Texas Tech at Iowa State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#13)Texas Tech Red Raiders at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa State -13.5 (55.0) (-520)  Open: -11.0
Texas Tech 23 - Iowa State: 22  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU 2nd straight Road Game
ISU coming off BYE
Our Line: Iowa State -10.5  (SP+ ISU -6)

Projected Score: TTU: 24 - ISU: 35 (59)
ISU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
TTU Travel: 735 miles
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51ON
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22UY
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48OY
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15OY
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa State vs North Dakota-30.551.5W 21 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Iowa State at Iowa+3.035.0W 20 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Iowa State vs Arkansas State-20.552.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/28 Iowa State at Houston-16.043.0W 20 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Iowa State vs Baylor-13.045.0W 43 - 21OY
Sat 10/12 Iowa State at West Virginia-3.054.0W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/19 Iowa State vs UCF-13.049.5W 38 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Iowa State vs Texas Tech-13.555.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.550.5L 36 - 45ON
Sat 11/16 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-7.052.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Iowa State at Utah-6.542.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 Iowa State vs Kansas State-2.551.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 12/7 Iowa State vs Arizona State-1.551.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 12/28 Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)37.645% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)34.844% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)31.140% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)22.946% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1337.631.444.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25
ISU Defense1422.918.142.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1334.832.843.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
ISU Offense1431.134.140.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (101) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (81)9% (85)1.08 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (74)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (22)1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (36)1.6 (73)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (49)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (41)7% (94)2 (70)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.09  #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17  #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59  #99
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14%  #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.09   Iowa State: 13.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 4.3   Iowa State: 10.3




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.685  #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95  #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20  #37
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 35
Texas Tech 24


Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 35
Texas Tech 28

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 33
Texas Tech 27

Total Points: 60
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Iowa State22Texas Tech23Iowa State -13.5Texas Tech55.0Under
202211/19Iowa State10Texas Tech14Iowa State -3.5Texas Tech47.5Under
202111/13Texas Tech41Iowa State38Iowa State -13Texas Tech55.5Over
202010/10Iowa State31Texas Tech15Iowa State -10.5Iowa State63.0Under
201910/19Texas Tech24Iowa State34Iowa State -10NA58.0Push
201810/27Iowa State40Texas Tech31Iowa State -5.5Iowa State57.5Over
201710/21Texas Tech13Iowa State31Texas Tech -7Iowa State67.0Under
201611/19Iowa State66Texas Tech10Texas Tech -3Iowa State74.5Over
201510/10Texas Tech66Iowa State31Texas Tech -11.5Texas Tech72.0Over
201411/22Iowa State31Texas Tech34Iowa State -1.5Texas Tech0
201310/12Texas Tech42Iowa State35Texas Tech -16.5Iowa State0
201209/29Iowa State13Texas Tech24
201110/29Texas Tech7Iowa State41
201010/02Iowa State52Texas Tech38
200710/06Texas Tech42Iowa State17
200610/21Iowa State26Texas Tech42
200310/11Texas Tech52Iowa State21
200210/12Iowa State31Texas Tech17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State854 Overs
Texas Tech1054 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 85 - 53 - 52 - 0
Road Teams8 - 105 - 50 - 25 - 3

(#55) TTU at (#23) ISU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUISU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #55 #23
SP+SP+ #54 #28
Perf GradeGrade #84 #81
OffenseOff #40 #81
DefenseDef #122 #77
Spec TeamsST #24 #73
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #33 #97
Texas Tech Notes
(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
(9/1) Def Awful, Abl Chris 506 yds passing, 51 pts in OT W,
Texas Tech Injury Report
Iowa State Notes
(11/30) Even w/ KSU, forced 2 TOs, Becht 13/35 for 137?
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
(9/1) Line play awful vs N Dak, 86 yds rush vs 174 gave up
Iowa State Injury Report
Texas Tech on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
TTU OffISU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #40 #77
SuccessSuc #50 #81
ExplosiveExp #40 #83
PPAPPA #33 #79
PowerPwr #49 #37
SP+SP+ #25 #24
Pts POPPO #7 #29
HavocHav #36 #84
Texas Tech Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
TTU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #46 #116
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #101
Run ExplRExp #42 #112
PPAExp #46 #114
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLY #45 #76
Stuff RateStuff #51 #43
TackleTak -  #114
Texas Tech Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
TTU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #34 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #41
Pass ExplPExl #77 #73
PPAExp #44 #36
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #24 #129
F7 HavocF7 #38 #85
DB HavocDB #66 #86
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatISU OffTTU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #122
SuccessSuc #99 #93
ExplosiveExp #7 #120
PPAPPA #62 #104
PowerPwr #42 #99
SP+SP+ #44 #95
Pts POPPO #37 #83
HavocHav #40 #123
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ISU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #51 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #106 #76
Run ExplRExp #19 #111
PPAExp #74 #69
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLY #102 #30
Stuff RateStuff #115 #35
TackleTak -  #133
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatISU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #92 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #77 #101
Pass ExplPExl #27 #106
PPAExp #49 #108
Pass Block/RushP Blk #104 #108
F7 HavocF7 #22 #108
DB HavocDB #94 #124
Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Iowa State -13.5 (55.0)
Texas Tech won at Iowa State this year (23-22)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Iowa State last year (23-22)
Texas Tech beat Iowa State in 2022 (14-10)

  
TTU's OC Zach Kittley (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2861505175.340
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)891023511.541
Caleb Douglas (Tr)55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers (Tr)25271510.836

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
C.J. Baskerville603003
Maurion Horn462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Harvey Dyson III103241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
C.J. Baskerville603003

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)9338824.251
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylin Noel811194814.775
Jayden Higgins871183913.639
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler843004
Malik Verdon754115
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton325471
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Joey Petersen466290
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Myles Purchase354006
Malik Verdon754115