Navy Midshipmen at Air Force Falcons
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy -10 (37.0) (-410) Open: -7.0
Navy 34 - Air Force: 7
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
NAVY 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Navy -17.5 (SP+ NAVY -15)
Projected Score: NAVY: 29 - AFA: 12 (48)
NAVY Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
NAVY Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Our Line: Navy -17.5 (SP+ NAVY -15)
Projected Score: NAVY: 29 - AFA: 12 (48)
NAVY Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
NAVY Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
| Navy's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Navy vs Bucknell | -31.5 | 48.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Navy vs Temple | -11.5 | 43.5 | W 38 - 11 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Navy vs Memphis | +9.5 | 47.0 | W 56 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Navy at UAB | -4.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 18 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Navy at Air Force | -10.0 | 37.0 | W 34 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Navy vs Charlotte | -16.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Navy vs Notre Dame | +14.0 | 50.5 | L 14 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Navy at Rice | -12.5 | 49.0 | L 10 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Navy at South Florida | -4.5 | 59.5 | W 28 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Navy vs Tulane | +7.5 | 49.0 | L 0 - 35 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/29 | Navy at East Carolina | +2.5 | 54.0 | W 34 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/14 | Navy vs Army | +6.0 | 39.5 | ||||
| Fri 12/27 | Navy vs Oklahoma | -1.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 20 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Air Force's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Air Force vs Merrimack | -30.5 | 47.5 | W 21 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Air Force vs San José State | -1.5 | 43.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Air Force at Baylor | +17.5 | 40.5 | L 3 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Air Force at Wyoming | -4.0 | 33.5 | L 19 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Air Force vs Navy | +10.0 | 37.0 | L 7 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Air Force at New Mexico | +7.0 | 56.0 | L 37 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Air Force vs Colorado State | +6.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Air Force at Army | +18.0 | 38.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Air Force vs Fresno State | +9.5 | 40.5 | W 36 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Air Force vs Oregon State | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 28 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Air Force at Nevada | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 22 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Air Force at San Diego State | -6.5 | 43.5 | W 31 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | #121 (.07) | 37% (117) | 31.3 | 39% (111) | 2.86 (108) | 195 | 32% (131) | 106 | 2.38 (133) | #45 (.15) | 41% (51) | 22.2 | 37% (23) | 45% (114) | 2.84 (7) | 46 | 1 | 2 |
| AFA | #26 (.28) | 45% (31) | 18.9 | 46% (34) | 3.48 (8) | 281 | 41% (74) | 85 | 4.05 (52) | #28 (.12) | 39% (38) | 23.3 | 37% (16) | 42% (79) | 3.96 (85) | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| AFA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 12 | 31.3 | 29.4 | 37.1% | 2.38 | 1 | 15 | 300 | 195 | 106 | 4.3 | 71% | 29% | 39% | 32% | 14% | .07 |
| AFA Defense | 13 | 23.3 | 17.7 | 39.3% | 3.96 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 37% | 42% | 14% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 12 | 22.2 | 15.2 | 40.6% | 2.84 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 37% | 45% | 17% | .15 |
| AFA Offense | 13 | 18.9 | 18.7 | 45.5% | 4.05 | 1.3 | 20 | 366 | 281 | 85 | 5.1 | 85% | 14% | 46% | 41% | 9% | .28 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 12 | 31:15 | 14.5 | 29% | 62% | 5.7 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 32.4 |
| Air Force | 13 | 33:26 | 19.6 | 46% | 68% | 3 | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 30.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 12 | 71% (3) | 39% (111) | 45.7 | 194.6 | 4.3 | 16 (89) | .07 (110) | 2.86 (108) | 72% (83) | 12% (101) | 1.02 (57) |
| AFA Defense | 13 | 49% (58) | 37% (16) | - | - | - | - | .06 (26) | 2.67 (13) | 79% (106) | 9% (93) | 0.99 (61) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 12 | 50% (67) | 37% (23) | - | - | - | - | .02 (15) | 2.87 (30) | 67% (34) | 11% (36) | 0.86 (16) |
| AFA Offense | 13 | 85% (1) | 46% (34) | 54.7 | 280.6 | 5.1 | 36 (4) | .27 (14) | 3.48 (8) | 80% (19) | 8% (22) | 1.02 (56) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 12 | 29% (131) | 32% (131) | 8.5 | 16.6 | 105.7 | 6.4 | 12.4 | 10 (120) | 5 (6) | .11 (121) | 1.8 (15) | 31% (61) | 21% (132) | .06 (131) | 2% (3) | 2 (88) |
| AFA Defense | 13 | 50% (80) | 42% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .21 (36) | 1.5 (19) | 34% (44) | 29% (45) | .34 (85) | 5% (103) | 2 (59) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 12 | 49% (65) | 45% (114) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .33 (103) | 1.6 (75) | 31% (97) | 28% (40) | .34 (83) | 6% (88) | 2.2 (113) |
| AFA Offense | 13 | 14% (133) | 41% (74) | 4.2 | 8.1 | 85 | 10.5 | 20.1 | 7 (129) | 6 (14) | .51 (9) | 2.3 (1) | 23% (1) | 27% (93) | .39 (48) | 2% (1) | 2.3 (7) |
Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Navy's Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: 2.20 Air Force: -14.77
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 3.5 Air Force: -11.7
Navy: 2.20 Air Force: -14.77
