Army at Air Force - 2025 Matchup Preview
Army logo Army Black Knights at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Falcon Stadium - Colorado Springs, CO

 
Black Knights (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (81 - 57)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (24 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 5)
ARMY coming off BYE
AFA coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -3.5   (SP+ ARMY -10)

Projected Score: ARMY: 30 - AFA: 27 (57)
ARMY Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ARMY Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Falcons (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (49 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Army's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Army vs Tarleton State-14.547.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/6 Army at Kansas State+17.048.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Army vs North Texas+1.552.5
Thu 9/25 Army at East Carolina+10.5
Sat 10/4 Army at UAB-5
Sat 10/11 Army vs Charlotte-13
Sat 10/18 Army at Tulane+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army at Air Force-3.5
Sat 11/8 Army vs Temple+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Army vs Tulsa-7
Fri 11/28 Army at UTSA+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Air Force's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Bucknell-31.054.5W 49 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Utah State-4.051.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Boise State+10.051.5
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Hawai'i+1.5
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+16.5
Sat 10/11 Air Force at UNLV+13.5
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs Wyoming+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Army+3.5
Sat 11/8 Air Force at San José State+6
Sat 11/15 Air Force at UConn+18.5
Sat 11/22 Air Force vs New Mexico-4.5
Sat 11/29 Air Force at Colorado State+8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#92 (.13)40% (99)25.539% (102)2.54 (107)25942% (77)1133.73 (83)#93 (.18)36% (39)25.531% (17)40% (66)4.63 (111)22.51.50.5
AFA#30 (.34)53% (21)39.557% (13)3.48 (27)26741% (83)1696.08 (4)#124 (.33)47% (116)3140% (76)54% (130)5.33 (128)45.51.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense225.52439.9%3.731.5223722591133.884%16%39%42%12%.13
AFA Defense2311346.9%5.331 - - - - - 52%48%40%54%14%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense225.52135.6%4.630.5 - - - - - 49%51%31%40%20%.18
AFA Offense239.54952.8%6.081.5234362671694.872%28%57%41%9%.34

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army238:312242%78%3.522.51.50.54.51030.8
Air Force234:542352%100%4.545.51.515.54.5026.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense284% (1)39% (102)68258.53.85 (62).03 (102)2.54 (107)80% (36)10% (82)0.9 (86)
AFA Defense252% (92)40% (76) - - - - .3 (127)3.29 (123)60% (34)10% (65)1.32 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense249% (62)31% (17) - - - - .08 (78)2.53 (46)75% (80)11% (58)1.18 (109)
AFA Offense272% (5)57% (13)56266.54.88 (26).35 (22)3.48 (27)77% (45)5% (10)0.9 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense216% (136)42% (77)8141138.114.11 (123)2 (60).64 (11)2.5 (2)31% (73)31% (73).36 (61)3% (14)1.9 (79)
AFA Defense248% (49)54% (130) - - - - - - 1 (87).38 (112)1.5 (57)29% (107)50% (134).89 (134)3% (116)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense251% (78)40% (66) - - - - - - 1 (87).28 (92)1.5 (74)38% (16)28% (58).37 (93)10% (10)2.4 (117)
AFA Offense228% (132)41% (83)8.51616910.619.92 (102)2 (60).31 (65)1.7 (33)26% (30)22% (118)-.04 (128)4% (35)1.1 (133)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -13.90 #113
Army's Offense Rating: 3.07 #114
Army's Defense Rating: 16.97 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 146.00 #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Army's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Army's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: -13.90   Air Force: -10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 0.9   Air Force: -9.2




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Air Force's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Army Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Army's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Army 30
Air Force 27


