Air Force Falcons at Navy Midshipmen
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -11 (34.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Air Force 17 - Navy: 6
Falcons (9 - 4) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (25 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (25 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Air Force -11.5 (SP+ AFA -19)
Projected Score: AFA: 25 - NAVY: 13 (38)
AFA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs behind
Our Line: Air Force -11.5 (SP+ AFA -19)
Projected Score: AFA: 25 - NAVY: 13 (38)
AFA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs behind
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Air Force's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | Air Force vs Robert Morris | -47.0 | 51.0 | W 42 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/9 | Air Force vs Sam Houston | -13.5 | 36.5 | W 13 - 3 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/15 | Air Force vs Utah State | -9.0 | 45.5 | W 39 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/22 | Air Force at San José State | -6.0 | 45.5 | W 45 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/30 | Air Force vs San Diego State | -10.5 | 43.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/14 | Air Force vs Wyoming | -12.5 | 42.0 | W 34 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/21 | Air Force at Navy | -11.0 | 34.0 | W 17 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/28 | Air Force at Colorado State | -14.5 | 47.0 | W 30 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/4 | Air Force vs Army | -18.5 | 32.0 | L 3 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/11 | Air Force at Hawai'i | -22.5 | 47.5 | L 13 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/18 | Air Force vs UNLV | -2.5 | 46.5 | L 27 - 31 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/24 | Air Force at Boise State | +6.5 | 44.5 | L 19 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/23 | Air Force vs James Madison | -2.5 | 44.5 | W 31 - 21 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Navy's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/26 | Navy vs Notre Dame | +20.5 | 49.0 | L 3 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/9 | Navy vs Wagner | -43.5 | 49.0 | W 24 - 0 | U | N | |
| Thu 9/14 | Navy at Memphis | +12.5 | 47.0 | L 24 - 28 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/30 | Navy vs South Florida | -4.0 | 54.0 | L 30 - 44 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/7 | Navy vs North Texas | -6.5 | 60.5 | W 27 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/14 | Navy at Charlotte | -3.5 | 44.0 | W 14 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/21 | Navy vs Air Force | +11.0 | 34.0 | L 6 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/4 | Navy at Temple | -7.0 | 46.0 | L 18 - 32 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/11 | Navy vs UAB | +3.5 | 52.5 | W 31 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/18 | Navy vs East Carolina | -2.5 | 30.5 | W 10 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/25 | Navy at SMU | +20.0 | 46.0 | L 14 - 59 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/9 | Navy vs Army | +2.0 | 28.0 | L 11 - 17 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #26 (.28) | 45% (31) | 27.8 | 46% (34) | 3.48 (8) | 281 | 41% (74) | 85 | 4.05 (52) | #28 (.12) | 39% (38) | 18.2 | 37% (16) | 42% (79) | 3.96 (85) | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| NAVY | #121 (.07) | 37% (117) | 17.7 | 39% (111) | 2.86 (108) | 195 | 32% (131) | 106 | 2.38 (133) | #45 (.15) | 41% (51) | 22.4 | 37% (23) | 45% (114) | 2.84 (7) | 46 | 1 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 | ||
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 27.8 | 24.8 | 45.5% | 4.05 | 1.3 | 20 | 366 | 281 | 85 | 5.1 | 85% | 14% | 46% | 41% | 9% | .28 |
| NAVY Defense | 12 | 22.4 | 15.2 | 40.6% | 2.84 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 37% | 45% | 17% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 18.2 | 18.6 | 39.3% | 3.96 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 37% | 42% | 14% | .12 |
| NAVY Offense | 12 | 17.7 | 21.3 | 37.1% | 2.38 | 1 | 15 | 300 | 195 | 106 | 4.3 | 71% | 29% | 39% | 32% | 14% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 13 | 33:26 | 19.6 | 46% | 68% | 3 | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 30.6 |
| Navy | 12 | 31:15 | 14.5 | 29% | 62% | 5.7 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 32.4 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 85% (1) | 46% (34) | 54.7 | 280.6 | 5.1 | 36 (4) | .27 (14) | 3.48 (8) | 80% (19) | 8% (22) | 1.02 (56) |
| NAVY Defense | 12 | 50% (67) | 37% (23) | - | - | - | - | .02 (15) | 2.87 (30) | 67% (34) | 11% (36) | 0.86 (16) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 49% (58) | 37% (16) | - | - | - | - | .06 (26) | 2.67 (13) | 79% (106) | 9% (93) | 0.99 (61) |
| NAVY Offense | 12 | 71% (3) | 39% (111) | 45.7 | 194.6 | 4.3 | 16 (89) | .07 (110) | 2.86 (108) | 72% (83) | 12% (101) | 1.02 (57) |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Offense | 13 | 14% (133) | 41% (74) | 4.2 | 8.1 | 85 | 10.5 | 20.1 | 7 (129) | 6 (14) | .51 (9) | 2.3 (1) | 23% (1) | 27% (93) | .39 (48) | 2% (1) | 2.3 (7) |
