Army vs Air Force Game Matchup

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (2:30 PM EDT)
Air Force -18.5 (32.0) (-1100) Open: -18.5
Army 23 - Air Force: 3

Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (32 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AFA is playing their 4th straight game
ARMY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Air Force -11 (SP+ AFA -10)
Projected Score: ARMY: 13 - AFA: 24 (44)
AFA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
ARMY Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Falcons (9 - 4) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARMY Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Army's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Army at UL Monroe	-8.5	47.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Army vs Delaware State	-39.5	44.0	W 57 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Army at UTSA	+7.0	42.0	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Army at Syracuse	+13.0	50.5	L 16 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Army vs Boston College	-2.5	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Army vs Troy	+6.5	41.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/21	Army at LSU	+33.0	60.0	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/28	Army vs Massachusetts	-10.0	49.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/4	Army vs Air Force	+18.5	32.0	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Army vs Holy Cross	-11.5	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	Army vs Coastal Carolina	+1.5	40.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Army vs Navy	-2.0	28.0	W 17 - 11	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Air Force's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Air Force vs Robert Morris	-47.0	51.0	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Air Force vs Sam Houston	-13.5	36.5	W 13 - 3	U	N
Fri 9/15	Air Force vs Utah State	-9.0	45.5	W 39 - 21	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Air Force at San José State	-6.0	45.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Air Force vs San Diego State	-10.5	43.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Air Force vs Wyoming	-12.5	42.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/21	Air Force at Navy	-11.0	34.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/28	Air Force at Colorado State	-14.5	47.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Air Force vs Army	-18.5	32.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/11	Air Force at Hawai'i	-22.5	47.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Air Force vs UNLV	-2.5	46.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Air Force at Boise State	+6.5	44.5	L 19 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/23	Air Force vs James Madison	-2.5	44.5	W 31 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY	.27	45%	31.1	48%	3.33	289	28%	77	4.25	.22	48%	15.5	50%	47%	3.69	38.8	1	1.7
AFA	.3	49%	18.9	50%	3.55	327	39%	70	4.25	.11	39%	23.3	38%	42%	3.77	29.7	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Offense	12	31.1	32.3	44.5%	4.25	1	18	366	289	77	5.4	85%	14%	48%	28%	11%	.27
AFA Defense	13	23.3	17.7	39.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	38%	42%	20%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Defense	12	15.5	7.8	47.9%	3.69	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	50%	47%	13%	.22
AFA Offense	13	18.9	18.7	48.5%	4.25	1	20	398	327	70	5.3	87%	13%	50%	39%	10%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Army	12	31:37	17.6	44%	53%	4.8	38.8	1	1.7	3.8	1.5	3	29.6
Air Force	13	36:21	20.5	45%	72%	3.9	29.7	1	1.3	5.1	1.8	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense	12	85%	48%	53.8	288.9	5.4	38	.27	3.33	74%	8%	1.05
AFA Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.06	62%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense	12	61%	50%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.47	74%	8%	0.94
AFA Offense	13	87%	50%	61.7	327.2	5.3	37	.28	3.55	84%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense	12	14%	28%	3.5	8.7	77	8.9	22	5	4	.32	2.3	25%	23%	.34	3%	2.2
AFA Defense	13	45%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.3	33%	24%	.19	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense	12	37%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.33	1.5	26%	34%	.27	5%	1.9
AFA Offense	13	13%	39%	3.2	6.7	70.5	10.5	22.3	8	2	.53	2.6	26%	33%	.36	2%	1.9

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -12.25 #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
2023 Talent Rating: 674.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: -12.25 Air Force: 2.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: -5.2 Air Force: 5.2

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.21 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.8

