Texas Tech at Utah - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#17)Texas Tech Red Raiders at Utah Utes(#16)Utah logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Utah -3 (58.5) (-166)  Open: -3.5
Rice-Eccles Stadium - Salt Lake City, UT  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 58 - 9 (58 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
UTAH is playing their 4th straight game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -0.5   (SP+ TTU -0.5)

Projected Score: TTU: 31 - UTAH: 31 (62)
UTAH Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TTU Travel: 739 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Utes (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 46 - 8 (63 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.058.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-16
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-16
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-6
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-31.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-14.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-14

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Utah's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah at UCLA-6.550.5W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Utah vs Cal Poly-42.553.5W 63 - 9OY
Sat 9/13 Utah at Wyoming-24.547.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 Utah vs Texas Tech-3.058.5
Sat 9/27 Utah at West Virginia-11
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah vs Arizona State-8
Sat 10/18 Utah at BYU-5
Sat 10/25 Utah vs Colorado-19.5
Sat 11/1 Utah vs Cincinnati-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Utah at Baylor-6
Sat 11/22 Utah vs Kansas State-16.5
Sat 11/29 Utah at Kansas-8

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#6 (.51)60% (6)5867% (1)3.73 (14)20755% (17)3605.42 (15)#1 (-.43)15% (1)9.34% (1)22% (3)2.8 (44)66.711.7
UTAH#28 (.35)58% (8)45.761% (5)3.77 (10)24054% (19)1844.58 (45)#3 (-.14)30% (14)8.332% (19)29% (16)2.71 (41)46.70.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense3585859.7%5.421295672073605.843%57%67%55%7%.51
UTAH Defense38.3930.4%2.711.3 - - - - - 49%51%32%29%20%-.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense39.39.314.5%2.81.7 - - - - - 42%58%4%22%21%-.43
UTAH Offense345.76357.9%4.580.3224242401845.955%45%61%54%9%.35

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech329:432956%50%866.711.75.72.7138.6
Utah328:5922.371%100%5.346.70.31.35.33131.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense343% (109)67% (1)36207.35.88 (26).37 (18)3.73 (14)71% (67)6% (16)0.78 (117)
UTAH Defense349% (61)32% (19) - - - - -.04 (36)2.51 (43)63% (43)13% (37)0.98 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense342% (17)4% (1) - - - - -.43 (1)0.53 (2)0% (2)14% (25)1.61 (134)
UTAH Offense355% (43)61% (5)41239.75.99 (17).39 (11)3.77 (10)83% (28)6% (25)0.85 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense357% (24)55% (17)2636.73609.813.914 (1)2 (60).62 (14)1.5 (81)22% (11)47% (8).87 (5)1% (3)2.2 (34)
UTAH Defense351% (79)29% (16) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.24 (4)1.4 (48)32% (76)18% (22)-.42 (1)7% (34)1.4 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense358% (123)22% (3) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.43 (1)1.2 (11)51% (1)11% (3)-.33 (2)7% (48)2 (68)
UTAH Offense345% (92)54% (19)1824.31847.610.25 (54)0 (1).29 (68)1 (135)20% (5)47% (9).51 (39)3% (26)1.1 (132)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 28.68 #14
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 28.68   Utah: 23.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 19.4   Utah: 18.8




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 23.545 #22
Utah's Offense Rating: 19.87 #33
Utah's Defense Rating: -3.42 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13 #36
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 58 PPG
Offense on Road: 58
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 9.3

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 31
Utah 31


Total Points: 62

Utah Scoring
Offense: 45.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 63
Defense: 8.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 9

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah000 Overs
Texas Tech000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#14) Texas Tech Info
Power Rating: 28.68 #14
Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Great Run Success 67%
Great Pass Success 55%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 15%
Good in Scoring Position 2.8 PPO
Great Run Def Success 4%
Great Pass Def Success 22%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas Tech has won 3 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Tech Notes
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
(4/4) DT Lee Hunter a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/22) Portal TE Carter Jr (ULL) a dynamic weapon
(3/20) RB need much more TY. Joyner (USC) added

Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech in Undefeated

Texas Tech has Really Good Running Game (#30)
Texas Tech offense is efficent (#6)
Texas Tech has a top Offensive Line (#14)
Texas Tech offense is good in red zone (#15)
Texas Tech offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas Tech has a really good defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good run defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good pass defense (#3)
Texas Tech Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
Texas Tech Defensive Line is very good (#2)
Texas Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#25)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTAHTTU
OverallOver#25#1
OffenseOff#26#7
DefenseDef#25#1
Special TeamsST#22#20
PassingPass#44#17
RushingRush#15#7
Run BlockRBLK#35#49
Pass BlockPBLK#5#13
Route RunningWR Rt#55#3
TacklingTkl#29#2
Run DefenseR Def#29#1
Pass Rush DefPRush#14#2
Coverage DefCov#65#9

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TTU | UTAH
Depth Chart: TTU | UTAH
Rosters: TTU | UTAH
(#22) Utah Info
Power Rating: 23.545 #22
Offense Rating: 19.87 #33
Defense Rating: -3.42 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13 #36
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 58%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 61%
Great Pass Success 54%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 29%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Utah has won 3 straight
Utah has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Utah Notes
(7/22) WR rebuild. Top 2 from NM LY, 6 portal adds
(7/20) LB L Damuni has 4 years starting exp, hurt LY
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
(3/20) Def replaces a lot, but always v good.
(3/20) Def not many portals. Belief in depth
(3/20) DC Scalley named HC in waiting. Whit retiring?

Utah Highlights
Utah is Undefeated vs Spread
Utah in Undefeated
Utah is Undefeated at Home
Utah is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Utah has Really Good Running Game (#14)
Utah offense is efficent (#8)
Utah has a top Offensive Line (#10)
Utah offense is good on 3rd downs
Utah does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#12)

Utah Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Utah has a really good defense (#14)
Utah has a good run defense (#19)
Utah has a good pass defense (#16)
Utah Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#16)
Utah has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Utah Deficiencies
Utah offense is not Explosive (#135)


  
Texas Tech's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton578170%92311111.4
Will Hammond172471%188217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Hill2420708.636
Cameron Dickey3817744.720
J'Koby Williams2815825.620
Will Hammond7108215.464
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coy Eakin12245320.442
Terrance Carter (Tr)10194319.450
J'Koby Williams11150113.639
Caleb Douglas6142123.761

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Curry151011
Jacob Rodriguez141011
Ben Roberts130022
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)53350
Romello Height (Tr)73370
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Hampton21002
Ben Roberts130022
John Curry151011

Utah's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)658973%628707.1
Byrd Ficklin44100%530013.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier (Tr)3319816.023
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)2719227.143
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)3615244.223
Hunter Andrews1210819.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)1917119.027
Dallen Bentley11112210.224
Tobias Merriweather (Tr)588017.636
Hunter Andrews86307.914

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley137501
Jackson Bennee120003
Lander Barton120010
Nate Ritchie121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley137501
Kash Dillon82200
Logan Fano62101
Paul Fitzgerald102100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Bennee120003
John Henry Daley137501
Johnathan Hall90001