Kansas at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#9)Texas Tech logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -13.5 (58.5) (-600)  Open: -14.0
Texas Tech 42 - Kansas: 17  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (4 - 3) (3 - 4 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (25 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Wind: 17.3 MPH
KU 2nd straight Road Game
KU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -19.5  (SP+ TTU -15)

Projected Score: KU: 20 - TTU: 39 (59)
TTU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
KU Travel: 523 miles
Red Raiders (6 - 0) (5 - 1 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 48 - 11 (54 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.7 - 0.3 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-12.554.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati-5.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-4.053.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+13.558.5L 17 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-7.5
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-24.5
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+3
Fri 11/28 Kansas vs Utah+9.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-9.551.5
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-41.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-19.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-14
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-28

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#17 (.35)50% (20)32.449% (32)3.63 (8)15851% (9)2594.32 (50)#104 (.22)40% (52)23.641% (67)39% (50)4.09 (93)41.30.71.1
TTU#10 (.37)49% (24)47.550% (19)2.72 (102)23647% (32)3234.43 (42)#1 (-.1)30% (3)1130% (4)30% (6)2.71 (13)77.31.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense732.42549.7%4.320.7214171582594.747%52%49%51%13%.35
TTU Defense61111.330%2.712.2 - - - - - 41%59%30%30%22%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense723.634.740%4.091.1 - - - - - 49%51%41%39%18%.22
TTU Offense647.55448.7%4.431.227559236323648%52%50%47%13%.37

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas730:1121.333%67%5.741.30.71.16.92.3128.8
Texas Tech630:2426.552%60%8.877.31.22.273.5135.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense747% (93)49% (32)33.6157.64.78 (87).24 (24)3.63 (8)77% (44)10% (76)0.87 (110)
TTU Defense641% (5)30% (4) - - - - -.18 (1)2.11 (3)58% (14)14% (10)0.62 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense749% (58)41% (67) - - - - .12 (84)2.85 (64)75% (88)11% (37)1.12 (114)
TTU Offense648% (84)50% (19)39235.5616 (20).23 (27)2.72 (102)85% (12)8% (26)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense752% (47)51% (9)19.929259.4913.118 (4)2 (11).49 (15)1.6 (63)27% (23)35% (35).47 (32)3% (13)1.9 (90)
TTU Defense659% (132)30% (6) - - - - - - 8 (12)-.04 (5)1.4 (23)40% (3)18% (2)-.02 (2)8% (15)2 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense751% (78)39% (50) - - - - - - 4 (62).34 (111)1.7 (119)35% (21)31% (92).4 (106)7% (35)2.2 (118)
TTU Offense652% (51)47% (32)24.235.5323.39.113.418 (4)5 (77).5 (13)1.7 (22)30% (56)37% (25).64 (6)5% (42)2.4 (9)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 13.02  #47
Kansas's Offense Rating: 23.57  #22
Kansas's Defense Rating: 10.55  #80
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6  #41
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #23
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #60

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 13.02   Texas Tech: 30.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.6   Texas Tech: 24.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 30.785  #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.73  #24
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -11.15  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 11.7 - 0.3
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #2
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 32.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 39
Kansas 20


Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas Tech 39
Kansas 21

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Texas Tech 40
Kansas 20

Total Points: 60
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 47.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.3

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Texas Tech42Kansas17Texas Tech -13.5Texas Tech58.5Over
202311/11Kansas13Texas Tech16Kansas -3.5Texas Tech61.5Under
202211/12Texas Tech43Kansas28Texas Tech -3.5Texas Tech63.5Over
202110/16Kansas14Texas Tech41Texas Tech -18.5Texas Tech67.5Under
202012/05Texas Tech16Kansas13Texas Tech -27Kansas63.5Under
201910/26Kansas37Texas Tech34Texas Tech -6Kansas65.5Over
201810/20Texas Tech48Kansas16Texas Tech -17.5Texas Tech59.0Over
201710/07Kansas19Texas Tech65Texas Tech -14.5Texas Tech76.0Over
201609/29Texas Tech55Kansas19Texas Tech -27Texas Tech78.5Under
201510/17Kansas20Texas Tech30Texas Tech -27Kansas74.0Under
201410/18Texas Tech34Kansas21Texas Tech -13.5Kansas0
201310/05Kansas16Texas Tech54Texas Tech -16Texas Tech0
201211/10Texas Tech41Kansas34
201110/01Kansas34Texas Tech45
200910/31Texas Tech42Kansas21
200810/25Kansas21Texas Tech63
200510/01Texas Tech30Kansas17
200409/25Kansas30Texas Tech31
200110/06Texas Tech31Kansas34
200010/27Kansas39Texas Tech45
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech1885 Overs
Kansas245 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 106 - 64 - 32 - 3
Road Teams10 - 106 - 63 - 23 - 4

(#47) KU at (#6) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUTTU
Power RatePwr #47 #6
SP+SP+ #41 #3
Perf GradeGrade #35 #2
OffenseOff #28 #8
DefenseDef #41 #1
Spec TeamsST #23 #14
TalentTal #62 #28
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #26

Kansas Notes
(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds

Texas Tech Notes
(10/12) QB Morton (leg) again vs Kansas, sounds OK though
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
KU OffTTU Def
Perf GradePerf #28 #1
SuccessSuc #20 #3
ExplosiveExp #70 #10
PPAPPA #17 #1
PowerPwr #22 #4
SP+SP+ #23 #17
Pts POPPO #50 #13
HavocHav #33 #6
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
KU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #41 #1
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #4
Run ExplRExp #110 #1
PPAExp #24 #1
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLY #8 #3
Stuff RateStuff #2 #36
TackleTak -  #6
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
KU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #20 #3
Pass SuccessPSuc #9 #6
Pass ExplPExl #63 #23
PPAExp #15 #5
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #125 #1
F7 HavocF7 #76 #10
DB HavocDB #13 #15
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatTTU OffKU Def
Perf GradePerf #8 #41
SuccessSuc #24 #52
ExplosiveExp #33 #125
PPAPPA #10 #104
PowerPwr #24 #80
SP+SP+ #2 #60
Pts POPPO #42 #93
HavocHav #26 #36
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
TTU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #8 #98
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #67
Run ExplRExp #68 #114
PPAExp #27 #84
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLY #102 #64
Stuff RateStuff #52 #22
TackleTak -  #111
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatTTU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #6 #14
Pass SuccessPSuc #32 #50
Pass ExplPExl #22 #119
PPAExp #13 #111
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #42
F7 HavocF7 #26 #37
DB HavocDB #42 #35
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Texas Tech -13.5 (58.5)
Texas Tech won vs Kansas this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Kansas in 2023 (16-13)
Texas Tech beat Kansas in 2022 (43-28)

  
KU's OC Jim Zebrowski (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels13018670%17251829.3
Cole Ballard61443%63004.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Leshon Williams (Tr)5531455.762
Daniel Hishaw Jr.4323115.421
Jalon Daniels6521813.438
Harry Stewart III219814.715
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)31530417.193
Boden Groen (Tr)25310312.446
Cam Pickett (Tr)24282311.838
Levi Wentz11172215.650

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)496243
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)471025
Jalen Todd340003
Taylor Davis270001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)155513
D.J. Withers93210
Tommy Dunn152211
Trey Lathan (Tr)496243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)471025
Devin Dye141104
Trey Lathan (Tr)496243

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton10415268%15011339.9
Will Hammond375666%399427.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey9360586.571
J'Koby Williams6735645.323
Will Hammond2423149.664
Adam Hill2420708.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas23379116.561
Coy Eakin25357314.342
Terrance Carter (Tr)23297512.950
Reginald Virgil23286412.435

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez445113
John Curry341011
Ben Roberts310024
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)252101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)1710970
Romello Height (Tr)145570
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)216341
Jacob Rodriguez445113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts310024
Jacob Rodriguez445113
Dontae Balfour (Tr)141003