Kansas at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -13.5 (58.5) (-600)  Open: -14.0
Texas Tech 42 - Kansas: 17  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Wind: 17.4 MPH
KU 2nd straight Road Game
KU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -21.5  (SP+ TTU -24)

Projected Score: KU: 18 - TTU: 39 (57)
TTU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
KU Travel: 523 miles
Red Raiders (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-12.554.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati-5.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-4.053.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+13.558.5L 17 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-3.555.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-24.554.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+5.556.5L 20 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+3.055.5L 14 - 38UN
Fri 11/28 Kansas vs Utah+10.559.5L 21 - 31UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-7.552.5L 22 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-37.556.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-7.551.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13.550.5W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-24.548.5W 48 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-24.553.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 12/6 Texas Tech vs BYU-12.550.5W 34 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.550.5L 0 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)28.149% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)26.846% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)39.445% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)11.344% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1228.121.848.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32
TTU Defense1311.38.743.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1226.833.244.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
TTU Offense1339.447.944.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 4.95  #51
Kansas's Offense Rating: 19.97  #27
Kansas's Defense Rating: 15.02  #78
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #58
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.95   Texas Tech: 26.095

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.1   Texas Tech: 27.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 26.095  #10
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 17.67  #39
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -1.92  #3
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 39
Kansas 18


Projected Total Points: 57
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Texas Tech42Kansas17Texas Tech -13.5Texas Tech58.5Over
202311/11Kansas13Texas Tech16Kansas -3.5Texas Tech61.5Under
202211/12Texas Tech43Kansas28Texas Tech -3.5Texas Tech63.5Over
202110/16Kansas14Texas Tech41Texas Tech -18.5Texas Tech67.5Under
202012/05Texas Tech16Kansas13Texas Tech -27Kansas63.5Under
201910/26Kansas37Texas Tech34Texas Tech -6Kansas65.5Over
201810/20Texas Tech48Kansas16Texas Tech -17.5Texas Tech59.0Over
201710/07Kansas19Texas Tech65Texas Tech -14.5Texas Tech76.0Over
201609/29Texas Tech55Kansas19Texas Tech -27Texas Tech78.5Under
201510/17Kansas20Texas Tech30Texas Tech -27Kansas74.0Under
201410/18Texas Tech34Kansas21Texas Tech -13.5Kansas0
201310/05Kansas16Texas Tech54Texas Tech -16Texas Tech0
201211/10Texas Tech41Kansas34
201110/01Kansas34Texas Tech45
200910/31Texas Tech42Kansas21
200810/25Kansas21Texas Tech63
200510/01Texas Tech30Kansas17
200409/25Kansas30Texas Tech31
200110/06Texas Tech31Kansas34
200010/27Kansas39Texas Tech45
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech1885 Overs
Kansas245 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 106 - 64 - 32 - 3
Road Teams10 - 106 - 63 - 23 - 4

(#51) KU at (#10) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #51 #10
SP+SP+ #58 #3
Perf GradeGrade #38 #3
OffenseOff #38 #22
DefenseDef #64 #1
Spec TeamsST #30 #6
TalentTal #62 #28
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #26
Kansas Notes
(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
Kansas Injury Report
Texas Tech Notes
(10/27) QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
(10/26) QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
(10/22) DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
(10/18) Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
(10/18) QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
Texas Tech Injury Report
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #1
SuccessSuc #16 #93
ExplosiveExp #63 #120
PPAPPA #9 #104
PowerPwr #27 #3
SP+SP+ #48 #3
Pts POPPO #11 #83
HavocHav #19 #123
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #39 #1
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #76
Run ExplRExp #29 #111
PPAExp #4 #69
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLY #3 #30
Stuff RateStuff #5 #35
TackleTak -  #1
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #53 #1
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #101
Pass ExplPExl #62 #106
PPAExp #17 #108
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #88 #2
F7 HavocF7 #20 #108
DB HavocDB #31 #124
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #64
SuccessSuc #50 #99
ExplosiveExp #40 #101
PPAPPA #33 #108
PowerPwr #39 #78
SP+SP+ #7 #76
Pts POPPO #7 #73
HavocHav #36 #54
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #22 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #104
Run ExplRExp #42 #78
PPAExp #46 #117
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #45 #124
Stuff RateStuff #51 #118
TackleTak -  #88
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #37 #54
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #95
Pass ExplPExl #77 #110
PPAExp #44 #101
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23 #53
F7 HavocF7 #38 #62
DB HavocDB #66 #31
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83° - Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Texas Tech -13.5 (58.5)
Texas Tech won vs Kansas this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Kansas last year (42-17)
Texas Tech beat Kansas in 2023 (16-13)

  
KU's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels19831962%25042277.8
Cole Ballard102246%108114.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12458754.722
Leshon Williams (Tr)9756575.862
Jalon Daniels11742343.638
Isaiah Marshall15160010.743
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)45766517.093
Boden Groen (Tr)36450512.546
Cam Pickett (Tr)45449310.038
Levi Wentz16258216.150

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Bangally Kamara (Tr)549114
Austin Alexander464002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
D.J. Withers165310
Tommy Dunn264321
Jalen Todd442214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton21933366%27802268.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Will Hammond4329957.064
Adam Hill4524005.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas53830715.761
Reginald Virgil57705612.442
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter (Tr)55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Ben Roberts884035
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
John Curry734124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)512015103
Romello Height (Tr)371110131
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)4010574
Lee Hunter (Tr)4211330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
Brice Pollock (Tr)474015