Air Force Falcons at San Diego State Aztecs
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (10:30 PM EST)
Air Force -6.5 (43.5) (-230) Open: -3.5 | 43.5
Air Force 31 - San Diego State: 20 (Mountain West)
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
AFA 2nd straight Road Game
SDSU is playing their 6th straight game
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -2 (SP+ AFA -3.5)
Projected Score: AFA: 22 - SDSU: 24 (46)
AFA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
AFA Travel: 809 miles, 1 hrs ahead
SDSU is playing their 6th straight game
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -2 (SP+ AFA -3.5)
Projected Score: AFA: 22 - SDSU: 24 (46)
AFA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
AFA Travel: 809 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Air Force's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Air Force vs Merrimack | -30.5 | 47.5 | W 21 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Air Force vs San José State | -1.5 | 43.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Air Force at Baylor | +17.5 | 40.5 | L 3 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Air Force at Wyoming | -4.0 | 33.5 | L 19 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Air Force vs Navy | +10.0 | 37.0 | L 7 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Air Force at New Mexico | +7.0 | 56.0 | L 37 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Air Force vs Colorado State | +6.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Air Force at Army | +18.0 | 38.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Air Force vs Fresno State | +9.5 | 40.5 | W 36 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Air Force vs Oregon State | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 28 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Air Force at Nevada | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 22 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Air Force at San Diego State | -6.5 | 43.5 | W 31 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
| San Diego State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | San Diego State vs East Texas A&M | -16 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | San Diego State vs Oregon State | +5.5 | 54.5 | L 0 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | San Diego State at California | +18.5 | 48.5 | L 10 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | San Diego State at Central Michigan | +2.5 | 47.5 | L 21 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | San Diego State vs Hawai'i | -1.5 | 47.5 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | San Diego State at Wyoming | +1.5 | 43.0 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | San Diego State vs Washington State | +17.0 | 56.5 | L 26 - 29 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/1 | San Diego State at Boise State | +24.5 | 55.5 | L 24 - 56 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/8 | San Diego State vs New Mexico | -1.5 | 65.5 | L 16 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | San Diego State at UNLV | +22.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | San Diego State at Utah State | +5.0 | 60.0 | L 20 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | San Diego State vs Air Force | +6.5 | 43.5 | L 20 - 31 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #26 (.28) | 45% (31) | 18.9 | 46% (34) | 3.48 (8) | 281 | 41% (74) | 85 | 4.05 (52) | #28 (.12) | 39% (38) | 23.3 | 37% (16) | 42% (79) | 3.96 (85) | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| SDSU | #96 (.14) | 42% (70) | 21.3 | 43% (69) | 3.08 (77) | 154 | 41% (77) | 172 | 3.2 (116) | #108 (.24) | 47% (127) | 29.6 | 53% (130) | 43% (86) | 3.38 (30) | 44 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| SDSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 18.9 | 19.2 | 45.5% | 4.05 | 1.3 | 20 | 366 | 281 | 85 | 5.1 | 85% | 14% | 46% | 41% | 9% | .28 |
| SDSU Defense | 12 | 29.6 | 23.3 | 46.9% | 3.38 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 52% | 53% | 43% | 16% | .24 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 23.3 | 28.8 | 39.3% | 3.96 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 37% | 42% | 14% | .12 |
| SDSU Offense | 12 | 21.3 | 22.3 | 41.9% | 3.2 | 1.4 | 17 | 326 | 154 | 172 | 4.1 | 56% | 43% | 43% | 41% | 15% | .14 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 13 | 33:26 | 19.6 | 46% | 68% | 3 | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 30.6 |
| San Diego State | 12 | 32:47 | 17.2 | 35% | 57% | 4.9 | 44 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 31.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 85% (1) | 46% (34) | 54.7 | 280.6 | 5.1 | 36 (4) | .27 (14) | 3.48 (8) | 80% (19) | 8% (22) | 1.02 (56) |
| SDSU Defense | 12 | 46% (22) | 53% (130) | - | - | - | - | .27 (126) | 3.44 (123) | 83% (114) | 8% (118) | 0.93 (36) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 49% (58) | 37% (16) | - | - | - | - | .06 (26) | 2.67 (13) | 79% (106) | 9% (93) | 0.99 (61) |
| SDSU Offense | 12 | 56% (22) | 43% (69) | 37.8 | 154.3 | 4.1 | 16 (89) | .12 (85) | 3.08 (77) | 74% (66) | 10% (67) | 0.9 (111) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 14% (133) | 41% (74) | 4.2 | 8.1 | 85 | 10.5 | 20.1 | 7 (129) | 6 (14) | .51 (9) | 2.3 (1) | 23% (1) | 27% (93) | .39 (48) | 2% (1) | 2.3 (7) |
| SDSU Defense | 12 | 52% (110) | 43% (86) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .27 (68) | 1.5 (33) | 28% (128) | 32% (100) | .34 (80) | 8% (18) | 2 (40) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 50% (80) | 42% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .21 (36) | 1.5 (19) | 34% (44) | 29% (45) | .34 (85) | 5% (103) | 2 (59) |
| SDSU Offense | 12 | 43% (112) | 41% (77) | 16.8 | 26.6 | 171.8 | 6.5 | 10.2 | 10 (120) | 10 (56) | .21 (91) | 1.4 (125) | 32% (69) | 27% (100) | .1 (128) | 5% (28) | 1.6 (133) |
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Air Force's Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -22.84 San Diego State: -15.23
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7 San Diego State: -15.4
Air Force: -22.84 San Diego State: -15.23
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7 San Diego State: -15.4
San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -15.23 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
San Diego State's Power Rating: -15.23 #122
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
2024 Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 24
