Texas Tech Team Profile
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(#7) Texas Tech Red Raiders (@TexasTechFB)
Joey McGuire (4th year) (29-15)
Record: 6 - 0 (3 - 0)  |  Proj: 12 - 0 (#1)  |  SOS: (#68)
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Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-9.549.5
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-41.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-19.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-14
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-28

Record Prediction: 11.7 - 0.3  #1
Schedule Rating:  #68
Record: 6 - 0( B12: 3 - 0)
Spread Record 5 - 1 - 0 | O/U 3 - 3
Future 2026 Schedule

Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51ON
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22UY
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48OY
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15OY
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #52
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (B12: 6 - 3)
Spread Record 7 - 5 - 1 | O/U 9 - 4


Opponents: 1 Elite, 2 Good, 4 Avg, 1 Bad, 3 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 0 Bad, 2 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 1Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 1 Elite, 4 Good, 4 Avg, 2 Bad, 1 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 202 points   #48
2024 class: 236 points   #25
2023 class: 222 points   #27
2022 class: 197 points   #43
2021 class: 167 points   #64

Average Class Ranking:   #41
Average Recruiting Points: 205

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class:  #36 - Best:  #25 Worst:  #48



CFB Crootin Averages
Big 12 Class: 201  #49
Power 4 Class: 225  #49
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 183 points   #49
2019 class: 178 points   #61
2018 class: 170 points   #72
2017 class: 183 points   #49
2016 class: 185 points   #44

Average Class Ranking:   #55
Average Recruiting Points: 180
 

2025 Portal Class  #2 - 21 players, 89 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #30 - 14 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #59 - 7 players, 88 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #25 - 14 players, 85 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton10415268%15011339.9
Will Hammond375666%399427.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey9360586.571
J'Koby Williams6735645.323
Will Hammond2423149.664
Adam Hill2420708.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas23379116.561
Coy Eakin25357314.342
Terrance Carter (Tr)23297512.950
Reginald Virgil23286412.435
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez445113
John Curry341011
Ben Roberts310024
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)252101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)1710970
Romello Height (Tr)145570
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)216341
Jacob Rodriguez445113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts310024
Jacob Rodriguez445113
Dontae Balfour (Tr)141003
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 75%  #4
Offense Returning Production: 68%  #25
Defense Returning Production: 82%  #1

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #2
21 Commits, 89.5 Avg Rating
27% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 22% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Offense Talent  #27 | Defense Talent  #29
2024  #23 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #44 | 2021  #59


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 6 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 3 - 0
Spread: 5 - 1 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 3

2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 9 - 4

2023 Record: 7 - 6
2023 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2022 Record: 8 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

Four Year Record: 29 - 16
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 26 - 18 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 19 - 11
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8

2020 Record: 4 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 3 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 3 - 7

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 6 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

2018 Record: 5 - 7
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

Eight Year Record: 49 - 43
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 48 - 40 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 35 - 36

Texas Tech Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Liberty Bowl Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39
2023Independence Bowl Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14
2022Texas Bowl Texas Tech vs Ole Miss+4.573.0W 42 - 25
2021Liberty Bowl Texas Tech vs Mississippi State+10.058.5W 34 - 7
2017Birmingham Bowl Texas Tech vs South Florida+2.066.0L 34 - 38
2015Texas Bowl Texas Tech vs LSU+7.5L 27 - 56
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.37 (10)1.34 (33)49% (24)4.43 (42)35.5 (5)52%60%-.1 (1)1.08 (10)30% (3)2.71 (13)26.3 (26)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.25 (33)1.32 (40)44% (50)4.73 (7)31 (28)49%52%.23 (104)1.41 (120)44% (93)3.97 (83)30 (100)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025630:2426.552%60%8.877.31.22.273.51
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.52



