Abilene Christian at Texas Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview

Abilene Christian Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -34.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 52 - Abilene Christian: 51

Wildcats (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (14 - 39 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Texas Tech -5.5 (SP+ TTU -4)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%

Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ACU Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Abilene Christian's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Abilene Christian at Texas Tech	+34.5	58.5	L 51 - 52	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Abilene Christian's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian	-34.5	58.5	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/7	Texas Tech at Washington State	-2.5	64.5	L 16 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/14	Texas Tech vs North Texas	-10.5	70.5	W 66 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas Tech vs Arizona State	-4.5	58.5	W 30 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Texas Tech vs Cincinnati	-3.0	60.0	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Texas Tech at Arizona	+6.0	64.0	W 28 - 22	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Texas Tech vs Baylor	-4.5	56.0	L 35 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/26	Texas Tech at TCU	+5.0	66.0	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Texas Tech at Iowa State	+13.5	55.0	W 23 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Texas Tech vs Colorado	+5.0	62.0	L 27 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	-5.0	63.5	W 56 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-2.5	61.5	W 52 - 15	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Texas Tech vs Arkansas	-3.5	52.5	L 26 - 39	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ACU		0%	14	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU	#92 (.15)	42% (59)	39.4	47% (26)	3.36 (17)	163	39% (97)	224	3.91 (70)	#51 (.16)	41% (54)	11.3	42% (63)	40% (51)	3.46 (42)	49.9	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ACU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ACU Offense	2	14	14	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TTU Defense	13	11.3	8.7	40.9%	3.46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	40%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ACU Defense	2	38.5	38.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TTU Offense	13	39.4	47.9	42.5%	3.91	1.8	22	387	163	224	4.5	47%	51%	47%	39%	15%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Abilene Christian	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Texas Tech	13	28:45	21.9	40%	65%	5.4	49.9	1.8	1.3	5.2	2.2	3	30

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ACU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
TTU Defense	13	48% (42)	42% (63)	-	-	-	-	.15 (73)	3.14 (76)	61% (11)	9% (101)	1 (74)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ACU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
TTU Offense	13	47% (90)	47% (26)	36.5	162.8	4.5	17 (81)	.21 (32)	3.36 (17)	76% (47)	7% (12)	0.99 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ACU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TTU Defense	13	51% (88)	40% (51)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.21 (37)	1.5 (22)	30% (100)	28% (42)	.32 (74)	6% (71)	2.2 (108)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ACU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TTU Offense	13	51% (46)	39% (97)	21.8	36.2	223.8	6.2	10.2	24 (41)	18 (128)	.16 (111)	1.5 (116)	30% (44)	27% (94)	.24 (97)	8% (118)	1.9 (120)

Abilene Christian's Power Ratings
Abilene Christian's Power Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Offense Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Abilene Christian's 2024 Expected Record: -
Abilene Christian's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 196.23
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian: Texas Tech: 5.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian: Texas Tech: 4.3

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 436.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Abilene Christian Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 38.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.5

Abilene Christian's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 31
Abilene Christian 25

Projected Total Points: 56

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Texas Tech	52	Abilene Christian	51	Texas Tech -34.5	Abilene Christian	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	1	0	1 Overs
Abilene Christian	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) ACU at (#55) TTU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ACU	TTU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#55
SP+SP+	NR	#54
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#84
OffenseOff	NR	#40
DefenseDef	NR	#122
Spec TeamsST	NR	#24
TalentTal	NR	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#33

Abilene Christian Injury Report

Texas Tech Notes(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
(9/1) Def Awful, Abl Chris 506 yds passing, 51 pts in OT W,
Texas Tech Injury Report

Abilene Christian on Offense


CategoryCat	ACU Off	TTU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#122
SuccessSuc	NR	#54
ExplosiveExp	NR	#40
PPAPPA	NR	#51
PowerPwr	NR	#99
SP+SP+	NR	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	#42
HavocHav	NR	#91

Abilene Christian Run Game


CategoryCat	ACU Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#105
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#63
Run ExplRExp	NR	#74
PPAExp	NR	#73
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#76
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#73
TackleTak	-	#133

Abilene Christian Pass Game


CategoryCat	ACU Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#51
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#22
PPAExp	NR	#37
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	#101
DB HavocDB	NR	#71

Texas Tech on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	ACU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	NR
SuccessSuc	#59	NR
ExplosiveExp	#107	NR
PPAPPA	#92	NR
PowerPwr	#49	NR
SP+SP+	#25	NR
Pts POPPO	#70	NR
HavocHav	#52	NR

Texas Tech Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	ACU Def
Run GameRun	#46	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#26	NR
Run ExplRExp	#69	NR
PPAExp	#32	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	#17	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#43	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Tech Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	ACU Def
Pass GamePass	#34	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#97	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#116	NR
PPAExp	#111	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	NR
F7 HavocF7	#12	NR
DB HavocDB	#118	NR

Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ACU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Texas Tech -34.5 (58.5)
Texas Tech won vs Abilene Christian this year (52-51)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Abilene Christian in 2024 (52-51)

ACU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maverick McIvor	312	496	63%	3847	30	7	7.8
Carson Haggard (Tr)	35	59	59%	431	4	5	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Hicks	210	1333	14	6.3	90
Isaiah Johnson (Tr)	116	578	11	5.0	60
Nehemiah Martinez	19	185	0	9.7	35
Rovaughn Banks Jr.	26	125	2	4.8	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blayne Taylor	73	1117	8	15.3	76
Nehemiah Martinez	76	1022	10	13.4	75
JJ Henry (Tr)	42	485	4	11.5	66
Sam Hicks	45	341	3	7.6	28

View Abilene Christian's Full Roster

ACU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Will Shaffer	12	0	1
Jameer Dudley	8	0	0
Dorian Plumley	8	0	0
Cirby Coheley	7	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Luke Gambs	2	1	1	0
Will Shaffer	12	0	0	1
Jerry Lawson	3	0	0	0
T.J. Marshall	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
David Oke	5	2	1	1
Will Shaffer	12	0	0	1
Kaghen Roach	2	0	0	1

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Behren Morton	293	463	63%	3300	27	8	7.1
Will Hammond	15	23	65%	191	1	0	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Brooks	286	1505	17	5.3	40
Cameron Dickey	25	150	1	6.0	37
J'Koby Williams	26	113	1	4.3	13
Cameran Brown (Tr)	8	83	0	10.4	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	89	1023	5	11.5	41
Caleb Douglas (Tr)	55	765	6	13.9	57
Coy Eakin	45	605	6	13.4	70
Jalin Conyers (Tr)	25	271	5	10.8	36

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Rodriguez	104	9	5	4	3
Ben Roberts	74	5	0	4	0
C.J. Baskerville	60	3	0	0	3
Maurion Horn	46	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Rodriguez	104	9	5	4	3
Terrell Tilmon	8	4	4	0	0
Isaac Smith	31	4	3	1	0
Harvey Dyson III	10	3	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurion Horn	46	2	0	1	4
Jacob Rodriguez	104	9	5	4	3
C.J. Baskerville	60	3	0	0	3