 | 69% | 121 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Daily | 311 | 1653 | 32 | 5.3 | 42 |
| Kanye Udoh | 179 | 1117 | 10 | 6.2 | 72 |
| Noah Short | 75 | 569 | 2 | 7.6 | 61 |
| Hayden Reed | 40 | 207 | 1 | 5.2 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Reynolds | 19 | 449 | 3 | 23.6 | 50 |
| Noah Short | 17 | 318 | 3 | 18.7 | 58 |
| Cam Schurr | 7 | 83 | 1 | 11.9 | 18 |
| Hayden Reed | 6 | 63 | 1 | 10.5 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andon Thomas | 85 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kalib Fortner | 76 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Max DiDomenico | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Chance Keith | 45 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo Modozie | 30 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| Brett Gerena | 40 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Lewis | 25 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Kalib Fortner | 76 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Shields | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Max DiDomenico | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Chance Keith | 45 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |