Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Air Force Falcons
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Falcon Stadium - Colorado Springs, CO (Mountain West)
Rainbow Warriors (3 - 1) (2 - 2 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (6 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (6 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
AFA 2nd straight Home Game
HAW is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Hawai'i -1.5 (SP+ AFA -1)
Projected Score: HAW: 28 - AFA: 27 (55)
HAW Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
HAW Travel: 3341 miles, 4 hrs behind
HAW is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Hawai'i -1.5 (SP+ AFA -1)
Projected Score: HAW: 28 - AFA: 27 (55)
HAW Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
HAW Travel: 3341 miles, 4 hrs behind
Falcons (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (49 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (49 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
| Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Hawai'i vs Stanford | -1.5 | 53.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 8/30 | Hawai'i at Arizona | +13.5 | 55.5 | L 6 - 40 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Hawai'i vs Sam Houston | -7.0 | 47.5 | W 37 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Hawai'i vs Portland State | -35.5 | 54.5 | W 23 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Hawai'i vs Fresno State | +3.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Hawai'i at Air Force | -1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Hawai'i vs Utah State | -6 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Hawai'i at Colorado State | +4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Hawai'i at San José State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Hawai'i vs San Diego State | +1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Hawai'i at UNLV | +10 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Hawai'i vs Wyoming | +1 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Air Force's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Air Force vs Bucknell | -31.0 | 54.5 | W 49 - 13 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Air Force at Utah State | -4.0 | 51.5 | L 30 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Air Force vs Boise State | +10.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Air Force vs Hawai'i | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Air Force at Navy | +16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Air Force at UNLV | +13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Air Force vs Wyoming | +4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Air Force vs Army | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Air Force at San José State | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Air Force at UConn | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Air Force vs New Mexico | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Air Force at Colorado State | +8 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | #114 (.07) | 40% (97) | 22.3 | 41% (92) | 2.82 (85) | 99 | 40% (94) | 244 | 3.26 (106) | #50 (.07) | 35% (38) | 20.8 | 37% (58) | 34% (37) | 3.15 (56) | 86.5 | 2 | 0.8 |
| AFA | #30 (.34) | 53% (21) | 39.5 | 57% (13) | 3.48 (27) | 267 | 41% (83) | 169 | 6.08 (4) | #124 (.33) | 47% (116) | 31 | 40% (76) | 54% (130) | 5.33 (128) | 45.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | #82 (.17) | 44% (52) | 46% (45) | 3.29 (26) | 99 | 44% (50) | 268 | 3.81 (81) | #81 (.19) | 42% (71) | 45% (85) | 40% (58) | 4.15 (103) | 70.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | ||
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 4 | 22.3 | 6 | 40% | 3.26 | 2 | 21 | 343 | 99 | 244 | 3.4 | 36% | 64% | 41% | 40% | 17% | .07 |
| AFA Defense | 2 | 31 | 13 | 46.9% | 5.33 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 40% | 54% | 14% | .33 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 4 | 20.8 | 40 | 35.2% | 3.15 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 37% | 34% | 16% | .07 |
| AFA Offense | 2 | 39.5 | 49 | 52.8% | 6.08 | 1.5 | 23 | 436 | 267 | 169 | 4.8 | 72% | 28% | 57% | 41% | 9% | .34 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i | 4 | 31:39 | 20.8 | 37% | 71% | 8.5 | 86.5 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 28.5 |
| Air Force | 2 | 34:54 | 23 | 52% | 100% | 4.5 | 45.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 26.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 4 | 36% (131) | 41% (92) | 28.8 | 99 | 3.4 | 0 (135) | -.12 (130) | 2.82 (85) | 67% (86) | 9% (80) | 0.64 (130) |
| AFA Defense | 2 | 52% (92) | 40% (76) | - | - | - | - | .3 (127) | 3.29 (123) | 60% (34) | 10% (65) | 1.32 (125) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 4 | 47% (50) | 37% (58) | - | - | - | - | .1 (89) | 3.07 (100) | 86% (112) | 9% (90) | 1.11 (100) |
| AFA Offense | 2 | 72% (5) | 57% (13) | 56 | 266.5 | 4.8 | 8 (26) | .35 (22) | 3.48 (27) | 77% (45) | 5% (10) | 0.9 (87) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 4 | 64% (4) | 40% (94) | 26.8 | 43.8 | 244.3 | 5.6 | 9.1 | 7 (23) | 4 (121) | .18 (97) | 1.4 (109) | 35% (110) | 29% (87) | .3 (77) | 8% (122) | 2 (64) |
| AFA Defense | 2 | 48% (49) | 54% (130) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .38 (112) | 1.5 (57) | 29% (107) | 50% (134) | .89 (134) | 3% (116) | 2.1 (83) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 4 | 52% (85) | 34% (37) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .08 (33) | 1.2 (9) | 35% (49) | 23% (36) | .17 (50) | 8% (30) | 1.9 (54) |
| AFA Offense | 2 | 28% (132) | 41% (83) | 8.5 | 16 | 169 | 10.6 | 19.9 | 2 (102) | 2 (60) | .31 (65) | 1.7 (33) | 26% (30) | 22% (118) | -.04 (128) | 4% (35) | 1.1 (133) |
Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -7.29 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -7.29 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -7.29 Air Force: -10.105
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.3 Air Force: -9.2
Hawai'i: -7.29 Air Force: -10.105
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.3 Air Force: -9.2