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 3.5 Air Force: -11.7
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -14.77 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Air Force's Power Rating: -14.77 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 29
Air Force 12
Projected Total Points: 48
Navy 29
Air Force 12
Projected Total Points: 48
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Air Force | 7 | Navy | 34 | Navy | Navy -10 | Navy | 37.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/21 | Navy | 6 | Air Force | 17 | Air Force | Air Force -11 | NA | 34.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Air Force | 13 | Navy | 10 | Air Force | Air Force -14 | Navy | 38.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/11 | Navy | 3 | Air Force | 23 | Air Force | Air Force -6 | Air Force | 40.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/03 | Air Force | 40 | Navy | 7 | Air Force | Navy -6.5 | Air Force | 46.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/05 | Navy | 34 | Air Force | 25 | Navy | Air Force -3 | Navy | 46.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Air Force | 35 | Navy | 7 | Air Force | Navy -2.5 | Air Force | 47.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Navy | 48 | Air Force | 45 | Navy | Navy -8.5 | Air Force | 53.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/01 | Air Force | 28 | Navy | 14 | Air Force | Air Force -10.5 | Air Force | 50.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Navy | 33 | Air Force | 11 | Navy | Navy -6 | Navy | 49.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Air Force | 30 | Navy | 21 | Air Force | Navy -4 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/05 | Navy | 28 | Air Force | 10 | Navy | Navy -11 | Navy | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Air Force | 21 | Navy | 28 | Navy | ||||
| 2011 | 10/01 | Navy | 34 | Air Force | 35 | Air Force | ||||
| 2010 | 10/02 | Air Force | 14 | Navy | 6 | Air Force | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | Navy | 16 | Air Force | 13 | Navy | ||||
| 2008 | 10/04 | Air Force | 27 | Navy | 33 | Navy | ||||
| 2007 | 09/29 | Navy | 31 | Air Force | 20 | Navy | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Air Force | 17 | Navy | 24 | Navy | ||||
| 2005 | 10/08 | Navy | 27 | Air Force | 24 | Navy | ||||
| 2004 | 09/30 | Air Force | 21 | Navy | 24 | Navy | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | Navy | 28 | Air Force | 25 | Navy | ||||
| 2002 | 10/05 | Air Force | 48 | Navy | 7 | Air Force | ||||
| 2001 | 10/06 | Navy | 18 | Air Force | 24 | Air Force | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Air Force | 27 | Navy | 13 | Air Force |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 12 | 6 | 4 Overs |
| Navy | 13 | 5 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 16 - 9 | 7 - 4 | 3 - 2 | 4 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 16 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 4 | 2 - 3 |
(#53) Navy Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Power #53
#125Off #27
#112Def #31
#117Talent #134
#131SP+ #57
#111SP+ Off #51
#120SP+ Def #53
#76Rematch from Week 6
Navy 10.0 (37.0)
Navy won at Air Force this year (34-7)
Previous Matchups
Navy beat Air Force last year (34-7)
Air Force beat Navy in 2023 (17-6)
Air Force beat Navy in 2022 (13-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78° - Wind: 11 mph
Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | AFA
Depth Chart: NAVY | AFA
Rosters: NAVY | AFA
(#125) Air Force Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.77 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.77 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 80 | 139 | 58% | 1353 | 13 | 4 | 9.7 |
| Braxton Woodson | 18 | 36 | 50% | 243 | 2 | 2 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 176 | 1254 | 17 | 7.1 | 95 |
| Alex Tecza | 123 | 556 | 8 | 4.5 | 65 |
| Eli Heidenreich | 65 | 444 | 3 | 6.8 | 60 |
| Brandon Chatman | 48 | 250 | 3 | 5.2 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Heidenreich | 39 | 671 | 6 | 17.2 | 74 |
| Brandon Chatman | 18 | 257 | 4 | 14.3 | 46 |
| Alex Tecza | 12 | 229 | 2 | 19.1 | 46 |
| Nathan Kent | 10 | 222 | 2 | 22.2 | 77 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Landon Robinson | 61 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Jaxson Campbell | 58 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Kenneth McShan | 34 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Robinson | 61 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Jaxson Campbell | 58 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Griffen Willis | 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Campbell | 58 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Andrew Duhart | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Ira Oniha | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Hayes | 25 | 43 | 58% | 455 | 3 | 2 | 10.6 |
| Josh Johnson | 6 | 14 | 43% | 126 | 1 | 3 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carson | 138 | 600 | 5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Quentin Hayes | 126 | 466 | 7 | 3.7 | 30 |
| Owen Allen | 77 | 335 | 2 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Cade Harris | 48 | 279 | 4 | 5.8 | 30 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 23 | 368 | 2 | 16.0 | 76 |
| Quin Smith | 10 | 207 | 1 | 20.7 | 39 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 5 | 104 | 0 | 20.8 | 43 |
| James Roberson | 5 | 96 | 1 | 19.2 | 45 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Blake Fletcher | 37 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Trey Williams | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Peyton Zdroik | 18 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Blake Fletcher | 37 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Daniel Grobe | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |