Texas Tech at Washington State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Washington State Cougars

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (10:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -2.5 (64.5) (-130) Open: -2.0 | 65.5
Washington State 37 - Texas Tech: 16

Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -1 (SP+ TTU -3)
Projected Score: TTU: 28 - WSU: 27 (56)
TTU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TTU Travel: 1211 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TTU Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian	-34.5	58.5	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/7	Texas Tech at Washington State	-2.5	64.5	L 16 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/14	Texas Tech vs North Texas	-10.5	70.5	W 66 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas Tech vs Arizona State	-4.5	58.5	W 30 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Texas Tech vs Cincinnati	-3.0	60.0	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Texas Tech at Arizona	+6.0	64.0	W 28 - 22	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Texas Tech vs Baylor	-4.5	56.0	L 35 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/26	Texas Tech at TCU	+5.0	66.0	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Texas Tech at Iowa State	+13.5	55.0	W 23 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Texas Tech vs Colorado	+5.0	62.0	L 27 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	-5.0	63.5	W 56 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-2.5	61.5	W 52 - 15	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Texas Tech vs Arkansas	-3.5	52.5	L 26 - 39	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Washington State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington State vs Portland State	-26.5	57.5	W 70 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington State vs Texas Tech	+2.5	64.5	W 37 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Washington State vs Washington	+4.0	56.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Washington State vs San José State	-13.0	55.5	W 54 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	Washington State at Boise State	+6.5	66.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Washington State at Fresno State	-3.5	60.5	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Washington State vs Hawai'i	-18.5	55.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Washington State at San Diego State	-17.0	56.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Washington State vs Utah State	-20.5	69.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Washington State at New Mexico	-10.5	72.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/23	Washington State at Oregon State	-11.0	57.0	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/30	Washington State vs Wyoming	-18.5	55.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Fri 12/27	Washington State vs Syracuse	+19.0	58.5	L 35 - 52	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	#92 (.15)	42% (59)	39.4	47% (26)	3.36 (17)	163	39% (97)	224	3.91 (70)	#51 (.16)	41% (54)	11.3	42% (63)	40% (51)	3.46 (42)	49.9	1.8	1.3
WSU	#65 (.2)	45% (40)	22.5	47% (24)	2.85 (110)	84	44% (47)	336	4.17 (41)	#62 (.17)	42% (64)	20.2	45% (95)	39% (34)	4.22 (108)	49.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	13	39.4	36.6	42.5%	3.91	1.8	22	387	163	224	4.5	47%	51%	47%	39%	15%	.15
WSU Defense	12	20.2	16.7	41.7%	4.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	39%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	13	11.3	13.4	40.9%	3.46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	40%	15%	.16
WSU Offense	12	22.5	26.8	44.9%	4.17	1.8	23	420	84	336	3	34%	65%	47%	44%	18%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	13	28:45	21.9	40%	65%	5.4	49.9	1.8	1.3	5.2	2.2	3	30
Washington State	12	29:43	22.7	42%	46%	6.1	49.8	1.8	1.3	5.2	2	3	29.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	13	47% (90)	47% (26)	36.5	162.8	4.5	17 (81)	.21 (32)	3.36 (17)	76% (47)	7% (12)	0.99 (69)
WSU Defense	12	49% (54)	45% (95)	-	-	-	-	.12 (53)	3.03 (53)	68% (39)	9% (87)	0.98 (60)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	13	48% (42)	42% (63)	-	-	-	-	.15 (73)	3.14 (76)	61% (11)	9% (101)	1 (74)
WSU Offense	12	34% (132)	47% (24)	28.4	84.3	3	17 (81)	.09 (98)	2.85 (110)	72% (80)	11% (96)	0.98 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	13	51% (46)	39% (97)	21.8	36.2	223.8	6.2	10.2	24 (41)	18 (128)	.16 (111)	1.5 (116)	30% (44)	27% (94)	.24 (97)	8% (118)	1.9 (120)
WSU Defense	12	50% (82)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.24 (50)	1.6 (66)	32% (59)	29% (54)	.26 (39)	6% (93)	2.1 (78)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	13	51% (88)	40% (51)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.21 (37)	1.5 (22)	30% (100)	28% (42)	.32 (74)	6% (71)	2.2 (108)
WSU Offense	12	65% (3)	44% (47)	28.4	42.6	335.7	7.9	11.8	27 (25)	9 (40)	.29 (69)	1.5 (117)	31% (58)	34% (37)	.43 (34)	6% (80)	2.1 (65)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.09 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 436.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.09 Washington State: 1.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 4.3 Washington State: 1.3

