Bucknell at Air Force - 2025 Matchup Preview
Bucknell logo   Bucknell Bison at Air Force Falcons  Air Force logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Air Force -31.0 (54.5) (0)  Open: -32.0 | 54.5
Air Force 49 - Bucknell: 13

 
Bison (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 49 (13 - 49 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -3  (SP+ AFA -3)
AFA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
Falcons (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
Bucknell's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Bucknell at Air Force+31.054.5L 13 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bucknell's Schedule
Air Force's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Bucknell-31.054.5W 49 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Utah State-4.051.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Boise State+10.551.5L 37 - 49ON
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Hawai'i-7.052.5L 35 - 44ON
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+13.550.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 10/11 Air Force at UNLV+7.065.5L 48 - 51OY
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs Wyoming-4.056.5W 24 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Army+1.548.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/8 Air Force at San José State+6.067.5W 26 - 16UY
Sat 11/15 Air Force at UConn+7.564.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/22 Air Force vs New Mexico+3.553.5L 3 - 20UN
Fri 11/28 Air Force at Colorado State-2.547.5W 42 - 21OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUCK0%130%000%000%490%0%0000
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)29.845% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)30.341% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUCK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUCK Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
AFA Defense1230.327.841.7%3.971 - - - - - 56%44%41%43%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUCK Defense149490%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
AFA Offense1229.827.542.1%4.021.31831422590482%18%45%31%12%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bucknell10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Air Force1233:5817.942%64%3281.314.31.5028.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUCK Offense10%0%000000%0%0
AFA Defense1256% (120)41% (47) - - - - .1 (56)3.02 (73)66% (28)10% (63)1.07 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUCK Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
AFA Offense1282% (2)45% (60)55.7224.7424 (45).15 (60)3.03 (68)83% (11)9% (55)0.88 (112)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUCK Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
AFA Defense1244% (16)43% (89) - - - - - - 4 (125).33 (107)1.6 (63)31% (79)30% (54).3 (63)5% (120)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUCK Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
AFA Offense1218% (133)31% (131)5.211.589.87.817.45 (134)10 (63).09 (124)2.1 (1)27% (14)25% (124).18 (111)3% (2)2.1 (66)

Bucknell's Power Ratings
Bucknell's Power Rating: NR
Bucknell's Offense Rating: NR
Bucknell's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bucknell's 2025 Expected Record: -
Bucknell's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bucknell's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bucknell's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bucknell:    Air Force: -2.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bucknell:    Air Force: -3.2




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -2.87  #90
Air Force's Offense Rating: 12.58  #72
Air Force's Defense Rating: 20.12  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 222.00  #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #80
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Bucknell Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

Bucknell's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 39
Bucknell 21

Projected Total Points: 60
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Air Force49Bucknell13Air Force -31.0Air Force54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force111 Overs
Bucknell000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) BUCK at (#90) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUCKAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #90
SP+SP+NR #80
Perf GradeGradeNR #40
OffenseOffNR #8
DefenseDefNR #117
Spec TeamsSTNR #57
TalentTalNR #134
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
Air Force Notes
(9/29) Def may be worst in CFB, back 7 sub FCS level bad
(9/24) Def torched 2 straight weeks vs Utah St/Boise
(9/24) QB Szarka good find, Off humming, Def awful
(9/20) Off 500+ yds on Boise, impressive. Def not great
(8/30) Run Off OK vs Bucknell, expected better
(8/1) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Improved late LY
(8/1) DC Knorr a good one, had no help LY from Off
(8/1) Trust Calhoun & staff, will contend for bowl.
(7/27) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. CB is big ?
(7/27) DL solid, P Zdroik is a top rated DT
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
Air Force Injury Report
Bucknell on Offense
CategoryCat
BUCK OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #117
SuccessSucNR #68
ExplosiveExpNR #84
PPAPPANR #88
PowerPwrNR #110
SP+SP+NR #101
Pts POPPONR #84
HavocHavNR #86
Bucknell Run Game
CategoryCat
BUCK OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNR #108
Run SuccessRSucNR #47
Run ExplRExpNR #101
PPAExpNR #56
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #73
Stuff RateStuffNR #82
TackleTak -  #46
Bucknell Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUCK OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNR #131
Pass SuccessPSucNR #89
Pass ExplPExlNR #63
PPAExpNR #107
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #52
F7 HavocF7NR #63
DB HavocDBNR #120
Air Force on Offense
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCatAFA OffBUCK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #8NR
SuccessSuc #77NR
ExplosiveExp #134NR
PPAPPA #103NR
PowerPwr #72NR
SP+SP+ #59NR
Pts POPPO #56NR
HavocHav #16NR
Air Force Run Game
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCat
AFA OffBUCK Def
Run GameRun #71NR
Run SuccessRSuc #60NR
Run ExplRExp #112NR
PPAExp #60NR
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLY #68NR
Stuff RateStuff #21NR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCatAFA OffBUCK Def
Pass GamePass #39NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #131NR
Pass ExplPExl #1NR
PPAExp #124NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #96NR
F7 HavocF7 #55NR
DB HavocDB #2NR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

BUCK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Air Force -31.0 (54.5)
Air Force won vs Bucknell this year (49-13)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Bucknell last year (49-13)

  
BUCK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ralph Rucker11717069%15681149.2
Chris Dietrich (Tr)7912265%875947.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tariq Thomas13160234.649
Michael Cadden7128654.028
Logan Bush5723224.130
Ralph Rucker6214532.331
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Milligan569751017.459
TJ Cadden45589613.159
Josh Gary3532519.325
Nate Anderson23272311.827

View Bucknell's Full Roster

BUCK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Biagiarelli80010
Terian Williams61000
Deuce Geter61100
Jack Goheen50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Geter61100
Brandon Biagiarelli80010
Daniel Sierk10000
Nate Anderson10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Biagiarelli80010
Bradley Pao20000
Daniel Sierk10000

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Liam Szarka7512063%12949510.8
Josh Johnson162857%3744213.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Liam Szarka190922134.964
Owen Allen13174955.743
Dylan Carson9141944.664
Cade Harris6132145.349
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris35584216.774
Bruin Fleischmann21370617.668
Quin Smith15358423.952
Jonah Dawson12260121.753

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC Brian Knorr (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher1081052
Roger Jones Jr.761010
Dallas Daley451013
Peyton Zdroik366191
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Hubert3011571
Jackson Adams174332
Grady Forsythe22200
Jaylin Reese101111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Johnson340004
Dallas Daley451013
Blake Fletcher1081052