| NAVY Defense | 12 | 49% (65) | 45% (114) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .33 (103) | 1.6 (75) | 31% (97) | 28% (40) | .34 (83) | 6% (88) | 2.2 (113) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFA Defense | 13 | 50% (80) | 42% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .21 (36) | 1.5 (19) | 34% (44) | 29% (45) | .34 (85) | 5% (103) | 2 (59) |
| NAVY Offense | 12 | 29% (131) | 32% (131) | 8.5 | 16.6 | 105.7 | 6.4 | 12.4 | 10 (120) | 5 (6) | .11 (121) | 1.8 (15) | 31% (61) | 21% (132) | .06 (131) | 2% (3) | 2 (88) |
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -0.78 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Air Force's Power Rating: -0.78 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -0.78 Navy: -9.22
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 5.2 Navy: -13.9
Air Force: -0.78 Navy: -9.22
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 5.2 Navy: -13.9
Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.22 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Navy's Power Rating: -9.22 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 18.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6
Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 18.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6
Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 25
Navy 13
Total Points: 38
Air Force 25
Navy 13
Total Points: 38
Navy Scoring
Offense: 17.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.3
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2
Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1
Offense: 17.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.3
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2
Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Air Force | 7 | Navy | 34 | Navy | Navy -10 | Navy | 37.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/21 | Navy | 6 | Air Force | 17 | Air Force | Air Force -11 | NA | 34.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Air Force | 13 | Navy | 10 | Air Force | Air Force -14 | Navy | 38.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/11 | Navy | 3 | Air Force | 23 | Air Force | Air Force -6 | Air Force | 40.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/03 | Air Force | 40 | Navy | 7 | Air Force | Navy -6.5 | Air Force | 46.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/05 | Navy | 34 | Air Force | 25 | Navy | Air Force -3 | Navy | 46.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Air Force | 35 | Navy | 7 | Air Force | Navy -2.5 | Air Force | 47.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Navy | 48 | Air Force | 45 | Navy | Navy -8.5 | Air Force | 53.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/01 | Air Force | 28 | Navy | 14 | Air Force | Air Force -10.5 | Air Force | 50.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Navy | 33 | Air Force | 11 | Navy | Navy -6 | Navy | 49.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Air Force | 30 | Navy | 21 | Air Force | Navy -4 | Air Force | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/05 | Navy | 28 | Air Force | 10 | Navy | Navy -11 | Navy | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Air Force | 21 | Navy | 28 | Navy | ||||
| 2011 | 10/01 | Navy | 34 | Air Force | 35 | Air Force | ||||
| 2010 | 10/02 | Air Force | 14 | Navy | 6 | Air Force | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | Navy | 16 | Air Force | 13 | Navy | ||||
| 2008 | 10/04 | Air Force | 27 | Navy | 33 | Navy | ||||
| 2007 | 09/29 | Navy | 31 | Air Force | 20 | Navy | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Air Force | 17 | Navy | 24 | Navy | ||||
| 2005 | 10/08 | Navy | 27 | Air Force | 24 | Navy | ||||
| 2004 | 09/30 | Air Force | 21 | Navy | 24 | Navy | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | Navy | 28 | Air Force | 25 | Navy | ||||
| 2002 | 10/05 | Air Force | 48 | Navy | 7 | Air Force | ||||
| 2001 | 10/06 | Navy | 18 | Air Force | 24 | Air Force | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Air Force | 27 | Navy | 13 | Air Force |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 13 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| Air Force | 12 | 6 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 16 - 9 | 7 - 4 | 3 - 2 | 4 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 16 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 4 | 2 - 3 |
(#69) Air Force Info
Power Rating: -0.78 #69
Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force has won 6 straight
Air Force has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Air Force Highlights
Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#52)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force has a good run defense (#76)
Air Force Defensive Line is very good (#123)
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Power Rating: -0.78 #69
Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force has won 6 straight
Air Force has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Air Force Highlights
Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#52)
Air Force has a top Offensive Line (#27)