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Air Force 24
Army 13

Projected Total Points: 44

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Army	20	Air Force	3	Army	Army -18	Air Force	38.5	Under
2023	11/04	Air Force	3	Army	23	Army	Air Force -18.5	Army	32.0	Under
2022	11/05	Army	7	Air Force	13	Air Force	Air Force -7	Army	40.5	Under
2021	11/06	Air Force	14	Army	21	Army	Air Force -2.5	Army	37.5	Under
2020	12/19	Army	10	Air Force	7	Army	Air Force -3	Army	37.0	Under
2019	11/02	Air Force	17	Army	13	Air Force	Air Force -17	Army	44.5	Under
2018	11/03	Army	17	Air Force	14	Army	Army -4.5	Air Force	41.5	Under
2017	11/04	Air Force	0	Army	21	Army	Air Force -6.5	Army	54.5	Under
2016	11/05	Army	12	Air Force	31	Air Force	Air Force -3	Air Force	46.5	Under
2015	11/07	Air Force	20	Army	3	Air Force	Air Force -17.5	Army	50.5	Under
2014	11/01	Army	6	Air Force	23	Air Force	Air Force -5.5	Air Force	0
2013	11/02	Air Force	42	Army	28	Air Force	Air Force -1.5	Air Force	0
2012	11/03	Army	41	Air Force	21	Army
2011	11/05	Air Force	24	Army	14	Air Force
2010	11/06	Army	22	Air Force	42	Air Force
2009	11/07	Air Force	35	Army	7	Air Force
2008	11/01	Army	7	Air Force	16	Air Force
2007	11/03	Air Force	30	Army	10	Air Force
2006	11/03	Army	7	Air Force	43	Air Force
2005	11/05	Air Force	24	Army	27	Army
2004	11/06	Army	22	Air Force	31	Air Force
2003	11/08	Air Force	31	Army	3	Air Force
2002	11/09	Army	30	Air Force	49	Air Force
2001	11/03	Air Force	34	Army	24	Air Force
2000	11/03	Army	27	Air Force	41	Air Force

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	17	5	0 Overs
Army	8	7	10 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	3 - 9	1 - 7	2 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 12	9 - 3	2 - 2	7 - 1

(#125) Army Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.25 #125
Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 674.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

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Army Ratings Matchup Air Force

Power #125

#69

Off #111

#34

Def #93

#34

Talent #55

#43

SP+ #82

#45

SP+ Off #113

#76

SP+ Def #41

#29

Rematch from Week 10
Air Force -18.5 (32.0)
Army won at Air Force this year (23-3)

Previous Matchups
Army beat Air Force last year (20-3)
Army beat Air Force in 2023 (23-3)
Air Force beat Army in 2022 (13-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Empower Field at Mile High
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 59° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ARMY | AFA
Depth Chart: ARMY | AFA
Rosters: ARMY | AFA

(#69) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.21 #69
Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70

Team Profile

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Army's OC Matt Drinkall

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	54	103	52%	1007	9	4	9.8
Tyrell Robinson	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	311	1653	32	5.3	42
Tyrell Robinson	19	89	0	4.7	23
Matthew Rhodes	2	35	1	17.5	23
Miles Stewart	4	27	0	6.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Casey Reynolds	19	449	3	23.6	50
Cam Schurr	7	83	1	11.9	18
Isaiah Alston	2	52	0	26.0	39
David Crossan	1	52	0	52.0	52

View Army's Full Roster

Army's DC Nate Woody

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tano Letuli	67	4	2	2	0
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3
Brett Gerena	40	3	3	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Kyle Lewis	25	4	3	1
Brett Gerena	40	3	3	1
Tano Letuli	67	4	2	2
Adam Cash	6	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3
Tano Letuli	67	4	2	2	0

Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Busha	29	79	37%	415	1	5	5.3
Brandon Engel	2	2	100%	81	0	0	40.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
John Busha	78	172	1	2.2	12
Aiden Calvert	18	91	2	5.1	37
Cameron Breier	2	12	0	6.0	7
Darius Stone	3	7	0	2.3	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	YPC	LONG
Jared Roznos	5	109	21.8	52
Brandon Engel	3	31	10.3	14
Aiden Calvert	1	21	21.0	21

View Air Force's Full Roster

Air Force's DC Brian Knorr

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Camby Goff	67	3	0	1	3
Jamari Bellamy	64	3	0	0	4
Osaro Aihie	58	2	2	0	1
Grant Uyl	41	4	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Osaro Aihie	58	2	2	0	1
Grant Uyl	41	4	2	2	0
James Tomasi	20	2	1	1	0
Camby Goff	67	3	0	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamari Bellamy	64	3	0	0	4
Camby Goff	67	3	0	1	3
Osaro Aihie	58	2	2	0	1