Texas Tech at Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns

Friday, November 24th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Texas -16.5 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas 57 - Texas Tech: 7 (Big 12)

Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX is playing their 6th straight game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -19.5 (SP+ TEX -21)
Projected Score: TTU: 19 - TEX: 38 (61)
TEX Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
TTU Travel: 333 miles

Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TTU Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas Tech at Wyoming	-13.0	50.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Texas Tech vs Oregon	+4.5	70.0	L 30 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/16	Texas Tech vs Tarleton State	-36.5	75.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas Tech at West Virginia	-6.0	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas Tech vs Houston	-8.5	52.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas Tech at Baylor	-2.5	59.5	W 39 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Texas Tech vs Kansas State	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/21	Texas Tech at BYU	-3.0	49.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	Texas Tech vs TCU	-2.5	59.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas Tech at Kansas	+3.5	61.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas Tech vs UCF	-2.0	59.0	W 24 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/24	Texas Tech at Texas	+16.5	53.5	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 12/16	Texas Tech vs California	-3.5	54.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Rice	-35.5	59.0	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Texas at Alabama	+7.0	53.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas vs Wyoming	-31.0	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Texas at Baylor	-17.5	49.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas vs Kansas	-15.5	61.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Oklahoma	-4.0	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Texas at Houston	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Texas vs BYU	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas vs Kansas State	-4.0	49.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas at TCU	-13.0	56.0	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at Iowa State	-7.5	43.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-16.5	53.5	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-14.0	55.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	.21	42%	37.6	47%	3.27	159	38%	302	3.92	.16	40%	34.8	42%	39%	3.51	44.3	1.9	1.7
TEX	.28	48%	33	51%	3.29	188	46%	241	4.52	.13	39%	15.3	37%	40%	3.06	47.3	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	13	37.6	31.4	41.8%	3.92	1.9	27	462	159	302	4	44%	56%	47%	38%	17%	.21
TEX Defense	13	15.3	13.5	38.5%	3.06	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	37%	40%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	13	34.8	32.8	40.1%	3.51	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	39%	15%	.16
TEX Offense	13	33	40.9	48.3%	4.52	1.1	23	429	188	241	5.2	48%	52%	51%	46%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	13	29:59	26.5	36%	64%	5.7	44.3	1.9	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	30.9
Texas	13	27:18	22.8	39%	55%	6.1	47.3	1.1	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	30.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	13	44%	47%	40.4	159.5	4	28	.29	3.27	78%	10%	1.11
TEX Defense	13	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.91	81%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.88	64%	10%	1.06
TEX Offense	13	48%	51%	36.2	188	5.2	29	.22	3.29	75%	8%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	13	56%	38%	26.8	43.8	302.1	6.9	11.3	26	18	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.4	7%	1.9
TEX Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.6	35%	31%	.26	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.7	33%	33%	.39	5%	2
TEX Offense	13	52%	46%	19.1	31.2	241.4	7.8	12.7	22	7	.34	1.5	28%	32%	.4	4%	2

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.60 #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.60 Texas: 22.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 3.7 Texas: 24.6

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 38
Texas Tech 19

Projected Total Points: 61

Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.9
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/24	Texas	57	Texas Tech	7	Texas	Texas -16.5	Texas	53.5	Over
2022	09/24	Texas Tech	37	Texas	34	Texas Tech	Texas -7	Texas Tech	60.0	Over
2021	09/25	Texas	70	Texas Tech	35	Texas	Texas -9	Texas	63.0	Over
2020	09/26	Texas Tech	56	Texas	63	Texas	Texas -17	Texas Tech	71.0	Over
2019	11/29	Texas	49	Texas Tech	24	Texas	Texas -9.5	Texas	65.5	Over
2018	11/10	Texas Tech	34	Texas	41	Texas	Texas -2	Texas	62.5	Over
2017	11/24	Texas	23	Texas Tech	27	Texas Tech	Texas -7.5	Texas Tech	58.5	Under
2016	11/05	Texas Tech	37	Texas	45	Texas	Texas -4	Texas	85.5	Under
2015	11/26	Texas	45	Texas Tech	48	Texas Tech	Texas -2	Texas Tech	70.5	Over
2014	11/01	Texas Tech	13	Texas	34	Texas	Texas -5	Texas	0
2013	11/28	Texas	41	Texas Tech	16	Texas	Texas -6	Texas	0
2012	11/03	Texas Tech	22	Texas	31	Texas
2011	11/05	Texas	52	Texas Tech	20	Texas
2010	09/18	Texas Tech	14	Texas	24	Texas
2009	09/19	Texas	34	Texas Tech	24	Texas
2008	11/01	Texas Tech	39	Texas	33	Texas Tech
2007	11/10	Texas	59	Texas Tech	43	Texas
2006	10/28	Texas Tech	31	Texas	35	Texas
2005	10/22	Texas	52	Texas Tech	17	Texas
2004	10/23	Texas Tech	21	Texas	51	Texas
2003	11/15	Texas	43	Texas Tech	40	Texas
2001	09/29	Texas	42	Texas Tech	7	Texas
2000	11/03	Texas Tech	17	Texas	29	Texas

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	19	7	7 Overs
Texas Tech	4	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 11	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 12	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#49) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.60 #49
Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70

Team Profile

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Texas Tech Ratings Matchup Texas

Power #49

#11

Off #81

#40

Def #46

#15

Talent #49

SP+ #52

SP+ Off #53

SP+ Def #61

#10

Rematch from Week 13
Texas -16.5 (53.5)
Texas won vs Texas Tech this year (57-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Texas Tech in 2023 (57-7)
Texas Tech beat Texas in 2022 (37-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 57°

Team Information
Injuries: TTU | TEX
Depth Chart: TTU | TEX
Rosters: TTU | TEX

(#11) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Shough	244	389	63%	3195	23	6	8.2
Tahj Brooks	2	3	67%	38	0	0	12.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Brooks	286	1505	17	5.3	40
Nehemiah Martinez	19	185	0	9.7	35
Bryson Donnell	35	172	0	4.9	19
Tyler King	13	100	2	7.7	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nehemiah Martinez	76	1022	10	13.4	75
Myles Price	38	466	3	12.3	41
Tyler King	17	236	0	13.9	36
Loic Fouonji	12	187	0	15.6	40

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jesiah Pierre	28	3	0	0	1
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	0	0	3
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0
Harvey Dyson III	10	3	2	4	1
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Joseph Plunk	3	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cameron Watts	20	1	4
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	3
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	3

Texas's OC Kyle Flood

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	293	445	66%	3472	31	12	7.8
Maalik Murphy	254	421	60%	2932	26	12	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaydon Blue	134	730	8	5.4	77
Savion Red	119	687	8	5.8	69
Ky Woods	7	25	0	3.6	8
Casey Cain	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gunnar Helm	60	786	7	13.1	49
Jaydon Blue	42	368	6	8.8	45
Johntay Cook II	8	137	2	17.1	40
Casey Cain	7	136	2	19.4	50

View Texas's Full Roster

Texas's DC Jeff Choate

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Jerrin Thompson	65	2	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barryn Sorrell	43	11	6	12	1
Vernon Broughton	39	5	4	5	2
Kristopher Ross	29	6	3	3	2
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Alfred Collins	55	6	1	1	6
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6