Texas Tech at Utah - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo Texas Tech Red Raiders at Utah UtesUtah logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Rice-Eccles Stadium - Salt Lake City, UT  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
UTAH is playing their 4th straight game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Utah -0.5   (SP+ TTU -1)

Projected Score: TTU: 27 - UTAH: 28 (58)
UTAH Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
TTU Travel: 739 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Utes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
 
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-36
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-41
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-18
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-9.5
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-11.5
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State+5
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-15.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State+5.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-5
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-16.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Utah's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah at UCLA-4.050.5
Sat 9/6 Utah vs Cal Poly-34
Sat 9/13 Utah at Wyoming-21
Sat 9/20 Utah vs Texas Tech-0.5
Sat 9/27 Utah at West Virginia-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah vs Arizona State+2
Sat 10/18 Utah at BYU+2
Sat 10/25 Utah vs Colorado-8.5
Sat 11/1 Utah vs Cincinnati-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Utah at Baylor+1.5
Sat 11/22 Utah vs Kansas State+2.5
Sat 11/29 Utah at Kansas-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)37.645% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)34.844% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)23.638% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)20.737% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1337.631.444.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25
UTAH Defense1220.716.835.3%3.131.5 - - - - - 48%51%37%34%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1334.832.843.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
UTAH Offense1223.62336.7%3.41.8173301301993.949%51%38%35%19%.08

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Utah1232:0616.633%45%5.446.31.81.56.41.9430.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)
UTAH Defense1248% (41)37% (10) - - - - .04 (25)2.53 (9)64% (22)12% (34)1.07 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
UTAH Offense1249% (76)38% (116)33.6130.43.97 (131) (123)2.73 (114)66% (113)12% (117)0.88 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)
UTAH Defense1251% (92)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (15)1.6 (74)37% (4)25% (8).09 (1)8% (4)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
UTAH Offense1251% (58)35% (119)16.629.8199.46.71220 (58)17 (127).16 (106)1.7 (23)36% (127)24% (127).2 (110)7% (107)2.2 (22)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 13.12 #27
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 21.96 #25
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 8.84 #31
2025 Talent Rating: 868.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #25
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #9
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 768.25
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 13.12   Utah: 12.88

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 11.8   Utah: 11.0




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 12.88 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 14.15 #67
Utah's Defense Rating: 4.39 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 722.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #53
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 768.25
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 28
Texas Tech 27


Projected Total Points: 58
Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah000 Overs
Texas Tech000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#27) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.12 #27
Offense Rating: 21.96 #25
Defense Rating: 8.84 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 868.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #26
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Texas Tech Notes
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
(4/4) DT Lee Hunter a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/22) Portal TE Carter Jr (ULL) a dynamic weapon
(3/20) RB need much more TY. Joyner (USC) added
(3/20) WR Douglas/Eakin back. Virgil (M-OH) add
(3/20) OL 2/5 back. Both T's portals (NC/M-OH)
Texas Tech     Ratings Matchup     Utah
Power #27
#38
Off #25
#67
Def #31
#16
Talent #25
#66
SP+ #25
#30
SP+ Off #9
#53
SP+ Def #55
#16

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TTU | UTAH
Depth Chart: TTU | UTAH
Rosters: TTU | UTAH
(#38) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.88 #38
Offense Rating: 14.15 #67
Defense Rating: 4.39 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #16
Talent Rating: 722.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Utah Notes
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
(3/20) RBs took 3 portals, Parker (WSU) good
(3/20) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. TE a ? early
(3/20) Def replaces a lot, but always v good.
(3/20) Def not many portals. Belief in depth
(3/20) DC Scalley named HC in waiting. Whit retiring?


  
Texas Tech's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinten Joyner (Tr)6347837.675
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cam'Ron Valdez94004.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Reginald Virgil41816919.975
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Terrance Carter (Tr)48689414.474
Coy Eakin45605613.470

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
Dontae Balfour (Tr)483009
Skyler Gill-Howard (Tr)487540
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)318680
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Skyler Gill-Howard (Tr)487540
Terrell Tilmon84400
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)483009
Brice Pollock (Tr)481007
Maurion Horn462014

Utah's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)22639058%276812127.1
Isaac Wilson12722556%151010116.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier (Tr)1561152197.485
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)13773545.475
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)7438255.229
Bryce Duke (Tr)4628506.248
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)54747313.855
Otto Tia (Tr)4443479.951
Larry Simmons (Tr)27421115.675
Justin Stevenson (Tr)17204312.063

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lander Barton725214
Tao Johnson702004
Smith Snowden484008
Johnathan Hall389103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Fano357341
Lander Barton725214
Dallas Vakalahi163200
Lance Holtzclaw (Tr)81110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Smith Snowden484008
Lander Barton725214
Tao Johnson702004