Air Force 22
Projected Total Points: 46
San Diego State 24
Air Force 22
Projected Total Points: 46
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | San Diego State | 20 | Air Force | 31 | Air Force | Air Force -6.5 | Air Force | 43.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Air Force | 49 | San Diego State | 10 | Air Force | Air Force -10.5 | Air Force | 43.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/26 | San Diego State | 3 | Air Force | 13 | Air Force | Air Force -2 | Air Force | 43.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/23 | Air Force | 14 | San Diego State | 20 | San Diego State | Air Force -3 | San Diego State | 38.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/12 | San Diego State | 21 | Air Force | 17 | San Diego State | San Diego State -11 | Air Force | 43.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/23 | Air Force | 24 | San Diego State | 28 | San Diego State | San Diego State -1.5 | San Diego State | 48.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 12/05 | San Diego State | 27 | Air Force | 24 | San Diego State | San Diego State -3.5 | Air Force | 46.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/21 | San Diego State | 30 | Air Force | 14 | San Diego State | San Diego State -2 | San Diego State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/10 | Air Force | 20 | San Diego State | 27 | San Diego State | San Diego State -3.5 | San Diego State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | San Diego State | 28 | Air Force | 9 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/13 | Air Force | 27 | San Diego State | 41 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/16 | San Diego State | 27 | Air Force | 25 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2009 | 09/26 | Air Force | 26 | San Diego State | 14 | Air Force | ||||
| 2008 | 10/11 | San Diego State | 10 | Air Force | 35 | Air Force | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Air Force | 55 | San Diego State | 23 | Air Force | ||||
| 2006 | 10/21 | San Diego State | 19 | Air Force | 12 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2005 | 09/10 | Air Force | 41 | San Diego State | 29 | Air Force | ||||
| 2004 | 11/13 | Air Force | 31 | San Diego State | 37 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | San Diego State | 24 | Air Force | 3 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | San Diego State | 21 | Air Force | 45 | Air Force | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Air Force | 45 | San Diego State | 24 | Air Force |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 12 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| Air Force | 9 | 5 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 9 | 2 - 7 | 2 - 3 | 0 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 12 | 7 - 2 | 4 - 0 | 3 - 2 |
(#125) Air Force Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Power #125
#122Off #112
#117Def #117
#109Talent #131
#75SP+ #111
#119SP+ Off #120
#122SP+ Def #76
#104Rematch from Week 14
Air Force 6.5 (43.5)
Air Force won at San Diego State this year (31-20)
Previous Matchups
Air Force beat San Diego State last year (31-20)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2023 (49-10)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2022 (13-3)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61°
Team Information
Injuries: AFA | SDSU
Depth Chart: AFA | SDSU
Rosters: AFA | SDSU
(#122) San Diego State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.23 #122
Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
San Diego State Notes
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.23 #122
Offense Rating: 12.55 #117
Defense Rating: 15.20 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
San Diego State Notes
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad
(7/30) Over bet shots esp. early, will play tempo
(7/30) QB Duffy (FSU)/FR O'Neil, RB/TE/WR's from portal
(7/30) Total roster turnover, 24 in, 37 out via Portal
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Hayes | 25 | 43 | 58% | 455 | 3 | 2 | 10.6 |
| Josh Johnson | 6 | 14 | 43% | 126 | 1 | 3 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carson | 138 | 600 | 5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Quentin Hayes | 126 | 466 | 7 | 3.7 | 30 |
| Owen Allen | 77 | 335 | 2 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Cade Harris | 48 | 279 | 4 | 5.8 | 30 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 23 | 368 | 2 | 16.0 | 76 |
| Quin Smith | 10 | 207 | 1 | 20.7 | 39 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 5 | 104 | 0 | 20.8 | 43 |
| James Roberson | 5 | 96 | 1 | 19.2 | 45 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Blake Fletcher | 37 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Trey Williams | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Peyton Zdroik | 18 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Blake Fletcher | 37 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Daniel Grobe | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny O'Neil | 209 | 330 | 63% | 2181 | 12 | 6 | 6.6 |
| Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson | 20 | 39 | 51% | 222 | 2 | 2 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquez Cooper (Tr) | 292 | 1274 | 12 | 4.4 | 47 |
| Danny O'Neil | 74 | 89 | 1 | 1.2 | 34 |
| Cam Davis | 14 | 76 | 0 | 5.4 | 38 |
| Jaylon Armstead | 13 | 42 | 0 | 3.2 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Brown | 38 | 620 | 3 | 16.3 | 44 |
| Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr) | 50 | 459 | 1 | 9.2 | 46 |
| Jordan Napier | 43 | 440 | 4 | 10.2 | 53 |
| Nate Bennett (Tr) | 22 | 314 | 1 | 14.3 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tano Letuli (Tr) | 67 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chris Johnson | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kyle Moretti (Tr) | 58 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey White | 56 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey White | 56 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 |
| Tupu Alualu | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlem Louis (Tr) | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Henderson | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshawn McCuin | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Jelani Whitmore | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Chris Johnson | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |