New Mexico at Air Force Game Matchup
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Falcon Stadium - Colorado Springs, CO  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#116)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
AFA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Air Force -7   (SP+ AFA -11)
Projected Score: UNM: 24 - AFA: 31 (57)
AFA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 289 miles
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (135 - 89)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 New Mexico at Michigan+34.50.0
Sat 9/6 New Mexico vs Idaho State-7
Sat 9/13 New Mexico at UCLA+21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-5
Sat 10/4 New Mexico at San José State+14
Sat 10/11 New Mexico at Boise State+28.5
Sat 10/18 New Mexico vs Nevada-3.5
Sat 10/25 New Mexico vs Utah State-2
Sat 11/1 New Mexico at UNLV+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 New Mexico vs Colorado State+4
Sat 11/22 New Mexico at Air Force+7
Sat 11/29 New Mexico vs San Diego State+1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Air Force's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Air Force vs Bucknell-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Utah State-1.5
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Boise State+19
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Hawai'i-2
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+9.5
Sat 10/11 Air Force at UNLV+9
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs Wyoming-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Army+6
Sat 11/8 Air Force at San José State+9.5
Sat 11/15 Air Force at UConn+10.5
Sat 11/22 Air Force vs New Mexico-7
Sat 11/29 Air Force at Colorado State+4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)33.553% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)3850% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)18.945% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)23.341% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.748.9%3.831.6254852542316.752%48%53%44%12%.31
AFA Defense1223.317.741.7%3.971 - - - - - 56%44%41%43%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.450.4%4.640.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%51%14%.34
AFA Offense1218.918.742.1%4.021.31831422590482%18%45%31%12%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1228:5224.743%68%9.381.51.60.83.91.6126.8
Air Force1233:5817.942%64%3281.314.31.5028.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1252% (55)53% (3)37.82546.737 (6).37 (1)3.81 (1)81% (20)5% (1)1.1 (21)
AFA Defense1256% (120)41% (47) - - - - .1 (56)3.02 (73)66% (28)10% (63)1.07 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1254% (106)50% (125) - - - - .2 (110)3.26 (103)71% (52)8% (118)0.97 (64)
AFA Offense1282% (2)45% (60)55.7224.7424 (45).15 (60)3.03 (68)83% (11)9% (55)0.88 (112)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1248% (77)44% (40)18.832.5230.77.112.312 (118)12 (85).24 (77)1.4 (125)27% (8)37% (11).49 (13)6% (85)1.9 (110)
AFA Defense1244% (16)43% (89) - - - - - - 4 (125).33 (107)1.6 (63)31% (79)30% (54).3 (63)5% (120)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1246% (30)51% (131) - - - - - - 3 (132).51 (132)1.6 (81)26% (132)38% (129).54 (129)6% (79)2.2 (118)
AFA Offense1218% (133)31% (131)5.211.589.87.817.45 (134)10 (63).09 (124)2.1 (1)27% (14)25% (124).18 (111)3% (2)2.1 (66)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -14.43 #103
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 15.04 #63
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 29.47 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 336.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.43   Air Force: -9.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.4   Air Force: -7.3




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -9.29 #113
Air Force's Offense Rating: 7.76 #107
Air Force's Defense Rating: 24.04 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 176.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Air Force's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Air Force's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3 #94
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #59

