Texas Tech at Utah - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#17)Texas Tech Red Raiders at Utah Utes(#16)Utah logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Utah -3.5 (58.5) (-175)  Open: -3.5
Texas Tech 34 - Utah: 10  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
UTAH is playing their 4th straight game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -4  (SP+ TTU -8.5)

Projected Score: TTU: 30 - UTAH: 26 (55)
UTAH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TTU Travel: 739 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Utes (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-7.552.5L 22 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-37.556.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-7.551.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13.550.5W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-24.548.5W 48 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-24.553.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 12/6 Texas Tech vs BYU-12.550.5W 34 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.550.5L 0 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Utah's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah at UCLA-6.550.5W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Utah vs Cal Poly-42.553.5W 63 - 9OY
Sat 9/13 Utah at Wyoming-24.547.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 Utah vs Texas Tech-3.558.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/27 Utah at West Virginia-13.546.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah vs Arizona State-9.544.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 10/18 Utah at BYU-4.049.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Utah vs Colorado-14.550.5W 53 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Utah vs Cincinnati-11.557.5W 45 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Utah at Baylor-9.560.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 11/22 Utah vs Kansas State-18.552.5W 51 - 47ON
Fri 11/28 Utah at Kansas-10.559.5W 31 - 21UN
Wed 12/31 Utah vs Nebraska-13.551.5W 44 - 22OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#22 (.27)44% (49)39.444% (59)2.9 (77)17845% (38)2684.15 (34)#1 (-.09)30% (1)11.331% (3)30% (2)2.48 (5)53.112.2
UTAH#5 (.35)49% (14)41.351% (7)3.56 (3)24946% (32)1934.95 (5)#23 (.07)39% (31)18.943% (76)34% (9)2.84 (15)46.10.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1439.436.644.2%4.151224461782684.847%52%44%45%15%.27
UTAH Defense1318.920.238.7%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%47%43%34%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1411.313.430.1%2.482.2 - - - - - 41%57%31%30%24%-.09
UTAH Offense1341.34448.6%4.950.9234422491936.156%44%51%46%12%.35

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1428:352250%58%6.453.112.26.92.8237
Utah1328:3623.553%64%5.646.10.91.35.82.4428.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1447% (93)44% (59)37178.44.830 (26).19 (35)2.9 (77)82% (6)9% (45)1.07 (31)
UTAH Defense1351% (81)43% (76) - - - - .17 (108)2.88 (70)73% (79)10% (57)1.1 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1441% (1)31% (3) - - - - -.12 (1)2.01 (1)62% (11)15% (4)0.88 (27)
UTAH Offense1356% (25)51% (7)40.6249.26.137 (11).35 (2)3.56 (3)81% (11)7% (15)1.1 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1452% (40)45% (38)21.432.4267.98.312.533 (5)8 (88).38 (29)1.6 (38)33% (94)33% (33).42 (29)6% (78)2.2 (24)
UTAH Defense1347% (46)34% (9) - - - - - - 14 (38).02 (4)1.7 (124)33% (48)26% (21).09 (6)7% (14)2.2 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1457% (135)30% (2) - - - - - - 16 (22)-.02 (3)1.4 (9)40% (1)21% (2).06 (4)9% (8)1.8 (16)
UTAH Offense1344% (103)46% (32)16.526.3192.87.311.725 (33)5 (34).36 (36)1.5 (86)29% (25)39% (7).61 (3)5% (39)2.1 (54)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 26.25  #9
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.67  #36
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -11.15  #3
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20%  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.9  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.8  #2
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 26.25   Utah: 24.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 29.9   Utah: 21.4




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 24.115  #14
Utah's Offense Rating: 22.48  #15
Utah's Defense Rating: 0.65  #31
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13  #36
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 10.9 - 2.1
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4  #10
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #11
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 30
Utah 26


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah 30
Texas Tech 16

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Texas Tech 29
Utah 27

Total Points: 56
Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Utah10Texas Tech34Utah -3.5Texas Tech58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah000 Overs
Texas Tech111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#9) TTU at (#14) UTAH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUUTAH
Power RatePwr #9 #14
SP+SP+ #3 #10
Perf GradeGrade #3 #22
OffenseOff #12 #26
DefenseDef #1 #46
Spec TeamsST #3 #25
TalentTal #28 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #26 #36
Texas Tech Notes
(10/27) QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
(10/26) QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
(10/22) DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
(10/18) Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
(10/18) QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
Texas Tech Injury Report
Utah Notes
(10/29) QB Devon Dampier will play vs Cincy
(10/26) QB Byrd Ficklin (Fr) ran wild on Col, pass meh
(9/20) Killed by T Tech, Off awful, Dampier worse. Ugly
(9/20) Is Off any good or feasted on cupcakes early?
(7/22) RBs Parker (WSU) good, leads 4 portal adds
(7/22) WR rebuild. Top 2 from NM LY, 6 portal adds
(7/20) LB L Damuni has 4 years starting exp, hurt LY
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
Utah Injury Report
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffUTAH Def
Perf GradePerf #12 #46
SuccessSuc #49 #31
ExplosiveExp #18 #115
PPAPPA #22 #23
PowerPwr #36 #31
SP+SP+ #2 #21
Pts POPPO #34 #15
HavocHav #58 #35
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffUTAH Def
Run GameRun #13 #76
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #76
Run ExplRExp #31 #123
PPAExp #35 #108
Run BlockR Blk #45 -
OL YdsOLY #77 #70
Stuff RateStuff #53 #58
TackleTak -  #112
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePass #24 #66
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #9
Pass ExplPExl #38 #124
PPAExp #29 #4
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #22 #28
F7 HavocF7 #45 #57
DB HavocDB #78 #14
Utah on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUTAH OffTTU Def
Perf GradePerf #26 #1
SuccessSuc #14 #1
ExplosiveExp #51 #14
PPAPPA #5 #1
PowerPwr #15 #3
SP+SP+ #11 #4
Pts POPPO #5 #5
HavocHav #17 #2
Utah Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #11 #1
Run SuccessRSuc #7 #3
Run ExplRExp #16 #27
PPAExp #2 #1
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLY #3 #1
Stuff RateStuff #6 #11
TackleTak -  #2
Utah Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUTAH OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #50 #1
Pass SuccessPSuc #32 #2
Pass ExplPExl #86 #9
PPAExp #36 #3
Pass Block/RushP Blk #9 #2
F7 HavocF7 #15 #4
DB HavocDB #39 #8
Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Utah -3.5 (58.5)
Texas Tech won at Utah this year (34-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton20130167%26432248.8
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2001109145.571
J'Koby Williams14178565.643
Will Hammond4329957.064
Adam Hill4524005.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas53830715.761
Reginald Virgil55676612.342
Coy Eakin48642613.442
Terrance Carter (Tr)46552512.050

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez11110116
Ben Roberts723035
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)695106
John Curry684124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)421814101
Romello Height (Tr)32109131
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)3710574
Lee Hunter (Tr)359330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez11110116
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)695106
Dontae Balfour (Tr)231005

UTAH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)19330364%21802257.2
Byrd Ficklin213560%301308.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)13393167.064
Devon Dampier (Tr)12768775.459
Byrd Ficklin56503109.074
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)95376104.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)57659411.656
Dallen Bentley42514512.244
JJ Buchanan22351416.060
Larry Simmons (Tr)14271619.448

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnathan Hall616304
Jackson Bennee593115
Tao Johnson473004
Lander Barton474221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley45181201
Logan Fano438532
Kash Dillon285410
Johnathan Hall616304
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Smith Snowden372009
Blake Cotton (Tr)222007
Jackson Bennee593115