UNLV at Air Force Game Matchup

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Air Force -2.5 (46.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UNLV 31 - Air Force: 27 (Mountain West)

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AFA is playing their 6th straight game
UNLV is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Air Force -4.5 (SP+ AFA -3)
Projected Score: UNLV: 21 - AFA: 25 (49)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 597 miles, 1 hrs behind

Falcons (9 - 4) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44	O	N
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Air Force's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Air Force vs Robert Morris	-47.0	51.0	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Air Force vs Sam Houston	-13.5	36.5	W 13 - 3	U	N
Fri 9/15	Air Force vs Utah State	-9.0	45.5	W 39 - 21	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Air Force at San José State	-6.0	45.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Air Force vs San Diego State	-10.5	43.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Air Force vs Wyoming	-12.5	42.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/21	Air Force at Navy	-11.0	34.0	W 17 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/28	Air Force at Colorado State	-14.5	47.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Air Force vs Army	-18.5	32.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/11	Air Force at Hawai'i	-22.5	47.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Air Force vs UNLV	-2.5	46.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Air Force at Boise State	+6.5	44.5	L 19 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/23	Air Force vs James Madison	-2.5	44.5	W 31 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.18	40%	35.4	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	21.3	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1
AFA	.3	49%	18.9	50%	3.55	327	39%	70	4.25	.11	39%	23.3	38%	42%	3.77	29.7	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	35.4	28.8	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18
AFA Defense	13	23.3	17.7	39.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	38%	42%	20%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	21.3	21.7	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2
AFA Offense	13	18.9	18.7	48.5%	4.25	1	20	398	327	70	5.3	87%	13%	50%	39%	10%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1
Air Force	13	36:21	20.5	45%	72%	3.9	29.7	1	1.3	5.1	1.8	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07
AFA Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.06	62%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8
AFA Offense	13	87%	50%	61.7	327.2	5.3	37	.28	3.55	84%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1
AFA Defense	13	45%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.3	33%	24%	.19	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2
AFA Offense	13	13%	39%	3.2	6.7	70.5	10.5	22.3	8	2	.53	2.6	26%	33%	.36	2%	1.9

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.91 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.91 Air Force: 4.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 2.0 Air Force: 5.2

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 4.71 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Air Force 25
UNLV 21

Projected Total Points: 49

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Air Force	27	UNLV	31	UNLV	Air Force -2.5	UNLV	46.5	Over
2022	10/15	UNLV	7	Air Force	42	Air Force	Air Force -10	Air Force	50.0	Under
2021	11/26	Air Force	48	UNLV	14	Air Force	Air Force -18.5	Air Force	49.5	Over
2018	10/19	UNLV	35	Air Force	41	Air Force	Air Force -9.5	UNLV	55.5	Over
2017	10/14	Air Force	34	UNLV	30	Air Force	Air Force -9.5	UNLV	65.5	Under
2014	11/08	UNLV	21	Air Force	48	Air Force	Air Force -4.5	Air Force	0
2013	11/21	Air Force	21	UNLV	41	UNLV	Air Force -1	UNLV	58.5	Over
2012	09/22	UNLV	38	Air Force	35	UNLV
2011	11/19	Air Force	45	UNLV	17	Air Force
2010	11/18	UNLV	20	Air Force	35	Air Force
2009	11/14	Air Force	45	UNLV	17	Air Force
2008	10/18	UNLV	28	Air Force	29	Air Force
2007	10/06	Air Force	31	UNLV	14	Air Force
2006	11/24	UNLV	42	Air Force	39	UNLV
2005	10/15	Air Force	42	UNLV	7	Air Force
2004	09/18	UNLV	10	Air Force	27	Air Force
2003	10/11	Air Force	24	UNLV	7	Air Force
2001	11/17	Air Force	10	UNLV	34	UNLV
2000	09/29	UNLV	34	Air Force	13	UNLV

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	13	3	4 Overs
UNLV	6	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	2 - 5	1 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 10	5 - 2	2 - 1	3 - 1

(#76) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.91 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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UNLV Ratings Matchup Air Force

Power #76

#69

Off #52

#34

Def #73

#34

Talent #106

#43

SP+ #60

#45

SP+ Off #35

#76

SP+ Def #98

#29

Rematch from Week 12
Air Force -2.5 (46.5)
UNLV won at Air Force this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Air Force in 2023 (31-27)
Air Force beat UNLV in 2022 (42-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | AFA
Depth Chart: UNLV | AFA
Rosters: UNLV | AFA

(#69) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.71 #69
Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70

Team Profile

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UNLV's OC Brennan Marion

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	101	169	60%	1201	11	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Maiava	20	45	4	2.3	13
Ricky White	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	79	1041	11	13.2	55
Senika McKie	24	319	4	13.3	41
Zyell Griffin	6	151	1	25.2	89
Cameron Oliver	1	52	0	52.0	52

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10
Naki Fahina	29	1	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Keith Conley Jr.	13	3	2	1	0
Tatuo Martinson	24	2	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10

Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Busha	29	79	37%	415	1	5	5.3
Brandon Engel	2	2	100%	81	0	0	40.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
John Busha	78	172	1	2.2	12
Aiden Calvert	18	91	2	5.1	37
Cameron Breier	2	12	0	6.0	7
Darius Stone	3	7	0	2.3	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	YPC	LONG
Jared Roznos	5	109	21.8	52
Brandon Engel	3	31	10.3	14
Aiden Calvert	1	21	21.0	21

View Air Force's Full Roster

Air Force's DC Brian Knorr

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Camby Goff	67	3	0	1	3
Jamari Bellamy	64	3	0	0	4
Osaro Aihie	58	2	2	0	1
Grant Uyl	41	4	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Osaro Aihie	58	2	2	0	1
Grant Uyl	41	4	2	2	0
James Tomasi	20	2	1	1	0
Camby Goff	67	3	0	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamari Bellamy	64	3	0	0	4
Camby Goff	67	3	0	1	3
Osaro Aihie	58	2	2	0	1