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 31
New Mexico 24

Projected Total Points: 57
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Air Force's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12New Mexico52Air Force37New MexicoNew Mexico -7New Mexico56.0Over
202211/12Air Force35New Mexico3Air ForceAir Force -21Air Force37.5Over
202110/02New Mexico10Air Force38Air ForceAir Force -11.5Air Force46.0Over
202011/20Air Force28New Mexico0Air ForceAir Force -9.5Air Force56.5Under
201911/23New Mexico22Air Force44Air ForceAir Force -24New Mexico56.5Over
201811/10Air Force42New Mexico24Air ForceAir Force -14Air Force55.0Over
201709/30New Mexico56Air Force38New MexicoAir Force -3New Mexico50.5Over
201610/15Air Force40New Mexico45New MexicoAir Force -15New Mexico53.5Over
201511/28New Mexico47Air Force35New MexicoAir Force -10.5New Mexico53.5Over
201410/18Air Force35New Mexico31Air ForceAir Force -12New Mexico0
201311/08New Mexico45Air Force37New MexicoNew Mexico -1.5New Mexico0
201210/20Air Force28New Mexico23Air Force
201110/29New Mexico0Air Force42Air Force
201011/13Air Force48New Mexico23Air Force
200909/19New Mexico13Air Force37Air Force
200810/23Air Force23New Mexico10Air Force
200710/25New Mexico34Air Force31New Mexico
200609/30Air Force24New Mexico7Air Force
200511/19New Mexico24Air Force42Air Force
200410/09Air Force28New Mexico23Air Force
200311/15New Mexico24Air Force12New Mexico
200209/07Air Force38New Mexico31Air Force
200110/27New Mexico52Air Force33New Mexico
200010/20Air Force23New Mexico29New Mexico
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force1548 Overs
New Mexico971 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 78 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams7 - 173 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#103) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.43 #103
Offense Rating: 15.04 #63
Defense Rating: 29.47 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.4 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #134
Talent Rating: 336.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


New Mexico Notes
(5/27) RB 4 portals, look good w/ Humphrey (Mon St)
(5/27) WR rebuild, look rough, 1 portal, 5 TE's
(5/27) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 8 portal adds, 7 FCS
(5/27) Def rebuild. 18 portals, 7 CB & 6 Safeties
(5/27) Roster rebuild, nice FCS adds esp RB & DB
(5/19) QB Welliver, Faavae, Layne? Fall battle
(3/26) New HC Eck was 26-13 @ Idaho, good off
(3/26) New OC Schleusner w/ Eck @ Idaho
(3/18) QB Jack Layne (FCS Idaho) starter?
New Mexico     Ratings Matchup     Air Force
Power #103
#113
Off #63
#107
Def #133
#116
Talent #126
#133
SP+ #130
#94
SP+ Off #97
#116
SP+ Def #134
#59

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Air Force last year (52-37)
Air Force beat New Mexico in 2022 (35-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | AFA
Depth Chart: UNM | AFA
Rosters: UNM | AFA
(#113) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.29 #113
Offense Rating: 7.76 #107
Defense Rating: 24.04 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #59
Talent Rating: 176.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Air Force Notes
(5/6) Fr QB Haynes left via portal, started 6 gms LY
(5/6) QB Johnson (1 start LY) vs Liam Szarka in spring
(5/6) Started 0-7, finished 4-0 in 2024
(5/5) RB Carson/Allen back, FB Frew back. Avg
(5/5) WR top 2 back in Harris/Smith. Decent
(5/5) OL 3 of 5 back, 3 more w/ exp. Bad LY, jump?
(5/5) Def improved LY but replacing a lot. DL small
(5/5) Expect Calhoun to bounce back after down '24


  
New Mexico's OC Luke Schleusner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne (Tr)8313263%11591148.8
Cole Welliver (Tr)2450%10002.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Scottre Humphrey (Tr)1881291156.979
Deshaun Buchanan (Tr)6050648.472
DJ McKinney (Tr)9547935.059
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters2212415.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Hamper43869520.274
Keagan Johnson (Tr)29359112.435
Michael Buckley8103012.918
Aiden Valdez (Tr)109039.037

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randolph Kpai805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Austin Brawley (Tr)382002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby (Tr)106500
Dmitri Johnson775212
Randolph Kpai805153
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ky'won McCray (Tr)665144
Randolph Kpai805153
Austin Brawley (Tr)382002

Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quentin Hayes254358%4553210.6
Josh Johnson61443%126139.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Carson13860054.350
Quentin Hayes12646673.730
Owen Allen7733524.414
Cade Harris4827945.830
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris23368216.076
Quin Smith10207120.739
Bruin Fleischmann5104020.843
James Roberson596119.245

View Air Force's Full Roster
Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher375221
Daniel Grobe305113
Luke Fisher221000
Aidan Swartz223111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peyton Zdroik187330
Blake Fletcher375221
Aidan Swartz223111
Daniel Grobe305113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Grobe305113
Kyle Chen212002
Blake Fletcher375221