Texas Tech at Oklahoma State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK

 
Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKST is playing their 6th straight game
TTU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -32.5  (SP+ TTU -42.5)
Projected Score: TTU: 40 - OKST: 8 (48)
TTU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
TTU Travel: 324 miles
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#131)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-50
Sat 9/12 Texas Tech at Oregon State-39.5
Sat 9/19 Texas Tech vs Houston-22.5
Sat 9/26 Texas Tech vs Sam Houston-51.5
Sat 10/3 Texas Tech at Colorado-32
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-25.5
Sat 10/24 Texas Tech at Cincinnati-20.5
Sat 10/31 Texas Tech vs Arizona-21
Sat 11/7 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-31.5
Sat 11/14 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-32.5
Sat 11/21 Texas Tech at Baylor-22
Sat 11/28 Texas Tech vs TCU-21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oklahoma State at Tulsa+3.5
Sat 9/12 Oklahoma State vs Oregon+31.5
Sat 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Murray State-15.5
Sat 9/26 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oklahoma State vs UCF+3.5
Sat 10/17 Oklahoma State at Houston+17.5
Sat 10/24 Oklahoma State vs Colorado-2
Sat 10/31 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+15
Sat 11/7 Oklahoma State at Kansas State+17
Sat 11/14 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+32.5
Sat 11/21 Oklahoma State at Arizona State+14.5
Sat 11/28 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#28 (.24)43% (61)39.443% (72)2.87 (80)18443% (51)2784 (41)#1 (-.09)30% (1)11.329% (1)31% (3)2.41 (2)55.71.32.3
OKST#133 (.01)35% (129)14.236% (128)2.59 (127)11835% (126)1742.96 (125)#130 (.28)45% (109)33.343% (76)48% (130)4 (100)47.31.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1439.436.642.8%41.3234621842784.746%52%43%43%15%.24
OKST Defense1233.327.644.8%41.1 - - - - - 52%46%43%48%15%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1411.313.430.1%2.412.3 - - - - - 43%56%29%31%23%-.09
OKST Offense1214.21735.4%2.961.4162931181743.547%52%36%35%19%.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1430:1022.749%50%6.855.71.32.37.62.9236
Oklahoma State1228:5215.635%40%5.347.31.41.15.61.8125.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1446% (97)43% (72)39.11844.730 (26).17 (41)2.87 (80)80% (15)9% (59)1.09 (21)
OKST Defense1252% (102)43% (76) - - - - .16 (99)2.98 (86)67% (39)10% (46)1.07 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1443% (5)29% (1) - - - - -.16 (1)1.94 (1)56% (3)15% (4)0.86 (17)
OKST Offense1247% (94)36% (128)33.6118.43.510 (107)-.04 (134)2.59 (127)69% (87)11% (116)0.89 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1452% (38)43% (51)22.734.7277.6812.233 (5)10 (88).35 (38)1.6 (53)34% (108)33% (40).4 (28)6% (86)2.2 (24)
OKST Defense1246% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 6 (100).44 (133)1.7 (112)30% (103)31% (89).37 (106)5% (118)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1456% (132)31% (3) - - - - - - 17 (22)- (3)1.4 (9)39% (1)22% (2).06 (4)8% (10)1.8 (10)
OKST Offense1252% (43)35% (126)17.530.4174.15.7107 (128)10 (60).07 (128)1.4 (126)36% (133)23% (131).15 (122)8% (121)2 (80)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 25.85  #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 20.70  #14
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -0.15  #4
2026 Talent Rating: 960.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 20%  #26
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 25.85   Oklahoma State: -5.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 27.6   Oklahoma State: -15.1




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -5.725  #65
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 12.19  #60
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 18.54  #75
2026 Talent Rating: 806.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Oklahoma State's 2026 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Oklahoma State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #121
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2  #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 40
Oklahoma State 8

Projected Total Points: 48
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Texas Tech42Oklahoma State0Texas Tech -37.5Texas Tech56.5Under
202411/23Oklahoma State48Texas Tech56Texas Tech -5Texas Tech63.5Over
202210/08Oklahoma State41Texas Tech31Oklahoma State -11Texas Tech66.0Over
202111/20Texas Tech0Oklahoma State23Oklahoma State -10Oklahoma State55.0Under
202011/28Oklahoma State50Texas Tech44Oklahoma State -12Texas Tech57.0Over
201910/05Texas Tech45Oklahoma State35Oklahoma State -9Texas Tech62.5Over
201809/22Oklahoma State17Texas Tech41Oklahoma State -14.5Texas Tech76.0Under
201709/30Texas Tech34Oklahoma State41Oklahoma State -10.5Texas Tech84.5Under
201611/12Oklahoma State45Texas Tech44Oklahoma State -11Texas Tech87.5Over
201510/31Texas Tech53Oklahoma State70Oklahoma State -1Oklahoma State77.5Over
201409/25Oklahoma State45Texas Tech35Oklahoma State -14Texas Tech0
201311/02Texas Tech34Oklahoma State52Oklahoma State -2.5Oklahoma State0
201211/17Oklahoma State59Texas Tech21
201111/12Texas Tech6Oklahoma State66
201010/16Texas Tech17Oklahoma State34
200911/14Oklahoma State24Texas Tech17
200811/08Texas Tech56Oklahoma State20
200709/22Oklahoma State49Texas Tech45
200611/18Texas Tech30Oklahoma State24
200511/12Oklahoma State24Texas Tech17
200411/27Texas Tech31Oklahoma State15
200310/18Oklahoma State51Texas Tech49
200211/09Texas Tech49Oklahoma State24
200111/10Oklahoma State30Texas Tech49
200011/10Texas Tech58Oklahoma State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State1536 Overs
Texas Tech1094 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 93 - 91 - 52 - 4
Road Teams9 - 169 - 34 - 25 - 1

(#6) TTU at (#65) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUOKST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #6 #65
SP+SP+ #3 #121
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #19 #54
Blue ChipsBC% #26 #65
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffOKST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #61 #109
ExplosiveExp #21 #124
PPAPPA #28 #130
PowerPwr #14 #75
SP+SP+ #7 #100
Pts POPPO #41 #100
HavocHav #61 #86
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffOKST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #76
Run ExplRExp #21 #118
PPAExp #41 #99
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #80 #86
Stuff RateStuff #59 #46
TackleTak - NR
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #130
Pass ExplPExl #53 #112
PPAExp #38 #133
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #59 #46
DB HavocDB #86 #118
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatOKST OffTTU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #129 #1
ExplosiveExp #116 #19
PPAPPA #133 #1
PowerPwr #60 #4
SP+SP+ #131 #3
Pts POPPO #125 #2
HavocHav #125 #1
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffTTU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #1
Run ExplRExp #100 #17
PPAExp #134 #1
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #127 #1
Stuff RateStuff #89 #13
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatOKST OffTTU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #126 #3
Pass ExplPExl #126 #9
PPAExp #128 #3
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #4
DB HavocDB #121 #10
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State last year (42-0)
Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (56-48)

  
TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)20633562%27862658.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)10058095.841
Will Hammond4329957.064
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)471119923.887
Kenny Johnson (Tr)47658514.042
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
John Curry734124
Austin Romaine (Tr)667172
Brenden Jordan592001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick (Tr)57128124
Trey White (Tr)47117121
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663
Anthony Holmes Jr.4010574
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
Brice Pollock474015
Amier Boyd-Matthews262005

OKST's OC Sean Brophy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)31946569%43693499.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins (Tr)2311424256.251
Chris Barnes (Tr)13143011.078
Ayo Adeyi (Tr)2412005.024
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)578951.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young (Tr)7012641018.184
Miles Coleman (Tr)47550211.759
Chris Barnes (Tr)39547314.070
Israel Polk (Tr)33525815.975

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski (Tr)1139260
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)843011
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Malik Charles283310
Billy Walton III (Tr)62200
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Maurion Horn (Tr)40003
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212