Bucknell at Air Force - 2025 Matchup Preview
Bucknell logo Bucknell Bison at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Air Force -31.0 (54.5) (0)  Open: -32.0 | 54.5
Air Force 49 - Bucknell: 13

 
Bison (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 49 (13 - 49 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10   (SP+ AFA -9)
AFA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
Falcons (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (49 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
Bucknell's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Bucknell at Air Force+31.054.5L 13 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bucknell's Schedule
Air Force's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Bucknell-31.054.5W 49 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Utah State-4.051.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Boise State+10.051.5
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Hawai'i+1.5
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+16.5
Sat 10/11 Air Force at UNLV+13.5
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs Wyoming+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Army+3.5
Sat 11/8 Air Force at San José State+6
Sat 11/15 Air Force at UConn+18.5
Sat 11/22 Air Force vs New Mexico-4.5
Sat 11/29 Air Force at Colorado State+8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUCK0%130%000%000%490%0%0000
AFA#30 (.34)53% (21)39.557% (13)3.48 (27)26741% (83)1696.08 (4)#124 (.33)47% (116)3140% (76)54% (130)5.33 (128)45.51.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUCK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUCK Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
AFA Defense2311346.9%5.331 - - - - - 52%48%40%54%14%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUCK Defense149490%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
AFA Offense239.54952.8%6.081.5234362671694.872%28%57%41%9%.34

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bucknell10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Air Force234:542352%100%4.545.51.515.54.5026.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUCK Offense10%0%000000%0%0
AFA Defense252% (92)40% (76) - - - - .3 (127)3.29 (123)60% (34)10% (65)1.32 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUCK Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
AFA Offense272% (5)57% (13)56266.54.88 (26).35 (22)3.48 (27)77% (45)5% (10)0.9 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUCK Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
AFA Defense248% (49)54% (130) - - - - - - 1 (87).38 (112)1.5 (57)29% (107)50% (134).89 (134)3% (116)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUCK Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
AFA Offense228% (132)41% (83)8.51616910.619.92 (102)2 (60).31 (65)1.7 (33)26% (30)22% (118)-.04 (128)4% (35)1.1 (133)

Bucknell's Power Ratings
Bucknell's Power Rating: #NR
Bucknell's Offense Rating: #NR
Bucknell's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Bucknell's 2025 Expected Record: -
Bucknell's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Bucknell's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Bucknell's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Bucknell:    Air Force: -10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bucknell:    Air Force: -9.2




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Air Force's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Bucknell Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

Bucknell's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 47
Bucknell 18

Total Points: 65

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Air Force49Bucknell13Air ForceAir Force -31.0Air Force54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force111 Overs
Bucknell000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) Bucknell Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Bucknell Highlights

Bucknell Deficiencies
Bucknell has a really bad Offense
Bucknell Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAFABUCK
OverallOver#60—
OffenseOff#21—
DefenseDef#88—
Special TeamsST#74—
PassingPass#66—
RushingRush#44—
Run BlockRBLK#6—
Pass BlockPBLK#61—
Route RunningWR Rt#82—
TacklingTkl#85—
Run DefenseR Def#60—
Pass Rush DefPRush#74—
Coverage DefCov#107—

Rematch from Week 1
Air Force -31.0 (54.5)
Air Force won vs Bucknell this year (49-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BUCK | AFA
Depth Chart: BUCK | AFA
Rosters: BUCK | AFA
(#119) Air Force Info
Power Rating: -10.105 #119
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 27.18 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 222.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 28%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.08 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 54%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Air Force Notes
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent

Air Force Highlights
Air Force is Undefeated at Home
Air Force is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Air Force offense is efficent (#21)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good in red zone (#4)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)

Air Force Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)

Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force has a bad defense (#116)
Air Force gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#109)
Air Force Does Not Stuff Runs (#117)
Air Force has a bad defensive line (#123)
Air Force has a bad red zone defense (#128)


  
Bucknell's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ralph Rucker496971%7676311.1
Chris Dietrich (Tr)66100%43007.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tariq Thomas4718123.936
Michael Cadden146614.713
Logan Bush82503.16
Ralph Rucker262410.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Milligan14320522.945
TJ Cadden7144120.659
Josh Gary75808.313
Nate Anderson43308.315

View Bucknell's Full Roster
Bucknell's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Biagiarelli80010
Terian Williams61000
Deuce Geter61100
Jack Goheen50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Geter61100
Brandon Biagiarelli80010
Darius Day10000
Nate Anderson10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Biagiarelli80010
Takai Whitmore20000
Darius Day10000

Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Johnson91656%2242114.0
Liam Szarka81650%114017.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris1613828.649
Dylan Carson1910515.517
Christopher Frew660010.014
Owen Allen175613.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris5146129.262
Quin Smith385128.340
James Roberson480020.029
Bruin Fleischmann31906.37

View Air Force's Full Roster
Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher220020
Roger Jones Jr.120000
Luke Fisher90010
Nick Beckwith90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Hubert64310
Jackson Adams52200
Grady Forsythe22200
Lukia Rawls Jr.52100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Beckwith90001
Houston Hendrix60001
Korey Johnson50001