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense647.55434.548.7% (24)4.43 (42)1.227559236323648% (84)52% (51)50% (19)47% (32)13% (26).37 (10)
2025 Defense61111.310.530% (3)2.71 (13)2.2 - - - - - 41% (5)59% (132)30% (4)30% (6)22% (6)-.1 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1337.643.731.444.2% (50)4.73 (7)1.5234251502754.545% (104)55% (27)45% (49)43% (51)14% (36).25 (33)
2024 Defense1334.835.732.843.6% (93)3.97 (83)1.6 - - - - - 45% (16)54% (120)44% (76)44% (101)13% (123).23 (104)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense648% (84)50% (19)39235.5616 (20).23 (27)2.72 (102)85% (12)8% (26)0.96 (68)
2025 Defense641% (5)30% (4) - - - - -.18 (1)2.11 (3)58% (14)14% (10)0.62 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)
2024 Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense652% (51)47% (32)24.235.5323.39.113.418 (4)5 (77).5 (13)1.7 (22)30% (56)37% (25).64 (6)5% (42)2.4 (9)
2025 Defense659% (132)30% (6) - - - - - - 8 (12)-.04 (5)1.4 (23)40% (3)18% (2)-.02 (2)8% (15)2 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)
2024 Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)




Overall
Power Rating  #6 | SP+ Rating  #3
Performance Grade  #2
Special Teams Grade  #14
Record Prediction 11.7 - 0.3  #1
5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Offense
Power  #24 | SP+  #2 | Grade  #8
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Off Success  #24 | Explosivness  #33
Rush Grade  #8 | Pass Grade  #6
Rush Success  #19 | Explosiveness  #68
Pass Success  #32 | Explosiveness  #22
Run Block  #37 | Pass Block  #14
OL YDS  #102 | Stuff Rate  #52
Scoring Zone Off:  #42

Defense
Power  #4 | SP+  #17 | Grade  #1
Def Success  #3 | Explosivness  #10
Rush Success  #4 | Explosiveness  #1
Tackling  #6 | Run Def  #1
Pass Success  #6 | Explosiveness  #23
Pass Rush  #1 | Coverage  #3
F7 Havoc  #10 | DB Havoc  #15
Scoring Zone Def  #13


Roster
Team Talent  #28 Blue Chips: 20%  #26
Offense Talent  #27 Defense Talent  #29
Crootin: '25 Class  #48 - 4 YR Class:  #36
Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class  #2 - 21 players, 89 Avg
27% of Roster from Portal, 22% TY
61 New Players, 60% of '25 Roster  #63

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 47.5 - 11 (38 - 35) in '24
Scoring at Home: 54 - 11 | Road: 35 - 11
OC: Mack Leftwich - in his first season
DC: Shiel Wood - in his first season

2025 Record: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0) (B12: 3 - 0)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (7 - 5 - 1) (B12: 6 - 3)
2023 Record: 7 - 6 (6 - 7 - 0) (B12: 5 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (29 - 16) | 8 Yr Record: (49 - 43)


Notes
QB Morton (leg) again vs Kansas, sounds OK though
QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
#1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Good when off Schedule 37%

'25 Defense
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Great in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great at Forcing Turnovers
Awful Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 60%
Great when Opp is off Schedule 18%

Returning Prod
'24 QB Behren Morton returns
Returning Production: 75%  #4
Offense: 68%  #25 | Defense: 82%  #1
OL Prod: 67%  #41, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4095  #18 | From Portal: 1867  #16
Rush Prod: 33%  #111 | Rec Prod: 81%  #17
Def Front Seven: 59% - Secondary: 67%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 8.5 - 3.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #3 - Power Rating:  #6
2024 SP+ Overall:  #54 - Power Rating:  #55
2023 SP+ Overall:  #52 - Power Rating:  #49
2022 SP+ Overall:  #41

#41 #51 #55 #5

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #2 - Power Rating:  #24
2024 SP+ Offense:  #25 - Power Rating:  #49
2023 SP+ Offense:  #53 - Power Rating:  #81
2022 SP+ Offense:  #18

#18 #67 #37 #13

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #17 - Power Rating:  #4
2024 SP+ Defense:  #95 - Power Rating:  #99
2023 SP+ Defense:  #61 - Power Rating:  #46
2022 SP+ Defense:  #88

#88 #54 #97 #11