Kent State at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo   Kent State Golden Flashes at Texas Tech Red Raiders  Texas Tech logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -48.5 (60.0) (0)  Open: -49.0 | 60.5
Texas Tech 62 - Kent State: 14

 
Golden Flashes (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 23)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (18 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -45.5  (SP+ TTU -47)

Projected Score: KENT: 6 - TTU: 52 (58)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 40%
KENT Travel: 1240 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Red Raiders (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kent State vs Merrimack-5.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+48.560.0L 14 - 62OY
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+23.548.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+44.556.5L 10 - 66ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+46.553.5L 0 - 44UY
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts-1.549.5W 42 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+25.548.5L 10 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+7.547.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+3.048.5L 13 - 17UN
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+7.549.5W 42 - 35OY
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan+7.550.5L 16 - 28UN
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+5.045.0W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-7.552.5L 22 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-37.556.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-7.551.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13.550.5W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-24.548.5W 48 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-24.553.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 12/6 Texas Tech vs BYU-12.550.5W 34 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.550.5L 0 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)21.333% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)33.650% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)39.445% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)11.344% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense1221.317.730.5%2.891.713233781552.447%51%33%29%28%.01
TTU Defense1311.38.743.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense1233.642.950.1%4.340.9 - - - - - 55%45%50%51%12%.35
TTU Offense1339.447.944.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State1226:5212.919%38%4.835.71.70.94.71.5027.2
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense1247% (91)33% (132)32.377.52.43 (134)-.07 (132)2.57 (128)61% (123)19% (134)0.95 (72)
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense1255% (113)50% (123) - - - - .3 (132)3.58 (133)81% (115)8% (111)1.13 (122)
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense1251% (54)29% (134)11.624.5155.46.313.418 (68)13 (103).14 (109)2.1 (2)41% (134)19% (134).11 (132)8% (128)2.7 (1)
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense1245% (25)51% (130) - - - - - - 4 (125).41 (126)1.5 (23)28% (124)38% (127).42 (109)4% (127)1.8 (15)
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -19.68  #130
Kent State's Offense Rating: 2.18  #129
Kent State's Defense Rating: 21.86  #121
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.3  #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -19.68   Texas Tech: 26.095

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -19.3   Texas Tech: 27.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 26.095  #10
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 17.67  #39
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -1.92  #3
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.9

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 52
Kent State 6


Projected Total Points: 58
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Texas Tech62Kent State14Texas Tech -48.5Kent State60.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech101 Overs
Kent State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#130) KENT at (#10) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKENTTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #130 #10
SP+SP+ #130 #3
Perf GradeGrade #128 #3
OffenseOff #119 #22
DefenseDef #126 #1
Spec TeamsST #116 #6
TalentTal #115 #28
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #26
Kent State Notes
(11/28) Beat NIU to finish 4-3. Incredible job by Mark Carney
(11/5) Coaching malpractice by Carney vs Ball St
(11/5) Blew game vs Ball St. Coaching & stupidity
(10/31) Huge W over BG, but BG had no one at QB
(10/31) WR Cade Wolford a name to know, 26.3 ypc, 6 TD
(10/31) QB Deshields can play, just so bad on OL/DL
(10/30) Mark Carney interim no more, permanent HC
(9/13) Off much improved vs Buffalo. Impressive
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
Kent State Injury Report
Texas Tech Notes
(10/27) QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
(10/26) QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
(10/22) DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
(10/18) Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
(10/18) QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
Texas Tech Injury Report
Kent State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KENT OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #1
SuccessSuc #134 #93
ExplosiveExp #1 #120
PPAPPA #131 #104
PowerPwr #129 #3
SP+SP+ #125 #3
Pts POPPO #130 #83
HavocHav #134 #123
Kent State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KENT OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #128 #1
Run SuccessRSuc #132 #76
Run ExplRExp #72 #111
PPAExp #132 #69
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #128 #30
Stuff RateStuff #126 #35
TackleTak -  #1
Kent State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KENT OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #108 #1
Pass SuccessPSuc #134 #101
Pass ExplPExl #2 #106
PPAExp #109 #108
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #136 #2
F7 HavocF7 #134 #108
DB HavocDB #128 #124
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffKENT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #126
SuccessSuc #50 #131
ExplosiveExp #40 #79
PPAPPA #33 #133
PowerPwr #39 #121
SP+SP+ #7 #120
Pts POPPO #7 #115
HavocHav #36 #127
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffKENT Def
Run GameRun #22 #122
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #123
Run ExplRExp #42 #122
PPAExp #46 #132
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #45 #133
Stuff RateStuff #51 #133
TackleTak -  #98
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffKENT Def
Pass GamePass #37 #132
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #130
Pass ExplPExl #77 #23
PPAExp #44 #126
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23 #58
F7 HavocF7 #38 #111
DB HavocDB #66 #127
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

KENT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Texas Tech -48.5 (60.0)
Texas Tech won vs Kent State this year (62-14)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Kent State last year (62-14)

  
KENT's OC Mark Carney (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dru Deshields13624057%20301838.5
CJ Montes (Tr)101953%140117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia14664734.445
Jordan Nubin (Tr)7925313.225
Jahzae Kimbrough399702.512
Cade Wolford129718.131
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Wolford19509726.879
Dashawn Martin33507415.475
Wayne Harris35383110.942
Ardell Banks12205217.138

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC Kody Morgan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Woods9411231
CJ Young898323
Joel Cordoba662011
Jaire Rawlison522106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663
CJ Young898323
Jelani Davis (Tr)244340
Mason Woods9411231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison522106
Terrell Miller301006
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton21933366%27802268.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Will Hammond4329957.064
Adam Hill4524005.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas53830715.761
Reginald Virgil57705612.442
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter (Tr)55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Ben Roberts884035
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
John Curry734124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)512015103
Romello Height (Tr)371110131
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)4010574
Lee Hunter (Tr)4211330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
Brice Pollock (Tr)474015