Oregon at Texas Tech Game Matchup

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -4.5 (70.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon 38 - Texas Tech: 30

Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 94.1° (28% Hum)
Wind: 16.1 MPH
Our Line: Oregon -20 (SP+ ORE -21.5)
Projected Score: ORE: 43 - TTU: 23 (64)
ORE Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 1345 miles, 2 hrs behind

Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORE Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oregon vs Portland State	-48.0	64.5	W 81 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon at Texas Tech	-4.5	70.0	W 38 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon vs Hawai'i	-38.5	67.5	W 55 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Oregon vs Colorado	-21.0	70.0	W 42 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oregon at Stanford	-27.0	59.5	W 42 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Oregon at Washington	+3.0	67.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oregon vs Washington State	-19.5	60.5	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/28	Oregon at Utah	-6.5	47.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Oregon vs California	-26.5	61.5	W 63 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Oregon vs USC	-12.5	78.5	W 36 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oregon at Arizona State	-21.5	52.5	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Oregon vs Oregon State	-14.0	61.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/1	Oregon vs Washington	-9.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Mon 1/1	Oregon vs Liberty	-18.5	71.5	W 45 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas Tech at Wyoming	-13.0	50.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Texas Tech vs Oregon	+4.5	70.0	L 30 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/16	Texas Tech vs Tarleton State	-36.5	75.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas Tech at West Virginia	-6.0	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas Tech vs Houston	-8.5	52.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas Tech at Baylor	-2.5	59.5	W 39 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Texas Tech vs Kansas State	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/21	Texas Tech at BYU	-3.0	49.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	Texas Tech vs TCU	-2.5	59.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas Tech at Kansas	+3.5	61.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas Tech vs UCF	-2.0	59.0	W 24 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/24	Texas Tech at Texas	+16.5	53.5	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 12/16	Texas Tech vs California	-3.5	54.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	.38	56%	34.9	58%	3.59	216	54%	285	4.4	.22	45%	19.4	45%	46%	4.15	57.2	0.9	2
TTU	.21	42%	37.6	47%	3.27	159	38%	302	3.92	.16	40%	34.8	42%	39%	3.51	44.3	1.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Offense	13	34.9	34.4	55.9%	4.4	0.9	26	501	216	285	5.5	53%	47%	58%	54%	11%	.38
TTU Defense	13	34.8	35.7	40.1%	3.51	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	39%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Defense	13	19.4	11.4	45.3%	4.15	2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	45%	46%	15%	.22
TTU Offense	13	37.6	43.7	41.8%	3.92	1.9	27	462	159	302	4	44%	56%	47%	38%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon	13	31:21	26.2	46%	63%	6.8	57.2	0.9	2	3.9	1.3	1	29.5
Texas Tech	13	29:59	26.5	36%	64%	5.7	44.3	1.9	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	30.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Offense	13	53%	58%	39.1	215.7	5.5	34	.37	3.59	83%	6%	0.95
TTU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.88	64%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Defense	13	43%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.02	68%	8%	1
TTU Offense	13	44%	47%	40.4	159.5	4	28	.29	3.27	78%	10%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Offense	13	47%	54%	23.7	33.2	284.8	8.6	12	30	9	.4	1.4	25%	38%	.48	4%	1.9
TTU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.7	33%	33%	.39	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.28	1.4	30%	37%	.48	7%	2.1
TTU Offense	13	56%	38%	26.8	43.8	302.1	6.9	11.3	26	18	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.4	7%	1.9

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 26.30 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 26.30 Texas Tech: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.0 Texas Tech: 3.7

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.4

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 43
Texas Tech 23

Projected Total Points: 64

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Texas Tech	30	Oregon	38	Oregon	Oregon -4.5	Oregon	70.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	0	0	0 Overs
Oregon	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#2) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.30 #2
Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #12
Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70

Team Profile

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Oregon Ratings Matchup Texas Tech

Power #2

#49

Off #2

#81

Def #18

#46

Talent #9

#49

SP+ #5

#52

SP+ Off #1

#53

SP+ Def #19

#61

Rematch from Week 2
Oregon 4.5 (70.0)
Oregon won at Texas Tech this year (38-30)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Texas Tech in 2023 (38-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 94° - Wind: 16 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ORE | TTU
Depth Chart: ORE | TTU
Rosters: ORE | TTU

(#49) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70

Team Profile

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Oregon's OC Will Stein

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tez Johnson (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan James	233	1267	15	5.4	41
Dante Dowdell	143	614	12	4.3	38
Jordan Burch (Tr)	1	36	0	36.0	36
Kris Hutson	4	28	1	7.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tez Johnson (Tr)	83	898	10	10.8	52
Traeshon Holden (Tr)	45	718	5	16.0	59
Kris Hutson	55	691	2	12.6	59
Terrance Ferguson	43	591	3	13.7	62

View Oregon's Full Roster

Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trikweze Bridges	68	1	0	0	5
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)	58	3	0	0	0
Jeffrey Bassa	51	3	2	2	2
Bryan Addison	43	1	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Burch (Tr)	29	11	9	4	5
Jake Shipley	24	3	2	4	0
Jeffrey Bassa	51	3	2	2	2
Jestin Jacobs (Tr)	27	4	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dontae Manning	18	1	6
Trikweze Bridges	68	1	5
Bryan Addison	43	1	5

Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Shough	244	389	63%	3195	23	6	8.2
Tahj Brooks	2	3	67%	38	0	0	12.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Brooks	286	1505	17	5.3	40
Nehemiah Martinez	19	185	0	9.7	35
Bryson Donnell	35	172	0	4.9	19
Tyler King	13	100	2	7.7	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nehemiah Martinez	76	1022	10	13.4	75
Myles Price	38	466	3	12.3	41
Tyler King	17	236	0	13.9	36
Loic Fouonji	12	187	0	15.6	40

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jesiah Pierre	28	3	0	0	1
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	0	0	3
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0
Harvey Dyson III	10	3	2	4	1
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Joseph Plunk	3	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cameron Watts	20	1	4
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	3
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	3