Texas Tech at Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo   Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns  Texas logo
Friday, November 24th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Texas -16.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas 57 - Texas Tech: 7  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TEX is playing their 6th straight game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -19.5  (SP+ TEX -21)
Projected Score: TTU: 17 - TEX: 36 (53)
TEX Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
TTU Travel: 333 miles
Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas Tech at Wyoming-13.050.5L 33 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Texas Tech vs Oregon+4.570.0L 30 - 38UN
Sat 9/16 Texas Tech vs Tarleton State-36.575.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas Tech at West Virginia-6.053.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Texas Tech vs Houston-8.552.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Texas Tech at Baylor-2.559.5W 39 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Texas Tech vs Kansas State-1.057.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/21 Texas Tech at BYU-3.049.0L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Texas Tech vs TCU-2.559.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Texas Tech at Kansas+3.561.5W 16 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Texas Tech vs UCF-2.059.0W 24 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Texas Tech at Texas+16.553.5L 7 - 57ON
Sat 12/16 Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas vs Rice-35.559.0W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Texas at Alabama+7.053.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Texas vs Wyoming-31.048.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Texas at Baylor-17.549.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Texas vs Kansas-15.561.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Texas vs Oklahoma-4.062.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Texas at Houston-24.060.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Texas vs BYU-20.548.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Texas vs Kansas State-4.049.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 11/11 Texas at TCU-13.056.0W 29 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Texas at Iowa State-7.543.5W 26 - 16UY
Fri 11/24 Texas vs Texas Tech-16.553.5W 57 - 7OY
Sat 12/2 Texas vs Oklahoma State-14.055.0W 49 - 21OY
Mon 1/1 Texas vs Washington-3.061.5L 31 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU.2142%39.447%3.2715938%3023.92.1640%11.342%39%3.5144.31.91.7
TEX.2848%30.551%3.2918846%2414.52.1339%20.337%40%3.0647.31.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1339.436.641.8%3.921.927462159302444%56%47%38%17%.21
TEX Defense1320.31738.5%3.061.3 - - - - - 45%55%37%40%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1311.313.440.1%3.511.7 - - - - - 51%48%42%39%15%.16
TEX Offense1330.538.848.3%4.521.1234291882415.248%52%51%46%12%.28

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1329:5926.536%64%5.744.31.91.76.32.2130.9
Texas1327:1822.839%55%6.147.31.11.36.72.1330.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1344%47%40.4159.5428.293.2778%10%1.11
TEX Defense1345%37% - - - - .052.9181%11%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1351%42% - - - - .132.8864%10%1.06
TEX Offense1348%51%36.21885.229.223.2975%8%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1356%38%26.843.8302.16.911.32618.161.533%32%.47%1.9
TEX Defense1355%40% - - - - - - 10.211.635%31%.266%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 9.231.733%33%.395%2
TEX Offense1352%46%19.131.2241.47.812.7227.341.528%32%.44%2

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.60  #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06  #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91  #46
2023 Talent Rating: 694.26  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.60   Texas: 22.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 3.7   Texas: 24.6




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.735  #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42  #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04  #15
2023 Talent Rating: 913.24  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70  #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6  #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5  #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5  #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 36
Texas Tech 17

Projected Total Points: 53
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/24Texas57Texas Tech7Texas -16.5Texas53.5Over
202209/24Texas Tech37Texas34Texas -7Texas Tech60.0Over
202109/25Texas70Texas Tech35Texas -9Texas63.0Over
202009/26Texas Tech56Texas63Texas -17Texas Tech71.0Over
201911/29Texas49Texas Tech24Texas -9.5Texas65.5Over
201811/10Texas Tech34Texas41Texas -2Texas62.5Over
201711/24Texas23Texas Tech27Texas -7.5Texas Tech58.5Under
201611/05Texas Tech37Texas45Texas -4Texas85.5Under
201511/26Texas45Texas Tech48Texas -2Texas Tech70.5Over
201411/01Texas Tech13Texas34Texas -5Texas0
201311/28Texas41Texas Tech16Texas -6Texas0
201211/03Texas Tech22Texas31
201111/05Texas52Texas Tech20
201009/18Texas Tech14Texas24
200909/19Texas34Texas Tech24
200811/01Texas Tech39Texas33
200711/10Texas59Texas Tech43
200610/28Texas Tech31Texas35
200510/22Texas52Texas Tech17
200410/23Texas Tech21Texas51
200311/15Texas43Texas Tech40
200109/29Texas42Texas Tech7
200011/03Texas Tech17Texas29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas1977 Overs
Texas Tech442 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 116 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams11 - 125 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#49) TTU at (#11) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUTEX
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #49 #11
SP+SP+ #52 #6
Perf GradeGrade #47 #10
OffenseOff #56 #17
DefenseDef #55 #17
Spec TeamsST #31 #4
TalentTal #40 #6
Blue ChipsBC% #43 #7
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
TTU OffTEX Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #81 #15
SP+SP+ #53 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #20 #7
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #78
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #114 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #6 #16
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCatTEX OffTTU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #17 #55
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #40 #46
SP+SP+ #6 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #25 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #56 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #12
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatTEX OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #20 #52
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #75
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Texas -16.5 (53.5)
Texas won vs Texas Tech this year (57-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Texas Tech in 2023 (57-7)

  
TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton18229462%17541586.0
Tyler Shough6711160%746746.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2911545105.346
Cam'Ron Valdez5128015.554
Tyler Shough4814923.158
Jake Strong661010.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier White39556114.372
Jerand Bradley36431412.034
Coy Eakin36416211.643
Myles Price4341059.533

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts1057130
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)775025
Dadrion Taylor722127
Jesiah Pierre662110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Bradford Jr.426410
Jaylon Hutchings427321
Amier Washington44300
Charles Esters III255321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralyn Lux (Tr)383008
Dadrion Taylor722127
Malik Dunlap361007

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers27239469%34792268.8
Maalik Murphy407156%477336.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathon Brooks1871139106.167
CJ Baxter Jr.13865954.854
Jaydon Blue6539836.169
Keilan Robinson12134311.257
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Worthy751014513.554
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)558451115.462
Ja'Tavion Sanders45682215.250
Jordan Whittington42505112.041

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Jeff Choate (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylan Ford9611162
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Jahdae Barron554005
Michael Taaffe453012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Ethan Burke399520
Byron Murphy II268560
Barryn Sorrell3443110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerrin Thompson371007
Terrance Brooks200005
Jahdae Barron554005