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.95 #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
2024 Talent Rating: 237.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 259.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 28
Washington State 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Washington State	37	Texas Tech	16	Texas Tech -2.5	Washington State	64.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	1	1	0 Overs
Texas Tech	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#55) TTU at (#72) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TTU	WSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#55	#72
SP+SP+	#54	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#84	#48
OffenseOff	#40	#45
DefenseDef	#122	#44
Spec TeamsST	#24	#101
TalentTal	#27	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	#33	#102

Texas Tech Notes(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
(9/1) Def Awful, Abl Chris 506 yds passing, 51 pts in OT W,
Texas Tech Injury Report

Washington State Notes(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State Injury Report

Texas Tech on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	WSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#44
SuccessSuc	#59	#64
ExplosiveExp	#107	#54
PPAPPA	#92	#62
PowerPwr	#49	#107
SP+SP+	#25	#97
Pts POPPO	#70	#108
HavocHav	#52	#94

Texas Tech Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#46	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	#26	#95
Run ExplRExp	#69	#60
PPAExp	#32	#53
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	#17	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#43	#55
TackleTak	-	#132

Texas Tech Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	#97	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#116	#66
PPAExp	#111	#50
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#24	#43
F7 HavocF7	#12	#87
DB HavocDB	#118	#93

Washington State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	TTU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#45	#122
SuccessSuc	#40	#54
ExplosiveExp	#75	#40
PPAPPA	#65	#51
PowerPwr	#22	#99
SP+SP+	#21	#95
Pts POPPO	#41	#42
HavocHav	#94	#91

Washington State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	#25	#105
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#63
Run ExplRExp	#80	#74
PPAExp	#98	#73
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#76
Stuff RateStuff	#86	#73
TackleTak	-	#133

Washington State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	#51	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#51
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#22
PPAExp	#69	#37
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#3	#108
F7 HavocF7	#96	#101
DB HavocDB	#80	#71

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Texas Tech 2.5 (64.5)
Washington State won vs Texas Tech this year (37-16)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Texas Tech in 2024 (37-16)

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Behren Morton	293	463	63%	3300	27	8	7.1
Will Hammond	15	23	65%	191	1	0	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Brooks	286	1505	17	5.3	40
Cameron Dickey	25	150	1	6.0	37
J'Koby Williams	26	113	1	4.3	13
Cameran Brown (Tr)	8	83	0	10.4	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	89	1023	5	11.5	41
Caleb Douglas (Tr)	55	765	6	13.9	57
Coy Eakin	45	605	6	13.4	70
Jalin Conyers (Tr)	25	271	5	10.8	36

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Rodriguez	104	9	5	4	3
Ben Roberts	74	5	0	4	0
C.J. Baskerville	60	3	0	0	3
Maurion Horn	46	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Rodriguez	104	9	5	4	3
Terrell Tilmon	8	4	4	0	0
Isaac Smith	31	4	3	1	0
Harvey Dyson III	10	3	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurion Horn	46	2	0	1	4
Jacob Rodriguez	104	9	5	4	3
C.J. Baskerville	60	3	0	0	3

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer	224	347	65%	3139	29	7	9.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)	37	50	74%	424	4	2	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
John Mateer	178	826	15	4.6	68
Wayshawn Parker	137	735	4	5.4	75
Leo Pulalasi	65	302	2	4.6	22
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	43	149	3	3.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Williams	70	1193	14	17.0	66
Kris Hutson (Tr)	55	691	2	12.6	59
Josh Meredith	39	477	2	12.2	39
Carlos Hernandez	31	397	5	12.8	42

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taariq Al-Uqdah	69	5	0	5	2
Kyle Thornton	66	7	1	4	1
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	0	6
Tanner Moku	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ansel Din-Mbuh	24	7	6	2	0
Khalil Laufau	15	4	3	0	1
Andrew Edson	38	7	3	4	2
Quinn Roff	18	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ethan O'Connor	30	1	1	8
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	6
Tyson Durant (Tr)	45	2	2	6