Air Force offense is good on 3rd downs
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force has a good run defense (#76)
Air Force Defensive Line is very good (#123)
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NAVY | AFA |
| OverallOver | #87 | #7 |
| OffenseOff | #97 | #7 |
| DefenseDef | #53 | #15 |
| Special TeamsST | #42 | #33 |
| PassingPass | #107 | #59 |
| RushingRush | #91 | #46 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #17 | #1 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #118 | #58 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #113 | #36 |
| TacklingTkl | #77 | #7 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #54 | #20 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #69 | #25 |
| Coverage DefCov | #72 | #37 |
Rematch from Week 8
Air Force 11.0 (34.0)
Air Force won at Navy this year (17-6)
Previous Matchups
Navy beat Air Force last year (34-7)
Air Force beat Navy in 2023 (17-6)
Air Force beat Navy in 2022 (13-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: AFA | NAVY
Depth Chart: AFA | NAVY
Rosters: AFA | NAVY
(#116) Navy Info
Power Rating: -9.22 #116
Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy has won 2 straight
Navy has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)
Navy Highlights
Navy is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Navy defense is really good in red zone (#73)
Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy Defensive Line is very good (#37)
Navy has a great TO Margin (#54)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy has a really bad Offense
Navy offense is really bad (#5)
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)
Navy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#31)
Navy run game is really bad (#4)
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -9.22 #116
Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy has won 2 straight
Navy has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)
Navy Highlights
Navy is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Navy defense is really good in red zone (#73)
Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy Defensive Line is very good (#37)
Navy has a great TO Margin (#54)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy has a really bad Offense
Navy offense is really bad (#5)
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)
Navy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#31)
Navy run game is really bad (#4)
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Larrier | 40 | 67 | 60% | 789 | 7 | 2 | 11.8 |
| John Busha | 9 | 19 | 47% | 152 | 0 | 1 | 8.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Michel | 200 | 935 | 11 | 4.7 | 54 |
| Zachary Larrier | 142 | 605 | 6 | 4.3 | 41 |
| John Lee Eldridge III | 84 | 599 | 6 | 7.1 | 65 |
| Dylan Carson | 68 | 493 | 2 | 7.3 | 68 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Roznos | 12 | 374 | 3 | 31.2 | 84 |
| Cade Harris | 5 | 179 | 1 | 35.8 | 65 |
| Brandon Engel | 10 | 178 | 0 | 17.8 | 39 |
| Dane Kinamon | 5 | 126 | 2 | 25.2 | 94 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Mock | 93 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Johnathan Youngblood | 85 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Trey Taylor | 74 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Jayden Goodwin | 73 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Richter | 45 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 1 |
| PJ Ramsey | 35 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| Peyton Zdroik | 32 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Alec Mock | 93 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamari Bellamy | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jayden Goodwin | 73 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Trey Taylor | 74 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Lavatai | 56 | 101 | 55% | 701 | 5 | 2 | 6.9 |
| Xavier Arline | 23 | 44 | 52% | 320 | 2 | 2 | 7.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tecza | 126 | 758 | 5 | 6.0 | 75 |
| Daba Fofana | 72 | 283 | 3 | 3.9 | 20 |
| Xavier Arline | 77 | 257 | 2 | 3.3 | 50 |
| Tai Lavatai | 75 | 245 | 2 | 3.3 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Heidenreich | 19 | 382 | 4 | 20.1 | 69 |
| Brandon Chatman | 19 | 254 | 0 | 13.4 | 58 |
| Jayden Umbarger | 14 | 145 | 1 | 10.4 | 22 |
| Alex Tecza | 16 | 97 | 0 | 6.1 | 16 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Ramos | 94 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Will Harbour | 76 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Rayuan Lane | 62 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| Mbiti Williams Jr. | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Reed | 44 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Landon Robinson | 28 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Pirris | 52 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Will Harbour | 76 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayuan Lane | 62 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| Colin Ramos | 94 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Dashaun Peele | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |