Texas Tech at Colorado - 2026 Matchup Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Colorado Buffaloes

Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Folsom Field - Boulder, CO

Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO is playing their 5th straight game
TTU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -32 (SP+ TTU -36)
Projected Score: TTU: 41 - COLO: 9 (50)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 41%
TTU Travel: 482 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Buffaloes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (16 - 21)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TTU Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian	-50
Sat 9/12	Texas Tech at Oregon State	-39.5
Sat 9/19	Texas Tech vs Houston	-22.5
Sat 9/26	Texas Tech vs Sam Houston	-51.5
Sat 10/3	Texas Tech at Colorado	-32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Texas Tech vs Arizona State	-25.5
Sat 10/24	Texas Tech at Cincinnati	-20.5
Sat 10/31	Texas Tech vs Arizona	-21
Sat 11/7	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-31.5
Sat 11/14	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	-32.5
Sat 11/21	Texas Tech at Baylor	-22
Sat 11/28	Texas Tech vs TCU	-21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Colorado's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Colorado at Georgia Tech	+17
Sat 9/12	Colorado vs Weber State	-15.5
Sat 9/19	Colorado at Northwestern	+14
Sat 9/26	Colorado at Baylor	+12.5
Sat 10/3	Colorado vs Texas Tech	+32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Colorado vs Utah	+22
Sat 10/24	Colorado at Oklahoma State	+2
Sat 10/31	Colorado vs Kansas State	+11.5
Sat 11/7	Colorado at Arizona State	+14
Sat 11/14	Colorado vs Houston	+12
Sat 11/21	Colorado at Cincinnati	+14
Sat 11/28	Colorado vs UCF	+3

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	#28 (.24)	43% (61)	39.4	43% (72)	2.87 (80)	184	43% (51)	278	4 (41)	#1 (-.09)	30% (1)	11.3	29% (1)	31% (3)	2.41 (2)	55.7	1.3	2.3
COLO	#99 (.12)	35% (131)	20.9	35% (131)	2.68 (116)	127	35% (122)	203	3.48 (95)	#106 (.21)	43% (87)	30.5	44% (88)	43% (78)	4.01 (102)	49.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	14	39.4	36.6	42.8%	4	1.3	23	462	184	278	4.7	46%	52%	43%	43%	15%	.24
COLO Defense	12	30.5	27	43%	4.01	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	44%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	14	11.3	13.4	30.1%	2.41	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	29%	31%	23%	-.09
COLO Offense	12	20.9	23.9	35.2%	3.48	1.4	17	329	127	203	3.6	49%	50%	35%	35%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	14	30:10	22.7	49%	50%	6.8	55.7	1.3	2.3	7.6	2.9	2	36
Colorado	12	28:49	17.3	38%	33%	5.7	49.9	1.4	1.3	5	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	14	46% (97)	43% (72)	39.1	184	4.7	30 (26)	.17 (41)	2.87 (80)	80% (15)	9% (59)	1.09 (21)
COLO Defense	12	60% (133)	44% (88)	-	-	-	-	.11 (72)	2.97 (81)	67% (37)	9% (80)	1.02 (97)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	14	43% (5)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-.16 (1)	1.94 (1)	56% (3)	15% (4)	0.86 (17)
COLO Offense	12	49% (75)	35% (131)	35.3	126.7	3.6	15 (70)	.05 (103)	2.68 (116)	67% (97)	14% (133)	1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	14	52% (38)	43% (51)	22.7	34.7	277.6	8	12.2	33 (5)	10 (88)	.35 (38)	1.6 (53)	34% (108)	33% (40)	.4 (28)	6% (86)	2.2 (24)
COLO Defense	12	39% (4)	43% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.41 (127)	1.8 (132)	31% (77)	29% (70)	.32 (77)	6% (73)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	14	56% (132)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (22)	- (3)	1.4 (9)	39% (1)	22% (2)	.06 (4)	8% (10)	1.8 (10)
COLO Offense	12	50% (59)	35% (122)	17.5	29.7	202.8	6.8	11.6	17 (50)	11 (88)	.22 (84)	1.8 (9)	38% (136)	30% (70)	.32 (62)	6% (72)	2.1 (27)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 25.85 #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 20.70 #14
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -0.15 #4
2026 Talent Rating: 960.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6 #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 25.85 Colorado: -5.315

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 27.6 Colorado: -8.3

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -5.315 #83
Colorado's Offense Rating: 6.87 #89
Colorado's Defense Rating: 19.20 #80
2026 Talent Rating: 694.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Colorado's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #96
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 41
Colorado 9

Projected Total Points: 50

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Texas Tech	27	Colorado	41	Colorado -5.0	Colorado	62.0	Over
2010	10/23	Colorado	24	Texas Tech	27
2007	10/27	Texas Tech	26	Colorado	31
2006	10/14	Colorado	30	Texas Tech	6
2003	11/01	Texas Tech	26	Colorado	21
2002	10/26	Colorado	37	Texas Tech	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	4	1	1 Overs
Texas Tech	2	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#6) TTU at (#83) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TTU	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#6	#83
SP+SP+	#3	#96
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#19	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	#26	#25

Texas Tech Injury Report

Colorado Injury Report

Texas Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#61	#87
ExplosiveExp	#21	#111
PPAPPA	#28	#106
PowerPwr	#14	#80
SP+SP+	#7	#88
Pts POPPO	#41	#102
HavocHav	#61	#80

Texas Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#72	#88
Run ExplRExp	#21	#97
PPAExp	#41	#72
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#80	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#59	#57
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#78
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#132
PPAExp	#38	#127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#59	#80
DB HavocDB	#86	#73

Colorado on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	TTU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#131	#1
ExplosiveExp	#4	#19
PPAPPA	#99	#1
PowerPwr	#89	#4
SP+SP+	#103	#3
Pts POPPO	#95	#2
HavocHav	#129	#1

Colorado Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#1
Run ExplRExp	#27	#17
PPAExp	#103	#1
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#116	#1
Stuff RateStuff	#113	#13
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#3
Pass ExplPExl	#9	#9
PPAExp	#84	#3
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#133	#4
DB HavocDB	#72	#10

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Texas Tech in 2024 (41-27)

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	206	335	62%	2786	26	5	8.3
Will Hammond	68	108	63%	668	7	3	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Dickey	211	1138	14	5.4	71
J'Koby Williams	154	866	6	5.6	50
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	100	580	9	5.8	41
Will Hammond	43	299	5	7.0	64

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)	47	1119	9	23.8	87
Kenny Johnson (Tr)	47	658	5	14.0	42
Coy Eakin	49	653	6	13.3	42
Terrance Carter	55	624	5	11.3	50

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	88	4	0	3	5
John Curry	73	4	1	2	4
Austin Romaine (Tr)	66	7	1	7	2
Brenden Jordan	59	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adam Trick (Tr)	57	12	8	12	4
Trey White (Tr)	47	11	7	12	1
Jamond Mathis (Tr)	28	8	6	6	3
Anthony Holmes Jr.	40	10	5	7	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	88	4	3	5
Brice Pollock	47	4	1	5
Amier Boyd-Matthews	26	2	0	5

COLO's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Julian Lewis	52	94	55%	589	4	0	6.3
Colton Allen	1	1	100%	4	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damian Henderson II (Tr)	91	565	5	6.2	85
Jaquail Smith (Tr)	76	511	5	6.7	45
Micah Welch	96	384	4	4.0	44
Dekalon Taylor	19	83	0	4.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)	88	1297	10	14.7	72
Kamryn Perry	43	976	6	22.7	66
Ernest Campbell (Tr)	37	755	8	20.4	75
DeAndre Moore Jr. (Tr)	38	532	4	14.0	46

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	119	18	3	4	1
Naeten Mitchell (Tr)	92	2	0	0	7
Liona Lefau (Tr)	68	2	0	0	3
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	51	7	0	5	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Christensen (Tr)	41	11	5	10	2
Santana Hopper (Tr)	25	9	5	4	0
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)	34	7	4	7	1
Dylan Manuel (Tr)	37	7	3	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Justin Eaglin (Tr)	35	0	0	8
Naeten Mitchell (Tr)	92	2	0	7
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	51	7	5	6