Total Points: 57

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Army20Air Force3ArmyArmy -18Air Force38.5Under
202311/04Air Force3Army23ArmyAir Force -18.5Army32.0Under
202211/05Army7Air Force13Air ForceAir Force -7Army40.5Under
202111/06Air Force14Army21ArmyAir Force -2.5Army37.5Under
202012/19Army10Air Force7ArmyAir Force -3Army37.0Under
201911/02Air Force17Army13Air ForceAir Force -17Army44.5Under
201811/03Army17Air Force14ArmyArmy -4.5Air Force41.5Under
201711/04Air Force0Army21ArmyAir Force -6.5Army54.5Under
201611/05Army12Air Force31Air ForceAir Force -3Air Force46.5Under
201511/07Air Force20Army3Air ForceAir Force -17.5Army50.5Under
201411/01Army6Air Force23Air ForceAir Force -5.5Air Force0
201311/02Air Force42Army28Air ForceAir Force -1.5Air Force0
201211/03Army41Air Force21Army
201111/05Air Force24Army14Air Force
201011/06Army22Air Force42Air Force
200911/07Air Force35Army7Air Force
200811/01Army7Air Force16Air Force
200711/03Air Force30Army10Air Force
200611/03Army7Air Force43Air Force
200511/05Air Force24Army27Army
200411/06Army22Air Force31Air Force
200311/08Air Force31Army3Air Force
200211/09Army30Air Force49Air Force
200111/03Air Force34Army24Air Force
200011/03Army27Air Force41Air Force
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force1750 Overs
Army8710 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 133 - 91 - 72 - 2
Road Teams13 - 129 - 32 - 27 - 1

(#113) Army Info
Power Rating: -13.90 #113
Offense Rating: 3.07 #114
Defense Rating: 16.97 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 146.00 #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4

Team Profile
Option Offense 84%, Pass: 16%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Army has lost 5 straight
Army has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Army Notes
(8/30) Off decent, Def meh, mistakes in bad L vs Tar St
(8/24) QB1 D Coleman starter after E Washington inj
(5/19) QB Coleman, Hellums or Washington?
(5/17) Def returns a lot, but offense replacing most
(3/24) QB rebuild, Coleman some exp
(3/24) RB rebuild, Udoh gone (ASU). Have options
(3/24) WR rebuild, 3 career Rec. return.
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, depth some exp. Great LY
(3/24) Def was great LY, returns a lot. DL some size
(3/24) HC Monken incredible, 12 wins, AAC champs LY

Army Highlights
Army has a good run defense (#17)
Army Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#17)
Army Secondary is very good (#10)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)

Army Deficiencies
Army run game is really bad (#102)
Army does not Sack the QB (#122)
Army gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#101)
Army has a bad red zone defense (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAFAARMY
OverallOver#60#78
OffenseOff#21#64
DefenseDef#88#85
Special TeamsST#74#96
PassingPass#66#86
RushingRush#44#88
Run BlockRBLK#6#48
Pass BlockPBLK#61#53
Route RunningWR Rt#82#36
TacklingTkl#85#8
Run DefenseR Def#60#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#74#105
Coverage DefCov#107#69

Previous Matchups
Army beat Air Force last year (20-3)
Army beat Air Force in 2023 (23-3)
Air Force beat Army in 2022 (13-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARMY | AFA
Depth Chart: ARMY | AFA
Rosters: ARMY | AFA
(#119) Air Force Info
Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.08 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Air Force has lost 6 straight
Air Force has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Air Force Notes
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent

Air Force Highlights
Air Force is Undefeated at Home
Air Force is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Air Force offense is efficent (#21)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good in red zone (#4)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)

Air Force Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)

Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force has a bad defense (#116)
Air Force gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#109)
Air Force Does Not Stuff Runs (#117)
Air Force has a bad defensive line (#123)
Air Force has a bad red zone defense (#128)


  
Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums81553%45103.0
Dewayne Coleman71258%1290210.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums4916133.316
Noah Short2110405.017
Dewayne Coleman2410014.226
Hayden Reed249814.137
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bradyn Anderson499124.852
Noah Short896012.027
Samari Howard31605.38
Brady Mott115015.015

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas231010
Casey Larkin140010
Collin Matteson131013
Kalib Fortner94110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalib Fortner94110
Eric Ford82101
Andon Thomas231010
Cole Searight20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Matteson131013
Jaydan Mayes40002
Jaxon Hammond20001

Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Johnson91656%2242114.0
Liam Szarka81650%114017.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris1613828.649
Dylan Carson1910515.517
Christopher Frew660010.014
Owen Allen175613.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris5146129.262
Quin Smith385128.340
James Roberson480020.029
Bruin Fleischmann31906.37

View Air Force's Full Roster
Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher220020
Roger Jones Jr.120000
Luke Fisher90010
Nick Beckwith90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Hubert64310
Jackson Adams52200
Grady Forsythe22200
Lukia Rawls Jr.52100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Beckwith90001
Houston Hendrix60001
Korey Johnson50001