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Air Force's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Air Force's Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Air Force's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 40
Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 40
Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 28
Air Force 27
Total Points: 55
Hawai'i 28
Air Force 27
Total Points: 55
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 13
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 13
Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/11 | Hawai'i | 27 | Air Force | 13 | Hawai'i | Air Force -22.5 | Hawai'i | 47.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/19 | Hawai'i | 26 | Air Force | 56 | Air Force | Air Force -4.5 | Air Force | 66.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/22 | Air Force | 27 | Hawai'i | 34 | Hawai'i | Air Force -17.5 | Hawai'i | 58.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/31 | Hawai'i | 7 | Air Force | 58 | Air Force | Air Force -7.5 | Air Force | 50.0 | Over |
| 2012 | 11/16 | Air Force | 21 | Hawai'i | 7 | Air Force | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | Hawai'i | 52 | Air Force | 30 | Hawai'i |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 3 | 2 | 3 Overs |
| Hawai'i | 3 | 2 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 3 | 1 - 3 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 3 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
(#100) Hawai'i Info
Power Rating: -7.29 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Hawai'i has lost 1 straight
Hawai'i has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?
Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)
Power Rating: -7.29 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Hawai'i has lost 1 straight
Hawai'i has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?
Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | AFA | HAW |
| OverallOver | #60 | #87 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #107 |
| DefenseDef | #88 | #47 |
| Special TeamsST | #74 | #59 |
| PassingPass | #66 | #101 |
| RushingRush | #44 | #82 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #6 | #84 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #61 | #102 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #82 | #105 |
| TacklingTkl | #85 | #90 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #60 | #98 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #74 | #45 |
| Coverage DefCov | #107 | #4 |
(#119) Air Force Info
Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.08 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Air Force has lost 2 straight
Air Force has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Air Force Notes
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
Air Force Highlights
Air Force is Undefeated at Home
Air Force is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Air Force offense is efficent (#21)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good in red zone (#4)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force has a bad defense (#116)
Air Force gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#109)
Air Force Does Not Stuff Runs (#117)
Air Force has a bad defensive line (#123)
Air Force has a bad red zone defense (#128)
Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.08 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Air Force has lost 2 straight
Air Force has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Air Force Notes
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
Air Force Highlights
Air Force is Undefeated at Home
Air Force is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Air Force offense is efficent (#21)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good in red zone (#4)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force has a bad defense (#116)
Air Force gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#109)
Air Force Does Not Stuff Runs (#117)
Air Force has a bad defensive line (#123)
Air Force has a bad red zone defense (#128)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 61 | 102 | 60% | 600 | 5 | 3 | 5.9 |
| Micah Alejado | 45 | 70 | 64% | 367 | 2 | 1 | 5.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Sims | 39 | 154 | 0 | 3.9 | 19 |
| Cam Barfield | 21 | 89 | 0 | 4.2 | 13 |
| Luke Weaver | 27 | 73 | 0 | 2.7 | 13 |
| Christian Vaughn | 3 | 22 | 0 | 7.3 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pofele Ashlock | 26 | 235 | 3 | 9.0 | 47 |
| Landon Sims | 18 | 155 | 1 | 8.6 | 28 |
| Karsyn Pupunu | 13 | 114 | 0 | 8.8 | 15 |
| Brandon White (Tr) | 12 | 111 | 0 | 9.3 | 27 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jalen Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Elijah Palmer | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jamih Otis | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Johnson III | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Qwyn Williams (Tr) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Elijah Palmer | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Johnson | 9 | 16 | 56% | 224 | 2 | 1 | 14.0 |
| Liam Szarka | 8 | 16 | 50% | 114 | 0 | 1 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 16 | 138 | 2 | 8.6 | 49 |
| Dylan Carson | 19 | 105 | 1 | 5.5 | 17 |
| Christopher Frew | 6 | 60 | 0 | 10.0 | 14 |
| Owen Allen | 17 | 56 | 1 | 3.3 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 5 | 146 | 1 | 29.2 | 62 |
| Quin Smith | 3 | 85 | 1 | 28.3 | 40 |
| James Roberson | 4 | 80 | 0 | 20.0 | 29 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 3 | 19 | 0 | 6.3 | 7 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Fletcher | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Roger Jones Jr. | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Fisher | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Beckwith | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Hubert | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jackson Adams | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Grady Forsythe | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukia Rawls Jr. | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Beckwith | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Houston Hendrix | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Korey Johnson | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |