Texas Tech at Ole Miss - 2022 Matchup Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Ole Miss Rebels

Wednesday, December 28th 2022 (9:00 PM EST)
Ole Miss -4.5 (73.0) (160) Open: -4.0 | 65.5
Texas Tech 42 - Ole Miss: 25 (TaxAct Texas Bowl)

Red Raiders (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4 (SP+ MISS -8)
Projected Score: TTU: 28 - MISS: 25 (53)
MISS Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TTU Travel: 466 miles

Rebels (8 - 5) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (15 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
TTU Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas Tech vs Murray State	-38.0	64.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Texas Tech vs Houston	-3.5	62.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/17	Texas Tech at NC State	+10.5	55.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/24	Texas Tech vs Texas	+7.0	60.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Texas Tech at Kansas State	+7.5	56.0	L 28 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/8	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	+11.0	66.0	L 31 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-5.0	65.5	W 48 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Texas Tech vs Baylor	-1.5	61.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/5	Texas Tech at TCU	+8.5	69.0	L 24 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/12	Texas Tech vs Kansas	-3.5	63.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Texas Tech at Iowa State	+3.5	47.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Texas Tech vs Oklahoma	+2.0	65.5	W 51 - 48	O	Y
Wed 12/28	Texas Tech vs Ole Miss	+4.5	73.0	W 42 - 25	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ole Miss vs Troy	-21.5	56.5	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Central Arkansas	-36.5	61.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss at Georgia Tech	-17.0	63.0	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Tulsa	-21.0	66.5	W 35 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-6.5	55.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/8	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-17.0	59.5	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss vs Auburn	-15.5	55.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+0.0	64.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	-3.0	55.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+11.0	65.5	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Arkansas	+0.0	67.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Thu 11/24	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-2.5	63.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Wed 12/28	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-4.5	73.0	L 25 - 42	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	.29	47%	39.4	48%	3.23	159	47%	257	4.49	.28	44%	11.3	42%	46%	4.6	44.6	1.5	1.2
MISS	.27	46%	36.9	47%	3.22	218	44%	275	3.83	.19	46%	21.1	50%	42%	3.6	75.2	0.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	13	39.4	36.6	47%	4.49	1.5	20	416	159	257	4.7	51%	49%	48%	47%	18%	.29
MISS Defense	13	21.1	15.6	46.1%	3.6	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	50%	42%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	13	11.3	13.4	44.4%	4.6	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	46%	17%	.28
MISS Offense	13	36.9	39	45.7%	3.83	0.9	26	492	218	275	4.8	54%	46%	47%	44%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	13	27:58	19.5	43%	48%	5.2	44.6	1.5	1.2	4.7	1.5	2	27.5
Ole Miss	13	27:29	26	38%	63%	9	75.2	0.9	1.7	6.2	3	1	29.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	13	51%	48%	33.5	159.1	4.7	30	.22	3.23	90%	11%	0.99
MISS Defense	13	51%	50%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.56	67%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.96	66%	9%	1.01
MISS Offense	13	54%	47%	45.2	217.6	4.8	33	.3	3.22	68%	10%	1.22

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	13	49%	47%	18.8	29.8	257.2	8.6	13.7	18	11	.4	1.6	27%	33%	.37	7%	2
MISS Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.09	1.3	29%	32%	.17	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.7	30%	35%	.48	8%	2.1
MISS Offense	13	46%	44%	22	33	274.8	8.3	12.5	21	7	.25	1.6	32%	34%	.33	4%	2

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #41
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #18
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: Ole Miss: 8.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 8.5 Ole Miss: 16.2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 8.1 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #45

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 28
Ole Miss 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/28	Ole Miss	25	Texas Tech	42	Ole Miss -4.5	Texas Tech	73.0	Under
2018	09/01	Texas Tech	27	Ole Miss	47	Ole Miss -2.5	Ole Miss	71.5	Over
2008	01/02	Texas Tech	34	Ole Miss	47
2003	09/27	Ole Miss	45	Texas Tech	49
2002	09/14	Texas Tech	42	Ole Miss	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	2	1	1 Overs
Texas Tech	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

Texas Tech Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Texas Bowl	Texas Tech vs Ole Miss	+4.5	73.0	W 42 - 25
2021	Liberty Bowl	Texas Tech vs Mississippi State	+10.0	58.5	W 34 - 7
2017	Birmingham Bowl	Texas Tech vs South Florida	+2.0	66.0	L 34 - 38

Ole Miss Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Texas Bowl	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-4.5	73.0	L 25 - 42
2021	Sugar Bowl	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21
2020	Outback Bowl	Ole Miss vs Indiana	+6.5	66.5	W 26 - 20

(#) TTU at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TTU	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#84	#48
OffenseOff	#90	#56
DefenseDef	#81	#45
Spec TeamsST	#53	#39
TalentTal	#44	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas Tech Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Texas Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	TTU Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#90	#45
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#45	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Texas Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#79	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TTU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#88
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	#27	#49
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#92	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#71	#53
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Ole Miss -4.5 (73.0)
Texas Tech won at Ole Miss this year (42-25)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD