Army at Air Force - 2021 Matchup Preview
Army logo Army Black Knights vs Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (11:30 AM EDT)
Air Force -2.5 (37.5)
Army 21 - Air Force: 14

 
Black Knights (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (52 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (26 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARMY coming off BYE
AFA coming off BYE
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ AFA -3)
Projected Score: ARMY: 21 - AFA: 26 (47)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARMY Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Falcons (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (104 - 73)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (33 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Army's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Army at Georgia State+2.550.0W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Army vs Western Kentucky-6.052.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/18 Army vs UConn-34.548.0W 52 - 21ON
Sat 9/25 Army vs Miami (OH)-7.549.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Army at Ball State-10.546.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Army at Wisconsin+14.037.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Army vs Wake Forest+3.053.5L 56 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Army vs Air Force+2.537.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Army vs Bucknell-51.558.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 11/20 Army vs Massachusetts-37.556.0W 33 - 17UN
Sat 11/27 Army at Liberty+3.051.5W 31 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Army vs Navy+7.035.5L 13 - 17UY
Wed 12/22 Army vs Missouri-7.054.0W 24 - 22UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Air Force's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Air Force vs Lafayette-40.549.5W 35 - 14UN
Sat 9/11 Air Force at Navy-6.040.0W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/18 Air Force vs Utah State-9.054.0L 45 - 49ON
Sat 9/25 Air Force vs Florida Atlantic-3.554.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 10/2 Air Force at New Mexico-11.546.0W 38 - 10OY
Sat 10/9 Air Force vs Wyoming-5.546.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/16 Air Force at Boise State+3.052.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/23 Air Force vs San Diego State-3.038.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Air Force vs Army-2.537.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/13 Air Force at Colorado State-3.045.0W 35 - 21OY
Fri 11/19 Air Force at Nevada-1.553.5W 41 - 39OY
Fri 11/26 Air Force vs UNLV-18.549.5W 48 - 14OY
Tue 12/28 Air Force vs Louisville-1.055.0W 31 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY.2646%32.846%3.0428146%954.59.2341%22.340%43%3.6636.80.61.3
AFA.2845%3146%3.4132841%964.32.1838%19.836%40%3.6438.80.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1332.82645.8%4.590.620375281954.886%14%46%46%11%.26
AFA Defense1319.819.737.6%3.641.3 - - - - - 51%48%36%40%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1322.318.541.4%3.661.3 - - - - - 49%50%40%43%17%.23
AFA Offense133132.845.5%4.320.822424328965.185%14%46%41%9%.28

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1335:2820.146%73%3.836.80.61.35.12.3036.4
Air Force1336:3721.845%78%4.238.80.81.35.22.8030.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1386%46%58.3280.64.846.233.0485%8%1.06
AFA Defense1351%36% - - - - .152.8481%13%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1349%40% - - - - .192.9666%11%1.19
AFA Offense1385%46%64.3328.25.144.253.4180%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1314%46%4.68.594.811.220.6113.431.926%36%.413%2
AFA Defense1348%40% - - - - - - 8.231.638%31%.377%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 10.271.533%28%.316%2.2
AFA Offense1314%41%4.28.795.51122.684.512.327%34%.512%2.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #151
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Army's 2021 Expected Record: -
Army's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #63
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #66
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Army:    Air Force: 3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 4.7   Air Force: 7.4




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 3.7 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #139
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2021 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #54
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #57
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #33

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Army Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.5

Army's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 26
Army 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 25
Army 19

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 26
Army 24

Total Points: 50
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Air Force's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Air Force17Army20Army -1.5Army48.5Under
202411/02Army20Air Force3Army -18Air Force38.5Under
202311/04Air Force3Army23Air Force -18.5Army32.0Under
202211/05Army7Air Force13Air Force -7Army40.5Under
202111/06Air Force14Army21Air Force -2.5Army37.5Under
202012/19Army10Air Force7Air Force -3Army37.0Under
201911/02Air Force17Army13Air Force -17Army44.5Under
201811/03Army17Air Force14Army -4.5Air Force41.5Under
201711/04Air Force0Army21Air Force -6.5Army54.5Under
201611/05Army12Air Force31Air Force -3Air Force46.5Under
201511/07Air Force20Army3Air Force -17.5Army50.5Under
201411/01Army6Air Force23Air Force -5.5Air Force0
201311/02Air Force42Army28Air Force -1.5Air Force0
201211/03Army41Air Force21
201111/05Air Force24Army14
201011/06Army22Air Force42
200911/07Air Force35Army7
200811/01Army7Air Force16
200711/03Air Force30Army10
200611/03Army7Air Force43
200511/05Air Force24Army27
200411/06Army22Air Force31
200311/08Air Force31Army3
200211/09Army30Air Force49
200111/03Air Force34Army24
200011/03Army27Air Force41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force1750 Overs
Army9811 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 143 - 101 - 72 - 3
Road Teams14 - 1210 - 33 - 27 - 1

(#) ARMY at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARMYAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #54
Perf GradeGrade #24 #3
OffenseOff #11 #2
DefenseDef #66 #36
Spec TeamsST #101 #66
TalentTal #151 #139
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Army on Offense
CategoryCat
ARMY OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #11 #36
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffAFA Def
Run GameRun #77 #81
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #8
Army Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffAFA Def
Pass GamePass #69 #56
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #133 #13
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffARMY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #2 #66
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #57 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #27 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #31 #87
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #111 #56
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 56°
Rematch from Week 10
Air Force -2.5 (37.5)
Army won at Air Force this year (21-14)

Previous Matchups
Army beat Air Force last year (20-3)
Army beat Air Force in 2023 (23-3)
Air Force beat Army in 2022 (13-7)

  
ARMY's OC Brent Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD